Alden Coria defeats Stewart Nicoll by unanimous decision
Coria vs Nicoll — Flyweight · Du Plessis vs. Usman
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Coria took the striking exchanges clearly in round one while defending Nicoll's wrestling.
Every Nicoll grappling attempt ended with Coria escaping and countering with significant strikes.
Coria kept control of the scrambles through all three rounds to cruise to the decision.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Oklahoma City preliminary results
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Analyst picks: Adam Martin Hit; Marcel Dorff Hit; Ben Duffy Hit; Keith Shillan Hit; AJ Hit; Mike Finch Hit; Half The Battle Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; James Lynch Hit; The MMA Guru Hit.
All 11 analyst scorecardsWinner, method and round results11 scored · 11 hits · 0 misses
| Predicted by | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Coria · KO/TKO · R1 | Coria · Dec | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
| Calls Coria an obvious first-round knockout pick. Track record: winner called in 14 of 17 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Coria · KO/TKO · R1 | Coria · Dec | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
| Agrees with the Coria first-round knockout pick. Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Coria · Dec | Coria · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Expects Coria's middle-distance boxing to punish Nicoll over three rounds, while stopping short of the price implied by the betting line. Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Coria · Dec | Coria · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Rates Coria as the bigger, better boxer and expects Nicoll's toughness to carry the bout to a decision. Track record: winner called in 11 of 15 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Coria · KO/TKO | Coria · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Calls Coria by knockout, expecting his straight shots to break through against Nicoll. Track record: winner called in 75 of 109 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Coria · KO/TKO | Coria · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Expects Coria's well-rounded edge to become a stoppage against the outmatched Nicoll. Track record: winner called in 30 of 49 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Coria · to win | Coria · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Takes Coria to dominate Nicoll, citing Coria's clear standing in the matchup and Nicoll's lack of UFC success. Track record: winner called in 40 of 60 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Coria · to win | Coria · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Rates Coria as a clear level above Nicoll in pressure, output and wrestling resistance. Track record: winner called in 77 of 112 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Coria · to win | Coria · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Takes Coria's better boxing and body work to separate him from Nicoll. Track record: winner called in 60 of 90 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Coria · to win | Coria · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Coria and expects a second-round stoppage, while questioning the extreme betting price. Track record: winner called in 26 of 36 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Coria · KO/TKO | Coria · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Picks the bigger, more proven Coria, expecting his finishing ability to produce a TKO without a single-round call. Track record: winner called in 66 of 99 resolved picks. | |||||
11 of 11 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Archive Pre-fight material — kept for transparency.
- 4.69 3.63
- 70% 50%
- 2.40 5.84
- 71% 29%
- 75% 88%
- 12-3-0
- Record
- 8-3-0
- 4-0 (1 NC) last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 2-3 last 5
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Orthodox
- 12:54
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 09:12
- United States
- Nationality
- Australia
- 4oz Fight Club, Aztlan Boxing
- Team
- Team Compton Training Centre
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Coria
Coria is the cleaner, more defensively sound fighter and trending up — 4-0 in his last five (one no-contest), with a debut win over Alessandro Costa, the same man who stopped Nicoll. His 70% striking defense and boxing should keep him out of the wild exchanges Nicoll needs.
Case for Nicoll
Nicoll's only path is chaos and finishing — 88% of his wins come inside the distance, and if he can turn this into a scramble he is live. But he is 0-3 in the UFC and coming off a stoppage, so he must find the finish before Coria's craft banks the rounds.
What We Were Watching For
- Shared Costa read: Coria beat Alessandro Costa; Nicoll was stopped by him — the clearest form line on the card.
- Coria's defense against Nicoll's finishing bursts: can Nicoll drag him into the mud, or does Coria box from range?
- Nicoll's UFC skid: 0-3 in the Octagon — is the regional finishing game still there against better competition?
- Rounds vs stoppage: Coria wants a clean decision, Nicoll needs an early finish — the pace tells you who is winning.
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