Crypto.com UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
Round 3 · 5:00
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
The official result records Shahbazyan's unanimous decision over Ferreira after the full three-round middleweight bout.
The judges were required to determine the winner rather than a stoppage deciding the contest.
Shahbazyan added the decision win to his record while Ferreira was handed the loss.
Shahbazyan brings technical striking and middleweight experience.
Ferreira brings explosive finishing threat.
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Edmen Shahbazyan, citing his striking advantage and expecting Bruno Ferreira's cardio and lack of sustained pressure to limit the upset path.
“I'm going to roll with the golden boy Edmen Shahbazyan to win by either KO TKO or decision.”
Track record: winner called in 19 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 82.6% (19 hit, 4 miss, across 23 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 23 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 23 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · KO/TKO
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
TheWagerZone transcript pick: Edmen Shahbazyan by KO/TKO.
“So, for this one, give me Edmen Shahbazyan by knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 78.6% (11 hit, 3 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 30.0% (3 hit, 7 miss, across 10 method-scored calls on 14 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 14 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Couch Warrior Podcast selects Edmen Shahbazyan in the final UFC 331 pick recap.
“Going Edmen.”
Track record: winner called in 9 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 75.0% (9 hit, 3 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 12 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
MMA Tugg transcript pick: Edmen Shahbazyan (winner only).
“Give me Edmen Shahbazyan to win this fight either by knockout or by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 9 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 75.0% (9 hit, 3 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (2 hit, 6 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 12 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · KO/TKO
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Dissection Of Violence transcript pick: Edmen Shahbazyan by KO/TKO.
“I gotta go with Edmond by KO. That's gonna be my pick.”
Track record: winner called in 8 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 72.7% (8 hit, 3 miss, across 11 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 11 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · Dec
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Bedtime MMA transcript pick: Edmen Shahbazyan by decision.
“I'm going to go with Edmen Shahbazyan by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 132 of 185 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 71.4% (132 hit, 53 miss, across 185 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.9% (60 hit, 37 miss, across 97 method-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.7% (11 hit, 16 miss, across 27 round-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 48.7% (19 hit, 20 miss, across 39 underdog calls on 185 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · Dec
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
TheWeasle transcript pick: Edmen Shahbazyan by Decision.
“ultimately winning the fight by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 70.6% (115 hit, 48 miss, across 163 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.8% (47 hit, 29 miss, across 76 method-scored calls on 163 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 36.5% (19 hit, 33 miss, across 52 round-scored calls on 163 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 163 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · KO/TKO
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
FightIQ's public record lists Edmen Shahbazyan as its pick over Brunno Ferreira.
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · Dec
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Tom Feely expects Shahbazyan to manage range and win a decision.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 67.6% (23 hit, 11 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (14 hit, 7 miss, across 21 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (5 hit, 5 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · KO/TKO
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
MMA Lock of the Night picks Edmen Shahbazyan to counter Bruno Ferreira and win by knockout.
Track record: winner called in 85 of 126 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 67.5% (85 hit, 41 miss, across 126 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 59.5% (25 hit, 17 miss, across 42 method-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 126 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · KO/TKO
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
The MMA Guru transcript pick: Edmen Shahbazyan by KO/TKO.
“I'm going to say that Edmond gets this one done by TKO in the first two rounds.”
Track record: winner called in 213 of 322 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 66.1% (213 hit, 109 miss, across 322 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 method-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.9% (14 hit, 25 miss, across 39 round-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 47.4% (18 hit, 20 miss, across 38 underdog calls on 322 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Transcript-reviewed DFS By The Numbers selection.
“I'm going to take Edmond to win this fight by first round knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 112 of 173 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 64.7% (112 hit, 61 miss, across 173 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.0% (61 hit, 39 miss, across 100 method-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 38.3% (18 hit, 29 miss, across 47 round-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 underdog calls on 173 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · KO/TKO
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
MMA Husky Hustler transcript pick: Edmen Shahbazyan by KO/TKO.
“Give me Edmen Shahbazyan by knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 20 of 31 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 64.5% (20 hit, 11 miss, across 31 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (6 hit, 12 miss, across 18 method-scored calls on 31 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 31 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Picks Edmen Shahbazyan on durability, cardio, and footwork.
“I am going to pick Edmund because I do think the just general durability, the cardio and the footwork might be the difference.”
Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 64.1% (93 hit, 52 miss, across 145 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 145 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 34.5% (10 hit, 19 miss, across 29 underdog calls on 145 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · Dec
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
MMA JOEY picks Edmen Shahbazyan by decision, expecting Shahbazyan to use range and body work to outstrike Brunno Ferreira after surviving the early power.
“I'll say 2928 decision win for Edmond Shabbazian.”
Track record: winner called in 78 of 125 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 62.4% (78 hit, 47 miss, across 125 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.6% (27 hit, 31 miss, across 58 method-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.1% (9 hit, 23 miss, across 32 round-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 125 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · Dec
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Transcript-reviewed HopperoMMA selection.
“I'm going to go with Edmond Shabbazi to win this one by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 92 of 148 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 62.2% (92 hit, 56 miss, across 148 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.8% (45 hit, 29 miss, across 74 method-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 round-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 26.9% (7 hit, 19 miss, across 26 underdog calls on 148 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists James Lynch on Edmen Shahbazyan.
Track record: winner called in 36 of 59 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 61.0% (36 hit, 23 miss, across 59 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 45.0% (9 hit, 11 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 59 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · KO/TKO
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Lucrative James transcript pick: Edmen Shahbazyan by KO/TKO.
“I'm picking Edmen Shahbazyan for the knockout as my official prediction.”
Track record: winner called in 48 of 79 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 60.8% (48 hit, 31 miss, across 79 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.2% (26 hit, 22 miss, across 48 method-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 41.2% (7 hit, 10 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 79 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Once Upon A Slugfest transcript pick: Edmen Shahbazyan (winner only).
“I'm going with Edmen Shahbazyan.”
Track record: winner called in 6 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · Dec
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
MMAPG transcript pick: Edmen Shahbazyan by Decision.
“I'll say Edmond Chbazian via decision.”
Track record: winner called in 41 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 59.4% (41 hit, 28 miss, across 69 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.7% (15 hit, 11 miss, across 26 method-scored calls on 69 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 round-scored calls on 69 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 69 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
MMA Mathletes includes Edmen Shahbazyan in its UFC 331 full-card parlay.
Track record: winner called in 32 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (32 hit, 22 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · KO/TKO
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Transcript-reviewed Kunath selection.
“Give me the golden boy by KO.”
Track record: winner called in 38 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 58.5% (38 hit, 27 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 56.7% (17 hit, 13 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Transcript-reviewed We Want Picks selection.
“So, I have to pick Edmund here.”
Track record: winner called in 29 of 50 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 58.0% (29 hit, 21 miss, across 50 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 50 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Adam Martin on Edmen Shahbazyan.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 57.5% (23 hit, 17 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · Dec
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Anatoly Pimentel's BetMGM UFC 331 preview predicts Edmen Shahbazyan by decision.
Track record: winner called in 12 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 54.5% (12 hit, 10 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Written pick by Chris Schweppe.
Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · Dec
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Transcript-reviewed TonyHasDiedMMA selection.
“Give me Edmond Shabazi. And they get this one done by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 28 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 52.8% (28 hit, 25 miss, across 53 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.1% (8 hit, 9 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 71.4% (5 hit, 2 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 53 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists MikesMMAPicks on Edmen Shahbazyan.
Track record: winner called in 25 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 52.1% (25 hit, 23 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
The Die Hard MMA Podcast host picks Edmen Shahbazyan to win, while noting Bruno Ferreira as a live-bet alternative if Shahbazyan fades.
“I'm picking Edmond to win, but I don't love it.”
Track record: winner called in 7 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (7 hit, 7 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Nick Kalikas on Edmen Shahbazyan.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 47.9% (23 hit, 25 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan · Dec
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Bert MMA leans to Edmen Shahbazyan and says he is more likely to win by decision than by knockout.
“I can see an Edmen knockout, but I'm leaning more towards decision there.”
Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Transcript-reviewed Uselyis selection.
“Give me Edmen Shahbazyan. I think he should be able to edge this one out.”
Track record: winner called in 25 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 46.3% (25 hit, 29 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 7 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Edmen Shahbazyan.
Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
Picked: Edmen Shahbazyan
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Chris White on Edmen Shahbazyan.
Track record: winner called in 19 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 39.6% (19 hit, 29 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
Picked: Brunno Ferreira
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Action Network's UFC 331 article lists Billy Ward's pick as Brunno Ferreira at plus money.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 7 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 71.4% (5 hit, 2 miss, across 7 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 7 resolved calls).
Picked: Brunno Ferreira
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Lucas Tracy transcript pick: Brunno Ferreira.
“I am going to pick Brunno Ferreira.”
Track record: winner called in 44 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 67.7% (44 hit, 21 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.5% (10 hit, 6 miss, across 16 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 38.9% (7 hit, 11 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).
Picked: Brunno Ferreira
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
AJ picks Brunno Ferreira and expects a finish, but leaves the method unset because the discussion includes both knockout and submission routes.
“So, I'm going to say Bruno Ferrer gets the finish here. I think he beats Edmond Shabbazian.”
Track record: winner called in 175 of 264 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 66.3% (175 hit, 89 miss, across 264 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.7% (61 hit, 43 miss, across 104 method-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 77.8% (7 hit, 2 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (12 hit, 21 miss, across 33 underdog calls on 264 resolved calls).
Picked: Brunno Ferreira
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
138 MMA transcript pick: Brunno Ferreira.
“I'm gonna go with Bruno.”
Track record: winner called in 42 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 63.6% (42 hit, 24 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 43.8% (7 hit, 9 miss, across 16 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
Picked: Brunno Ferreira · Dec
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
GypMMA picks Brunno Ferreira by decision.
“I see him winning this via decision.”
Track record: winner called in 10 of 17 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 58.8% (10 hit, 7 miss, across 17 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 17 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 3 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 17 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 17 resolved calls).
Picked: Brunno Ferreira · Sub · Round 2
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
KingofCrackdown5095 picks Brunno Ferreira by second-round submission.
“I got Bruno Fie via second round submission.”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 63 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 58.7% (37 hit, 26 miss, across 63 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.6% (21 hit, 11 miss, across 32 method-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 42.1% (8 hit, 11 miss, across 19 round-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 63 resolved calls).
Picked: Brunno Ferreira
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Big Marcel (Marcel Dorff) on Edmen Shahbazyan.
Track record: winner called in 17 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 58.6% (17 hit, 12 miss, across 29 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.5% (6 hit, 5 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 29 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 29 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 29 resolved calls).
Picked: Brunno Ferreira · Sub
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Pure Picks transcript pick: Brunno Ferreira by submission.
“I'm going to go Bruno here by submission.”
Track record: winner called in 17 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 58.6% (17 hit, 12 miss, across 29 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 method-scored calls on 29 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 29 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 29 resolved calls).
Picked: Brunno Ferreira · Sub
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Artem MMA sees Shahbazyan as vulnerable to takedowns and picks Brunno Ferreira by submission.
“I'm going to side with Bruno Ferrer to go out against Evan Shabbazian and actually find an early submission victory.”
Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).
Picked: Brunno Ferreira
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
LF MMA picks Brunno Ferreira over Edmen Shahbazyan, citing Ferreira's power and grappling advantage.
“give me Bruno”
Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).
Picked: Brunno Ferreira
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Vreeland expects Ferreira's explosive power to produce more memorable damage and believes takedowns can create favorable positions against Shahbazyan.
Track record: winner called in 17 of 31 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 54.8% (17 hit, 14 miss, across 31 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 31 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 31 resolved calls).
Picked: Brunno Ferreira
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Cole Shelton on Edmen Shahbazyan.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).
Picked: Brunno Ferreira · KO/TKO
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Daniel Levy transcript pick: Brunno Ferreira by KO/TKO.
“I actually come out here and pick the underdog Bruno Ferrer to knock out Edmond Shabbazian.”
Track record: winner called in 58 of 109 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 53.2% (58 hit, 51 miss, across 109 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 71.4% (10 hit, 4 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 109 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 109 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 21.4% (6 hit, 22 miss, across 28 underdog calls on 109 resolved calls).
Picked: Brunno Ferreira
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Both hosts select Edmen Shahbazyan; the discussion includes an early-finish angle but no shared method call is recorded.
“So, Shabbazian for me.”
Track record: winner called in 23 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 51.1% (23 hit, 22 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).
Picked: Brunno Ferreira
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando on Edmen Shahbazyan.
Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
Picked: Brunno Ferreira
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Brunno Ferreira.
Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
Picked: Brunno Ferreira · KO/TKO
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Transcript-reviewed Punters Edge selection.
“I'm taking the underdog here by Bruno Fera to win this one by KO.”
Track record: winner called in 4 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Winner Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 3 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
No pick has been recorded.
Fight result: Edmen Shahbazyan · Decision
Official bet is fight does not start round three at -125; no winner is named.
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 5 resolved calls).
Analyst picks: UFC GamblingAddicts Hit; TheWagerZone ™ Hit; Couch Warrior Podcast Hit; MMA Tugg Hit; Dissection Of Violence Hit; Billy Ward Miss; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; FightIQ Hit; Lucas Tracy Miss; Tom Feely Hit; MMA Lock of the Night Hit; AJ Devito Miss; The MMA Guru Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; MMA Husky Hustler Hit; We Want Picks Hit; 138 MMA Miss; MMA JOEY Hit; HopperMMA Hit; James Lynch Hit; James Blissett Hit; Once Upon A Slugfest Hit; MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) Hit; MMA Mathletes Hit; GypMMA Miss; KingofCrackdown5095 Miss; Marcel Dorff Miss; Pure Picks Miss; Kunath Hit; Angelo Bodetti Hit; Artem MMA Miss; Adam Martin Hit; LF MMA Miss; Daniel Vreeland Miss; Anatoly Pimentel Hit; Chris Schweppe Hit; Cole Shelton Miss; Half The Battle Miss; TonyHasDiedMMA Hit; MikesMMAPicks Hit; Bookie Beatdown Miss; The Die Hard MMA Podcast Hit; Nick Kalikas Hit; Bert MMA Hit; Zain Bando Miss; Uselyis Hit; Andrew Sumian Hit; Matthew Petela Miss; Chris White Hit; Punters Edge Miss; NolanKnowsMMA no pick.
34 of 51 nailed it.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
| Expand row |
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The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Shahbazyan · Decision · R3
Closest probability ChatGPT and Gemini put 60% on Shahbazyan.
Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.
63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Shahbazyan
Most likely: Shahbazyan by KO/TKO, about 37 in 100
Win chance: Shahbazyan 60%, Ferreira 40%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Pick Shahbazyan
Most likely: Shahbazyan by KO/TKO, about 30 in 100
Win chance: Shahbazyan 58%, Ferreira 42%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
Pick Shahbazyan
Most likely: Shahbazyan by KO/TKO, about 36 in 100
Win chance: Shahbazyan 60%, Ferreira 40%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
3 of 3 models pick Shahbazyan.
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan: 60% (about 60 in 100 fights). Ferreira: 40%.
Claude
Shahbazyan: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Ferreira: 42%.
Gemini
Shahbazyan: 60% (about 60 in 100 fights). Ferreira: 40%.
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan by KO/TKO: 37% (about 37 in 100).
Claude
Shahbazyan by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).
Gemini
Shahbazyan by KO/TKO: 36% (about 36 in 100).
ChatGPT
1. Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (37%); 2. Ferreira by KO/TKO (23%); 3. Shahbazyan by decision (20%)
Claude
1. Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Shahbazyan by decision (25%); 2. Ferreira by KO/TKO (25%)
Gemini
1. Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (36%); 2. Ferreira by KO/TKO (24%); 3. Shahbazyan by decision (18%)
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Shahbazyan's 60% win chance.
Claude
6 of 10, based on Shahbazyan's 58% win chance.
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Shahbazyan's 60% win chance.
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 73%. Decision: 27%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 77%. Decision: 23%.
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan wins 60%: KO/TKO 37%, submission 3%, decision 20%.
Claude
Shahbazyan wins 58%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 3%, decision 25%.
Gemini
Shahbazyan wins 60%: KO/TKO 36%, submission 6%, decision 18%.
ChatGPT
Ferreira wins 40%: KO/TKO 23%, submission 10%, decision 7%.
Claude
Ferreira wins 42%: KO/TKO 25%, submission 2%, decision 15%.
Gemini
Ferreira wins 40%: KO/TKO 24%, submission 11%, decision 5%.
All models
The models agree: all 3 pick Shahbazyan.
ChatGPT
Result: Shahbazyan by decision, the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (37%).
Claude
Result: Shahbazyan by decision, the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (30%).
Gemini
Result: Shahbazyan by decision, the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (36%).
ChatGPT
20% (about 20 in 100).
Claude
25% (about 25 in 100).
Gemini
18% (about 18 in 100).
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 60%, submission 13%, decision 27%.
Claude
KO/TKO 55%, submission 5%, decision 40%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 60%, submission 17%, decision 23%.
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan: 40%, against 33% for Ferreira.
Claude
Shahbazyan: 33%, against 27% for Ferreira.
Gemini
Shahbazyan: 42%, against 35% for Ferreira.
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan: 40% (KO/TKO 37%, submission 3%). Ferreira: 33% (KO/TKO 23%, submission 10%).
Claude
Shahbazyan: 33% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 3%). Ferreira: 27% (KO/TKO 25%, submission 2%).
Gemini
Shahbazyan: 42% (KO/TKO 36%, submission 6%). Ferreira: 35% (KO/TKO 24%, submission 11%).
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan is knocked out in 23% and submitted in 10%. Ferreira is knocked out in 37% and submitted in 3%.
Claude
Shahbazyan is knocked out in 25% and submitted in 2%. Ferreira is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 3%.
Gemini
Shahbazyan is knocked out in 24% and submitted in 11%. Ferreira is knocked out in 36% and submitted in 6%.
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 60% vs 40%.
Claude
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Gemini
A clear favourite: 60% vs 40%.
ChatGPT
Ferreira wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Claude
Ferreira wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Gemini
Ferreira wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
ChatGPT
27%.
Claude
40%.
Gemini
23%.
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Shahbazyan 74%, Ferreira 26%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Shahbazyan 63%, Ferreira 38%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Shahbazyan 78%, Ferreira 22%.
Claude
Biggest difference: Ferreira by decision, 15% here against 6% on average for the others.
Gemini
Biggest difference: Ferreira by decision, 5% here against 11% on average for the others.
ChatGPT
Of 51 analyst picks, 34 back Shahbazyan and 17 back Ferreira. This model picks Shahbazyan (60%).
Claude
Of 51 analyst picks, 34 back Shahbazyan and 17 back Ferreira. This model picks Shahbazyan (58%).
Gemini
Of 51 analyst picks, 34 back Shahbazyan and 17 back Ferreira. This model picks Shahbazyan (60%).
All models
On Shahbazyan: ChatGPT and Gemini, tied (60%). On Ferreira: Claude (42%).
All models
Ferreira by decision: from 5% (Gemini) to 15% (Claude).
ChatGPT
On 18 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 18 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Gemini
On 18 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
All models
Claude, which gave the actual result 25%.
All models
Yes.
Pick
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Shahbazyan by KO/TKO, about 37 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 1.
Win chance: Shahbazyan 60%, Ferreira 40%.
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan: 60% (about 60 in 100 fights). Ferreira: 40%.
Claude
Shahbazyan: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Ferreira: 42%.
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan by KO/TKO: 37% (about 37 in 100).
Claude
Shahbazyan by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).
Gemini
Shahbazyan by KO/TKO: 36% (about 36 in 100).
ChatGPT
1. Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (37%); 2. Ferreira by KO/TKO (23%); 3. Shahbazyan by decision (20%)
Claude
1. Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Shahbazyan by decision (25%); 2. Ferreira by KO/TKO (25%)
Gemini
1. Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (36%); 2. Ferreira by KO/TKO (24%); 3. Shahbazyan by decision (18%)
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Shahbazyan's 60% win chance.
Claude
6 of 10, based on Shahbazyan's 58% win chance.
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 73%. Decision: 27%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 77%. Decision: 23%.
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan wins 60%: KO/TKO 37%, submission 3%, decision 20%.
Claude
Shahbazyan wins 58%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 3%, decision 25%.
Gemini
Shahbazyan wins 60%: KO/TKO 36%, submission 6%, decision 18%.
ChatGPT
Ferreira wins 40%: KO/TKO 23%, submission 10%, decision 7%.
Claude
Ferreira wins 42%: KO/TKO 25%, submission 2%, decision 15%.
Gemini
Ferreira wins 40%: KO/TKO 24%, submission 11%, decision 5%.
ChatGPT
The models agree: all 3 pick Shahbazyan.
ChatGPT
Result: Shahbazyan by decision, the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (37%).
Claude
Result: Shahbazyan by decision, the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (30%).
Gemini
Result: Shahbazyan by decision, the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (36%).
ChatGPT
20% (about 20 in 100).
Claude
25% (about 25 in 100).
Gemini
18% (about 18 in 100).
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 60%, submission 13%, decision 27%.
Claude
KO/TKO 55%, submission 5%, decision 40%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 60%, submission 17%, decision 23%.
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan: 40%, against 33% for Ferreira.
Claude
Shahbazyan: 33%, against 27% for Ferreira.
Gemini
Shahbazyan: 42%, against 35% for Ferreira.
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan: 40% (KO/TKO 37%, submission 3%). Ferreira: 33% (KO/TKO 23%, submission 10%).
Claude
Shahbazyan: 33% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 3%). Ferreira: 27% (KO/TKO 25%, submission 2%).
Gemini
Shahbazyan: 42% (KO/TKO 36%, submission 6%). Ferreira: 35% (KO/TKO 24%, submission 11%).
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan is knocked out in 23% and submitted in 10%. Ferreira is knocked out in 37% and submitted in 3%.
Claude
Shahbazyan is knocked out in 25% and submitted in 2%. Ferreira is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 3%.
Gemini
Shahbazyan is knocked out in 24% and submitted in 11%. Ferreira is knocked out in 36% and submitted in 6%.
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 60% vs 40%.
Claude
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
ChatGPT
Ferreira wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Claude
Ferreira wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
ChatGPT
27%.
Claude
40%.
Gemini
23%.
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Shahbazyan 74%, Ferreira 26%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Shahbazyan 63%, Ferreira 38%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Shahbazyan 78%, Ferreira 22%.
ChatGPT
Of 51 analyst picks, 34 back Shahbazyan and 17 back Ferreira. This model picks Shahbazyan (60%).
Claude
Of 51 analyst picks, 34 back Shahbazyan and 17 back Ferreira. This model picks Shahbazyan (58%).
ChatGPT
On Shahbazyan: ChatGPT and Gemini, tied (60%). On Ferreira: Claude (42%).
ChatGPT
Ferreira by decision: from 5% (Gemini) to 15% (Claude).
ChatGPT
On 18 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 18 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Gemini
On 18 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
ChatGPT
Claude, which gave the actual result 25%.
ChatGPT
Yes.
gpt-6-astra · 18 Sep63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Shahbazyan by KO/TKO, about 30 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 2.
Win chance: Shahbazyan 58%, Ferreira 42%.
Claude
Shahbazyan: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Ferreira: 42%.
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan: 60% (about 60 in 100 fights). Ferreira: 40%.
Gemini
Shahbazyan: 60% (about 60 in 100 fights). Ferreira: 40%.
Claude
Shahbazyan by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan by KO/TKO: 37% (about 37 in 100).
Gemini
Shahbazyan by KO/TKO: 36% (about 36 in 100).
Claude
1. Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Shahbazyan by decision (25%); 2. Ferreira by KO/TKO (25%)
ChatGPT
1. Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (37%); 2. Ferreira by KO/TKO (23%); 3. Shahbazyan by decision (20%)
Gemini
1. Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (36%); 2. Ferreira by KO/TKO (24%); 3. Shahbazyan by decision (18%)
Claude
6 of 10, based on Shahbazyan's 58% win chance.
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Shahbazyan's 60% win chance.
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Shahbazyan's 60% win chance.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 73%. Decision: 27%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 77%. Decision: 23%.
Claude
Shahbazyan wins 58%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 3%, decision 25%.
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan wins 60%: KO/TKO 37%, submission 3%, decision 20%.
Gemini
Shahbazyan wins 60%: KO/TKO 36%, submission 6%, decision 18%.
Claude
Ferreira wins 42%: KO/TKO 25%, submission 2%, decision 15%.
ChatGPT
Ferreira wins 40%: KO/TKO 23%, submission 10%, decision 7%.
Gemini
Ferreira wins 40%: KO/TKO 24%, submission 11%, decision 5%.
Claude
The models agree: all 3 pick Shahbazyan.
Claude
Result: Shahbazyan by decision, the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (30%).
ChatGPT
Result: Shahbazyan by decision, the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (37%).
Gemini
Result: Shahbazyan by decision, the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (36%).
Claude
25% (about 25 in 100).
ChatGPT
20% (about 20 in 100).
Gemini
18% (about 18 in 100).
Claude
KO/TKO 55%, submission 5%, decision 40%.
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 60%, submission 13%, decision 27%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 60%, submission 17%, decision 23%.
Claude
Shahbazyan: 33%, against 27% for Ferreira.
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan: 40%, against 33% for Ferreira.
Gemini
Shahbazyan: 42%, against 35% for Ferreira.
Claude
Shahbazyan: 33% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 3%). Ferreira: 27% (KO/TKO 25%, submission 2%).
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan: 40% (KO/TKO 37%, submission 3%). Ferreira: 33% (KO/TKO 23%, submission 10%).
Gemini
Shahbazyan: 42% (KO/TKO 36%, submission 6%). Ferreira: 35% (KO/TKO 24%, submission 11%).
Claude
Shahbazyan is knocked out in 25% and submitted in 2%. Ferreira is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 3%.
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan is knocked out in 23% and submitted in 10%. Ferreira is knocked out in 37% and submitted in 3%.
Gemini
Shahbazyan is knocked out in 24% and submitted in 11%. Ferreira is knocked out in 36% and submitted in 6%.
Claude
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 60% vs 40%.
Gemini
A clear favourite: 60% vs 40%.
Claude
Ferreira wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
ChatGPT
Ferreira wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Gemini
Ferreira wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Claude
40%.
ChatGPT
27%.
Gemini
23%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Shahbazyan 63%, Ferreira 38%.
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Shahbazyan 74%, Ferreira 26%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Shahbazyan 78%, Ferreira 22%.
Claude
Biggest difference: Ferreira by decision, 15% here against 6% on average for the others.
Gemini
Biggest difference: Ferreira by decision, 5% here against 11% on average for the others.
Claude
Of 51 analyst picks, 34 back Shahbazyan and 17 back Ferreira. This model picks Shahbazyan (58%).
ChatGPT
Of 51 analyst picks, 34 back Shahbazyan and 17 back Ferreira. This model picks Shahbazyan (60%).
Gemini
Of 51 analyst picks, 34 back Shahbazyan and 17 back Ferreira. This model picks Shahbazyan (60%).
Claude
On Shahbazyan: ChatGPT and Gemini, tied (60%). On Ferreira: Claude (42%).
Claude
Ferreira by decision: from 5% (Gemini) to 15% (Claude).
Claude
On 18 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
ChatGPT
On 18 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Gemini
On 18 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
Claude
Claude, which gave the actual result 25%.
Claude
Yes.
claude-sonnet-5 · 18 Sep61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Pick
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Shahbazyan by KO/TKO, about 36 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 1.
Win chance: Shahbazyan 60%, Ferreira 40%.
Gemini
Shahbazyan: 60% (about 60 in 100 fights). Ferreira: 40%.
Claude
Shahbazyan: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Ferreira: 42%.
Gemini
Shahbazyan by KO/TKO: 36% (about 36 in 100).
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan by KO/TKO: 37% (about 37 in 100).
Claude
Shahbazyan by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).
Gemini
1. Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (36%); 2. Ferreira by KO/TKO (24%); 3. Shahbazyan by decision (18%)
ChatGPT
1. Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (37%); 2. Ferreira by KO/TKO (23%); 3. Shahbazyan by decision (20%)
Claude
1. Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Shahbazyan by decision (25%); 2. Ferreira by KO/TKO (25%)
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Shahbazyan's 60% win chance.
Claude
6 of 10, based on Shahbazyan's 58% win chance.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 77%. Decision: 23%.
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 73%. Decision: 27%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.
Gemini
Shahbazyan wins 60%: KO/TKO 36%, submission 6%, decision 18%.
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan wins 60%: KO/TKO 37%, submission 3%, decision 20%.
Claude
Shahbazyan wins 58%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 3%, decision 25%.
Gemini
Ferreira wins 40%: KO/TKO 24%, submission 11%, decision 5%.
ChatGPT
Ferreira wins 40%: KO/TKO 23%, submission 10%, decision 7%.
Claude
Ferreira wins 42%: KO/TKO 25%, submission 2%, decision 15%.
Gemini
The models agree: all 3 pick Shahbazyan.
Gemini
Result: Shahbazyan by decision, the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (36%).
ChatGPT
Result: Shahbazyan by decision, the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (37%).
Claude
Result: Shahbazyan by decision, the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Shahbazyan by KO/TKO (30%).
Gemini
18% (about 18 in 100).
ChatGPT
20% (about 20 in 100).
Claude
25% (about 25 in 100).
Gemini
KO/TKO 60%, submission 17%, decision 23%.
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 60%, submission 13%, decision 27%.
Claude
KO/TKO 55%, submission 5%, decision 40%.
Gemini
Shahbazyan: 42%, against 35% for Ferreira.
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan: 40%, against 33% for Ferreira.
Claude
Shahbazyan: 33%, against 27% for Ferreira.
Gemini
Shahbazyan: 42% (KO/TKO 36%, submission 6%). Ferreira: 35% (KO/TKO 24%, submission 11%).
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan: 40% (KO/TKO 37%, submission 3%). Ferreira: 33% (KO/TKO 23%, submission 10%).
Claude
Shahbazyan: 33% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 3%). Ferreira: 27% (KO/TKO 25%, submission 2%).
Gemini
Shahbazyan is knocked out in 24% and submitted in 11%. Ferreira is knocked out in 36% and submitted in 6%.
ChatGPT
Shahbazyan is knocked out in 23% and submitted in 10%. Ferreira is knocked out in 37% and submitted in 3%.
Claude
Shahbazyan is knocked out in 25% and submitted in 2%. Ferreira is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 3%.
Gemini
A clear favourite: 60% vs 40%.
Claude
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Gemini
Ferreira wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Claude
Ferreira wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Gemini
23%.
ChatGPT
27%.
Claude
40%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Shahbazyan 78%, Ferreira 22%.
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Shahbazyan 74%, Ferreira 26%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Shahbazyan 63%, Ferreira 38%.
Gemini
Biggest difference: Ferreira by decision, 5% here against 11% on average for the others.
Claude
Biggest difference: Ferreira by decision, 15% here against 6% on average for the others.
Gemini
Of 51 analyst picks, 34 back Shahbazyan and 17 back Ferreira. This model picks Shahbazyan (60%).
Claude
Of 51 analyst picks, 34 back Shahbazyan and 17 back Ferreira. This model picks Shahbazyan (58%).
Gemini
On Shahbazyan: ChatGPT and Gemini, tied (60%). On Ferreira: Claude (42%).
Gemini
Ferreira by decision: from 5% (Gemini) to 15% (Claude).
Gemini
On 18 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
ChatGPT
On 18 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 18 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
Gemini
Claude, which gave the actual result 25%.
Gemini
Yes.
Version not reported · 18 Sep68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET
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