Former UFC middleweight and light-heavyweight title challenger, now an MMA analyst.
Chael Sonnen on YouTube ↗Scorecard
Track record building — 2 resolved calls so far. Visible hit/miss split unlocks at 5 resolved scored picks. How Track Record works.
Not yet ranked — 2 of 20 resolved calls needed for a FightCardIQ Score
- Winner 1 1
- MethodCalls the winner, not the method
- RoundCalls the winner, not the round
- UnderdogNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows, so its flattening is arithmetic, not a verdict: read where a line sits, and read the vs. the field strip for whether this analyst gained or lost ground on the rest of the roster. Winner is scored on every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss Field median Gap to the field
Chael Sonnen has no published Score yet, so this figure shows the record only: 2 cards of scored calls.
1 of 2 — too few scored calls to chart a trend.
Method — No method callsRound — No round callsUnderdog — No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Card by card
Newest card first — the charts above run oldest to newest. One mark per scored call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Medic vs. Rodriguez 1 hit · 0 miss
- UFC Freedom 250 0 hit · 1 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Medic vs. Rodriguez
Event scorecard
- Winner 1
- MethodCalls the winner, not the method
- RoundCalls the winner, not the round
- UnderdogNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No pick | Medić · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Discussed at length without naming a winner — argued Medic's 100% finish rate is itself an upset risk, then cited fighters who performed well after incarceration, and closed on doubting Rodriguez could step straight into a 25-minute fight. A lean, never a committed pick. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · to win | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Framed it as Stirling's speed against Blachowicz's power and noted that in four-ounce gloves power often beats speed, but closed by saying the rankings have this matchup wrong and the oddsmakers closer to right, siding with them on Stirling. “I think the odds makers are the one that are a little closer here, and I do favor with them [Stirling].” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| No pick | Rakić · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Asked directly whether Tybura could pull the upset. Spent the answer on Rakic's overdue move to heavyweight and conceded the opponent is a hard fight, closing on Rakic being a player at heavyweight — a division verdict, not a stated winner for this bout. | |||||
| No pick | Urbina · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
No winner named. Said the good news for Urbina is that he has made the walk before, then conceded Cepo is the more skilled fighter while doubting those skills come out on debut. Directionally a lean to Urbina, but he stopped short of picking. | |||||
UFC Freedom 250
Topuria vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner 1
- MethodNo correct calls to break down yet
- RoundNo correct calls to break down yet
- UnderdogNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No pick | Gaethje · KO/TKO R4 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Won't call it — argues you're either overrating Topuria or underrating Gaethje, and admits he doesn't know which. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · to win | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Sonnen isn't convinced Gane truly wants the prize — that winning an interim belt opens a can of worms (a Pereira rematch, an Aspinall drop-back, a returning Jon Jones) he may not be invested in — and a fighter who doesn't want the prize often doesn't want the victory. He takes Pereira, expecting a long night, possibly a decision.
“I'm taking Alex Pereira. It's going to be a long night, possibly even a decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 52.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. * From the UFC on Paramount+ HQ Spotlight panel. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind Chael Sonnen's logged calls.