UFC GamblingAddicts offers UFC fight breakdowns and predictions.
Scorecard
Called 19 of 23 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 82.6% 19 4
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss Field median Gap to the field
19 of 23 — 83% now, from 100% at their first scored card. The first 1 point is drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
-
Method
1 of 3 correct winners that named a method — too few to chart a trend.
-
Underdog
1 of 1 priced underdog call — too few to chart a trend.
Round — No round calls
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Crypto.com UFC 331 5 hit · 3 miss
- Du Plessis vs. Usman 1 hit · 0 miss
- UFC Freedom 250 0 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 298 12 hit · 0 miss
- Makhachev vs. Green 1 hit · 0 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Van · KO/TKO | Van · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Joshua Van by KO/TKO, expecting Van's round-by-round improvement to produce a late stoppage after Pantoja's early grappling window. “So, the prediction's going to be Joshua Van by KO/TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.9%. Choi · KO/TKO | Pitbull · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Dooho Choi by KO/TKO, citing Choi's willingness to walk through exchanges and Patricio Pitbull's recent decline in speed and precision. “The prediction would have to be Doo Ho Choi to win by KO/TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Steveson · to win | Sharaf · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Gable Steveson to win inside the distance, citing the prospect's higher level and finishing profile against Sean Sharaf. “My prediction's going to be Gable wins inside the distance, probably round one or early round two.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 91.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 35.5%. Vera · to win | Vera · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts backs Marlon Vera, giving the veteran one final chance because of his stronger opposition and long-standing finishing threat despite four straight losses. “Let's go, Chito Vera. I still believe in you, bro.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 35.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Despaigne · KO/TKO | Despaigne · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Robelis Despaigne by KO/TKO, describing the heavyweight as the more dangerous round-one finisher in the standing matchup. “My prediction has to be unfortunately Rebelo de Santana by KO/TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 62.5%. Shahbazyan · to win | Shahbazyan · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Edmen Shahbazyan, citing his striking advantage and expecting Bruno Ferreira's cardio and lack of sustained pressure to limit the upset path. “I'm going to roll with the golden boy Edmen Shahbazyan to win by either KO TKO or decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 78.5%. Brito · to win | Brito · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Joanderson Brito, describing Brito's pressure, wrestling, and grappling as the matchup problem for an aging Giga Chikadze. “My first prediction has to be Joanderson Brito to get the win.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Yoo · to win | Aswell Jr. · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
UFC GamblingAddicts transcript pick: Joosang Yoo (winner only). “So, my prediction's going to be Joe Sang Yo, but from a gambling perspective, it's underdog or pass.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Du Plessis vs. Usman
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 64.9%. Du Plessis · Dec | Du Plessis · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Dricus Du Plessis by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC Freedom 250
Topuria vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Topuria · KO/TKO | Gaethje · KO/TKO R4 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Topuria to exploit Gaethje's tendency to get hit, while the source leaves the finish between rounds two and three. “Either round two or round three, Ilia Topuria TKOs Justin Gaethje.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 298
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 12
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maverick · to win | Maverick · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts transcript pick: Miranda Maverick (winner only). | |||||
| Elliott · to win | Elliott · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts transcript pick: Oban Elliott (winner only). | |||||
| Barlow · to win | Barlow · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts transcript pick: Danny Barlow (winner only). | |||||
| Zhang · to win | Zhang · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts transcript pick: Mingyang Zhang (winner only). | |||||
| Nakamura · to win | Nakamura · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts transcript pick: Rinya Nakamura (winner only). | |||||
| Lima · to win | Lima · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts transcript pick: Marcos Rogério de Lima (winner only). | |||||
| Lemos · to win | Lemos · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts transcript pick: Amanda Lemos (winner only). | |||||
| Hernandez · to win | Hernandez · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts transcript pick: Anthony Hernandez (winner only). | |||||
| Dvalishvili · to win | Dvalishvili · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts transcript pick: Merab Dvalishvili (winner only). | |||||
| Machado Garry · to win | Machado Garry · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts transcript pick: Ian Machado Garry (winner only). | |||||
| Whittaker · to win | Whittaker · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts transcript pick: Robert Whittaker (winner only). | |||||
| Topuria · to win | Topuria · KO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts transcript pick: Ilia Topuria (winner only). | |||||
Makhachev vs. Green
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · KO/TKO (punches) R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
UFC GamblingAddicts transcript pick: Islam Makhachev (winner only). | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind UFC GamblingAddicts's logged calls.
Watch all of UFC GamblingAddicts's video picks in the library