UFC light-heavyweight champion (2008) and Hall of Famer, now a desk analyst.
Scorecard
Called 4 of 5 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
Not yet ranked — 5 of 20 resolved calls needed for a FightCardIQ Score
- Winner 4 1
- Method 1
- Round 1
- Underdog 1
Hit Miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
UFC Freedom 250
Topuria vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner 4 1
- Method 1
- Round 1
- Underdog 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 20.5%. Gaethje · to win | Gaethje · KO/TKO R4 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Rashad dissents from the panel and picks Gaethje on the magnitude of the moment. Speaking as a former fighter, he says Gaethje is chasing the biggest moment of his life (unification, walking away undisputed), and a fighter driven by that force becomes far more dangerous than the calculated version opponents expect.
“For me, I'm going to go with Justin Gaethje in this fight, because we all as fighters, we're living for that moment.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 20.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.59 — (50% − 20.5%) ÷ 50%. * A former champion's pick on the UFC on Paramount+ HQ Spotlight panel. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · to win | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Rashad frames the fight as a showcase for Hokit to let his hands go and entertain, and believes he gets the win this weekend — while warning he must respect Derrick Lewis's knockout power.
“I think he's going to let his hands go and I think he's going to get the win this weekend.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. * A former champion's pick on the UFC on Paramount+ HQ Spotlight panel. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · to win | Ruffy · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Rashad picks Ruffy, saying he has so many tools that even a harder-than-ever Chandler at this stage of his career won't be enough.
“I feel like it's not going to be enough. I got Ruffy for the win in this one.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. * A former champion's pick on the UFC on Paramount+ HQ Spotlight panel. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · KO/TKO · R2 | Nickal · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Rashad takes Nickal: although Daukaus's desire for the upset is real, Nickal simply has more tools — better stand-up plus a ground game that speaks for itself — and gets him out of there in the second round.
“I think it's a stoppage. I think Bo Nickal gets him out of the second round.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. * A former champion's pick on the UFC on Paramount+ HQ Spotlight panel. | |||||
| No pick | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Rashad expressly declined to call it — 'a horrible fight for me to call.' He breaks down both men (Garcia treating it win-win out of Jackson-Wink, a must-win for Lopes) but never commits to a winner. From the UFC on Paramount+ HQ Spotlight panel. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · to win | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Rashad sides with Pereira because he trusts the active champion's timing, hunger and late-fight power more than Gane's recent cage time. He respects Gane's skill and says he can present problems, but still sees Pereira separating himself as the fight goes on.
“I'm going with Pereira and I think Pereira because of the fact that, you know, where his story and where he's been.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 52.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. * A former champion's pick on the UFC on Paramount+ HQ Spotlight panel. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind Rashad Evans's logged calls.