Hayjive Picks focuses on UFC betting picks, including strike lines and longshots, and fight breakdowns. Its channel also publishes Dana White’s Contender Series card breakdowns.
Scorecard
Called 7 of 14 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 7 7
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
7 of 14 — 50% now, from 0% at their first scored card. The first 1 point is drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
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Underdog
0 of 2 priced underdog calls — too few to chart a trend.
Method — No method callsRound — No round calls scored yet
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- UFC 329 1 hit · 0 miss
- Kape vs Horiguchi 6 hit · 6 miss
- UFC Freedom 250 0 hit · 1 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Holloway · to win | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Hayjive Picks selects Max Holloway as the UFC 329 main-event winner without specifying a method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Kape vs Horiguchi
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Chokheli · to win | Chokheli · TKO (leg kick and punches) R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Levan Chokheli to win. “I'm going to take Chokly for the pick here. I think he gets it done.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Rosa · to win | Santos · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Karol Rosa to win. “I'm going to take Karol Rosa to get it done, probably a decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 50.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Aswell Jr. · to win | Bolanos · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Michael Aswell Jr. to win. “So I'm going to take Michael Asuel to get this one done.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.0%. Nascimento · to win | Raposo · Decision - Split R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Allan Nascimento to win. “I'm going to take Allan Nascimento.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 84.5%. Lima · to win | Borjas · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Andre Lima to win. “I'm going to take Andre Lima to get it done.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 84.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 32.5%. Amil · to win | Rodriguez · Technical Submission (guillotine choke) R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Hyder Amil to win. “So, I'm going to take Hider Amil to get this one done.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 32.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 29.5%. Fili · to win | Oliveira · TKO (punches/elbows) R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Andre Fili to win. “I'm going to take Andre Fili to get it done as the big dog.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 29.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · to win | Stirling · TKO (punches) R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Navajo Stirling to win. “So, I'm going to take Sterling to get it done in the co-main.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Kape · to win | Kape · TKO (punches) R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Manel Kape to win. “So, give me Manel Kape to get it done in the main event.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.0%. Mesquita · to win | Mesquita · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Bia Mesquita to win. “Give me Mosquito to get it done.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Collins · to win | Collins · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Shane Collins to win. “So, I'm going to go with Shane Collins to get it done in his UFC debut and pick up a W.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 80.0%. Magomedov · to win | Magomedov · Submission (twister) R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Murtazali Magomedov to win. “I'm going to take Magomedov to get his win in his UFC debut.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC Freedom 250
Topuria vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Topuria · to win | Gaethje · KO/TKO R4 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Topuria to get a finish in round one, while leaving the method unspecified because the source discusses both knockout and submission routes. “I think Topuria gets a finish here in round one nonetheless.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind Hayjive Picks's logged calls.


