Whittaker vs Krylov — Light Heavyweight · UFC 329
Scheduled · 11 Jul 2026Tale of the Tape
- 4.39 4.36
- 60% 48%
- 3.36 2.59
- 82% 53%
- 59% 94%
- 27-9-0
- Record
- 31-11-0
- 2-3 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 3-2 last 5
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Orthodox
- 13:37
- Avg. fight timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 6:58
- Light Heavyweight
- Weight class
- Light Heavyweight
- Australia
- Nationality
- Russia
- PMA Super Martial Arts · Sydney
- Team
- Fight Club No.1 · Moscow
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
How the Fight Plays Out
Case for Whittaker
Whittaker is the far more decorated fighter — a former middleweight champion with elite footwork, counters and the best takedown defence (82%) either man will face. Even moving up to 205, his speed and technical edge over a defensively open Krylov are real. If his timing carries to the new weight, he out-boxes Krylov comfortably.
Case for Krylov
Krylov is the bigger, rangier natural light-heavyweight and one of the division's most prolific finishers — 29 of 31 wins by stoppage, split between knockouts and submissions. He owns the size, reach and finishing threat in every phase. Against a Whittaker debuting at 205 off back-to-back losses, his power and grappling could find a Whittaker who no longer absorbs shots the way he once did.
What to Watch
- Does Whittaker's speed and timing carry up to light heavyweight, or does the size gap blunt his offence?
- Krylov is finish-or-be-finished — two 2025 knockout losses raised chin questions before he rebounded with a stoppage of Bukauskas; whose chin holds?
- Whittaker's 82% takedown defence against Krylov's submission-heavy grappling.
- Form and confidence: Whittaker enters off two middleweight losses and a jump in weight, Krylov off a rebound KO — who is in the better place?
Pre-Fight Predictions
Independent picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — for this fight, each traced to a timestamped source and checked before it goes live, are being verified and will appear here ahead of fight night.
Verified picks coming soon.