Sherdog Radio Network executive producer and co-host of the Shillan & Duffy UFC preview show.
Scorecard
Called 11 of 15 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
Not yet ranked — 15 of 20 resolved calls needed for a FightCardIQ Score
- Winner 11 4
- Method 7 4
- Round 2 2
- Underdog 2 2
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows, so its flattening is arithmetic, not a verdict: read where a line sits, and read the vs. the field strip for whether this analyst gained or lost ground on the rest of the roster. Winner is scored on every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss Field median Gap to the field
Keith Shillan has no published Score yet, so this figure shows the record only: 2 cards of scored calls.
11 of 15 — 73% now, from 73% at their first scored card.
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Method
64% 7 of 11 correct winners that named a method
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Round
2 of 4 correct winners that named a round — too few to chart a trend.
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Underdog
2 of 4 priced underdog calls — too few to chart a trend.
Card by card
Newest card first — the charts above run oldest to newest. One mark per scored call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Ankalaev vs. Guskov 3 hit · 1 miss
- Du Plessis vs. Usman 8 hit · 3 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Event scorecard
- Winner 3 1
- Method 1 2
- Round 1 2
- Underdog 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 82.5%. Ankalaev · Sub · R3 | Ankalaev · KO/TKO R5 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Sees Guskov as dangerous primarily through a puncher's chance, but expects Ankalaev's ground advantage to produce sustained top control before a third-round submission.
Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Temirov · KO/TKO · R1 | Temirov · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Calls Erceg a composed boxer but vulnerable defensively, and backs Temirov's explosive right hand to find a late first-round knockout.
| |||||
| Underdog call, market price 33.0%. Izagakhmaev · Dec | Vagaev · Dec | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Izagakhmaev as the more proven fighter against higher-level opposition and does not weigh the Nicolas Dalby loss heavily. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 33.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 84.5%. Hussein · KO/TKO · R1 | Hussein · Sub R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Expects Hussein to exploit Gibson's lack of speed and fluidity by entering the pocket to hurt him or take him down. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 84.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Du Plessis vs. Usman
Event scorecard
- Winner 8 3
- Method 6 2
- Round 1
- Underdog 2 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 64.9%. Du Plessis · Dec | Du Plessis · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Views Du Plessis as the naturally bigger fighter and expects Usman's age and knees to make a five-round decision difficult for him. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 74.8%. Duncan · Dec | Duncan · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Expects Duncan's speed to pick Cannonier apart while Cannonier remains tough enough to reach a decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 74.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 83.5%. Barbosa · Sub · R1 | Barbosa · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Sees Barbosa's ground advantage as too large and expects her to take Melisano down and submit her quickly. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 83.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Harris · Dec | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Likes the newcomer Harris' size, distance striking and ability to stop enough takedowns in a likely ugly decision. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.01 — (50% − 49.5%) ÷ 50%. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Coria · Dec | Coria · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Rates Coria as the bigger, better boxer and expects Nicoll's toughness to carry the bout to a decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 88.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Rodrigues Jr. · Dec | Franco · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Rodrigues' better striking in a low-confidence decision call. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 44.5%. Delgado · Dec | Delgado · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Leans on Delgado's stronger schedule and edge on the feet for a close split decision. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 44.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.11 — (50% − 44.5%) ÷ 50%. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Kline · Dec | Kline · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Rates Kline a future contender and expects her to control long stretches on top for a dominant decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 35.1%. Montes · KO/TKO · R1 | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Expects McMillen's defensive openings to lead him into a first-round knockout from Montes. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 35.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · Dec | Hooper · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Calls Ramirez low level and takes Hooper to win a decision rather than force a submission call. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.2% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ko · Dec | Lebosnoyani · Dec | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Rates Ko better everywhere but submissions, and makes him the lock of the night by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind Keith Shillan's logged calls.