Final · 18 Jul 2026

Coria def. Nicoll

Dec · unanimous · 5:00

Coria vs Nicoll — Flyweight · UFC Fight Night

Coria (12-3-0) vs Nicoll (8-3-0)

Flyweight
3 rounds
Preliminary Card
UFC Fight Night • 18 Jul 2026
Oklahoma City, Oklahoma

What happened

Coria won the striking exchanges decisively in the first and never let that pattern change. Each time Nicoll reached for the grappling Coria escaped and countered with significant strikes, and the same story repeated across all three rounds. The win pushed his winning streak to four and his unbeaten run to seven, on cards of 30-27, 30-27, 29-28.

Judges' scorecards
  • 30-27
  • 30-27
  • 29-28

Play-by-play source: UFC.com · UFC Oklahoma City results

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Result
Coria def. Nicoll
Dec
Consensus

Caller scorecard: Adam Martin called it; Marcel Dorff called it; Ben Duffy perfect call; Keith Shillan perfect call; AJ called it; Mike Finch called it; Half The Battle called it; DFS By The Numbers called it; JakeGerberMMA called it; James Lynch called it.

10 of 10 nailed it · 2 nailed the finish ★.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Full analyst picks ↓
Adam Martin AnalystBetting desk called 8 of 9 Adam Martin: predicted Coria · KO/TKO · R1. Actual Coria · Dec. Result: Hit.

Calls Coria an obvious first-round knockout pick.

Hear it — 6:32 Adam Martin’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 8 of 9 resolved picks, 6 a perfect call.

Marcel Dorff Analyst called 7 of 9 Marcel Dorff: predicted Coria · KO/TKO · R1. Actual Coria · Dec. Result: Hit.

Agrees with the Coria first-round knockout pick.

Hear it — 6:38 Marcel Dorff’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 7 of 9 resolved picks, 5 a perfect call.

Ben Duffy Analyst called 9 of 10 Ben Duffy: predicted Coria · Decision. Actual Coria · Dec. Result: Perfect call.

Expects Coria's middle-distance boxing to punish Nicoll over three rounds, while stopping short of the price implied by the betting line.

Hear it — 26:42 Ben Duffy’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 9 of 10 resolved picks, 6 a perfect call.

Keith Shillan Analyst called 8 of 10 Keith Shillan: predicted Coria · Decision. Actual Coria · Dec. Result: Perfect call.

Rates Coria as the bigger, better boxer and expects Nicoll's toughness to carry the bout to a decision.

Hear it — 23:47 Keith Shillan’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 8 of 10 resolved picks, 6 a perfect call.

AJ Betting deskAnalyst called 24 of 30 AJ: predicted Coria · KO/TKO. Actual Coria · Dec. Result: Hit.

Calls Coria by knockout, expecting his straight shots to break through against Nicoll.

Hear it — 14:39 AJ on YouTube ↗ AJ’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 24 of 30 resolved picks, 15 a perfect call.

Mike Finch Betting deskAnalyst called 19 of 31 Mike Finch: predicted Coria · KO/TKO. Actual Coria · Dec. Result: Hit.

Expects Coria's well-rounded edge to become a stoppage against the outmatched Nicoll.

Hear it — 59:08 Mike Finch’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 19 of 31 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.

Half The Battle Analyst called 12 of 19 Half The Battle: predicted Coria · to win. Actual Coria · Dec. Result: Hit.

Takes Coria to dominate Nicoll, citing Coria's clear standing in the matchup and Nicoll's lack of UFC success.

Hear it — 38:20 Half The Battle on YouTube ↗ Half The Battle’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 12 of 19 resolved picks, 2 a perfect call.

DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 32 of 47 DFS By The Numbers: predicted Coria · to win. Actual Coria · Dec. Result: Hit.

Rates Coria as a clear level above Nicoll in pressure, output and wrestling resistance.

Hear it — 9:43 DFS By The Numbers on YouTube ↗ DFS By The Numbers’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 32 of 47 resolved picks, 13 a perfect call.

JakeGerberMMA Analyst called 8 of 10 JakeGerberMMA: predicted Coria · to win. Actual Coria · Dec. Result: Hit.

Takes Coria's better boxing and body work to separate him from Nicoll.

Hear it — 9:40 JakeGerberMMA on YouTube ↗ JakeGerberMMA’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 8 of 10 resolved picks.

James Lynch Analyst called 9 of 10 James Lynch: predicted Coria · to win. Actual Coria · Dec. Result: Hit.

Picks Coria and expects a second-round stoppage, while questioning the extreme betting price.

Hear it — 5:06 James Lynch on YouTube ↗ James Lynch’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 9 of 10 resolved picks.

Odds

How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.

Market read · 7 sportsbooks

88% Alden Coria
12% Stewart Nicoll

Favoured: Coria (88%) Called it

Coria def. Nicoll · Dec

Final pre-fight line · as of 18 Jul 21:30 UTC · 7 sportsbooks · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab)

Archive

Pre-fight material — kept for transparency, folded by default.

Tale of the Tape

Records & career stats — as they entered fight night
Coria vs Nicoll
Coria Nicoll
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 4.69 3.63
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 70% 50%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 2.40 5.84
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 71% 29%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 75% 88%
12-3-0
Record
8-3-0
4-0 (1 NC) last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2-3 last 5
28
Age
31
1.73 m
Height — Coria leads
1.65 m
170 cm
Reach — Coria leads
166 cm
Orthodox
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Orthodox
75%
Finish rateFinish % — Nicoll leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
88%
5
Wins by KO/TKOKO/TKO wins — Coria leads
4
4
Wins by submissionSub wins — Coria leads
3
4.69
Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / min — Coria leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.63
2.40
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / min — Coria leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
5.84
70%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Coria leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
50%
71%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Coria leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
29%
12:54
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
09:12
United States
Nationality
Australia
4oz Fight Club, Aztlan Boxing
Team
Team Compton Training Centre

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Coria

Coria is the cleaner, more defensively sound fighter and trending up — 4-0 in his last five (one no-contest), with a debut win over Alessandro Costa, the same man who stopped Nicoll. His 70% striking defense and boxing should keep him out of the wild exchanges Nicoll needs.

Case for Nicoll

Nicoll's only path is chaos and finishing — 88% of his wins come inside the distance, and if he can turn this into a scramble he is live. But he is 0-3 in the UFC and coming off a stoppage, so he must find the finish before Coria's craft banks the rounds.

What We Were Watching For

  • Shared Costa read: Coria beat Alessandro Costa; Nicoll was stopped by him — the clearest form line on the card.
  • Coria's defense against Nicoll's finishing bursts: can Nicoll drag him into the mud, or does Coria box from range?
  • Nicoll's UFC skid: 0-3 in the Octagon — is the regional finishing game still there against better competition?
  • Rounds vs stoppage: Coria wants a clean decision, Nicoll needs an early finish — the pace tells you who is winning.

Fighters

Alden Coria
12-3-0 · Flyweight · Cobra
View profile →
Stewart Nicoll
8-3-0 · Flyweight · Kakamora
View profile →

Reader thread

Reader takes

Public fan takes, kept separate from FightCardIQ analysis and held to moderation.

Comments are currently closed while we finish moderation and privacy controls.

Independent fan-made fight recap. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Privacy · Terms.