Camilo def. Sadykhov
KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:31
Sadykhov vs Camilo — Lightweight · UFC Baku
What happened
Matheus Camilo produced the breakout of his young UFC career, upsetting local favorite Nazim Sadykhov and quieting the partisan Baku crowd. He struck before Sadykhov could settle into the drawn-out exchanges that usually suit him, dropping and finishing him with punches at 1:31 of the first round.
- The stoppage came by punches just 91 seconds into round one, before Sadykhov could build a rhythm.
- UFC's own event recap flagged the upset as the result that silenced the home building; it moved Camilo to 2-1 in the UFC.
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Caller scorecard: Bedtime MMA missed; DFS By The Numbers missed; MMA JOEY missed.
Only 0 of 3 called the upset.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Full analyst picks ↓
Bedtime MMA Analyst called 36 of 58 Bedtime MMA: predicted Sadykhov · Decision. Actual Camilo · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
Bedtime takes Sadykhov by decision, trusting his doggedness, boxing and cardio to outlast Camilo after any early danger.
Track record: winner called in 36 of 58 resolved picks, 18 a perfect call.
DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 32 of 47 DFS By The Numbers: predicted Sadykhov · KO/TKO · R2. Actual Camilo · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
DFS expects Sadykhov to push Camilo until the gas tank breaks, then knock him out in the second round in a fight-of-the-night style brawl.
Track record: winner called in 32 of 47 resolved picks, 13 a perfect call.
MMA JOEY Analyst called 13 of 16 MMA JOEY: predicted Sadykhov · KO/TKO · R2. Actual Camilo · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
MMA Joey takes Sadykhov by second-round TKO, expecting his confidence, pace and boxing to overwhelm Camilo as the fight settles.
Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks, 2 a perfect call.
Archive
Pre-fight material — kept for transparency, folded by default.
Tale of the Tape
Records & career stats — as they entered fight night
- 11-3-1
- Record
- 10-3-0
- 2-2-1 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 4-1 last 5
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 72%
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- 08:41
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 08:25
- United States
- Nationality
- Brazil
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Sadykhov
Sadykhov is the heavy local favourite (-205) fighting on home soil with an 11-3-1 record built across structured competition. Despite his Azerbaijani roots he developed in an American MMA environment and carries the experience and physical advantages of a fighter who should control most dimensions against an unranked Brazilian opponent.
Case for Camilo
Camilo the 'Jaguar' is the live +170 underdog with a finish-or-nothing style that has caught bigger names off guard. His 10-3 record includes multiple first-round finishes, and against a Sadykhov expected to showboat for the home crowd, Camilo's aggression and explosive finishing instinct represent a real shock threat.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Sadykhov uses his wrestling or stays on the feet — Camilo's grappling defence is entirely untested at this level.
- Camilo's first-round aggression — his upset window is highest early, before Sadykhov's experience and crowd energy can compound.
- The home-crowd pressure on Sadykhov — performing for a partisan crowd can make fighters cautious or reckless; which version shows up?
- Camilo's chin — if Sadykhov settles into his striking rhythm, does the Brazilian's aggression leave him exposed?
Fighters
Reader thread
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