Veteran combat-sports analyst and co-host of Morning Kombat; formerly CBS Sports and MMA Fighting.
Scorecard
Track record building — 4 resolved calls so far. Visible hit/miss split unlocks at 5 resolved scored picks. How Track Record works.
Not yet ranked — 4 of 20 resolved calls needed for a FightCardIQ Score
- Winner 3 1
- MethodCalls the winner, not the method
- RoundCalls the winner, not the round
- UnderdogNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Hit Miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
UFC Freedom 250
Topuria vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner 3 1
- MethodCalls the winner, not the method
- RoundCalls the winner, not the round
- UnderdogNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Topuria · to win | Gaethje · KO/TKO R4 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls the fight one-sided for Topuria: sees Gaethje's only path as pressure and leg kicks. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. O'Malley · to win | O'Malley · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Thomas respects Zahabi as a legitimate ranked opponent, but still calls it O'Malley's fight to lose. His view is that Zahabi winning would be a major upset, while the more likely outcome is O'Malley doing what he's expected to do.
“This is O'Malley's fight to lose. At least it should be.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · to win | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Thomas treats Lewis's knockout threat as real but says the likelier outcome is still the younger, faster and better fighter taking over. His framing is that backing Lewis means banking on a puncher's chance rather than the more probable read of the matchup.
Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · to win | Ruffy · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Thomas says the matchup looks one-sided for Ruffy. His read is that if Chandler keeps it competitive or wins, that exposes real problems on Ruffy's side rather than a balanced fight on paper. “I do think that the Chandler fight with Hoofie is probably one-sided in Hoofie's direction.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind Luke Thomas's logged calls.