Final · 8 Aug 2026

Thainara def. Lemos

Dec · unanimous · 5:00

Lemos vs Thainara — Women's Strawweight · UFC Fight Night

Lemos (15-6-1) vs Thainara (14-1-0)

Women's Strawweight
3 rounds
Main Card
UFC Fight Night • 8 Aug 2026
Las Vegas, Nevada

What happened

Alexia Thainara mixed grappling with increasingly confident striking to win an all-Brazilian strawweight battle over Amanda Lemos. Lemos had a major second-round moment with a right hand, but Thainara's broader work earned the unanimous decision.

Judges' scorecards
  • 29–28
  • 29–28
  • 30–27

Play-by-play source: UFC.com · UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld main-card results

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Result
Thainara def. Lemos
Dec
Consensus

Caller scorecard: The MMA Guru missed; Michael Chiesa missed; Bedtime MMA perfect call; We Want Picks called it; Half The Battle perfect call; DFS By The Numbers perfect call; AJ perfect call; KennyOkoyeMMA perfect call; MMAPREDICTIONGURU perfect call; TheWeasle perfect call.

8 of 10 nailed it · 7 nailed the finish ★.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Full analyst picks ↓
Bedtime MMA Analyst called 58 of 88 Bedtime MMA: predicted Thainara · Decision. Actual Thainara · Dec. Result: Perfect call.

Takes Thainara to win a decision.

Hear it — 5:01 Bedtime MMA on YouTube ↗ Bedtime MMA’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 58 of 88 resolved picks, 25 a perfect call.

We Want Picks Betting desk called 45 of 67 We Want Picks: predicted Thainara · to win. Actual Thainara · Dec. Result: Hit.

Makes Thainara the pick as a modest favourite, with no method.

Hear it — 29:49 We Want Picks on YouTube ↗ We Want Picks’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 45 of 67 resolved picks.

Half The Battle Analyst called 26 of 36 Half The Battle: predicted Thainara · Decision. Actual Thainara · Dec. Result: Perfect call.

Sees Thainara winning at least two rounds and taking the decision.

Hear it — 11:49 Half The Battle on YouTube ↗ Half The Battle’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 26 of 36 resolved picks, 5 a perfect call.

DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 54 of 76 DFS By The Numbers: predicted Thainara · Decision. Actual Thainara · Dec. Result: Perfect call.

Takes Thainara on the scorecards.

Hear it — 23:29 DFS By The Numbers on YouTube ↗ DFS By The Numbers’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 54 of 76 resolved picks, 21 a perfect call.

AJ Betting deskAnalyst called 48 of 60 AJ: predicted Thainara · Decision. Actual Thainara · Dec. Result: Perfect call.

Predicts Thainara on the scorecards in a grappling-heavy fight.

Hear it — 38:44 AJ on YouTube ↗ AJ’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 48 of 60 resolved picks, 23 a perfect call.

KennyOkoyeMMA Analyst called 15 of 18 KennyOkoyeMMA: predicted Thainara · Decision. Actual Thainara · Dec. Result: Perfect call.

Expects the fight to go the distance and favours Thainara clearly.

Hear it — 9:55 KennyOkoyeMMA on YouTube ↗ KennyOkoyeMMA’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 15 of 18 resolved picks, 3 a perfect call.

MMAPREDICTIONGURU AnalystBetting desk called 15 of 25 MMAPREDICTIONGURU: predicted Thainara · Decision. Actual Thainara · Dec. Result: Perfect call.

Calls a Thainara decision, either 30-27 or 29-28.

Hear it — 54:37 MMAPREDICTIONGURU on YouTube ↗ MMAPREDICTIONGURU’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 15 of 25 resolved picks, 7 a perfect call.

TheWeasle Analyst called 34 of 48 TheWeasle: predicted Thainara · Decision. Actual Thainara · Dec. Result: Perfect call.

Has Thainara out-pointing Lemos over three rounds.

Hear it — 16:11 TheWeasle on YouTube ↗ TheWeasle’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 34 of 48 resolved picks, 14 a perfect call.

The MMA Guru Analyst called 39 of 56 The MMA Guru: predicted Lemos · Sub. Actual Thainara · Dec. Result: Miss.

Goes against Thainara, backing Lemos's hands and power against a grappler he still rates as unproven, and calls a guillotine in the first or second round.

Hear it — 17:10 The MMA Guru on YouTube ↗ The MMA Guru’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 39 of 56 resolved picks, 15 a perfect call.

Michael Chiesa AnalystFighter called 24 of 31 Michael Chiesa: predicted Lemos · to win. Actual Thainara · Dec. Result: Miss.

A low-confidence value pick for Lemos, on the view that Thainara has not yet faced a comparably tested opponent.

Hear it — 9:13 Michael Chiesa on YouTube ↗ Michael Chiesa’s track record →

Track record: winner called in 24 of 31 resolved picks, 1 a perfect call.

Odds

How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.

Market read · 6 sportsbooks

30% Amanda Lemos
70% Alexia Thainara

Favoured: Thainara (70%) Called it

Thainara def. Lemos · Dec

Final pre-fight line · as of 8 Aug 01:47 UTC · 6 sportsbooks · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab)

Archive

Pre-fight material — kept for transparency, folded by default.

Tale of the Tape

Records & career stats — as they entered fight night
Lemos vs Thainara
Lemos Thainara
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 2.75 4.62
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 45% 60%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 3.01 2.46
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 63% 100%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 73% 57%
15-6-1
Record
14-1-0
2-3 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
5-0 last 5
39
Age
30
1.63 m
Height
1.63 m
165 cm
Reach — Thainara leads
170 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
73%
Finish rateFinish % — Lemos leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
57%
8
Wins by KO/TKOKO/TKO wins — Lemos leads
0
3
Wins by submissionSub wins — Thainara leads
8
2.75
Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / min — Thainara leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.62
3.01
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / min — Thainara leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.46
45%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Thainara leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
60%
63%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Thainara leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
100%
—
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
12:23
Brazil
Nationality
Brazil
Marajó Brothers
Team
Academia Ribas Family / Team LJ combat

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Lemos

Lemos still carries the heavier hands here and a 73% finish rate built on stopping opponents rather than outpointing them. She beat Iasmin Lucindo inside the last eighteen months, so the level has not gone. If Thainara's takedown entries stall and the fight is contested in space, that is the territory where Lemos has always been most dangerous.

Case for Thainara

Thainara is 5-0 in her last five and the underlying numbers travel: 4.54 takedowns per 15 minutes, 1.82 submission attempts, and 100% takedown defence across her recorded sample. Lemos is 2-3 across the same span. Thainara also lands 4.62 significant strikes a minute to 2.46 absorbed, so she does not have to trade to stay in front.

What We Were Watching For

  • Whether Lemos has an answer for a 4.54-takedown-per-15-minute pace.
  • Thainara's 100% takedown defence against an opponent with a 73% finish rate.
  • How Lemos's output holds at 12:23, which is Thainara's average fight time.
  • Whether Thainara's 57% finish rate converts control into a stoppage or another decision.

Fighters

Amanda Lemos
15-6-1 · Women's Strawweight · Amandinha
View profile →
Alexia Thainara
14-1-0 · Women's Strawweight · Burguesinha
View profile →

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