Source-backed
Each logged pick is tied to a public source, with the relevant moment retained so readers can check what was said.
Track Record Methodology
Every analyst metric is calculated from logged calls and displayed with its own denominator.
FightCardIQ records public calls, verifies their sources, and derives results after a bout is settled. We show what each metric includes, what it leaves out, and the sample behind it. We do not currently publish an overall Analyst ranking.
Included calls
A call starts with a documented public prediction, not a retrospective interpretation.
Result-derived
Metrics are calculated only after a qualifying bout result is available. The site does not let analysts edit a settled record.
Separate samples
Winner, method, round, and underdog calls have different eligibility rules, so their denominators are intentionally independent.
How each metric is counted
A correct call is a hit; an eligible incorrect call is a miss. We never replace the denominator with a bare percentage.
Winner called
Every selected winner in a resolved bout with a winner is eligible. A correct selection is a hit; a wrong selection is a miss.
Method called
Method is scored separately, only when the analyst selected the correct winner and stated a method that can be checked against the result. A wrong winner does not enter the method denominator.
Round called
Round is also separate. It is scored only when the analyst selected the correct winner and stated a round that can be checked against the result. It does not require a correct method call.
Correct underdog calls
This counts selected winners that were strict underdogs in the qualified frozen pre-event sportsbook consensus. A winning underdog selection is a hit. A losing selected underdog remains an attempted call and is a miss.
Frozen pre-event sportsbook consensus
Underdog status is a historical market context, not a live price or a recommendation.
For a bout to qualify, the consensus must be captured before its event starts, frozen at that boundary, and be less than two hours old. The selected fighter must have a strictly lower consensus chance of winning than their opponent. Tied markets do not create an underdog.
We use the frozen pre-event consensus so later market movement cannot change a historical underdog result. The metric does not use a price at the moment an analyst made a pick.
Exclusions and thin samples
Not every logged row belongs in every metric.
Excluded from Track Record
- Upcoming calls and rows without a selected winner.
- Draws, no-contests, cancellations, and results without a winner.
- Method or round details that are not eligible for their own metric.
- Underdog candidates without a qualified, strictly unequal frozen consensus.
Thin samples stay visible
Small samples are not converted into an overconfident verdict. Analyst pages show real counts, and detailed result splits appear only once the relevant metric has enough eligible calls to be useful.
Future rankings
A public ranking will be introduced only with a separate, stable methodology.
There is no composite Analyst score or overall ranking today. If FightCardIQ publishes one in future, it will explain which published metrics it uses, how it handles sample size and market context, and when any version changes take effect.