Nuzzi def. Long
KO/TKO · strikes · Round 1 · 1:00
Long vs Nuzzi — Bantamweight · Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Result verified. Full fight recap pending source verification.
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Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Analyst picks: The MMA Guru Hit; TheWeasle Hit; We Want Picks Hit; Half The Battle Hit; AJ Miss; MMAPREDICTIONGURU Miss; Bedtime MMA Miss; HopperoMMA Miss; JakeGerberMMA Miss.
All 9 analyst scorecardsWinner, method and round results9 scored · 4 hits · 5 misses
| Predicted by | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuzzi · to win | Nuzzi · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Francesco Nuzzi without a stated method. “I'm going to go with Francesco Nuzzi.” Track record: winner called in 66 of 99 resolved picks. | |||||
| Nuzzi · Dec | Nuzzi · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Picks Francesco Nuzzi by decision. “Francesco Nuzzi is going to get the win by decision.” Track record: winner called in 45 of 61 resolved picks. | |||||
| Nuzzi · to win | Nuzzi · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Francesco Nuzzi for his striking and cage-side takedown defence. “Pick Francesco.” Track record: winner called in 79 of 121 resolved picks. | |||||
| Nuzzi · to win | Nuzzi · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Francesco Nuzzi as an underdog on activity and cleaner striking. Track record: winner called in 40 of 60 resolved picks. | |||||
| Long · to win | Nuzzi · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Xiao Long on his experience at a higher level without settling on a result method. “I'm going to go Xiao Long.” Track record: winner called in 75 of 109 resolved picks. | |||||
| Long · to win | Nuzzi · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Xiao Long while leaving the choice between a late finish and decision unresolved. “I'm going to pick Long Xiao to win either by a late finish or decision.” Track record: winner called in 22 of 38 resolved picks. | |||||
| Long · Dec | Nuzzi · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Xiao Long by decision. “Long Xiao by decision, maybe by submission, but I'm going to say by decision.” Track record: winner called in 83 of 126 resolved picks. | |||||
| Long · Dec | Nuzzi · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Xiao Long by decision. “I'mma go Long Xiao by decision.” Track record: winner called in 58 of 92 resolved picks. | |||||
| Long · Dec | Nuzzi · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Xiao Long by decision, citing his pressure, power, and volume. “Xiao Long by decision.” Track record: winner called in 60 of 90 resolved picks. | |||||
4 of 9 called the winner.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Archive Pre-fight material — kept for transparency.
- 27-11-0
- Record
- 11-2-0
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- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- Not published
- Reach
- Not published
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- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
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- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
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- Not published
- Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- Not published
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- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- China
- Nationality
- Italy
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Long
Xiao Long has thirty-eight professional fights and nine submission wins, and in none of them has he been submitted himself. Twenty-one went to the judges. The counterweight is form — he has lost three of his last four, all on the cards.
Case for Nuzzi
Nuzzi has finished eight of his eleven wins and carries two no contests, the most recent an accidental knee to the groin that ended his April bout at 3:35 of the first. Both of his defeats are submissions, which is the one thing Xiao Long has never suffered and often does.
What We Were Watching For
- Xiao Long has nine submission wins and has never been submitted. Both of Nuzzi's defeats are submissions.
- Twenty-one of Xiao Long's thirty-eight fights reached a decision. Nuzzi has been to three.
- Nuzzi's last fight was stopped at 3:35 of the first on an accidental knee to the groin — the second no contest of his career.
- Xiao Long has lost three of his last four, every one of them on the scorecards.
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