DFS By The Numbers

Argues Montenegro hits harder and carries more grappling upside, enough to outweigh Benouaich's home crowd.

“I'll go Sofia for the upset in this one to win by decision.”

▶ Hear it — 4:02 View this fight →

Expects Campbell's wrestling and ground-and-pound to control Peek, whose takedown defence he calls a major hole.

“give me Kurtis Campbell to win. Kurtis Campbell to win this fight by decision.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.6% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 17:40 View this fight →

Frames it as grappler against striker and gives Lima more paths to win than a Charriere who lets fights slip.

“go Felipe Lima to win this fight. I'll take Felipe Lima to win this fight by decision.”

▶ Hear it — 21:46 View this fight →

Questions Cornolle being favoured coming off a shoulder injury, and backs Syguła's youth and striking volume.

“I'm picking Sigula by decision.”

▶ Hear it — 46:59 View this fight →

Rates Donchenko's striking volume and body work higher, and doubts Soriano's cardio if the wrestling does not pay off.

“going to go Donchenko here. I'll take him to win this fight by decision.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 19:17 View this fight →

Impressed by Duclos' power, kicks and clinch work, and expects Dias' cardio to fade as the fight extends.

“Duclo to win by second round knockout.”

▶ Hear it — 14:40 View this fight →

Sees Parnasse as the complete package in his athletic prime against an ageing, frequently finished Hooker.

“Give me Give me Saladin Parnasse to win this fight. I'll take him this to win this fight by third round knockout.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 32:11 View this fight →

Expects Keita's forward pressure to exploit a low-volume, back-footed Naimov.

“Keita to win this fight by decision, pressure, land big shots, outwork Naimov, and I'll win this fight on the scorecards.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.3% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 24:15 View this fight →

Doubts Ruziboev can close distance on Page's defence, leaving a low-action decision.

“I'll go page to win a boring decision here.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 26:57 View this fight →

Sees Pinto as younger, faster and the better striker against a defensively loose Spann.

“I'll go Mario Pinto to win this fight and win it by decision here.”

▶ Hear it — 8:58 View this fight →

Expects Sy to simply do more over fifteen minutes than a low-output Bukauskas.

“I'll take Omar Sy to win this fight. I'll take him to win this fight by decision.”

▶ Hear it — 6:36 View this fight →

Expects Sola's cardio to fade after the first round while Ziam's cleaner defence and grappling take over.

“decision. So, give me Far as I'm to win and win by decision.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 30:08 View this fight →

Picks Kai Asakura by knockout but allows either of the opening two rounds.

“I think Asakura wins by knockout, KO one, two.”

▶ Hear it — 10:17 View this fight →

Picks Andre Lima by submission as a live plus-money bet.

“I took a shot on Lima by submission. Lima by submission plus 400.”

▶ Hear it — 7:36 View this fight →

Picks Bilal Hasan while reserving the exact finish-or-decision outcome.

“Hasan should get it done.”

▶ Hear it — 8:26 View this fight →

Picks Julia Polastri, contingent on her showing up to perform.

“I like Polastri to win. She should win as long as she shows up.”

▶ Hear it — 2:53 View this fight →

Makes Lawrence Lui by submission the featured bet.

“For the best bet show, I'll go Lawrence Lui by submission at plus 400.”

▶ Hear it — 3:16 View this fight →

Picks Umar Nurmagomedov without committing to a finish or decision.

“I think Umar gets it done.”

▶ Hear it — 11:16 View this fight →

Picks Sumudaerji by decision after flipping the selection.

“I'm flipping my pick to Sumudaerji. If Sumudaerji wins, I think it's by decision and that's my pick.”

▶ Hear it — 9:41 View this fight →

Picks Rei Tsuruya and expects an early finish without committing to one exact outcome.

“I think it's Tsuruya here. I think it's done in rounds one or rounds two.”

▶ Hear it — 6:17 View this fight →

Picks Liu Ce to knock out Levi Rodrigues Jr. early, citing Ce's toughness, length and power in a likely trading fight.

“Give me Liu Ce to win this fight.”

▶ Hear it — 6:50 View this fight →

Picks Jack Jenkins by decision, noting routes through leg kicks, power, and grappling.

“I'm going to take Jack Jenkins for the upset.”

▶ Hear it — 23:08 View this fight →

Picks Cam Nelson on the strength of his hands and power against Ding Meng's defence.

“I'm actually going to take Cam Nelson.”

▶ Hear it — 11:12 View this fight →

Picks Denise Gomes by decision as the younger, improving fighter with power and grappling routes.

“I'm going to take Denise Gomes for the upset.”

▶ Hear it — 27:23 View this fight →

Expects Orolbai's strength and grappling to wear Wells down before a late submission; flags Wells's takedown defense and cardio.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 3:26 View this fight →

Expects a competitive opening before a sloppy Luque takedown lets Gore catch a guillotine.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.01 — (50% − 49.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 5:51 View this fight →

Rates Fernando as the better all-round fighter, especially at range and to the body, with more proven competition.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 7:16 View this fight →

Sees Brahimaj's early submission threat as the path before his cardio becomes a factor.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 11:24 View this fight →

After correcting an earlier captioned slip, explicitly settles on Johnson by first-round knockout.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 13:11 View this fight →

Favors Fernandes's leg kicks and durability against Turner's cardio and recent finishing losses.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 48.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 15:33 View this fight →

Favors Álvarez as more reliable under adversity and ultimately selects a decision despite acknowledging multiple methods are possible.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 17:53 View this fight →

Favors Abdul-Malik's athleticism and striking over Stoltzfus's defense, while noting concern over Abdul-Malik's urgency.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 19:40 View this fight →

Expects Ribovics's pressure and chin to exploit Barboza's declining durability.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 21:44 View this fight →

Gives Dern a pronounced striking and grappling edge, while allowing that several methods are possible.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 24:12 View this fight →

Calls Garry a live major underdog based on his range, striking, takedown defense and ability to stand back up.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 26.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 27:34 View this fight →

Takes Gamrot to win a decision.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 42.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 29:20 View this fight →

Wants Ferreira by first-round knockout specifically.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 26:49 View this fight →

Calls this the easiest matchup on the card for the favourite and wants the first-round knockout specifically.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 10:38 View this fight →

Takes Miller but expects it to go to the scorecards rather than a finish.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 12:13 View this fight →

Takes Thainara on the scorecards.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 23:29 View this fight →

Calls Sutherland the rightful favourite and takes him by decision.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 16:27 View this fight →

Wants Nurgozhay by first-round knockout.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 14:29 View this fight →

Takes Asplund by second-round knockout.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 22:09 View this fight →

Takes Sousa by second-round knockout.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 4:44 View this fight →

Takes Miller by first-round submission.

▶ Hear it — 19:13 View this fight →

Calls Medic a 100%-finish-rate killer with dynamite in his hands, and says Rodriguez at almost 40 has too much tread on the tires, pointing to him being badly hurt by a compromised Kevin Holland.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 40:33 View this fight →

Not in love with Stirling and criticises his fight IQ against Cutelaba, but the 15-year age gap, higher volume, speed, cardio and takedown defence beat a 43-year-old, damaged Blachowicz.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 37:16 View this fight →

Frames it as the battle of who is least washed — Rakic has not won in five years, but he is the more skilled striker with better takedown defence against a Tybura who looks horrible.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 29:21 View this fight →

Takes the underdog: says Valentin has poor striking defence, roughly 50% takedown defence and looks bad off his back, while Todorovic is the more skilled fighter whose only real flaw is his chin.

“Give me Dusko Todorovic to win this fight by second round TKO.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 32:15 View this fight →

Warns that Cepo has one of the worst ground games he has seen and that Urbina genuinely has a grappling path, but rates Urbina as chinny with horrible fight IQ.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 35:21 View this fight →

Describes Oliveira as terrifying and impossible to take down, marching opponents down and breaking them, while Elliott is on back-to-back losses and has been finished repeatedly.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 15:44 View this fight →

Says Klein is younger, more durable and better everywhere, while Musayev is 36-plus with 30 fights and waning durability, and predicts Klein finally uses the grappling in his back pocket.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 22:34 View this fight →

His least favourite fight on the card. Grad is a BJJ black belt who throws more volume, lands the bigger shots and can mix in takedowns, so he takes Grad on activity rather than a finish.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 19:53 View this fight →

Takes Ankalaev to use the cleaner, more defensively sound game and clinch/ground control over five rounds against short-notice Guskov.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 29:27 View this fight →

Takes Erceg as the better minute-winner through striking, grappling and cardio if he avoids Temirov's early power.

▶ Hear it — 27:36 View this fight →

Expects Patterson's power to catch the forward-moving Ponzinibbio for a first-round knockout.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 11:48 View this fight →

Backs Kuniev's cardio, volume and control of where the fight takes place over three rounds.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 20:25 View this fight →

Takes Sola's cardio and pressure to break Bonfim down for a late knockout.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 9:50 View this fight →

Calls Walker's familiar heel-hook route for a first-round submission.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 16:22 View this fight →

Expects Tuchalov to exploit Ribeiro's defensive grappling weakness for a first-round submission.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 8:12 View this fight →

Backs Zaynukov's broader striking and grappling tools to carry a decision over the durable Rzepecki.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 22:38 View this fight →

Takes Aliev to bank takedowns and control against Davis over three rounds.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 6:24 View this fight →

Favors Jacoby's higher-level experience, kickboxing, kicks, volume and cardio over Saidov's puncher's chance.

▶ Hear it — 14:06 View this fight →

Backs Hussein's power, wrestling and grappling against a 38-year-old Gibson he sees as hittable, slowing down and prone to ground mistakes.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 84.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 3:43 View this fight →

Takes Barbosa to use her physical grappling edge against the short-notice newcomer.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 83.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 3:15 View this fight →

Leans Delgado because his size and striking should offset Bashi's grappling path.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 44.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.11 — (50% − 44.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 7:57 View this fight →

Takes Duncan on durability and finishing upside against the accumulated damage on Cannonier.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 74.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 21:52 View this fight →

Rates Coria as a clear level above Nicoll in pressure, output and wrestling resistance.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 88.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 9:43 View this fight →

Backs Du Plessis to produce the bigger striking moments and doubts Usman can sustain control.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 22:49 View this fight →

Takes Hines on his UFC experience, cardio and more reliable all-around game.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 50.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 15:57 View this fight →

Takes Hooper if he uses the grappling advantage rather than lingering in striking exchanges.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.2% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 14:11 View this fight →

Takes Montes because one grappling exchange can expose his proven front-choke game.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 35.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 19:18 View this fight →

Takes Kline as the stronger all-around prospect, particularly in the striking exchanges.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 16:49 View this fight →

Takes Rodrigues based on the more convincing striking, power and cardio from the regional tape.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 12:10 View this fight →

Calls the Lebosnoyani upset, valuing his grappling threats, power and durability over Ko's wrestling-led form.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 39.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.21 — (50% − 39.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 5:35 View this fight →

Backs Cortez to win the grappling exchanges. He argues Wang Cong is most vulnerable on the mat, while Cortez can close distance, get takedowns and bank enough control time to take a decision.

“Give me Cortez. Cortez by decision.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 46.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 9:58 View this fight →

Still trusts Whittaker as the sharper striker at 205. He thinks Krylov has moved away from the wrestling that made him dangerous and now gives Whittaker enough clean striking looks to finish him in round two.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 13:20 View this fight →

Takes Riley because his shots should be the more damaging and eye-catching work. He respects Kamaka's toughness and expects him to survive all three rounds, but not to outscore Riley's power.

“I'm going Luke Riley. I'll go damage-based, power-based decision.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 15:13 View this fight →

Views Ellison as badly overmatched once Steveson wrestles. He points to Ellison's defensive gaps and cardio concerns, expecting Steveson's Olympic-level grappling and top pressure to produce a fast stoppage.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 89.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 18:36 View this fight →

Leans to Yanez because Garbrandt has become low-volume and chin-conscious. He expects Yanez's forward pressure, boxing volume and power to eventually find Cody in the second round.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 20:35 View this fight →

Picks Gandra to force a short, violent fight. He expects Gandra to pressure forward, stuff Reese's takedown attempts and hurt him with power before the matchup can settle into a longer contest.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 55.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 22:24 View this fight →

Takes Pinas to be the first fighter to knock Almeida out. He acknowledges Almeida has never been stopped by strikes, but believes Pinas' power and aggression can break that trend early.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 25:05 View this fight →

Trusts Kavanagh's boxing and power against Royval's hittable style. He thinks Royval's chin will be there to touch repeatedly, giving Kavanagh enough opportunities to land the finishing shot.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 68.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 30:45 View this fight →

Calls it extremely close but sides with Bautista's wrestling, grappling and takedown threat. He likes Sandhagen's striking, yet thinks Bautista can bank enough control and blunt enough output to edge the cards.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 42.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.15 — (50% − 42.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 32:59 View this fight →

Backs Pimblett as the more durable and more opportunistic finisher in chaotic exchanges. He expects Saint Denis to leave necks or arms exposed while forcing grappling scrambles, giving Pimblett a second-round submission opening.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 46.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.07 — (50% − 46.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 37:39 View this fight →

Gives McGregor only a brief early puncher's chance after the long layoff. He expects Holloway's pressure and volume to take over quickly, wearing McGregor down and finishing him in round two.

“I'm going Max Holloway. Second round KO.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 40:32 View this fight →

DFS leans Abdullayev because he is the natural welterweight, the local-side fighter, and has the physicality to survive Nascimento's pocket exchanges before finding top control or ground-and-pound.

• Flags Nascimento fighting again on a quick turnaround
• Calls the bout a low-confidence prospect fight

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 42.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.15 — (50% − 42.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 14:44

DFS prefers Matsumoto by decision behind pressure, volume, cardio, and wrestling looks if his chin holds up over fifteen minutes.

• Matsumoto can mix takedowns
• Almakhan needs the big power moment

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 3:40

DFS expects Donchenko's elbows and danger in exchanges to catch Berggren and finish him in the second round.

• Berggren has not been knocked out before
• Donchenko has the heavier damage tools

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 5:51

DFS takes Reyes by knockout, arguing Ofli is hittable and Reyes brings the more dangerous finishing threat on the feet.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 8:18

DFS takes Pulyaev as an upset decision, expecting him to make the fight ugly at range and survive Ruziboev's dangerous moments.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 37.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 10:33

DFS picks Yakhyaev to win quickly by first-round submission, framing Walker as a favorable matchup for Yakhyaev's early grappling.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 83.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 12:12

DFS goes with Hasanov in a greasy decision, siding with the hometown fighter's control path despite respecting Nolan's power.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 15:20

DFS ultimately picks Abus by submission, seeing his wrestling and grappling as the clearest route even though Oleksiejczuk's pressure makes the under interesting.

▶ Hear it — 18:36 View this fight →

DFS takes Aliskerov by decision, expecting him to choose grappling rather than trade with Ferreira and use more ways to win over three rounds.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 20:39 View this fight →

DFS is tired of trying to solve Johnson fights and backs Almabayev's wrestling to expose Johnson's grappling hole over three rounds.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 21:43 View this fight →

DFS expects Sadykhov to push Camilo until the gas tank breaks, then knock him out in the second round in a fight-of-the-night style brawl.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 25:57 View this fight →

DFS takes Shara by decision in his lowest-confidence pick, mostly fading Pereira's current cardio, urgency and recent form.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 27:53 View this fight →

DFS picks Torres, reading the career trajectories in opposite directions and expecting Torres to land the bigger shot while Fiziev is still vulnerable from recent damage.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 50.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 30:50 View this fight →

He expects Chimaev to wrestle immediately, force Strickland into defensive scrambles, and find the back before the fight can settle into a long striking match.

“So I'm going Hamzat Chimaev. I'm going to take him to win this fight by first round submission.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 28:38 View this fight →

He sees the fight turning on grappling control: if Taira can get his wrestling going and force back-take sequences, Van's boxing edge never has time to matter.

“Give me Tatsuro Taira. I'll take Taira to win this fight by second round submission.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 26:28

He thinks Cortes-Acosta needs a knockout to win, while Volkov's size, output and broader skill set carry the minutes if he stays disciplined.

“Give me Volkov to win this fight by decision.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 24:42

He gives Stephens some one-shot danger, but expects Green's cleaner minute-winning boxing and greater current activity to carry a points win.

“For me it's Green and I think it's Green probably by decision.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 19:53

DFS leans Ochoa by decision because his damage, bigger moments and offensive tools should outweigh Carpenter's takedown control.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 3:16

DFS says this should be Susurkaev because he is better everywhere, but expects a decision if he coasts and plays around instead of forcing a finish.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 4:41

DFS takes Sabatini by second-round submission, arguing Gomis has been put in bad grappling spots and Sabatini's neck attacks are much more dangerous.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 7:11

DFS takes Tulio by decision, citing volume, cage-pushing and grappling upside against a Kopylov who has struggled with pressure.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 9:11

DFS takes Gordon on the scorecards, saying he should be the minute-winner wherever the fight goes unless Miller lands an early finish.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 10:29

DFS leans Dawson, expecting takedowns and top control to exhaust Rebecki and potentially produce a late ground-and-pound finish.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 12:31

DFS likes Alvarez as a live dog and picks the finish, arguing his improved takedown defense and knockout threat give him the higher-upside path.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 36.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 15:38

DFS expects Gautier to regain hype against an opponent who will come forward enough to be hit, with a finish the likeliest outcome.

▶ Hear it — 17:26

He expects Ulberg to look competitive early, but sees Prochazka's pressure and durability flipping the fight once Jiri starts marching him down in round two.

“I'll take Jiri Prochazka to win this fight by second round knockout.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 38:54 View this fight →