MMA YouTube analyst publishing UFC full-card prediction and breakdown videos.
KennyOkoyeMMA on YouTube ↗Scorecard
Called 22 of 29 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner 22 7
- Method 3 1
- RoundCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog 2 1
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows, so its flattening is arithmetic, not a verdict: read where a line sits, and read the vs. the field strip for whether this analyst gained or lost ground on the rest of the roster. Winner is scored on every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss Field median Gap to the field
KennyOkoyeMMA scored 79.3 after 5 cards, against a ranked field spanning 59.7 to 92.5. Also plotted: TheWeasle (#1), DFS By The Numbers (#3), AJ (#5). Against the median of the other 17 ranked analysts they finished 3.2 above, from 6.6 above at UFC 330.
79.3 now, across 5 cards. The first 3 cards are drawn dashed and hollow: below 20 resolved calls there is no published score yet. The shaded band is where the whole ranked field sits — 59.7 to 92.5 across 18 analysts, this one included.
22 of 29 — 76% now, from 100% at their first scored card. The first 1 point is drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
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Method
3 of 4 correct winners that named a method — too few to chart a trend.
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Underdog
2 of 3 priced underdog calls — too few to chart a trend.
Round — No round calls
Card by card
Newest card first — the charts above run oldest to newest. One mark per scored call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Nurmagomedov vs. Song 79.3 0 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 330 82.1 7 hit · 3 miss
- Gamrot vs. Salkilld 88.3 9 hit · 0 miss
- Medic vs. Rodriguez 72.2 5 hit · 3 miss
- Du Plessis vs. Usman 100.0 1 hit · 0 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Event scorecard
- Winner 1
- MethodNo correct calls to break down yet
- RoundNo correct calls to break down yet
- UnderdogNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nurmagomedov · Dec | Yadong · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Umar Nurmagomedov by points. “Umar by points is the most likely outcome. I got Umar by points.” | |||||
UFC 330
Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Event scorecard
- Winner 7 3
- MethodCalls the winner, not the method
- RoundCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Favors Makhachev on the strength of his ground advantage, estimating the matchup around 60/40. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Orolbai · to win | Wells · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Selects Orolbai in the full-card prediction segment. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Magny · to win | Magny · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Selects Magny in the full-card prediction segment. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.17 — (50% − 41.5%) ÷ 50%. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · to win | Fernando · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Selects Fernando but explicitly notes he did little research on the matchup. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · to win | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Calls Johnson the safe pick. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Turner · to win | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Selects Turner; the accompanying finish language is not a single committed method call. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 51.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Álvarez · to win | Njokuani · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Selects Álvarez in the full-card prediction segment. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Ribovics · to win | Ribovics · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Selects Ribovics in the full-card prediction segment. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · to win | Stoltzfus · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Selects Abdul-Malik in the full-card prediction segment. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · to win | Dern · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Favors Dern, citing her scrambles and cleaner striking; no definite method call is recorded. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Event scorecard
- Winner 9
- Method 1 1
- RoundCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ferreira · to win | Ferreira · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Goes with Ferreira partly on feel and partly on doubting Quarantillo's chin. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. del Valle · to win | del Valle · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Reads it as primarily a striking fight that Elkins is more likely to get caught in. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · to win | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Miller for the win with no method given. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Thainara · Dec | Thainara · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Expects the fight to go the distance and favours Thainara clearly. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 35.0%. Montanha · to win | Montanha · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Leans the slight underdog, Montanha. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 35.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.30 — (50% − 35.0%) ÷ 50%. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Nurgozhay · to win | Nurgozhay · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Nurgozhay without a method. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Asplund · KO/TKO | Asplund · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Calls Asplund by knockout the lock of the card. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Sousa · to win | Sousa · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Leans Sousa without a method. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Miller · to win | Miller · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Miller without naming a method. | |||||
Medic vs. Rodriguez
Event scorecard
- Winner 5 3
- Method 1
- RoundCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO | Medić · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Says Medic starts faster, is more athletic and hits harder, and that Rodriguez has been showing chin vulnerability lately, expecting an early finish rather than a distance fight. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · to win | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Calls Stirling the younger, more athletic fighter whose low kicks and movement will force the older Blachowicz to chase, while stressing he is not confident. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · to win | Rakić · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Calls it his lock of the card: Tybura's knees and mobility are shot, Rakic's low kicks are stylistically too much, and moving up may protect Rakic's chin by removing the weight cut. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Todorović · to win | Valentin · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Frames it as a battle of two limited fighters and says Todorovic is the less bad one — he hits harder, kicks better and lets his hands go more, and Valentin loses his usual reach edge here. “So, I'm going Dusko Todorovic to get it done. The Serbian gets it done in Serbia.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Cepo · to win | Urbina · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Reads the matchmaking as a gift-wrapped home debut and rates Cepo explosive enough that he sees no path for Urbina. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Oliveira · to win | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Expects a close first round, then Oliveira coming alive with the faster, harder shots, while admitting he is rooting for Elliott and calling it a close decision fight. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Klein · to win | Musayev · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Rates Klein as one of the best fighters in the division with improved defensive grappling and better fight IQ, and expects him to beat Musayev up over a distance fight. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · to win | Grad · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Says Grad hits with more velocity, is more unorthodox and more well-rounded, and can also grapple if he gets uncomfortable. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Du Plessis vs. Usman
Event scorecard
- Winner 1
- Method 1
- RoundCalls the winner, not the round
- UnderdogNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Kline · Dec | Kline · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Takes Kline by decision, citing her current momentum and Ricci's recent struggles to establish takedowns. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind KennyOkoyeMMA's logged calls.