Magomedov def. Oleksiejczuk
Sub · guillotine · Round 1 · 3:25
Magomedov vs Oleksiejczuk — Middleweight · UFC Baku
What happened
Abusupiyan Magomedov produced one of his sharpest UFC finishes in Baku, buzzing Michal Oleksiejczuk on the feet and dropping him before the striking exchange could develop. The knockdown handed him the neck on the mat, and he wrapped up a guillotine choke to force the tap at 3:25 of the first round.
- Magomedov hurt Oleksiejczuk first rather than diving into the grappling, and the knockdown created the opening.
- He chased the neck on the floor and locked the guillotine before Oleksiejczuk could recover, finishing in round one.
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Caller scorecard: DFS By The Numbers perfect call; MMA JOEY called it; Bedtime MMA missed.
2 of 3 nailed it · 1 nailed the finish ★.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Full analyst picks ↓
DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 32 of 47 DFS By The Numbers: predicted Magomedov · Sub. Actual Magomedov · Sub R1. Result: Perfect call.
DFS ultimately picks Abus by submission, seeing his wrestling and grappling as the clearest route even though Oleksiejczuk's pressure makes the under interesting.
Track record: winner called in 32 of 47 resolved picks, 13 a perfect call.
MMA JOEY Analyst called 13 of 16 MMA JOEY: predicted Magomedov · KO/TKO · R2. Actual Magomedov · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
MMA Joey takes Abus by early second-round TKO, expecting his speed, power and front-loaded offense to beat Oleksiejczuk before the cardio danger fully arrives.
Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks, 2 a perfect call.
Bedtime MMA Analyst called 36 of 58 Bedtime MMA: predicted Oleksiejczuk · KO/TKO · R2. Actual Magomedov · Sub R1. Result: Miss.
Bedtime fades Magomedov's durability and cardio, expecting Oleksiejczuk's pressure to take over late and produce a second-round TKO.
Track record: winner called in 36 of 58 resolved picks, 18 a perfect call.
Archive
Pre-fight material — kept for transparency, folded by default.
Tale of the Tape
Records & career stats — as they entered fight night
- 3.06 5.73
- 56% 60%
- 3.34 4.45
- 100% 53%
- 79% 77%
- 28-7-1
- Record
- 17-8-0
- 4-1 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 3-2 last 5
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 09:46
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 06:23
- Germany
- Nationality
- Poland
- UFD Gym · Dusseldorf
- Team
- The Fighting Nerds
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Magomedov
Abusupiyan Magomedov carries a 28-7-1 record built across elite global competition, and his submission grappling — combined with a physical striking game — gives him a multi-threat profile that has troubled opponents at every level. His 4-3 UFC record masks a fighter capable of competing with anyone in the top 15, and a win here with the post-fight Adesanya callout would firmly establish his middleweight ambitions.
Case for Oleksiejczuk
Oleksiejczuk enters on the best form of his UFC career — a three-fight win streak showing that the Polish veteran has found a second wind late in his run. His resilient chin and willingness to engage in striking exchanges have kept him competitive against better-credentialed opponents, and against a Magomedov whose UFC consistency has been mixed, a surging Oleksiejczuk is a genuine danger.
What We Were Watching For
- Oleksiejczuk's striking distance management versus Magomedov's grappling setups — how quickly does Magomedov attempt his first takedown?
- Oleksiejczuk's submission defence — his grappling has been tested in the UFC; can he survive if Magomedov establishes top control?
- Whether Magomedov's 4-3 UFC record reflects a quality plateau or a fighter who simply needs the right opponent.
- The post-fight story — Magomedov has called out Adesanya; does a statement win here change how the division views him?
Fighters
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