UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2  4 Oct 2025 · Las Vegas, Nevada, US

Alex Pereira defeats Magomed Ankalaev by KO/TKO

Win Alex Pereira 13-3-0
Loss Magomed Ankalaev 20-2-1
KO/TKO · punches and elbows

Round 1 · 1:20

Pereira vs Ankalaev — Light Heavyweight Title · UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Pereira and Ankalaev met in a light heavyweight title rematch at UFC 320.

The title fight ended in the opening round rather than reaching the judges.

The official result recorded Pereira's TKO win at 1:20 of round one and returned the title to him.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Pereira

Pereira entered the rematch as the former champion with a clear adjustment to make: deny Ankalaev the slow, clinch-heavy rhythm that muted his power at UFC 313. His path was urgency, calf kicks and immediate pressure, forcing exchanges before Ankalaev could settle behind southpaw counters or fence control.

Case for Ankalaev

Ankalaev came in as champion after winning the first fight by taking space away from Pereira and turning long stretches into tactical pressure. His route to a repeat was to survive the early danger, get Pereira backing up, and make the fight about control rather than clean power shots.

What We Were Watching For

  • Would Pereira start faster after being out-pointed in their first meeting?
  • Could Ankalaev get to the clinch before Pereira's calf kicks and right hand changed the fight?
  • How would the rematch look if Pereira refused to let the champion build a slow tactical round?
Records & career stats
Pereira vs Ankalaev
12-3-0
Record
20-1-1
—
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3-1-1 last 5
Brazil
Nationality
Russia
38
Age
34
6′4″193 cm
Height — Pereira leads
6′3″191 cm
79″201 cm
Reach — Pereira leads
75″191 cm
Orthodox
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Southpaw
85%
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
Source pending
11
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
—
0
Wins by submissionSub wins
0
5.01
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Pereira leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.52
3.72
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Ankalaev leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.49
53%
Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
55%
80%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Ankalaev leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
88%
10:42
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
12:27
Teixeira MMA & Fitness-Bethel, CT
Team
Fight Club Akhmat / Xtreme Couture

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

After the fight
Before the fight (1)

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Jon Litterine
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alex Pereira

Fight result: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 320 expert-picks table lists Jon Litterine on Alex Pereira.

Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).

View full track record (124 calls)
Drake Burden
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Magomed Ankalaev

Fight result: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 320 expert-picks table lists Drake Burden on Magomed Ankalaev.

Track record: winner called in 62 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 63.3% (62 hit, 36 miss, across 98 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 98 resolved calls).

View full track record (98 calls)
Jake Letarski
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Magomed Ankalaev

Fight result: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 320 expert-picks table lists Jake Letarski on Magomed Ankalaev.

Track record: winner called in 42 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.9% (42 hit, 27 miss, across 69 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 69 resolved calls).

View full track record (69 calls)
Cole Shelton
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Magomed Ankalaev

Fight result: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 320 expert-picks table lists Cole Shelton on Magomed Ankalaev.

Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).

View full track record (116 calls)
Joe SunTszu
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Magomed Ankalaev

Fight result: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 320 expert-picks table lists Joe SunTszu on Magomed Ankalaev.

Track record: winner called in 34 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.1% (34 hit, 30 miss, across 64 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (4 hit, 12 miss, across 16 underdog calls on 64 resolved calls).

View full track record (64 calls)
Chris Olson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Magomed Ankalaev

Fight result: Alex Pereira · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 320 expert-picks table lists Chris Olson on Magomed Ankalaev.

Track record: winner called in 32 of 71 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 45.1% (32 hit, 39 miss, across 71 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 71 resolved calls).

View full track record (71 calls)

Analyst picks: Drake Burden Miss; Jake Letarski Miss; Jon Litterine Hit; Cole Shelton Miss; Joe SunTszu Miss; Chris Olson Miss.

Only 1 of 6 called the upset.

Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

AI Predictions

This fight is settled. Eligible pre-fight AI forecasts load when this page is online.

Market Odds

No current consensus line is saved on this page.

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