Final · 27 Jun 2026

Fiziev def. Torres

KO/TKO · spinning wheel kick · Round 2 · 0:15

Fiziev vs Torres — Lightweight · UFC Baku

Fiziev (13-5-0) vs Torres (17-3-0)

Lightweight
5 rounds
Main Event
UFC Baku • 27 Jun 2026
Baku, Azerbaijan

What happened

Rafael Fiziev snapped his skid in front of the Baku crowd. A competitive opening round — Fiziev blending takedowns and clean counters while Manuel Torres marched forward — gave way instantly at the start of the second, when Fiziev spun through a wheel kick that dropped Torres flush and swarmed with punches on the mat about 15 seconds into the frame.

Watch

The finish, right after the recap.

How it ended — UFC Baku

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Result
Fiziev def. Torres
KO/TKO R2
Upset

Caller scorecard: MMA JOEY perfect call; Bedtime MMA missed; DFS By The Numbers missed.

Only 1 of 3 called the upset · 1 nailed the finish ★.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Full analyst picks ↓
MMA JOEY Analyst called 13 of 16 MMA JOEY: predicted Fiziev · KO/TKO · R2. Actual Fiziev · KO/TKO R2. Result: Perfect call.

MMA Joey goes against the Torres momentum and picks Fiziev by second-round TKO, trusting his technical striking, counters and late-fight edge if he survives the early onslaught.

Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks, 2 a perfect call.

Bedtime MMA Analyst called 36 of 58 Bedtime MMA: predicted Torres · KO/TKO. Actual Fiziev · KO/TKO R2. Result: Miss.

Bedtime takes Torres by knockout, arguing his size, reach, forward boxing and finishing instinct can break through Fiziev's kicking range before the later rounds.

Track record: winner called in 36 of 58 resolved picks, 18 a perfect call.

DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 32 of 47 DFS By The Numbers: predicted Torres · KO/TKO. Actual Fiziev · KO/TKO R2. Result: Miss.

DFS picks Torres, reading the career trajectories in opposite directions and expecting Torres to land the bigger shot while Fiziev is still vulnerable from recent damage.

Track record: winner called in 32 of 47 resolved picks, 13 a perfect call.

Archive

Pre-fight material — kept for transparency, folded by default.

Tale of the Tape

Records & career stats — as they entered fight night
Fiziev Torres
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 4.71 6.57
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 50% 50%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 4.81 4.24
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 90% 77%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 64% 94%
13-5-0
Record
17-3-0
2-3 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4-1 last 5
33
Age
31
1.73 m
Height — Torres leads
1.78 m
180 cm
Reach — Torres leads
187 cm
Switch
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Switch
64%
Finish rateFinish % — Torres leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
94%
9
Wins by KO/TKOKO/TKO wins
9
1
Wins by submissionSub wins — Torres leads
7
4.71
Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / min — Torres leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
6.57
4.81
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / min — Torres leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.24
50%
Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
50%
90%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Fiziev leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
77%
11:32
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
2:50
Azerbaijan
Nationality
Mexico
Tiger Muay Thai · Phuket
Team
Aldama's Muay Thai Gym · Tijuana

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Fiziev

Fiziev is the counter-striking genius fighting on home soil in Baku, and his spinning technique library — wheel kicks, back kicks, spinning heel kicks — is uniquely suited to punish Torres's aggressive, forward-pressure style. Despite a rough 1-4 run, Fiziev's technical ceiling is undeniable, and against a fighter who attacks on a straight line, his defensive IQ and timing are decisive weapons.

Case for Torres

Torres is the most dangerous first-round finisher in the division — five UFC wins, all by first-round knockout, with 16 of 17 career wins by stoppage. At 6'0" with a 73" reach, he carries size advantages and a genuine 66% model win probability. If he can get inside Fiziev's range before the crowd-fuelled counter-striker finds his rhythm, the finish could come before any home-crowd factor kicks in.

What We Were Watching For

  • The opening two minutes — Torres's entire gameplan is destroying opponents early; every extra minute Fiziev stays upright is time for his timing to develop and for the home crowd to lift him.
  • Fiziev's spinning techniques — his wheel kicks and back kicks have ended UFC fights, and Torres's straight-line aggression creates the exact angles Fiziev has always exploited.
  • Fiziev's composure — 1-4 in his last five going in, fighting in front of a home crowd that expects a win; can he suppress that pressure and execute a disciplined gameplan?
  • Torres's ground game — virtually untested in MMA; if Fiziev clinches to slow Torres's pace, can Torres respond with anything other than striking?

Fighters

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