UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
Ikram Aliskerov defeats Brunno Ferreira by unanimous decision
Round 3
Aliskerov vs Ferreira — Middleweight · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Aliskerov avoided the early exchanges that had the potential to create a chaotic fight.
He controlled the pace over the full fifteen minutes.
The measured approach kept Ferreira from landing a fight-changing burst and earned Aliskerov the unanimous decision.
- Official UFC main-card resultsUFC · UFC Baku main-card results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Aliskerov
Aliskerov is the Dagestani prospect with a clear trajectory — three straight UFC wins and a 5-1 UFC record that places him genuinely in the top 15 discussion. His wrestling-heavy style creates positions Ferreira hasn't solved consistently, and the volume of grappling exchanges Aliskerov can produce over three rounds is a grind that should tip the scorecards in his favour.
Case for Ferreira
Ferreira 'The Hulk' carries real knockout power and a grappling base — rare for a Brazilian striker — that could match up well against wrestling-heavy Dagestani fighters. His 6-4 UFC record shows he belongs, and on a night where Aliskerov misses a takedown and walks into a counter right hand, Ferreira has the power to end the fight instantly.
What We Were Watching For
- Aliskerov's takedown volume — he typically attempts 4-5 per 15 minutes; can Ferreira defend enough to make the stand-up portions competitive?
- Ferreira's counter-punching timing — Dagestani wrestlers can be caught stepping in, and Ferreira's power on the counter could change the momentum.
- Who controls the clinch — Aliskerov wants dirty boxing into takedowns; Ferreira wants clinch strikes and underhooks.
- Ferreira's chin — Dagestani top control is physically taxing even when clean knockdowns don't happen; does Ferreira's durability hold over three rounds of that kind of output?
Records & career stats
- 5.56 3.08
- 45% 51%
- 4.01 3.80
- 100% 52%
- 67% 93%
- 17-2-0
- Record
- 15-3-0
- 4-1 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- Russia
- Nationality
- Brazil
- 33
- Age
- 33
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 06:10
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 07:30
- KHK MMA
- Team
- Brazilian TKO
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ikram Aliskerov
Fight result: Ikram Aliskerov · Decision
Bedtime sides with Aliskerov because he can match Ferreira's power while also bringing the better wrestling and structure if the fight gets chaotic.
“I'm going to go with Ikram Aliskerov to win this one.”
Track record: winner called in 132 of 185 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 71.4% (132 hit, 53 miss, across 185 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.9% (60 hit, 37 miss, across 97 method-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.7% (11 hit, 16 miss, across 27 round-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 48.7% (19 hit, 20 miss, across 39 underdog calls on 185 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 132 53
- Method Accuracy 61.9% 60 37
- Round Accuracy 40.7% 11 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.7% 19 20
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ikram Aliskerov · KO/TKO
Fight result: Ikram Aliskerov · Decision
FightIQ's public record lists Ikram Aliskerov as its pick over Brunno Ferreira.
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ikram Aliskerov
Fight result: Ikram Aliskerov · Decision
Transcript-verified winner pick from KennyOkoyeMMA UFC Baku full-card prediction.
“So, I'm going to go Ikram Aliskerov.”
Track record: winner called in 43 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.2% (43 hit, 22 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.2% 43 22
- Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ikram Aliskerov · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Ikram Aliskerov · Decision
MMA Joey picks Aliskerov by first-round knockout, trusting his power and top-level experience to show before Ferreira can turn it into a brawl.
“I'm going to go Ikram to get it done. I'll say first round KO.”
Track record: winner called in 78 of 125 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.4% (78 hit, 47 miss, across 125 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.6% (27 hit, 31 miss, across 58 method-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.1% (9 hit, 23 miss, across 32 round-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 125 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.4% 78 47
- Method Accuracy 46.6% 27 31
- Round Accuracy 28.1% 9 23
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 7 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ikram Aliskerov · KO/TKO
Fight result: Ikram Aliskerov · Decision
Lucrative James picks Ikram Aliskerov by knockout.
Track record: winner called in 48 of 79 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.8% (48 hit, 31 miss, across 79 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.2% (26 hit, 22 miss, across 48 method-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 41.2% (7 hit, 10 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 79 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.8% 48 31
- Method Accuracy 54.2% 26 22
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Underdog Accuracy 41.2% 7 10
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ikram Aliskerov · Sub
Fight result: Ikram Aliskerov · Decision
MMA Mania's UFC Baku X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Ikram Aliskerov by submission.
Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 73.0% (27 hit, 10 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 10.0% (1 hit, 9 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 37 29
- Method Accuracy 73.0% 27 10
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 10.0% 1 9
Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; FightIQ Hit; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; MMA JOEY Hit; James Blissett Hit; Andrew Richardson Hit.
6 of 6 nailed it.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
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The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
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