UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres  27 Jun 2026 · National Gymnastics Arena, Baku, Azerbaijan, AZ

Matheus Camilo defeats Nazim Sadykhov by KO/TKO

Loss Nazim Sadykhov 11-3-1
Win Matheus Camilo 11-3-0
KO/TKO · strikes

Round 1 · 1:31

Sadykhov vs Camilo — Lightweight · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Camilo found his opening early, before Sadykhov could establish a rhythm.

He dropped Sadykhov in the first round.

Camilo finished with punches at 1:31 of the opening frame.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Sadykhov

Sadykhov is the heavy local favourite (-205) fighting on home soil with an 11-3-1 record built across structured competition. Despite his Azerbaijani roots he developed in an American MMA environment and carries the experience and physical advantages of a fighter who should control most dimensions against an unranked Brazilian opponent.

Case for Camilo

Camilo the 'Jaguar' is the live +170 underdog with a finish-or-nothing style that has caught bigger names off guard. His 10-3 record includes multiple first-round finishes, and against a Sadykhov expected to showboat for the home crowd, Camilo's aggression and explosive finishing instinct represent a real shock threat.

What We Were Watching For

  • Whether Sadykhov uses his wrestling or stays on the feet — Camilo's grappling defence is entirely untested at this level.
  • Camilo's first-round aggression — his upset window is highest early, before Sadykhov's experience and crowd energy can compound.
  • The home-crowd pressure on Sadykhov — performing for a partisan crowd can make fighters cautious or reckless; which version shows up?
  • Camilo's chin — if Sadykhov settles into his striking rhythm, does the Brazilian's aggression leave him exposed?
Records & career stats
Sadykhov vs Camilo
11-2-1
Record
10-3-0
2-2-1 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
Not published
United States
Nationality
Brazil
32
Age
25
5′10″178 cm
Height
5′10″178 cm
69″175 cm
Reach — Camilo leads
70″177 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Not published
91%
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
Source pending
8
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
—
2
Wins by submissionSub wins
2
4.69
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Sadykhov leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.22
5.42
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Camilo leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.05
49%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Camilo leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
67%
72%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Camilo leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
100%
08:41
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
08:25

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 26:59 Bedtime MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Nazim Sadykhov · Dec

Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO

Bedtime takes Sadykhov by decision, trusting his doggedness, boxing and cardio to outlast Camilo after any early danger.

“I'm going to go with Sadikov by decision”

Track record: winner called in 132 of 185 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 71.4% (132 hit, 53 miss, across 185 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.9% (60 hit, 37 miss, across 97 method-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.7% (11 hit, 16 miss, across 27 round-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 48.7% (19 hit, 20 miss, across 39 underdog calls on 185 resolved calls).

View full track record (185 calls)
FightIQ
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Nazim Sadykhov · Dec

Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO

FightIQ's public record lists Nazim Sadykhov as its pick over Matheus Camilo.

Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).

View full track record (227 calls)
KennyOkoyeMMA
Hear it — 15:39 KennyOkoyeMMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Nazim Sadykhov

Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO

Transcript-verified winner pick from KennyOkoyeMMA UFC Baku full-card prediction.

“I'm going to go with Sadikov in this one. I think he can get it done and get the win.”

Track record: winner called in 43 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 66.2% (43 hit, 22 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).

View full track record (65 calls)
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 25:56 DFS By The Numbers on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Nazim Sadykhov · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO

DFS expects Sadykhov to push Camilo until the gas tank breaks, then knock him out in the second round in a fight-of-the-night style brawl.

“So, give me Nazim Satakov to put up a fight of the night type performance and knock out Camello in the second round.”

Track record: winner called in 112 of 173 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.7% (112 hit, 61 miss, across 173 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.0% (61 hit, 39 miss, across 100 method-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 38.3% (18 hit, 29 miss, across 47 round-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 underdog calls on 173 resolved calls).

View full track record (173 calls)
MMA JOEY
Hear it — 24:48 MMA JOEY on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Nazim Sadykhov · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO

MMA Joey takes Sadykhov by second-round TKO, expecting his confidence, pace and boxing to overwhelm Camilo as the fight settles.

“I'm going to go in this in Sadykhov second round KO.”

Track record: winner called in 78 of 125 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 62.4% (78 hit, 47 miss, across 125 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.6% (27 hit, 31 miss, across 58 method-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.1% (9 hit, 23 miss, across 32 round-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 125 resolved calls).

View full track record (125 calls)
James Blissett
Hear it — 23:46 James Blissett on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Nazim Sadykhov · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO

Lucrative James picks Nazim Sadykhov by third-round knockout.

Track record: winner called in 48 of 79 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.8% (48 hit, 31 miss, across 79 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.2% (26 hit, 22 miss, across 48 method-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 41.2% (7 hit, 10 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 79 resolved calls).

View full track record (79 calls)
Andrew Richardson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Nazim Sadykhov · KO/TKO

Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO

MMA Mania's UFC Baku X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Nazim Sadykhov by knockout.

Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 73.0% (27 hit, 10 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 10.0% (1 hit, 9 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).

View full track record (66 calls)

Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Miss; FightIQ Miss; KennyOkoyeMMA Miss; DFS By The Numbers Miss; MMA JOEY Miss; James Blissett Miss; Andrew Richardson Miss.

Only 0 of 7 called the upset.

Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

AI Predictions

This fight is settled. Eligible pre-fight AI forecasts load when this page is online.

Market Odds

No current consensus line is saved on this page.

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