Final · 27 Jun 2026

Aliskerov def. Ferreira

Dec · Round 3

Aliskerov vs Ferreira — Middleweight · UFC Baku

Aliskerov (17-2-0) vs Ferreira (15-4-0)

Middleweight
3 rounds
Main Card
UFC Baku • 27 Jun 2026
Baku, Azerbaijan

What happened

Ikram Aliskerov handled Brunno Ferreira over three disciplined rounds in Baku, refusing the early pocket exchanges that fuel Ferreira's chaos and instead controlling the pace to a clean unanimous decision. Denied his usual fight-changing bursts, Ferreira could never turn it into the short-range firefight he wanted.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Result
Aliskerov def. Ferreira
Dec R3
Consensus

Caller scorecard: Bedtime MMA called it; DFS By The Numbers perfect call; MMA JOEY called it.

3 of 3 nailed it · 1 nailed the finish ★.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Full analyst picks ↓
Bedtime MMA Analyst called 36 of 58 Bedtime MMA: predicted Aliskerov · to win. Actual Aliskerov · Dec R3. Result: Hit.

Bedtime sides with Aliskerov because he can match Ferreira's power while also bringing the better wrestling and structure if the fight gets chaotic.

Track record: winner called in 36 of 58 resolved picks, 18 a perfect call.

DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 32 of 47 DFS By The Numbers: predicted Aliskerov · Decision. Actual Aliskerov · Dec R3. Result: Perfect call.

DFS takes Aliskerov by decision, expecting him to choose grappling rather than trade with Ferreira and use more ways to win over three rounds.

Track record: winner called in 32 of 47 resolved picks, 13 a perfect call.

MMA JOEY Analyst called 13 of 16 MMA JOEY: predicted Aliskerov · KO/TKO · R1. Actual Aliskerov · Dec R3. Result: Hit.

MMA Joey picks Aliskerov by first-round knockout, trusting his power and top-level experience to show before Ferreira can turn it into a brawl.

Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks, 2 a perfect call.

Archive

Pre-fight material — kept for transparency, folded by default.

Tale of the Tape

Records & career stats — as they entered fight night
Aliskerov Ferreira
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 5.56 3.27
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 45% 52%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 4.01 3.75
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 100% 50%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 67% 93%
17-2-0
Record
15-4-0
4-1 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3-2 last 5
33
Age
33
1.83 m
Height — Aliskerov leads
1.78 m
193 cm
Reach — Aliskerov leads
183 cm
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
67%
Finish rateFinish % — Ferreira leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
93%
7
Wins by KO/TKOKO/TKO wins — Ferreira leads
9
5
Wins by submissionSub wins
5
5.56
Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / min — Aliskerov leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.27
4.01
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / min — Ferreira leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.75
45%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Ferreira leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
52%
100%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Aliskerov leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
50%
06:10
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
06:49
Russia
Nationality
Brazil
KHK MMA
Team
Brazilian TKO

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Aliskerov

Aliskerov is the Dagestani prospect with a clear trajectory — three straight UFC wins and a 5-1 UFC record that places him genuinely in the top 15 discussion. His wrestling-heavy style creates positions Ferreira hasn't solved consistently, and the volume of grappling exchanges Aliskerov can produce over three rounds is a grind that should tip the scorecards in his favour.

Case for Ferreira

Ferreira 'The Hulk' carries real knockout power and a grappling base — rare for a Brazilian striker — that could match up well against wrestling-heavy Dagestani fighters. His 6-4 UFC record shows he belongs, and on a night where Aliskerov misses a takedown and walks into a counter right hand, Ferreira has the power to end the fight instantly.

What We Were Watching For

  • Aliskerov's takedown volume — he typically attempts 4-5 per 15 minutes; can Ferreira defend enough to make the stand-up portions competitive?
  • Ferreira's counter-punching timing — Dagestani wrestlers can be caught stepping in, and Ferreira's power on the counter could change the momentum.
  • Who controls the clinch — Aliskerov wants dirty boxing into takedowns; Ferreira wants clinch strikes and underhooks.
  • Ferreira's chin — Dagestani top control is physically taxing even when clean knockdowns don't happen; does Ferreira's durability hold over three rounds of that kind of output?

Fighters

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