Chase Hooper defeats Mitch Ramirez by Submission
Hooper vs Ramirez — Lightweight · Du Plessis vs. Usman
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More from this fight.
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
A straight left hand created the opening Hooper needed to change levels and get the takedown.
Hooper transitioned to the back and locked in a body triangle to remove the escape.
The rear-naked choke forced the tap at 2:15 of round one.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Oklahoma City results
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Analyst picks: Adam Martin Hit; Marcel Dorff Hit; Ben Duffy Hit; Keith Shillan Hit; Mike Finch Hit; Half The Battle Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; James Lynch Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; AJ Miss.
All 11 analyst scorecardsWinner, method and round results11 scored · 10 hits · 1 miss
| Predicted by | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · Sub | Hooper · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Takes Hooper by submission, though he does not feel strongly about the matchup. Track record: winner called in 14 of 17 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · Sub · R1 | Hooper · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Picks Hooper by first-round submission, viewing the matchup as a chance for him to rebound. Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · Dec | Hooper · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Sees Ramirez as hard to submit but a rare opponent Hooper can confidently outstrike, leading to a decision. Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · Dec | Hooper · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Calls Ramirez low level and takes Hooper to win a decision rather than force a submission call. Track record: winner called in 11 of 15 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · to win | Hooper · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Takes Hooper as the pure pick because of his grappling edge, while acknowledging the recent knockout losses make the price unappealing. Track record: winner called in 30 of 49 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · to win | Hooper · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Makes Hooper the pure pick because he has shown more than Ramirez, while calling the betting position dog-or-pass. Track record: winner called in 40 of 60 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · to win | Hooper · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Takes Hooper if he uses the grappling advantage rather than lingering in striking exchanges. Track record: winner called in 77 of 112 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · to win | Hooper · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Gives Hooper another chance on the strength of his high-level jiu-jitsu edge over Ramirez. Track record: winner called in 60 of 90 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · to win | Hooper · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Takes Hooper to use wrestling and a safer approach to win a decision over Ramirez. Track record: winner called in 26 of 36 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · Sub · R1 | Hooper · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Picks Hooper to find the back after Ramirez's guillotine attempts fail, calling a late first-round submission. Track record: winner called in 66 of 99 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 24.8%. Ramirez · KO/TKO | Hooper · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Calls the upset for Ramirez by knockout, citing Hooper's recent stoppage losses and Ramirez's power-punching style. Track record: winner called in 75 of 109 resolved picks. | |||||
10 of 11 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Odds
How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.
Market read · 7 sportsbooks
Favoured: Hooper (75%) Called it
Hooper def. Ramirez · Sub R1
Archive Pre-fight material — kept for transparency.
- 16-5-1
- Record
- 8-3-0
- 3-2 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 2-3 last 5
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- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
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- Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- United States
- Nationality
- United States
- Combat Sport & Fitness
- Team
- Syndicate MMA
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Hooper
Hooper is the far more proven grappler and the fight's only real submission threat — eight of his wins are subs, and against Guida, Miller and Borshchev he dragged credible lightweights into his scramble-heavy chaos. If this hits the mat, it is his world.
Case for Ramirez
Ramirez's path is to keep it standing and violent. He finishes at an 88% clip with heavy kicks and forward pressure, and Hooper has just been stopped twice in a row by opponents who beat him to the punch before the grappling could start. Crack Hooper early and the takedown game never arrives.
What We Were Watching For
- Can Ramirez stuff the entry? Hooper lives on getting it to the floor — Ramirez's takedown defense is the hinge of the fight.
- Hooper's chin: two straight stoppage losses — does he still walk forward into range, or has caution crept in?
- Ramirez's UFC-level cardio: he is 0-2 in the Octagon and fades late regionally, and Hooper's pace punishes slow tanks.
- Scramble vs slug: the first clean exchange usually decides which fight this becomes.
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