Adrian Yañez defeats Cody Garbrandt by KO/TKO
Garbrandt vs Yañez — Bantamweight · UFC 329
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Garbrandt opened quickly and pressed the action.
Yañez turned the fight with counter right hands.
Punches from both hands dropped Garbrandt for the TKO at 2:47.
- Secondary fallback play-by-play reportSherdog · UFC 329 play-by-play
Watch
More from this fight.
More videos · 10 clips
Signature moments
Signature moments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Analyst picks: DFS By The Numbers called it; AJ perfect call; Mike Finch perfect call; Lucas Tracy perfect call; The MMA Guru perfect call; Bedtime MMA perfect call; TheWeasle perfect call; We Want Picks called it; HopperoMMA called it; Michael Bisping missed.
9 of 10 nailed it · 6 nailed the finish ★.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Full analyst picks ↓
DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 60 of 88 DFS By The Numbers: predicted Yañez · KO/TKO · R2. Actual Yañez · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Leans to Yanez because Garbrandt has become low-volume and chin-conscious. He expects Yanez's forward pressure, boxing volume and power to eventually find Cody in the second round.
Track record: winner called in 60 of 88 resolved picks, 23 a perfect call.
AJ Betting deskAnalyst called 52 of 71 AJ: predicted Yañez · KO/TKO. Actual Yañez · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect call.
Sees this as a Yanez showcase against a fading Garbrandt. He thinks Yanez can force a big exchange and land the shot Garbrandt can no longer reliably absorb.
Track record: winner called in 52 of 71 resolved picks, 25 a perfect call.
Mike Finch Betting deskAnalyst called 23 of 36 Mike Finch: predicted Yañez · KO/TKO. Actual Yañez · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect call.
Backs Yanez's speed, activity and pressure against Garbrandt's recent body of work. He expects Yanez to stay on him until the damage piles up into a stoppage.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 36 resolved picks, 9 a perfect call.
Lucas Tracy Analyst called 21 of 32 Lucas Tracy: predicted Yañez · KO/TKO. Actual Yañez · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect call.
Backs Yañez as the fresher, higher-output boxer and expects Garbrandt's limited takedown threat to fade back into striking exchanges. He predicts Yañez settles in and knocks Garbrandt out.
“I'm picking him to win this.”
Track record: winner called in 21 of 32 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.
The MMA Guru Analyst called 44 of 65 The MMA Guru: predicted Yañez · KO/TKO. Actual Yañez · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect call.
Reads Garbrandt as a diminished version of himself whose confidence and willingness to engage are no longer reliable. He trusts Yanez's jab, boxing and composure to keep touching Garbrandt until the stoppage arrives.
“I'm going with Cody Garbrandt losing by KO in the first or second round.”
Track record: winner called in 44 of 65 resolved picks, 16 a perfect call.
Bedtime MMA Analyst called 67 of 99 Bedtime MMA: predicted Yañez · KO/TKO. Actual Yañez · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect call.
Picks Adrian Yanez by knockout because he no longer trusts Garbrandt's low-output style to keep up. He expects Yanez's combination boxing, jab and counters to back Garbrandt toward the fence and create the damaging right-hand or uppercut moments.
“I'm going with Adrian Yanez by knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 67 of 99 resolved picks, 28 a perfect call.
TheWeasle Analyst called 34 of 48 TheWeasle: predicted Yañez · KO/TKO · R1. Actual Yañez · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect call.
Does not trust Garbrandt's durability against Yanez's boxing. He expects Yanez to find Garbrandt early and finish him in the first round.
Track record: winner called in 34 of 48 resolved picks, 14 a perfect call.
We Want Picks Betting desk called 55 of 87 We Want Picks: predicted Yañez · to win. Actual Yañez · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
They think Adrian Yanez is faster, cleaner and more technical, while Cody Garbrandt is too reliant on one big counter. The warning is for Yanez to stay patient rather than chase a knockout and create Cody's best counter window.
- Jacob liked Yanez by decision, but the shared desk call is stored winner-only.
“Adrien's the pick.”
Track record: winner called in 55 of 87 resolved picks.
HopperoMMA Analyst called 41 of 65 HopperoMMA: predicted Yañez · KO/TKO · R2. Actual Yañez · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Leans Adrian Yanez because Cody Garbrandt's recent durability and defensive lapses worry him against a cleaner offensive boxer. He gives Garbrandt a chance, but expects Yanez's hands to catch up to him and force a second-round finish.
Track record: winner called in 41 of 65 resolved picks, 15 a perfect call.
Michael Bisping AnalystFighter called 12 of 20 Michael Bisping: predicted Garbrandt · to win. Actual Yañez · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
Starts by acknowledging Yanez's boxing could fit the matchup, then talks himself into Garbrandt because of the level he has fought at, his wrestling, power and will. He also reads Yanez's recent rough stretch as a possible confidence issue.
“I'm going with Cody Garbrandt.”
Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks, 1 a perfect call.
Archive Pre-fight material — kept for transparency.
- 2.79 5.96
- 59% 57%
- 3.66 5.24
- 82% 75%
- 73% 78%
- 15-7-0
- Record
- 17-6-1
- 3-2 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 1-3-1 last 5
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Orthodox
- 10:20
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 7:33
- United States
- Nationality
- United States
- Xtreme Couture · Las Vegas
- Team
- Metro Fight Club · Houston
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Garbrandt
The Cody Garbrandt version of this preview starts with one question: how much of the former champion is still there when the fight stays a pure boxing match? Garbrandt's path has not changed even if the mileage has. He still owns the cleaner one-shot power, 11 knockout wins, and a counter right hand that can flip a round instantly. The more useful recent clue is not the old Dominick Cruz title win but the 2026 decision over Xiao Long and the 2023 knockout of Brian Kelleher: Garbrandt can still win when he stays disciplined and picks moments instead of chasing firefights. Against Yañez, that matters because he does not need to out-volume the younger boxer for 15 minutes; he needs to make Yañez pay often enough that the output gap stops deciding the rounds on its own.
Case for Yañez
The Adrian Yañez case is that this matchup is still asking a volume question before it asks a nostalgia question. Yañez lands 5.96 significant strikes per minute, carries a longer reach, and is generally the fighter more likely to make a three-round boxing fight look busy on the scorecards. His recent form is messy rather than empty: a debated draw with Ricky Simon, a split loss to Daniel Marcos, and a first-round finish of Vinicius Salvador in between. That is why this page should frame him as volatile but live, not simply cold. If Yañez can keep Garbrandt resetting behind combinations instead of loading up on counters, the fight starts to look like a pace and activity problem for the former champion.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Garbrandt throws enough early to keep Yañez honest; if the first round is low-volume from Cody, the rest of the fight becomes harder to score his way.
- Yañez's leg-kick choices and pocket entries after the Jonathan Martinez loss; he needs pressure without giving Garbrandt the clean counter lane.
- The first clean recovery test if either man gets stunned, because both have recent knockout losses on the record and neither wants a long brawl from behind.
- How the judges weigh flash versus accumulation if Garbrandt lands the bigger moments but Yañez owns the steadier minute-by-minute output.
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