UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld 8 Aug 2026 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, US

Alexia Thainara defeats Amanda Lemos by unanimous decision

Win Burguesinha Alexia Thainara View profile 15-1-0

Loss Amandinha Amanda Lemos View profile 15-7-1

Unanimous decision

Round 3 · 5:00

At a glance

Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.

Analyst Picks10 analysts✓ Correct 20%2 picks 80%8 picks

Analyst picks AI forecasts Market odds

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Thainara traded and hurt Lemos at different points while continuing to use her grappling.

Lemos answered in the second with a right hand that put Thainara on shaky legs.

The judges gave Thainara the biggest win of her career by unanimous decision.

Official UFC resultsUFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld — Main Card Results

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Lemos

Lemos still carries the heavier hands here and a 73% finish rate built on stopping opponents rather than outpointing them. She beat Iasmin Lucindo inside the last eighteen months, so the level has not gone. If Thainara's takedown entries stall and the fight is contested in space, that is the territory where Lemos has always been most dangerous.

Case for Thainara

Thainara is 5-0 in her last five and the underlying numbers travel: 4.54 takedowns per 15 minutes, 1.82 submission attempts, and 100% takedown defence across her recorded sample. Lemos is 2-3 across the same span. Thainara also lands 4.62 significant strikes a minute to 2.46 absorbed, so she does not have to trade to stay in front.

What We Were Watching For

Whether Lemos has an answer for a 4.54-takedown-per-15-minute pace.
Thainara's 100% takedown defence against an opponent with a 73% finish rate.
How Lemos's output holds at 12:23, which is Thainara's average fight time.
Whether Thainara's 57% finish rate converts control into a stoppage or another decision.

Records & career stats

Lemos vs Thainara

Lemos Thainara

OutputSig. strikes landed / min 2.84 4.80
Striking def.Striking defense 44% 56%
DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 3.22 2.76
Takedown def.Takedown defense 63% 100%
FinishingFinish rate 73% 57%

15-6-1
Record: 14-1-0; 2-3 last 5
Recent form: 5-0 last 5; Brazil
Nationality: Brazil; 39
Age: 30; 1.63 m
Height: 1.63 m; 165 cm
Reach — Thainara leads: 170 cm; Not published
Stance: Not published; 73%
Finish rateFinish % — Lemos leads: 57%; 8
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Lemos leads: 0; 3
Wins by submissionSub wins — Thainara leads: 8; 2.84
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Thainara leads: 4.80; 3.22
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Thainara leads: 2.76; 44%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Thainara leads: 56%; 63%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Thainara leads: 100%; —
Avg. fight timeAvg. time: 12:54; Marajó Brothers
Team: Academia Ribas Family / Team LJ combat

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

(2) 20%

LLemos

80% (8)

ThainaraW

Analyst prediction scorecards

Bedtime MMA170 resolved calls Bedtime MMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 70.6% 120 50 Method Accuracy 63.6% 56 32 Round Accuracy 40.0% 10 15 Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Thainara · Dec	Thainara · Dec R3	Hit	Hit	Not called
Takes Thainara to win a decision. “We're going to go with Alexa Tonara to win this one by decision.” Hear it — 5:01 Bedtime MMA on YouTube ↗ Bedtime MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 120 of 170 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
TheWeasle163 resolved calls TheWeasleView full track record Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48 Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29 Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33 Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Thainara · Dec	Thainara · Dec R3	Hit	Hit	Not called
Has Thainara out-pointing Lemos over three rounds. “So, Alexia Tanara by decision.” Hear it — 16:11 TheWeasle on YouTube ↗ TheWeasle’s track record → Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
KennyOkoyeMMA53 resolved calls KennyOkoyeMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17 Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 62.5% 5 3 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Thainara · Dec	Thainara · Dec R3	Hit	Hit	Not called
Expects the fight to go the distance and favours Thainara clearly. “This one's definitely going the distance in my opinion. As far as who wins, I'm definitely going to lean out Alexia Diana.” Hear it — 9:45 KennyOkoyeMMA on YouTube ↗ KennyOkoyeMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls Michael ChiesaView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20 Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 29.5%. Lemos · to win	Thainara · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
A low-confidence value pick for Lemos, on the view that Thainara has not yet faced a comparably tested opponent. “I'm going with Amanda Amanda Lemos.” Hear it — 9:12 Michael Chiesa on YouTube ↗ Michael Chiesa’s track record → Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
The MMA Guru296 resolved calls The MMA GuruView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.9% 195 101 Method Accuracy 52.9% 55 49 Round Accuracy 34.3% 12 23 Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 15 18 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 29.5%. Lemos · Sub	Thainara · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Goes against Thainara, backing Lemos's hands and power against a grappler he still rates as unproven, and calls a guillotine in the first or second round. “I'm actually going to go against Alexia Tinara here to be honest with you guys. I think this will be like the first capable opponent that she's fought.” Hear it — 17:10 The MMA Guru on YouTube ↗ The MMA Guru’s track record → Track record: winner called in 195 of 296 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
DFS By The Numbers142 resolved calls DFS By The NumbersView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.5% 93 49 Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34 Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25 Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Thainara · Dec	Thainara · Dec R3	Hit	Hit	Not called
Takes Thainara on the scorecards. “Give me Viana. I'll take Viana to win this fight by decision.” Hear it — 23:29 DFS By The Numbers on YouTube ↗ DFS By The Numbers’s track record → Track record: winner called in 93 of 142 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
We Want Picks145 resolved calls We Want PicksView full track record Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52 Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3 Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Thainara · to win	Thainara · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
Makes Thainara the pick as a modest favourite, with no method. “Alexa is going to be the pick.” Hear it — 29:49 We Want Picks on YouTube ↗ We Want Picks’s track record → Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Half The Battle87 resolved calls Half The BattleView full track record Winner Accuracy 60.9% 53 34 Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 29.4% 5 12 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Thainara · Dec	Thainara · Dec R3	Hit	Hit	Not called
Sees Thainara winning at least two rounds and taking the decision. “I see Alexi Tinaro winning at least two of these rounds. And for that reason, I'm going to pick her to come out here and win this decision.” Hear it — 11:33 Half The Battle on YouTube ↗ Half The Battle’s track record → Track record: winner called in 53 of 87 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)69 resolved calls MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)View full track record Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28 Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11 Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7 Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Thainara · Dec	Thainara · Dec R3	Hit	Hit	Not called
Calls a Thainara decision, either 30-27 or 29-28. “And I think Tinara will win a decision” Hear it — 54:34 MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) on YouTube ↗ MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)’s track record → Track record: winner called in 41 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Andrew Richardson52 resolved calls Andrew RichardsonView full track record Winner Accuracy 57.7% 30 22 Method Accuracy 70.0% 21 9 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Thainara · Dec	Thainara · Dec R3	Hit	Hit	Not called
MMA Mania's UFC Vegas 120 X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Alexia Thainara by decision. Read source Andrew Richardson’s track record → Track record: winner called in 30 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

8 of 10 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.