Hooper def. Ramirez
Sub · rear-naked choke · Round 1 · 2:15
Hooper vs Ramirez — Lightweight · UFC Fight Night
What happened
It took Hooper two minutes and change. A straight left hand opened the door for a takedown, and once he was on top the finish felt inevitable — he climbed to the back, locked the body triangle and squeezed. Ramirez tapped to the rear-naked choke at 2:15 of the first.
- A straight left hand created the opening Hooper needed to change levels and get the takedown.
- Hooper transitioned to the back and locked in a body triangle to remove the escape.
- The rear-naked choke forced the tap at 2:15 of round one.
Play-by-play source: UFC.com · UFC Oklahoma City results
Watch
More from this fight.
More videos · 4 clips
Signature moments
Signature moments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Caller scorecard: Adam Martin perfect call; Marcel Dorff perfect call; Ben Duffy called it; Keith Shillan called it; Mike Finch called it; Half The Battle called it; DFS By The Numbers called it; JakeGerberMMA called it; James Lynch called it; AJ missed.
9 of 10 nailed it · 2 nailed the finish ★.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Full analyst picks ↓
Adam Martin AnalystBetting desk called 8 of 9 Adam Martin: predicted Hooper · Sub. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Perfect call.
Takes Hooper by submission, though he does not feel strongly about the matchup.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 9 resolved picks, 6 a perfect call.
Marcel Dorff Analyst called 7 of 9 Marcel Dorff: predicted Hooper · Sub · R1. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Perfect call.
Picks Hooper by first-round submission, viewing the matchup as a chance for him to rebound.
Track record: winner called in 7 of 9 resolved picks, 5 a perfect call.
Ben Duffy Analyst called 9 of 10 Ben Duffy: predicted Hooper · Decision. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Sees Ramirez as hard to submit but a rare opponent Hooper can confidently outstrike, leading to a decision.
Track record: winner called in 9 of 10 resolved picks, 6 a perfect call.
Keith Shillan Analyst called 8 of 10 Keith Shillan: predicted Hooper · Decision. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Calls Ramirez low level and takes Hooper to win a decision rather than force a submission call.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 10 resolved picks, 6 a perfect call.
Mike Finch Betting deskAnalyst called 19 of 31 Mike Finch: predicted Hooper · to win. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Takes Hooper as the pure pick because of his grappling edge, while acknowledging the recent knockout losses make the price unappealing.
Track record: winner called in 19 of 31 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.
Half The Battle Analyst called 12 of 19 Half The Battle: predicted Hooper · to win. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Makes Hooper the pure pick because he has shown more than Ramirez, while calling the betting position dog-or-pass.
Track record: winner called in 12 of 19 resolved picks, 2 a perfect call.
DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 32 of 47 DFS By The Numbers: predicted Hooper · to win. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Takes Hooper if he uses the grappling advantage rather than lingering in striking exchanges.
Track record: winner called in 32 of 47 resolved picks, 13 a perfect call.
JakeGerberMMA Analyst called 8 of 10 JakeGerberMMA: predicted Hooper · to win. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Gives Hooper another chance on the strength of his high-level jiu-jitsu edge over Ramirez.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 10 resolved picks.
James Lynch Analyst called 9 of 10 James Lynch: predicted Hooper · to win. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Takes Hooper to use wrestling and a safer approach to win a decision over Ramirez.
Track record: winner called in 9 of 10 resolved picks.
AJ Betting deskAnalyst called 24 of 30 AJ: predicted Ramirez · KO/TKO. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Miss.
Calls the upset for Ramirez by knockout, citing Hooper's recent stoppage losses and Ramirez's power-punching style.
Track record: winner called in 24 of 30 resolved picks, 15 a perfect call.
Odds
How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.
Market read · 7 sportsbooks
Favoured: Hooper (75%) Called it
Hooper def. Ramirez · Sub R1
Archive
Pre-fight material — kept for transparency, folded by default.
Tale of the Tape
Records & career stats — as they entered fight night
- 16-5-1
- Record
- 8-3-0
- 3-2 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 2-3 last 5
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- —
- Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- —
- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- —
- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- —
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- —
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- United States
- Nationality
- United States
- Combat Sport & Fitness
- Team
- Syndicate MMA
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Hooper
Hooper is the far more proven grappler and the fight's only real submission threat — eight of his wins are subs, and against Guida, Miller and Borshchev he dragged credible lightweights into his scramble-heavy chaos. If this hits the mat, it is his world.
Case for Ramirez
Ramirez's path is to keep it standing and violent. He finishes at an 88% clip with heavy kicks and forward pressure, and Hooper has just been stopped twice in a row by opponents who beat him to the punch before the grappling could start. Crack Hooper early and the takedown game never arrives.
What We Were Watching For
- Can Ramirez stuff the entry? Hooper lives on getting it to the floor — Ramirez's takedown defense is the hinge of the fight.
- Hooper's chin: two straight stoppage losses — does he still walk forward into range, or has caution crept in?
- Ramirez's UFC-level cardio: he is 0-2 in the Octagon and fades late regionally, and Hooper's pace punishes slow tanks.
- Scramble vs slug: the first clean exchange usually decides which fight this becomes.
Fighters
Reader thread
Reader takes
Public fan takes, kept separate from FightCardIQ analysis and held to moderation.
Comments are currently closed while we finish moderation and privacy controls.