UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez 1 Aug 2026 · Belgrade Arena, Belgrade, Serbia, RS

Bogdan Grad defeats Dennis Buzukja by Submission

Win The Unleashed Bogdan Grad View profile 16-4-0

Loss The Great Dennis Buzukja View profile 12-7-0

Submission · arm-triangle choke

Round 2 · 4:33

At a glance

Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.

Analyst Picks12 analysts✓ Correct 0%0 picks 100%12 picks

Analyst picks AI forecasts Market odds

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Grad controlled the early going and pursued the finish throughout. The fight reached the second round.

Grad secured an arm-triangle choke late in the second round. The referee waved the fight off.

The fight ended at 4:33 of round two, with Buzukja protesting the stoppage.

Official UFC resultsUFC.com — UFC Belgrade prelim results

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Buzukja

Buzukja takes less damage than Grad does — 4.79 strikes absorbed a minute against 5.06, the highest figure recorded on this card — and his best work comes in scrambles where his Ring of Combat grounding shows. If he keeps the fight standing and honest, that gap is his opening.

Case for Grad

Grad's karate base gives him awkward entries, and he is happy to turn the fight into scrambles rather than a clean striking match — though Buzukja defends takedowns at 75%. Buzukja has been knocked out as recently as April, so Grad does not need the full fifteen minutes.

What We Were Watching For

Whether Grad can drag Buzukja into scrambles — Buzukja defends takedowns at 75%.
Buzukja's chin after a first-round knockout loss in April 2026.
Which man's cardio holds up; both absorb more strikes than they land.
Grad's karate-style blitzes against a fighter who counters well.

Records & career stats

Buzukja vs Grad

Buzukja Grad

OutputSig. strikes landed / min 4.28 4.16
Striking def.Striking defense 48% 49%
DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 4.76 5.02
Takedown def.Takedown defense 73% 75%
FinishingFinish rate 50% 73%

12-6-0
Record: 15-4-0; 1-4 last 5
Recent form: 3-2 last 5; United States
Nationality: Austria; 28
Age: 30; 1.75 m
Height — Buzukja leads: 1.73 m; 179 cm
Reach: 178 cm; —
Stance: —; 50%
Finish rateFinish % — Grad leads: 73%; 5
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Grad leads: 9; 1
Wins by submissionSub wins — Grad leads: 4; 4.28
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min: 4.16; 4.76
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Buzukja leads: 5.02; 48%
Striking defenseStrike def.: 49%; 73%
Takedown defenseTD def.: 75%; 10:16
Avg. fight timeAvg. time: 09:18

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

(0) 0%

LBuzukja

100% (12)

GradW

Analyst prediction scorecards

Bedtime MMA170 resolved calls Bedtime MMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 70.6% 120 50 Method Accuracy 63.6% 56 32 Round Accuracy 40.0% 10 15 Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · Dec	Grad · Sub R2	Hit	Miss	Not called
Frames it as striker vs grappler where Buzukja's chin is the bigger liability, and trusts Grad's chained takedowns and control. “a crafty little bedtime mustache as well. I'm liking what I'm seeing from well. I'm liking what I'm seeing from Bogdan Groud. I'm going to go with him Bogdan Groud. I'm going to go with him to win this one by decision. Okay, we to win this one by decision. Okay, we are all fans of Bogdan Grod. We will all are all fans of Bogdan Grod. We will all be tuning in at 11:00 a.m. uh whatever be tuning in at 11:00 a.m. uh whatever time it is to watch this fight. Um and time it is to watch this fight. Um ” Hear it — 8:08 Bedtime MMA on YouTube ↗ Bedtime MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 120 of 170 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
AJ Devito237 resolved calls AJ DevitoView full track record Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72 Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42 Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2 Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · to win	Grad · Sub R2	Hit	Not called	Not called
Calls it a close battle of two defensively leaky fighters but favours Grad's speed, explosiveness and wrestling, and is worried about Buzukja's chin after a brutal knockout loss. “maybe it's more grappling." And then in that case, I'd favor Grod's wrestling a that case, I'd favor Grod's wrestling a bit over Bazooka's jiu-jitsu. So close bit over Bazooka's jiu-jitsu. So close fight, but I'll lean towards Bogdon Grod fight, but I'll lean towards Bogdon Grod getting it over Dennis Bazooka. getting it over Dennis Bazooka. Let's keep running up. Next fight up the Let's keep running up. Next fight up the card, we have Mark Velagin versus card, we have Mark Velagin versus Borisl” Hear it — 24:12 AJ Devito on YouTube ↗ AJ Devito’s track record → Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
KennyOkoyeMMA53 resolved calls KennyOkoyeMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17 Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 62.5% 5 3 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · to win	Grad · Sub R2	Hit	Not called	Not called
Says Grad hits with more velocity, is more unorthodox and more well-rounded, and can also grapple if he gets uncomfortable. “unorthodox in his striking. He's just more well-rounded. He's going to be a more well-rounded. He's going to be a harder fight for Dennis to deal with. harder fight for Dennis to deal with. So, I got Bogdan Grad getting it done. So, I got Bogdan Grad getting it done. Uh next up, this is going to be fight of Uh next up, this is going to be fight of the night. it right now. Boris Lab the night. it right now. Boris Lab versus Nikolic. Uh versus Nikolic. Uh Bro, just said the Bro, just said the Bori” Hear it — 4:15 KennyOkoyeMMA on YouTube ↗ KennyOkoyeMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls Michael ChiesaView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20 Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · to win	Grad · Sub R2	Hit	Not called	Not called
Named in the rapid-fire prelim run-through with no accompanying analysis, and repeated in his own recap of the prelim slate. “Milosevic. After that, I'm going with Mateusz Rębecki. In the featherweight Mateusz Rębecki. In the featherweight bout on the prelims, I'm taking Bogdan bout on the prelims, I'm taking Bogdan Grad. In the bantamweight bout, the Grad. In the bantamweight bout, the biggest coin flip fight on the entire biggest coin flip fight on the entire card, I'm taking Mark O. Madsen. And card, I'm taking Mark O. Madsen. And then in the welterweight tilt between then in the welterweight tilt between Oban Ellio” Hear it — 2:00 Michael Chiesa on YouTube ↗ Michael Chiesa’s track record → Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
JakeGerberMMA116 resolved calls JakeGerberMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 66.4% 77 39 Method Accuracy 61.7% 29 18 Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5 Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · Dec	Grad · Sub R2	Hit	Miss	Not called
Calls this a genuine coin flip and says Buzukja may be the sharper striker, but leans Grad because his forward pressure and activity should look better to the judges. “probably knocks out Dennis Bazookia in the first or second round as well. So, the first or second round as well. So, tough fight to call, but I'll lean tough fight to call, but I'll lean Bogdong Grod for now. I feel like he Bogdong Grod for now. I feel like he gets this one done. 2928 split decision gets this one done. 2928 split decision on the cards. on the cards. Next up, we got Mark Vagdin versus Next up, we got Mark Vagdin versus Borislav Nicolich. Borislav Nicolich. I always want to say Ni” Hear it — 27:02 JakeGerberMMA on YouTube ↗ JakeGerberMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 77 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
The MMA Guru296 resolved calls The MMA GuruView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.9% 195 101 Method Accuracy 52.9% 55 49 Round Accuracy 34.3% 12 23 Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 15 18 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · to win	Grad · Sub R2	Hit	Not called	Not called
Picks Grad as the explosive, athletic, physically bigger man who has multiple winning paths, striking or grappling, against a Buzukja coming off a bad knockout loss. “think he should be this big of a favorite, but I am going to go with favorite, but I am going to go with Rebecqui getting it done. We move on. Rebecqui getting it done. We move on. Dennis Bazooka versus Bogdan Grad. Dennis Bazooka versus Bogdan Grad. Bazooka's a great name for a fighter, Bazooka's a great name for a fighter, but Bogdan has hair now. but Bogdan has hair now. >> [snorts] >> [snorts] >> He's grown his hair out. He's got a bit >> He's grown his hair out. He's” Hear it — 8:33 The MMA Guru on YouTube ↗ The MMA Guru’s track record → Track record: winner called in 195 of 296 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
DFS By The Numbers142 resolved calls DFS By The NumbersView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.5% 93 49 Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34 Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25 Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · Dec	Grad · Sub R2	Hit	Miss	Not called
His least favourite fight on the card. Grad is a BJJ black belt who throws more volume, lands the bigger shots and can mix in takedowns, so he takes Grad on activity rather than a finish. “activity. So, yeah, I got to go Grad here, but it's not a fight I'm running here, but it's not a fight I'm running to the window for by any means. I'm to the window for by any means. I'm going to go Bogdan Grad to win this going to go Bogdan Grad to win this fight. fight. And win this fight by decision. And win this fight by decision. All right, next we got Ludovit Klein All right, next we got Ludovit Klein going against Tofiq Musayev. We got going against Tofiq Musayev. We got Ludovit Klein min” Hear it — 19:53 DFS By The Numbers on YouTube ↗ DFS By The Numbers’s track record → Track record: winner called in 93 of 142 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
We Want Picks145 resolved calls We Want PicksView full track record Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52 Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3 Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · to win	Grad · Sub R2	Hit	Not called	Not called
Takes Grad on the striking edge, noting Buzukja is a credentialed wrestler who does not use his wrestling, while saying he would probably not bet it. “it. This is a tricky fight. I'm probably not This is a tricky fight. I'm probably not going to bet it here. Bogdan's going to going to bet it here. Bogdan's going to be the pick, but I promise you, Dennis be the pick, but I promise you, Dennis is not as bad as his record indicates. is not as bad as his record indicates. Those are just some tough matchups in Those are just some tough matchups in the mix. Then we have a Michael Oliveira the mix. Then we have a Michael Oliveira taking on Oban Ellio” Hear it — 20:33 We Want Picks on YouTube ↗ We Want Picks’s track record → Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
HopperMMA120 resolved calls HopperMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 63.3% 76 44 Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23 Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19 Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · Dec	Grad · Sub R2	Hit	Miss	Not called
Says being semi-good is enough to beat Buzukja, and Grad is a good grappler with solid stand-up who out-grappled Luke Riley early. “I don't think it was the Brazil card. It was actually earlier on this year. I was actually earlier on this year. I forgot who he fought, but he got knocked forgot who he fought, but he got knocked out cold. I'm going to go with a Bogdan out cold. I'm going to go with a Bogdan Grad to win this one by decision. I like Grad to win this one by decision. I like Bogdan Grad. He seems to take his career Bogdan Grad. He seems to take his career serious. Lost against Tom Nolan on the serious. Lost agains” Hear it — 7:51 HopperMMA on YouTube ↗ HopperMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 76 of 120 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Half The Battle87 resolved calls Half The BattleView full track record Winner Accuracy 60.9% 53 34 Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 29.4% 5 12 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · to win	Grad · Sub R2	Hit	Not called	Not called
Says Buzukja is coming off a bad knockout only three months ago with no real recovery time, while Grad took proper time off after his own KO loss and has the more functional, well-rounded game. “But, I just think that Bogdan's got a more functional and well-rounded game more functional and well-rounded game than Dennis Buzukja. And for that than Dennis Buzukja. And for that reason, I think Bogdan Grad's going to reason, I think Bogdan Grad's going to come out here and win this fight. Next come out here and win this fight. Next up in the lightweight division, we got a up in the lightweight division, we got a match up between Mateusz Rębecki, who's match up between Mateusz Rębecki, who's ” Hear it — 41:40 Half The Battle on YouTube ↗ Half The Battle’s track record → Track record: winner called in 53 of 87 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)69 resolved calls MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)View full track record Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28 Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11 Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7 Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · Dec	Grad · Sub R2	Hit	Miss	Not called
Calls Buzukja more technical but Grad more explosive and powerful, says Grad looks hungrier and has had longer to recover from his knockout loss, with control time the difference. “because it's happened recently to both of them. So, it's a difficult fight to of them. So, it's a difficult fight to be super confident in, but I'm going to be super confident in, but I'm going to lean towards Bogdan Grad, and I'll say lean towards Bogdan Grad, and I'll say he actually wins via decision. he actually wins via decision. And we got a short notice match up once And we got a short notice match up once again here with Bogdan Grad, and or not again here with Bogdan Grad, and or not Bog” Hear it — 30:12 MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) on YouTube ↗ MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)’s track record → Track record: winner called in 41 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Bookie Beatdown26 resolved calls Bookie BeatdownView full track record Winner Accuracy 50.0% 13 13 Method Accuracy 0.0% 2 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 1 5 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · Dec	Grad · Sub R2	Hit	Miss	Not called
Grad's relentless pressure, high work rate and takedowns beat Buzukja, described as a generalist with no volume and no power to make Grad respect him. “Bogdan Grad. You would better be a Michael Azzwell. You would better be Michael Azzwell. You would better be someone that can keep that volume up, someone that can keep that volume up, which Basziev is not. And outside of which Basziev is not. And outside of that, Grad gets the decision win. that, Grad gets the decision win. >> Yeah. >> Yeah. A lot a lot of Brad Grad stuff really A lot a lot of Brad Grad stuff really comes down to like him getting comes down to like him getting taked” Hear it — 77:02 Bookie Beatdown on YouTube ↗ Bookie Beatdown’s track record → Track record: winner called in 13 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

12 of 12 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (2)

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