Lucrative James is a sports bettor whose channel focuses on UFC fight breakdowns. He offers separate betting services for MMA and other sports.
Scorecard
Called 29 of 43 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 67.4% 29 14
- Method Accuracy 48.3% 14 15
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss Field median Gap to the field
29 of 43 — 67% now, from 83% at their first scored card.
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Method
48% 14 of 29 correct winners that named a method
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Round
2 of 4 correct winners that named a round — too few to chart a trend.
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Underdog
57% 4 of 7 priced underdog calls
The opening points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos 7 hit · 4 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 7 hit · 5 miss
- Nurmagomedov vs. Song 0 hit · 1 miss
- Hernandez vs. Rodrigues 0 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 330 1 hit · 0 miss
- Medic vs. Rodriguez 1 hit · 0 miss
- Du Plessis vs. Usman 1 hit · 0 miss
- UFC 329 1 hit · 0 miss
- UFC Baku 6 hit · 2 miss
- UFC Freedom 250 5 hit · 1 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 63.7%. Machado · Dec | Machado · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Valesca Machado by decision. “Tina Black wins this one via decision as my official prediction.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.7% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Edwards · Dec | Edwards · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Christian Edwards by decision. “Christian Edwards v decision will be my official prediction.” | |||||
| Castaneda · Dec | Heili · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks John Castaneda by decision. “I am going to go with him to get the win via decision.” | |||||
| Jauregui · Dec | Jauregui · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Yazmin Jauregui by decision. “Yasmin decision for me.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · Dec | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Ailin Perez by decision. “I'm picking Perez in this one. I'll say she wins it by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.7% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Brener · KO/TKO | Brener · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Elvis Brener by knockout. “Brener KO will be my official prediction.” | |||||
| Nakamura · KO/TKO | Hiestand · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Ren Nakamura by knockout. “I got Reny Nakamura to win this fight via knockout.” | |||||
| Jackson · KO/TKO | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Montel Jackson by knockout. “Montel Jackson via KO is my official prediction.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.7%. Osmanli · KO/TKO | Akylbek Uulu · DQ R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Mehemmedeli Osmanli by knockout. “Ashmanley wins via knockout as my official prediction.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.7% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 43.3%. Barcelos · Dec | Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Raoni Barcelos by decision. “My prediction will be Haney Barcelos to win this fight via decision.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.3% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Vieira · Sub | Vieira · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Rual Vieira by submission. “I am going to pick Ralfo Vieira to win this fight via submission.” | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Pantoja · Sub | Van · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Lucrative James transcript pick: Alexandre Pantoja by submission. “Alejandro Panto via submission is my official prediction for now.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.8%. Tsarukyan · KO/TKO | Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Lucrative James transcript pick: Arman Tsarukyan by KO/TKO. “I pick Arman Tsarukyan to win this ground and pound.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 30.1%. Pitbull · Dec | Pitbull · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Lucrative James transcript pick: Patricio Pitbull by decision. “Patricio Pit Bull via decision will be my official prediction.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 30.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Baraniewski · KO/TKO · R1 | Menifield · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Lucrative James transcript pick: Iwo Baraniewski by KO/TKO in round 1. “The official prediction I'm going to go with Iwo Baraniewski to get another knockout in the first round here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO | Sharaf · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Lucrative James transcript pick: Gable Steveson by KO/TKO. “Gable Stevenson via knockout is my official prediction.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 91.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 35.5%. Vera · Dec | Vera · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Lucrative James transcript pick: Marlon Vera by decision. “Marlon Vera via decision will be my official prediction.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 35.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 20.5%. Tuivasa · Dec | Despaigne · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Lucrative James transcript pick: Tai Tuivasa by decision. “Tai Tuivasa decision is my official prediction.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 20.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 62.5%. Shahbazyan · KO/TKO | Shahbazyan · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Lucrative James transcript pick: Edmen Shahbazyan by KO/TKO. “I'm picking Edmen Shahbazyan for the knockout as my official prediction.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 78.5%. Brito · Sub | Brito · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Lucrative James picks Joanderson Brito by submission after describing Brito's wrestling and grappling edge. “That's my prediction for the fight, boys. He's a big favorite. I'm not going to spend too long with Breto via submission is my official prediction.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · KO/TKO · R3 | O'Neill · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Lucrative James transcript pick: Casey O'Neill by KO/TKO in round 3. “I got her via third round stoppage. Casey O'Neil via knockout will be my official prediction.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Gandra · KO/TKO | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Lucrative James transcript pick: Ryan Gandra by KO/TKO. “I'm going to pick Ryan Gandra here. Ryan Gandra via knockout.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Yoo · Dec | Aswell Jr. · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Lucrative James picks Joosang Yoo by decision after discussing Aswell's pressure and Yoo's striking distance management. “I do think Juang Yu will pull this one out the bag. So, yeah, I'll pick Juang Yu to win this fight via decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 82.5%. Nurmagomedov · Dec | Song · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Lucrative James picks Umar Nurmagomedov by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 66.5%. Hernandez · KO/TKO · R4 | Rodrigues · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Lucrative James picks Anthony Hernandez by fourth-round ground-and-pound TKO. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 66.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 330
Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Lucrative James makes Islam Makhachev his final UFC 330 prediction by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Medic vs. Rodriguez
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO · R1 | Medić · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Lucrative James picks Uroš Medić by first-round knockout. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Du Plessis vs. Usman
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 64.9%. Du Plessis · KO/TKO | Du Plessis · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Lucrative James makes Dricus Du Plessis his official UFC Oklahoma City prediction by knockout. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Holloway · KO/TKO | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Lucrative James makes an official Max Holloway knockout call but hedges the timing between rounds two and three, so no round is recorded. “My official prediction is that Max Holloway wins this fight via knockout. My official prediction is that it comes within the first three rounds, you know, probably rounds two or rounds three.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC Baku
Fiziev vs. Torres
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Fiziev · KO/TKO | Fiziev · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Lucrative James picks Rafael Fiziev by knockout in the UFC Baku main event. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Magomedov · Dec | Magomedov · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Lucrative James picks Shara Magomedov by decision; a later third-round finish is speculative, so the recorded method remains decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Sadykhov · KO/TKO · R3 | Camilo · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Lucrative James picks Nazim Sadykhov by third-round knockout. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Almabayev · Dec | Almabayev · Sub R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Lucrative James picks Asu Almabayev by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Aliskerov · KO/TKO | Aliskerov · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Lucrative James picks Ikram Aliskerov by knockout. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Hasanov · KO/TKO · R2 | Hasanov · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Lucrative James picks Farman Hasanov by second-round knockout. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Reyes · KO/TKO | Ofli · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Lucrative James picks Javier Reyes by knockout. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Matsumoto · Dec | Matsumoto · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Lucrative James picks Jean Matsumoto by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC Freedom 250
Topuria vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Topuria · KO/TKO · R1 | Gaethje · KO/TKO R4 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Lucrative James picks Ilia Topuria by first-round KO/TKO. “My pick is Ilya Topuria. My pick is Ilya Topuria via knockout and I'll say comes in round one.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · Dec | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Lucrative James picks Ciryl Gane by decision. “My official prediction is going to be Ciryl Gane wins the fight via decision.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 47.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. O'Malley · KO/TKO | O'Malley · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Lucrative James picks Sean O'Malley by KO/TKO. “I'm actually going to pick Sean O'Malley via knockout as well.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKO | Ruffy · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Lucrative James names a Mauricio Rufty by knockout; the captioned identity is not safely mappable to Maurício Ruffy. “At some point, Michael Chandler will get tired. At some point, the tides will turn. At some point, Mauricio Ruffy will land the kill shot. Head shot dead. My prediction is Mauricio Ruffy wins this fight via knockout in round one.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · Dec | Nickal · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Lucrative James picks Bo Nickal by decision. “I'm going to say Bo Nickal is my pick. I don't know if he's going to finish. I think I'm going to lean decision in this one.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · KO/TKO · R2 | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Lucrative James picks Diego Lopes by second-round KO/TKO. “I will be predicting Diego Lopez to win this fight via knockout in round two.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind James Blissett's logged calls.