Bedtime MMA

Calls Aljarouj the more composed technical striker with the better takedown defence against a wilder, overextending Sintes.

“I'm going to go with Al Harroun to win this one by decision.”

▶ Hear it — 4:56 View this fight →

Sees Montenegro's forward pressure and aggression nullifying Benouaich's cleaner striking over three rounds.

“we're going to be picking Sofia to win this one by unanimous decision 29-28.”

▶ Hear it — 1:03 View this fight →

Expects Campbell's kicking and takedown game to break down a Peek returning from injury, ending in a choke.

“I think Pink Panther just takes him down, gets on his back, eventually locks up a rear naked choke.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.6% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 14:27 View this fight →

Argues Lima is the more well-rounded striker-grappler and that Charriere's upright, hands-low stance is exploitable.

“we're going to go with Felipe Lima to win that one by decision.”

▶ Hear it — 18:04 View this fight →

Sees Syguła as younger and more mobile, with a better path to takedowns against a largely stationary Cornolle.

“I'm going to be going with Segurola to win this one by decision.”

▶ Hear it — 4:10 View this fight →

Rates Donchenko's style but reads his defence as too loose against Soriano's straight left and wrestling threat.

“I'm a big fan of Denil Donchenko. I'm picking Punah Hele Soriano.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 32.6% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 22:11 View this fight →

Rates Duclos' reach and counter-striking as the tool to catch a chin-up, square-standing Dias.

“going to go with Duduco to win this one by KO.”

▶ Hear it — 2:33 View this fight →

Believes the line undersells Hooker's chin, cardio and full camp, and expects him to weather an early Parnasse push and finish late.

“I think Dan Hooker is going to win by a third round TKO.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 19.2% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 40:18 View this fight →

Expects Keita's power and counter timing to punish an increasingly aggressive Naimov.

“I'm going to say Loik Kietza wins by round two or three KO.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.3% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 21:41 View this fight →

Thinks Page's cagey low-output style is hard to solve on the feet and doubts Ruziboev forces the grappling he needs.

“I am going to pick MVP. I think he's going to win by decision.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 24:13 View this fight →

High on Pinto's activity and finishing instinct, expecting a finish either on the mat or on the feet.

“Batman, don't matter. Pinto in two.”

▶ Hear it — 10:57 View this fight →

Distrusts Sy's grappling entries after a prior submission loss and backs Bukauskas' takedown defence and right hand.

“going with Modestas Bukauskas to win this one by round two TKO.”

▶ Hear it — 8:31 View this fight →

Expects Andrusca's accurate boxing to catch Wood on the way out of an exchange; states it as a gut read off the tape.

“I'm thinking Andruschka flukes a KO here in the second or third.”

▶ Hear it — 8:20 View this fight →

Backs Sola to out-work Ziam in the clinch and cage exchanges he considers Ziam's weakest area.

“I'm going to go with Axel Sala to win this one by decision.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Underdog credit earned: 0.16 — (50% − 41.9%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 31:13 View this fight →

Picks Kai Asakura by first-round knockout.

“Kai Asakura wins this by round one KO.”

▶ Hear it — 23:41 View this fight →

Picks Andre Lima by decision.

“I'm going to go with Andre Lima by decision.”

▶ Hear it — 15:57 View this fight →

Picks Liu Ce by first-round knockout.

“I'm going to pick Liu Ce by round one KO.”

▶ Hear it — 20:40 View this fight →

Picks Bilal Hasan by first-round head-kick knockout.

“Bilal Hasan, round one head-kick KO.”

▶ Hear it — 17:28 View this fight →

Picks Jack Jenkins by TKO while acknowledging a decision remains possible.

“I'm going to say Jack Jenkins by TKO.”

▶ Hear it — 10:21 View this fight →

Picks Julia Polastri by decision.

“I'm going to go with Julia to win by decision. 29-28.”

▶ Hear it — 2:17 View this fight →

Picks Ding Meng for a knockout, placing it around the round-one/round-two boundary.

“I'm going to go with Ding Mang to win, probably by knockout. Late first, early second.”

▶ Hear it — 0:32 View this fight →

Picks Umar Nurmagomedov by decision.

“He obviously wins this fight by decision.”

▶ Hear it — 30:40 View this fight →

Picks Sumudaerji by decision.

“I think Sumudaerji wins by decision.”

▶ Hear it — 23:29 View this fight →

Picks Rei Tsuruya for a second-round ground-and-pound stoppage.

“Rei Tsuruya, TKO via ground and pound in the second round.”

▶ Hear it — 15:29 View this fight →

Picks Xiao Long by decision.

“Long Xiao by decision, maybe by submission, but I'm going to say by decision.”

▶ Hear it — 9:21 View this fight →

Picks Yan Xiaonan by decision.

“I'm going to go with Yan Xiaonan by decision.”

▶ Hear it — 25:31 View this fight →

Picks Lawrence Lui as the more well-rounded fighter without fixing a method.

“I'm going to go with Lawrence Louie to win this one 'cause he's a little bit more well-rounded.”

▶ Hear it — 5:54 View this fight →

Expects Orolbai's pressure and takedowns to wear Wells down for a decision.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 1:21 View this fight →

Favors Magny's physical advantages and takedowns in a unanimous decision.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.17 — (50% − 41.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 5:07 View this fight →

Favors Fernando's jab, calf kicks and reach for a clear decision.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 5:51 View this fight →

Backs Gore to win but the captions make the later method call unreliable, so this is recorded winner-only.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.01 — (50% − 49.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 8:43 View this fight →

Favors Johnson, while treating potential finish scenarios as conditional rather than a committed method call.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 15:03 View this fight →

Calls Turner by first-round knockout.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 51.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 16:27 View this fight →

Backs Njokuani to win a decision over Álvarez.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 26.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.47 — (50% − 26.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 19:38 View this fight →

Calls Ribovics by first-round TKO.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 27:13 View this fight →

Calls Abdul-Malik by second-round knockout.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 28:23 View this fight →

Backs Dern by submission but names either round two or three, so no single round is recorded.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 34:07 View this fight →

Favors Makhachev to win a decision, projecting close scorecards.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 38:50 View this fight →

Expects Salkilld to eventually hurt and stop Gamrot inside two rounds, so a window rather than a single round.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 57.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 31:06 View this fight →

Takes Quarantillo on the scorecards.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 39.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 21:52 View this fight →

Thinks Elkins should be retired and that the younger, more durable del Valle takes him down and finishes it early.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 18:11 View this fight →

Takes Miller by knockout but hedges between a late first and a second round, so no round is recorded.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 11:12 View this fight →

Takes Thainara to win a decision.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 5:01 View this fight →

Takes Sutherland on the scorecards.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 13:34 View this fight →

Takes Nurgozhay by knockout.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 10:39 View this fight →

Takes Asplund by a third-round standing TKO.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 8:32 View this fight →

Takes Miranda by knockout, hedging between the second and third round.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 24.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 2:35 View this fight →

Takes Miller, hedging between a submission and a decision.

▶ Hear it — 2:03 View this fight →

Rates Medic's real KO power and finishing instinct over Rodriguez's volume boxing, and sees the lead-side front kick to the body bringing D-Rod's hands down for an uppercut.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 35:35 View this fight →

Argues Blachowicz has not actually declined — competitive against Ulberg, Guskov and Pereira — and that Stirling lacks Ulberg's one-shot power, especially on short notice.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 24.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 28:58 View this fight →

Sees a clear striking and speed edge for Rakic plus leg kicks and takedowns, with Tybura fading badly into the later rounds. Openly flags Rakic's chin as the one way it goes wrong.

“I'm gonna go with [Rakic] by decision, but I'm not fully confident.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 24:46 View this fight →

Calls Valentin the more dynamic and dangerous fighter and expects him to hurt Todorovic with a combination and then find a guillotine off a panic shot or take the back.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 23:43 View this fight →

Takes the big underdog purely on distrust of Cepo, whom he calls a strategy-free hook-swinger not worth 3-to-1 odds, versus Urbina's known UFC level and straight punches. Explicitly says he is not confident.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 26.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.47 — (50% − 26.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 21:46 View this fight →

Believes Elliott's wrestling will not land on the bigger, more physically gifted Oliveira, who controls range behind the jab and counters patiently.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 13:21 View this fight →

Gives Klein the speed, accuracy and kicking-game edge, and notes Musayev was repeatedly rocked by the southpaw one-two against Bahamondes.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 16:20 View this fight →

Frames it as striker vs grappler where Buzukja's chin is the bigger liability, and trusts Grad's chained takedowns and control.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 8:08 View this fight →

Names Magomed Ankalaev as the full-card pick in this preview.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 31:56 View this fight →

Names Rizvan Kuniev as the full-card pick in this preview.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 21:53 View this fight →

Names Axel Sola as the full-card pick in this preview.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 16:25 View this fight →

Picks Thomas Petersen by decision in a deliberately contrarian call.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 37.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 12:15 View this fight →

Names Magomed Tuchalov as the full-card pick in this preview.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 5:24 View this fight →

Names Magomed Zaynukov as the full-card pick in this preview.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 25:54 View this fight →

Picks Nurullo Aliev by decision, expecting his takedown-led control to edge a dangerous Mike Davis.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 2:26 View this fight →

Picks Steve Erceg for his cleaner striking, size and reach against Temirov.

▶ Hear it — 29:17 View this fight →

Names Sam Patterson as the full-card pick in this preview.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 7:01 View this fight →

Names Abubakar Vagaev as the full-card pick in this preview.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 19:13 View this fight →

Names Dustin Jacoby as the full-card pick in this preview.

▶ Hear it — 9:32 View this fight →

Names Abdul Hussein as the full-card pick in this preview.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 84.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 0:48 View this fight →

Picks Elliot's size and striking edge, expecting him to avoid Anderson's ground game and win mainly on the feet over three rounds.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 47.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.05 — (50% − 47.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 1:17 View this fight →

Sees moments for McGregor but expects Holloway's volume and cardio to take over in the championship rounds. The five-year layoff is the decisive factor — McGregor burns himself out chasing an early finish that never comes, and Holloway stops him around rounds three or four.

“I do think there'll be moments here for McGregor, but I'm going to say we get like a round three or four TKO from Max Holloway.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 5:58 View this fight →

Gun to his head, sides with Bautista over Sandhagen. Bautista has improved significantly since their 2019 first meeting and his grappling and footwork evolution make him the more dangerous fighter now. Picks Bautista to outwork Sandhagen over three rounds and announce his title run.

“I'm going to go with Mario Bautista to win this one by decision.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 42.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.15 — (50% − 42.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 13:23 View this fight →

Thinks Kavanagh's kickboxing and chin are genuine problems for a Royval who's coming off back-to-back losses. Believes Kavanagh can keep it standing, weather Royval's chaos, and grind out a decision — though acknowledges Royval's submission game makes it competitive.

“I'm probably going to go with Kavanagh by decision.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 68.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 17:51 View this fight →

Sees Steveson as a heavily protected but legitimate heavyweight prospect, citing his boxing, elite wrestling base, and the matchup placement as signals that the UFC expects him to win cleanly. Picks Steveson to knock Ellison out.

“Gable Steveson, great prospect at heavyweight. He's going to win this fight. He's going to knock this dude out.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 89.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 15:44 View this fight →

Treats Whittaker's prelim placement as the strange part of the booking, not the matchup itself. His early read is that Whittaker is the cleaner fighter and should comfortably outclass Krylov, while leaving a fuller breakdown for closer to fight week.

“Robert Whittaker being on the prelims. I think he's going to piece up Nikita Krylov.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 18:27 View this fight →

Takes Tracy Cortez by decision despite expecting Wang Cong to punish some clinch and takedown entries with elbows and knees. He thinks Cortez's chin, cardio, wrestling and top-position ground-and-pound let her bank enough control and damage for a close 29-28.

“I'm going to go with Tracy Cortez to win in by decision.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 46.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 9:33 View this fight →

Calls it close and expects Kai Kamaka to have moments, but leans Luke Riley by 29-28 decision. He thinks Riley's light movement, speed, body work and left hook make Kamaka's calf-kick game harder to establish over three rounds.

“We're going to go with Luke Riley by 29-28 decision.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 11:50 View this fight →

Picks Adrian Yanez by knockout because he no longer trusts Garbrandt's low-output style to keep up. He expects Yanez's combination boxing, jab and counters to back Garbrandt toward the fence and create the damaging right-hand or uppercut moments.

“I'm going with Adrian Yanez by knockout.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 14:12 View this fight →

Picks Ryan Gandra by first-round knockout because he expects Gandra's pressure and real punching power to force Zachary Reese into exchanges. He respects Reese's length and kicking game, but thinks Reese is hittable once opponents close distance and does not have enough stopping power to keep Gandra off him.

“I'm going to say that Ryan Goundrey wins this one by knockout.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 55.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 2:21 View this fight →

Calls the opener closer than the market tone suggests and admits he nearly picked Durden. He still sides with Costa because the calf kicks, power, BJJ threats and harder pocket shots should offset Durden's pressure and wrestling looks.

“I'm going to go with Alessandro Costa to win this one.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 0:30 View this fight →

Acknowledges Garza's short-notice boxing upside and says Garza may have real moments pressuring Basharat. He still picks Basharat by a close 29-28 because the mobility, stance switching, kick setups, experience and fight IQ should carry enough rounds.

“I'm going to go with Fared Bash to win this one.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 3:54 View this fight →

Backs Damian Pinas by round-two knockout while acknowledging Almeida as a skilled kickboxer who may start well. The read is that Pinas' length, explosiveness and straight right eventually find Almeida during a mostly striking fight.

“I'm going to go with Demian Pynoos by round two knockout.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 7:10 View this fight →

Picks Paddy Pimblett by submission while admitting Saint Denis' pressure and clinch work are dangerous early. His argument is that Saint Denis' takedown entries play into Pimblett's defensive grappling, reversals and submission threats, and that Pimblett can weather the early storm before finishing in a scramble.

“I'm picking Paddy Pimblett by submission.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 46.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.07 — (50% − 46.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 31:17 View this fight →

Bedtime sides with Nascimento as the more explosive fighter who has faced stronger recent opposition and can force Abdullayev backward early.

• Calls Abdullayev a slow starter
• Sees Nascimento landing the cleaner early damage

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 57.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 1:06

Bedtime takes Almakhan by damage-based decision, trusting his boxing power and counter moments to matter more than Matsumoto's pressure.

• Sees a close fight
• Almakhan power can create visible damage

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 39.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 3:05

Bedtime backs Donchenko's forward pressure, body work and heavier boxing to break down a short-notice Berggren who relies more on kicks and space.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 5:57

Bedtime dislikes the matchup for Ofli and expects Reyes' physicality and power to find the TKO despite not rating Reyes especially highly.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 9:53

Bedtime picks Ruziboev by decision, expecting his pressure and cleaner threat to outpoint Pulyaev over three rounds.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 10:28

Bedtime takes Yakhyaev by first-round submission, seeing him as the cleaner all-around prospect with a grappling route before Walker can build momentum.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 83.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 13:00

Bedtime takes Hasanov by decision, expecting him to survive Nolan's early boxing threat and bank the fight with takedowns, ground-and-pound and elbows.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 16:03

Bedtime fades Magomedov's durability and cardio, expecting Oleksiejczuk's pressure to take over late and produce a second-round TKO.

▶ Hear it — 18:10 View this fight →

Bedtime sides with Aliskerov because he can match Ferreira's power while also bringing the better wrestling and structure if the fight gets chaotic.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 19:41 View this fight →

Bedtime picks Almabayev by decision, expecting the grappling and control to carry the minutes while acknowledging Johnson's late chaos threat.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 22:22 View this fight →

Bedtime takes Sadykhov by decision, trusting his doggedness, boxing and cardio to outlast Camilo after any early danger.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 27:03 View this fight →

Bedtime picks Shara Magomedov by decision, expecting constant movement, kicks and output to drain Pereira after an early danger window.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 27:20 View this fight →

Bedtime takes Torres by knockout, arguing his size, reach, forward boxing and finishing instinct can break through Fiziev's kicking range before the later rounds.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 50.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 30:01 View this fight →

He expects Gaethje to fight patient and movement-heavy like the second Poirier fight (calf kicks, lateral movement, clinch ties to extend it), but believes Topuria is too hard to hit cleanly. Topuria may look bad early reading Gaethje, then in round two make a read and land something brutal.

• Expects Gaethje patient and movement-heavy, trying to extend via the clinch
• Topuria's calf kicks a big factor against a boxing-first Gaethje
• May give Gaethje the first round before the finish

“He will find something brutal and KO Justin Gaethje in the second round, badly.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 33:56 View this fight →

He calls it the trickiest fight on the card and admits Gane has the size, reach and skill to win, but says Gane has the lowest fight IQ he's seen and will sabotage himself. He expects Pereira more comfortable in the pocket and a close decision, maybe via a Gane mistake.

• Explicitly doesn't see Gane KO'd or badly outstruck — expects it close
• Picks Pereira on fight IQ, not a physical edge
• Predicts a clutch grappling moment decides it

“I'm going to go with Alex Pereira by decision.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 52.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 24:38 View this fight →

He thinks O'Malley styles on Zahabi with oblique kicks, body front-kicks, jab and straight punches against Zahabi's pressure-boxing. He credits Zahabi's kicks and toughness and a viable takedown threat, but expects O'Malley to defend, threaten guillotines and win clearly.

• Predicts a dominant 30-27, maybe 30-26 decision
• Expects O'Malley to drop Zahabi but not finish
• A Zahabi split-decision upset would be 'comedy gold'

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 17:53 View this fight →

He dismisses Lewis as a flat-footed puncher who flops around at range, and sees Hokit as the better athlete in cardio, striking, grappling, heart and fight IQ. He expects Hokit to melt Lewis on the fence or take him down for a first-round TKO; Lewis's only path is a fluke overhand.

• Lists Hokit ahead in cardio, striking, grappling, heart and IQ
• Lewis's only win is a fluke overhand KO
• Calls it the easiest fight on the card to break down

“I'm picking Josh by round one TKO.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 16:39 View this fight →

He calls Chandler washed and expects Ruffy to systematically break him down. Chandler may find early success with kicks and pressure, but as he loses composure and abandons the game plan, Ruffy counters with uppercuts, knees and straight rights and finishes with ground-and-pound in the third.

• Chandler does okay early before fading
• Ruffy's grappling is underrated — can reverse and land elbows
• Expects a dominant third round and a TKO

“I'm going to say Mauricio Ruffy by round three TKO.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 15:16 View this fight →

He admits he wanted to pick Daukaus — better jiu-jitsu, a real sweep and submission path — but thinks Daukaus lacks the athleticism to pressure Nickal the way Rakhmonov did. He expects an early blast double, the takedown threat established, then a level-change overhand for a round-two TKO.

• Concedes Daukaus has the better jiu-jitsu and a submission path
• Notes Nickal's striking defence is poor and he's been rocked before
• Expects an early takedown to set up the overhand

“I'm going to go with Bo Nickal by round two KO.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 10:36 View this fight →

He flips from expecting Garcia to get outclassed: after watching tape he thinks Garcia — a long, lanky southpaw with nasty boxing and reach — out-strikes Lopes. The length helps Garcia see takedowns coming and pile up body and straight shots while Lopes hunts one big shot.

• Reach and length let Garcia counter and read the takedowns
• Garcia's chin means he won't be KO'd
• Self-flags it as a crazy pick / upset

“Steve Garcia is going to pull this one off by decision.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 40.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

* He flags it himself as a 'crazy pick.'

▶ Hear it — 7:00 View this fight →

Chimaev's grappling is too much for Strickland to stop — a round-three submission, in the mould of Khabib–McGregor.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 42:06 View this fight →

Van's forward pressure and boxing take momentum as the championship rounds wear on, for a decision.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 39.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.21 — (50% − 39.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 31:43

A close one, but Volkov's reach and the style matchup edge a decision.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 28:07

Buckley builds his takedown defense round by round and catches Brady late for a third-round TKO.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 27:38

Green out-boxes Stephens and counter-punches his way to a unanimous decision.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 23:00

Bedtime picks Ochoa by decision, citing his UFC-tested level, power, grappling and youth against a Carpenter coming off two losses.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 0:52

Bedtime picks Susurkaev by decision, trusting his grappling, front kicks and power while noting he may showboat enough to let Santos survive.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 1:57

Bedtime picks Sabatini by decision, expecting his takedowns, scrambling and back control to bank rounds against a technical but lower-power Gomis.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 3:30

Bedtime picks Tulio, expecting his forward pressure, speed and power to make Kopylov back up before any late head-kick danger materializes.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 6:06

Bedtime picks Gordon by decision because he sees the better boxing and enough wrestling defense to survive Miller's veteran grappling moments.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 9:25

Bedtime picks Rebecki, expecting his pressure, hooks and refusal to accept bottom position to punish Dawson before Dawson can settle into control.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 11:25

Bedtime switches to Alvarez, seeing his length, jab, front kicks and submission threat as the tools that can blunt Amosov's wrestling and set up a late finish.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 36.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 15:55

Bedtime picks Gautier, expecting an easy pressure finish once he backs Diaz to the fence and lets the right hand go.

▶ Hear it — 18:50

Jiri weathers the early storm, walks Ulberg down and finishes late with a TKO.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 33:49 View this fight →

Azamat is quicker and lands the bigger punches for a 29-28 decision.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 68.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 29:09

Hokit is too much too soon; Blaydes stuffs the takedowns and wins.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 48.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 27:03 View this fight →

Walker's head moves into bad spots; Reyes lands a first-round KO.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 23:42

Landwehr cockroaches his way through, pours on late pressure and finds a TKO.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 47.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 21:24

Doesn't believe Adesanya still has it; switches off his Adesanya pick and takes Pyfer to KO him inside two rounds.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.13 — (50% − 43.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 37:41 View this fight →

Grasso is now the one being picked apart at range; Barber gets revenge for a 29-28 decision.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 30:52

However reluctantly — Chiesa takes Price down and submits him.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 88.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 28:09

Douglas's composed counter-striking and takedown defense set up a KO of Erosa.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 74.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 23:44

Belgaroui out-boxes Abdul-Malik at range with a cleaner jab for a close 29-28 decision.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.13 — (50% − 43.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 20:48

McKinney ducks an overhand and takes the back for a first-round submission.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 20:09