UFC breakdown channel known for still-image striking and grappling analysis.
TheWeasle on YouTube ↗Track Record
Derived from every pick we've logged and verified — shown with its denominator, never a bare percentage. Draws and no-contests fall outside it. How Track Record works.
Called 25 of 37 resolved picks
9 of 25 hits also matched the method.
Call Profile
How this analyst's logged calls performed: winner, stated detail, and frozen pre-event underdog context.
29 calls included both method and round.
Resolved Calls
What was predicted, what actually happened, and whether it hit.
Miss Elliot vs Anderson TheWeasle: predicted Anderson · Sub · R3 for Elliot vs Anderson. Actual Elliot · Dec. Result: Miss.
Picks Anderson because he rates his ground game higher and sees him as more dangerous in the pocket, calling for a third-round submission.
Hit Basharat vs Garza TheWeasle: predicted Basharat · Sub · R2 for Basharat vs Garza. Actual Basharat · Dec. Result: Hit.
Explicitly notes the opponent change from Ethan Ewing to John Garza and treats Garza as a short-notice UFC debutant with real striking but a clear skill gap. He expects Basharat to out-jab him, blend wrestling with the striking, then use the grappling edge for a second-round rear-naked choke.
“Using his grappling to win the fight.”
Perfect Cortez vs Wang TheWeasle: predicted Wang · Decision for Cortez vs Wang. Actual Wang · Dec. Result: Perfect.
Calls Wang Cong the more technical, faster and more powerful striker, with more variety than Cortez on the feet. He thinks Cortez needs takedowns to change the fight, but trusts Wang's takedown defense and output enough to win a decision.
Hit Costa vs Durden TheWeasle: predicted Costa · KO/TKO · R2 for Costa vs Durden. Actual Costa · Sub R2. Result: Hit.
Sees Costa's power, strength and finishing upside as the difference against Durden's wrestling-first game. He expects Costa to threaten guillotines enough to make the takedowns costly, then track Durden's limited defensive reactions and finish with ground-and-pound in round two.
“Ending the fight by TKO in the second round.”
Miss Gandra vs Reese TheWeasle: predicted Reese · Sub · R3 for Gandra vs Reese. Actual Gandra · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
Acknowledges Gandra's first-round power as the danger, but trusts Reese as the more skilled and technical fighter if he survives the early storm. He expects Reese to use body kicks and grappling as the fight extends, then submit Gandra with a rear-naked choke in round three.
“I'm going to go with the more skilled fighter.”
Perfect Garbrandt vs Yañez TheWeasle: predicted Yañez · KO/TKO · R1 for Garbrandt vs Yañez. Actual Yañez · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect.
Does not trust Garbrandt's durability against Yanez's boxing. He expects Yanez to find Garbrandt early and finish him in the first round.
Hit McGregor vs Holloway TheWeasle: predicted Holloway · KO/TKO · R3 for McGregor vs Holloway. Actual Holloway · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Gives McGregor a real early power-and-style path, especially at 170 pounds, but thinks five years away has made him too slow and rusty. He expects Holloway's speed, movement, body-head volume and activity to wear McGregor down for a third-round fence-side TKO.
Miss Pimblett vs Saint Denis TheWeasle: predicted Saint Denis · Decision for Pimblett vs Saint Denis. Actual Pimblett · Sub R1. Result: Miss.
Frames Saint Denis as the fighter more likely to force the pressure and damage in a wild, size-for-size lightweight clash. He gives Pimblett the cardio edge and a possible late rally, but expects Saint Denis to win the first two rounds and take a decision.
Hit Pinas vs Almeida TheWeasle: predicted Pinas · KO/TKO · R2 for Pinas vs Almeida. Actual Pinas · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Respects Almeida's kickboxing experience but thinks Pinas is explosive enough, long enough and straight enough with his entries to beat Almeida to the target. He expects some competitive striking exchanges before Pinas' speed and accuracy produce a second-round knockout.
“Knocking out Caesar Almeida in the second round.”
Hit Riley vs Kamaka TheWeasle: predicted Riley · KO/TKO · R2 for Riley vs Kamaka. Actual Riley · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Gives Kamaka a chance to land early boxing, but sees Riley's offensive pressure and power as the deciding traits once exchanges open up. He expects Riley to keep throwing through Kamaka's offense and overpower him for a second-round knockout.
Miss Royval vs Kavanagh TheWeasle: predicted Kavanagh · KO/TKO · R3 for Royval vs Kavanagh. Actual Royval · Sub R3. Result: Miss.
Rates Kavanagh as a future champion-level talent and thinks his speed, kicks and punching entries will make Royval miss too often. He expects Kavanagh to pick Royval apart and eventually knock him out in the third round.
Miss Sandhagen vs Bautista TheWeasle: predicted Sandhagen · Decision for Sandhagen vs Bautista. Actual Bautista · Dec. Result: Miss.
Sees a high-level rematch where Bautista will land and test whether Sandhagen's chin has slipped, but still trusts Sandhagen's range tools. He expects Sandhagen's long-range work and jab to edge a 29-28 unanimous decision.
Perfect Steveson vs Ellison TheWeasle: predicted Steveson · KO/TKO · R1 for Steveson vs Ellison. Actual Steveson · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect.
Treats the matchup as a showcase for Steveson's elite wrestling and athleticism against an opponent he thinks is badly overmatched. He expects Steveson to maul Ellison quickly and finish in round one.
Perfect Whittaker vs Krylov TheWeasle: predicted Whittaker · KO/TKO · R3 for Whittaker vs Krylov. Actual Whittaker · KO/TKO R3. Result: Perfect.
Likes Whittaker's speed and timing at light heavyweight against Krylov's aggressive blitzes. He expects Krylov to overextend late, get countered, and be finished by ground-and-pound in round three.
Hit Lewis vs Hokit TheWeasle: predicted Hokit · KO/TKO · R1 for Lewis vs Hokit. Actual Hokit · KO/TKO R2. Result: Hit.
Hokit's speed and feints freeze Lewis, he blitzes in, scores the takedown and finishes with elbows and hammer fists.
Perfect Lopes vs Garcia TheWeasle: predicted Lopes · KO/TKO · R2 for Lopes vs Garcia. Actual Lopes · KO/TKO R2. Result: Perfect.
Lopes is far more durable than Garcia, who is too open for his own good, so Lopes weathers a chaotic first and knocks him out in the second.
Hit Nickal vs Daukaus TheWeasle: predicted Nickal · Decision for Nickal vs Daukaus. Actual Nickal · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Nickal out-wrestles and controls Daukaus, defending submissions to advance position and winning on composure and wrestling by decision.
Hit O'Malley vs Zahabi TheWeasle: predicted O'Malley · Decision for O'Malley vs Zahabi. Actual O'Malley · KO/TKO R2. Result: Hit.
O'Malley's striking is on a far higher level and Zahabi has seen nothing he can't handle, but Zahabi's toughness keeps him alive to a decision.
Miss Pereira vs Gane TheWeasle: predicted Pereira · KO/TKO · R2 for Pereira vs Gane. Actual Gane · KO/TKO R2. Result: Miss.
Pereira's leg kicks limit Gane's footwork and force a mistake, then Pereira counters with the left hook and finishes with ground-and-pound to become the first three-division champ.
Perfect Ruffy vs Chandler TheWeasle: predicted Ruffy · KO/TKO · R1 for Ruffy vs Chandler. Actual Ruffy · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect.
Chandler's fight IQ won't let him wrestle on the White House card; he swings haymakers and gets flatlined by Ruffy's check left hook and right straight.
Miss Topuria vs Gaethje TheWeasle: predicted Topuria · KO/TKO · R1 for Topuria vs Gaethje. Actual Gaethje · KO/TKO R4. Result: Miss.
Topuria's cage-cutting and one-punch power are too much. He works into the pocket, rips the body, and lands the overhand on top for a first-round finish.
Hit Brady vs Buckley TheWeasle: predicted Brady · Sub · R2 for Brady vs Buckley. Actual Brady · Dec. Result: Hit.
Brady takes Buckley down and submits him in the second.
Miss Chimaev vs Strickland TheWeasle: predicted Chimaev · to win for Chimaev vs Strickland. Actual Strickland · Dec. Result: Miss.
Goes with the heavy favourite — Strickland's upright stance invites the takedowns Chimaev lives on.
Hit Green vs Stephens TheWeasle: predicted Green · KO/TKO · R2 for Green vs Stephens. Actual Green · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Green's cleaner boxing counters Stephens' wild shots and finishes him.
Miss Van vs Taira TheWeasle: predicted Taira · Sub · R4 for Van vs Taira. Actual Van · KO/TKO R5. Result: Miss.
The bigger man and far better grappler; Taira's control finds a fourth-round submission.
Perfect Volkov vs Cortes-Acosta TheWeasle: predicted Volkov · Decision for Volkov vs Cortes-Acosta. Actual Volkov · Dec. Result: Perfect.
Volkov's technique, height and reach keep Waldo at range for a close 29-28 decision.
Hit Blaydes vs Hokit TheWeasle: predicted Hokit · KO/TKO · R3 for Blaydes vs Hokit. Actual Hokit · Dec. Result: Hit.
Hokit's athleticism and speed cancel Blaydes's wrestling for a third-round TKO.
Miss Costa vs Murzakanov TheWeasle: predicted Murzakanov · KO/TKO · R2 for Costa vs Murzakanov. Actual Costa · KO/TKO R3. Result: Miss.
Murzakanov's left hand finds Costa's poor defense for a second-round knockout.
Miss Prochazka vs Ulberg TheWeasle: predicted Prochazka · KO/TKO · R3 for Prochazka vs Ulberg. Actual Ulberg · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
Jiri overwhelms Ulberg with output against the cage and finishes with ground-and-pound in the third.
Hit Reyes vs Walker TheWeasle: predicted Reyes · KO/TKO · R2 for Reyes vs Walker. Actual Reyes · Dec. Result: Hit.
The more technical, fundamentally sound fighter; Reyes lands a second-round knockout.
Hit Swanson vs Landwehr TheWeasle: predicted Swanson · KO/TKO · R3 for Swanson vs Landwehr. Actual Swanson · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Swanson's technique and footwork beat Landwehr's recklessness; a third-round knockout.
Hit Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui TheWeasle: predicted Belgaroui · KO/TKO · R2 for Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui. Actual Belgaroui · KO/TKO R3. Result: Hit.
Belgaroui's elite kickboxing is too much standing; a second-round knockout.
Hit Adesanya vs Pyfer TheWeasle: predicted Pyfer · KO/TKO · R3 for Adesanya vs Pyfer. Actual Pyfer · KO/TKO R2. Result: Hit.
Adesanya is washed; Pyfer's power catches him in the third after losing the first two.
Perfect Chiesa vs Price TheWeasle: predicted Chiesa · Sub · R1 for Chiesa vs Price. Actual Chiesa · Sub R1. Result: Perfect.
Chiesa uses his grappling to take Price down and submit him in the first.
Perfect Erosa vs Douglas TheWeasle: predicted Douglas · KO/TKO · R1 for Erosa vs Douglas. Actual Douglas · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect.
Douglas's powerful, calculated punching finishes a defenseless Erosa in the first.
Miss Grasso vs Barber TheWeasle: predicted Barber · Decision for Grasso vs Barber. Actual Grasso · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
Barber's improved footwork edges a very close, possibly split, decision.
Hit McKinney vs Nelson TheWeasle: predicted McKinney · KO/TKO · R2 for McKinney vs Nelson. Actual McKinney · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
McKinney's size and power overwhelm Nelson with takedowns for a second-round TKO.