Moirai model

UFC prediction model

Moirai publishes UFC win probabilities from an ensemble of gradient-boosted models.

Scorecard

Track record building — no calls resolved yet. Visible hit/miss split unlocks at 5 resolved scored picks. How Track Record works.

Track record building — 0 resolved calls so far.

Call History

Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.

underdog pick   favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.

Moicano vs. Nolan

Oct 31, 2026 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada

Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Alencar vs RodriguezRodriguez · to winUpcomingRodriguezNot calledNot called
Bekoev vs PetroskiBekoev · to winUpcomingBekoevNot calledNot called
Erosa vs LeeErosa · to winUpcomingErosaNot calledNot called
Klein vs KropschotKropschot · to winUpcomingKropschotNot calledNot called
Lebosnoyani vs HasanovLebosnoyani · to winUpcomingLebosnoyaniNot calledNot called
Moicano vs NolanNolan · to winUpcomingNolanNot calledNot called
Santos vs SantosSantos · to winUpcomingSantosNot calledNot called
Sezinando vs BerggrenBerggren · to winUpcomingBerggrenNot calledNot called
Szabova vs LisboaSzabova · to winUpcomingSzabovaNot calledNot called

Videos

No sourced clips are linked to this analyst's calls yet.

Watch all of Moirai model's video picks in the library