AJ

MMA Experts analyst

Co-host on MMA EXPERTS' The Moneyline, covering UFC full-card predictions and betting-facing breakdowns.

AJ on YouTube ↗
Winner called75 of 109

Every resolved pick

Method called35 of 52

Correct-winner picks naming a method

Round called2 of 3

Correct-winner picks naming a round

Scorecard

Called 75 of 109 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.

77.7%
FightCardIQ Score
  • Winner 75 34
  • Method 35 17
  • Round 2 1
  • Underdog 8 11

Hit Miss

The running record

Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows, so its flattening is arithmetic, not a verdict: read where a line sits, and read the vs. the field strip for whether this analyst gained or lost ground on the rest of the roster. Winner is scored on every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.

Hit Miss Field median Gap to the field

Score and record, card by card one step per card — score on the left, hits above the line, misses below, counted on the right; the strip between them is the gap to the rest of the roster

AJ scored 77.7 after 10 cards, against a ranked field spanning 59.7 to 92.5. Also plotted: TheWeasle (#1), KennyOkoyeMMA (#4), Bedtime MMA (#6). Against the median of the other 17 ranked analysts they finished 3.0 above, from 11.9 above at UFC 329.

FightCardIQ Score cumulative, over every call up to each card

77.7 now, across 10 cards. The first 2 cards are drawn dashed and hollow: below 20 resolved calls there is no published score yet. The shaded band is where the whole ranked field sits — 59.7 to 92.5 across 18 analysts, this one included.

Winnerof resolved calls

75 of 109 — 69% now, from 57% at their first scored card.

The opening points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.

Card by card

Newest card first — the charts above run oldest to newest. One mark per scored call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.

  1. Hooker vs. Parnasse 77.7 8 hit · 6 miss
  2. Nurmagomedov vs. Song 79.4 7 hit · 6 miss
  3. UFC 330 82.6 4 hit · 6 miss
  4. Gamrot vs. Salkilld 87.8 8 hit · 2 miss
  5. Medic vs. Rodriguez 87.4 6 hit · 2 miss
  6. Ankalaev vs. Guskov 88.0 10 hit · 2 miss
  7. Du Plessis vs. Usman 88.1 9 hit · 2 miss
  8. UFC 329 88.3 11 hit · 2 miss
  9. Kape vs Horiguchi 76.9 8 hit · 3 miss
  10. UFC Freedom 250 75.0 4 hit · 3 miss

Call History

Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.

underdog pick   favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.

Hooker vs. Parnasse

Sep 5, 2026 · Accor Arena, Paris, France

Event scorecard

  • Winner 8 6
  • Method 5 2
  • RoundCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog 1
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Aljarouj · to winSintes · DecMissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Benouaich · DecBenouaich · Sub R2HitMissNot called
Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · to winCampbell · Sub R3HitNot calledNot called
Lima · DecLima · DecHitHitNot called
Syguła · DecCornolle · DecMissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 67.4%. Donchenko · KO/TKODonchenko · DecHitMissNot called
Duclos · KO/TKODuclos · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 80.8%. Parnasse · KO/TKOParnasse · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 76.3%. Keita · KO/TKOKeita · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Underdog call, market price 34.9%. Ruziboev · SubPage · DecMissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Pinto · KO/TKOPinto · KO/TKO R2HitHitNot called
Sy · DecBukauskas · KO/TKO R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Wood · DecAndrusca · DecMissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 58.1%. Ziam · DecSola · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

Nurmagomedov vs. Song

Aug 29, 2026 · Oriental Sports Center, Shanghai, China

Event scorecard

  • Winner 7 6
  • Method 3 2
  • Round 1
  • UnderdogNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Meng · KO/TKONelson · DecMissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Jingnan · to winPolastri · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Lui · to winSantiago · KO/TKO R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Woodson · to winWoodson · DecHitNot calledNot called
Long · to winNuzzi · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Tsuruya · SubTsuruya · Sub R1HitHitNot called
Lima · DecLima · Sub R3HitMissNot called
Hasan · KO/TKOHasan · KO/TKO R2HitHitNot called
Rodrigues Jr. · KO/TKO · R1Ce · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Sumudaerji · to winSumudaerji · DecHitNot calledNot called
Asakura · KO/TKO · R1Asakura · KO/TKO R2HitHitMiss
Gomes · DecGomes · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Nurmagomedov · DecYadong · KO/TKO R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

UFC 330

Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Aug 15, 2026 · Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Event scorecard

  • Winner 4 6
  • Method 2 1
  • RoundCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog 1 3
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Orolbai · to winWells · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Underdog call, market price 27.5%. Tobias · to winFernando · KO/TKO R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Gore · to winGore · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called
Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · KO/TKOJohnson · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Fernandes · KO/TKOTurner · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Álvarez · to winNjokuani · Dec R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Ribovics · KO/TKORibovics · KO/TKO R2HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKOStoltzfus · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · DecDern · Dec R5MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · SubMakhachev · Dec R5HitMissNot called

Gamrot vs. Salkilld

Aug 8, 2026 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada

Event scorecard

  • Winner 8 2
  • Method 4 2
  • RoundNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
  • Underdog 2
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Favourite call, market price 57.5%. Salkilld · to winSalkilld · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Quarantillo · KO/TKOFerreira · DecMissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 87.5%. del Valle · KO/TKOdel Valle · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · KO/TKOMiller · KO/TKO R3HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Thainara · DecThainara · DecHitHitNot called
Johns · DecJohns · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Nurgozhay · KO/TKONurgozhay · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Asplund · KO/TKOAsplund · DecHitMissNot called
Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Sousa · to winSousa · DecHitNot calledNot called
Underdog call, market price 33.5%. Canuto · Sub · R1Foro · DecMissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

Medic vs. Rodriguez

Aug 1, 2026 · Belgrade Arena, Belgrade, Serbia

Event scorecard

  • Winner 6 2
  • Method 2
  • RoundNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
  • Underdog 1 1
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKOMedić · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Błachowicz · to winStirling · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · to winRakić · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called
Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Valentin · to winValentin · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Cepo · KO/TKO · R1Urbina · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Oliveira · KO/TKOOliveira · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Underdog call, market price 30.5%. Musayev · to winMusayev · KO/TKO R2HitNot calledNot called
Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · to winGrad · Sub R2HitNot calledNot called

Ankalaev vs. Guskov

Jul 25, 2026 · Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Event scorecard

  • Winner 10 2
  • Method 2 3
  • RoundNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
  • Underdog 1
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Favourite call, market price 82.5%. Ankalaev · DecAnkalaev · KO/TKO R5HitMissNot called
Temirov · to winTemirov · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Patterson · KO/TKOPatterson · KO/TKO R2HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Kuniev · DecKuniev · KO/TKO R3HitMissNot called
Dulatov vs TurmanDulatov · KO/TKO · R1Upcoming
Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Sola · KO/TKOSola · Sub R1HitMissNot called
Favourite call, market price 62.5%. Walker · SubWalker · Sub R1HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Tuchalov · to winTuchalov · DecHitNot calledNot called
Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Zaynukov · to winZaynukov · DecHitNot calledNot called
Favourite call, market price 67.5%. Aliev · to winAliev · DecHitNot calledNot called
Underdog call, market price 33.0%. Izagakhmaev · DecVagaev · DecMissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Jacoby · DecSaidov · KO/TKO R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 84.5%. Hussein · to winHussein · Sub R3HitNot calledNot called

Du Plessis vs. Usman

Jul 18, 2026 · Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma

Event scorecard

  • Winner 9 2
  • Method 2 4
  • RoundCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog 3 1
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Favourite call, market price 64.9%. Du Plessis · KO/TKODu Plessis · DecHitMissNot called
Favourite call, market price 74.8%. Duncan · KO/TKODuncan · DecHitMissNot called
Favourite call, market price 83.5%. Barbosa · to winBarbosa · Sub R1HitNot calledNot called
Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Harris · KO/TKOHarris · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Coria · KO/TKOCoria · DecHitMissNot called
Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Franco · to winFranco · KO/TKO R2HitNot calledNot called
Underdog call, market price 44.5%. Delgado · KO/TKODelgado · DecHitMissNot called
Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Kline · DecKline · DecHitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 64.9%. McMillen · to winMcMillen · KO/TKO R3HitNot calledNot called
Underdog call, market price 24.8%. Ramirez · KO/TKOHooper · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ko · DecLebosnoyani · DecMissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

UFC 329

McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Jul 11, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada

Event scorecard

  • Winner 11 2
  • Method 9 2
  • Round 1
  • Underdog 1
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Holloway · KO/TKOHolloway · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 57.5%. Sandhagen · DecBautista · DecMissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · to winRoyval · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1Steveson · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Whittaker · KO/TKOWhittaker · KO/TKO R3HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Wang · DecWang · DecHitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · DecRiley · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Yañez · KO/TKOYañez · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 55.5%. Gandra · KO/TKOGandra · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 67.5%. Costa · SubCosta · Sub R2HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Basharat · SubBasharat · DecHitMissNot called
Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Pinas · KO/TKOPinas · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Pimblett · SubPimblett · Sub R1HitHitNot called

Kape vs Horiguchi

Jun 20, 2026 · UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV, United States

Event scorecard

  • Winner 8 3
  • Method 2 1
  • RoundCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog 2 1
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Collins · to winCollins · Decision - Unanimous R3HitNot calledNot called
Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Chokheli · to winChokheli · TKO (leg kick and punches) R1HitNot calledNot called
Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Santos · to winSantos · Decision - Unanimous R3HitNot calledNot called
Jr. · KO/TKOBolanos · Decision - Unanimous R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Underdog call, market price 42.0%. Raposo · DecRaposo · Decision - Split R3HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 84.5%. Lima · to winBorjas · Decision - Unanimous R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 67.5%. Rodriguez · DecRodriguez · Technical Submission (guillotine choke) R1HitMissNot called
Underdog call, market price 29.5%. Fili · DecOliveira · TKO (punches/elbows) R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · to winStirling · TKO (punches) R2HitNot calledNot called
Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Kape · to winKape · TKO (punches) R3HitNot calledNot called
Favourite call, market price 85.0%. Mesquita · SubMesquita · Sub R1HitHitNot called

UFC Freedom 250

Topuria vs. Gaethje

Jun 14, 2026 · Washington, D.C.

Event scorecard

  • Winner 4 3
  • Method 4
  • Round 1
  • Underdog 1
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Topuria · KO/TKOGaethje · KO/TKO R4MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKOGane · KO/TKO R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 77.5%. O'Malley · KO/TKOO'Malley · KO/TKO R2HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · KO/TKO · R2Hokit · KO/TKO R2HitHitHit
Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKORuffy · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · to winNickal · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · KO/TKOLopes · KO/TKO R2HitHitNot called

Videos

Every source clip behind AJ's logged calls.

Watch all of AJ's video picks in the library