Edmonton, show some love for the Bulldozer! 🫶🍁 🇨🇦 Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz 🇧🇷 [ TOMORROW | @City_tv, @Sportsnet & @TVASports | Prelims 6pmET ]
View video on X ↗UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Tanner Boser defeats Jhonata Diniz by KO/TKO
KO/TKO · strikes
Round 3 · 4:26
Boser vs Diniz — Heavyweight · UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Predictions summary
Analyst Picks
(9) 13%
87% (60)
AI Predictions
35%
65%
Market Odds
36%
64%
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Boser secured takedowns in each of the first two rounds and attacked from a crucifix in the second. He returned Diniz to the mat in the third and kept landing until the referee stopped the fight.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Boser
Boser is 22-11-1, per UFC, with 12 knockout wins, but his latest recorded result is a TKO loss to Gokhan Saricam. His previous win was a TKO of Vinicius Moreira, so his stoppage route is established, while his 70% takedown defense matters if Diniz tries to change phases.
Case for Diniz
Diniz is 9-2, per UFC, with seven knockout wins and a 3.89 significant strikes-per-minute rate. His recent UFC results are a unanimous decision win over Alvin Hines followed by a second-round TKO loss to Mario Pinto. Boser's striking defense will be tested by a striker with seven career knockouts.
What We Were Watching For
- Can Boser rebound from the Saricam stoppage and use the same stoppage route he showed against Moreira?
- Does Diniz's 3.89 significant strikes per minute find openings against Boser's 58% striking defense?
- Which fighter makes the first sustained combination count after Diniz's own loss to Mario Pinto?
Records & career stats
- 4.82 3.89
- 58% 57%
- 3 3.62
- 70% 70%
- 65% 78%
- 22-11-1
- Record
- 9-2-0
- Source pending
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- Canada
- Nationality
- Brazil
- 35
- Age
- 35
- Source pending
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 10:52
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 09:56
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
After the fight
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
(9) 13%
WBoser
87% (60)
DinizL
James Lynch
Current pick evidence
Picked: Tanner Boser
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Boser as James Lynch’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 36 of 59 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 61.0% (36 hit, 23 miss, across 59 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 45.0% (9 hit, 11 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 59 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 61.0% 36 23
- Method Accuracy 45.0% 9 11
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidence
Picked: Tanner Boser
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Litterine explicitly lists Tanner Boser as his pick, while framing it as a tentative underdog/value play that may lose.
“It feels gross, but I'll roll the dice on Boser in hopes his durability isn't totally shot. If it isn't, I think he's competitive and worthy of the 'dog shot, even if he comes up short. UFC EDMONTON PICK: Boser”
* Tentative underdog/value selection; the author says Boser may still come up short.
Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 70 54
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.0% 7 18
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidence
Picked: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Chris Schweppe picks Tanner Boser by second-round knockout.
Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.5% 53 46
- Method Accuracy 47.2% 25 28
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
MikesMMAPicks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Tanner Boser
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Boser as MikesMMAPicks’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 25 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.1% (25 hit, 23 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.1% 25 23
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
Andy Lang
Current pick evidence
Picked: Tanner Boser
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Andy Lang names Tanner Boser at +200 as the pick; no method or round is stated. Andy Lang adds that he would not bet this fight with his own money; retained as his stated winner opinion, not a wager recommendation.
“Boser at +200 is the pick.”
Track record: winner called in 18 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (18 hit, 17 miss, across 35 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 35 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 18 17
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
Bookie Beatdown
Current pick evidence
Picked: Tanner Boser
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Bookie Beatdown names Tanner Boser in the closing recap of its picks; the captions use a phonetic spelling.
“Tanner Bozer”
Track record: winner called in 23 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.1% (23 hit, 22 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.1% 23 22
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
Guy Bruhn
Current pick evidence
Picked: Tanner Boser
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
DocSports author Guy Bruhn explicitly selects Tanner Boser.
“Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tanner Boser (+205)”
Track record: winner called in 10 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.6% (10 hit, 11 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Andrew Sumian
Current pick evidence
Picked: Tanner Boser
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Andrew Sumian selects Tanner Boser to win.
Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.0% 18 22
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Matthew Petela
Current pick evidence
Picked: Tanner Boser
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Matthew Petela selects Tanner Boser to win.
Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.0% 18 22
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 36.8% 7 12
Gabriel Sheehan
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Jhonata Diniz by KO/TKO.
“Jhonata Diniz to win by TKO”
Track record: winner called in 10 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 76.9% (10 hit, 3 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.0% (6 hit, 2 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 76.9% 10 3
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
FightIQ
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
FightIQ predicts Jhonata Diniz at 76% confidence.
“We predict Jhonata Diniz — 76% confident”
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Jhonata Diniz by knockout, estimating the finish in round two or three.
“I'll go Denise by KO I think Bozer is at that level of being washed where Denise can probably finish him I'll say second or third round though”
Track record: winner called in 38 of 56 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.9% (38 hit, 18 miss, across 56 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.1% (18 hit, 11 miss, across 29 method-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 56 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 38 18
- Method Accuracy 62.1% 18 11
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
MMA Lock of the Night
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
“So unfortunately Canada will have to take a loss here as I go Janata Dinez by knockout”
Track record: winner called in 85 of 126 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.5% (85 hit, 41 miss, across 126 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 59.5% (25 hit, 17 miss, across 42 method-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 126 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.5% 85 41
- Method Accuracy 59.5% 25 17
- Round Accuracy 55.6% 5 4
- Underdog Accuracy 36.8% 7 12
AJ Devito
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
AJ prefers Diniz's kickboxing and power over Boser's brawling style, while leaving the exact method uncertain.
“So, the pick is going to be Johannes to do more over 15 minutes and potentially stop Boer with a counter shot.”
Track record: winner called in 175 of 264 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.3% (175 hit, 89 miss, across 264 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.7% (61 hit, 43 miss, across 104 method-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 77.8% (7 hit, 2 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (12 hit, 21 miss, across 33 underdog calls on 264 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.3% 175 89
- Method Accuracy 58.7% 61 43
- Round Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 12 21
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
JakeGerberMMA picks Jhonata Diniz by second-round knockout.
“I think Janata Denise goes out here and ends up finding a knockout in the second round.”
* Auto-captions render Diniz’s name phonetically as “Janata Denise”; the official bout roster identifies Jhonata Diniz.
Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 101 53
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 39 26
- Round Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
He expects Jhonata Diniz to exploit Tanner Boser’s tendency to rely on his chin and predicts a second-round knockout.
“Denise is probably going to knock him out eventually here. We'll say second round knockout for Janata Denise.”
Track record: winner called in 112 of 173 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.7% (112 hit, 61 miss, across 173 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.0% (61 hit, 39 miss, across 100 method-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 38.3% (18 hit, 29 miss, across 47 round-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 underdog calls on 173 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.7% 112 61
- Method Accuracy 61.0% 61 39
- Round Accuracy 38.3% 18 29
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 8 14
138 MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
138 MMA takes Jhonata Diniz, reasoning that Boser is likely to trade rather than follow a grappling-heavy plan; the auto-captions render Diniz as Denise.
“that's why I'm taking Denise”
Track record: winner called in 42 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.6% (42 hit, 24 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 43.8% (7 hit, 9 miss, across 16 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 42 24
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 43.8% 7 9
Mate Bersenadze
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · Dec
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Mate Bersenadze explicitly predicts Jhonata Diniz by decision.
“Jhonata Diniz over Tanner Boser by decision”
Track record: winner called in 33 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.5% (33 hit, 19 miss, across 52 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 51.5% (17 hit, 16 miss, across 33 method-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 52 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.5% 33 19
- Method Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Drake Burden
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Drake Burden selects Jhonata Diniz to win.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.3% (62 hit, 36 miss, across 98 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 98 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.3% 62 36
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
MMA JOEY
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
He predicts a first-round knockout over Boser, citing the opponent’s power and doubting Boser’s chin. Captions render Diniz’s name as “Hanato Janisse”; the official UFC card identifies the matchup as Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz.
“I'm going to go Hanato Janisse to get it done. I'll say first round KO.”
Track record: winner called in 78 of 125 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.4% (78 hit, 47 miss, across 125 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.6% (27 hit, 31 miss, across 58 method-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.1% (9 hit, 23 miss, across 32 round-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 125 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.4% 78 47
- Method Accuracy 46.6% 27 31
- Round Accuracy 28.1% 9 23
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 7 14
HopperMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · Dec
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
“So yeah I'm going to go with Janata Denise to win this one by decision”
Track record: winner called in 92 of 148 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.2% (92 hit, 56 miss, across 148 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.8% (45 hit, 29 miss, across 74 method-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 round-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 26.9% (7 hit, 19 miss, across 26 underdog calls on 148 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.2% 92 56
- Method Accuracy 60.8% 45 29
- Round Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Underdog Accuracy 26.9% 7 19
James Blissett
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
James favors Diniz’s striking and durability and predicts a knockout. Auto-captions misrender Diniz’s name, but the segment is the Boser–Diniz chapter and the surrounding analysis identifies both fighters.
“wins this fight via knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 48 of 79 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.8% (48 hit, 31 miss, across 79 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.2% (26 hit, 22 miss, across 48 method-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 41.2% (7 hit, 10 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 79 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.8% 48 31
- Method Accuracy 54.2% 26 22
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Underdog Accuracy 41.2% 7 10
Combat Edge Model
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Combat Edge Model selects Jhonata Diniz as its model lean (58%) against Tanner Boser. The event card describes a point-in-time model using Elo, records, and matchup data and says forecasts freeze before fight night. It provides win probabilities, not a selected method or round.
Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Jacob Lines
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Picks Jhonata Diniz over Tanner Boser.
“and I am going to go Denise in this one”
Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
MMA Mathletes
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
MMA Mathletes selects Jhonata Diniz over Tanner Boser; the spoken name is garbled in the transcript, so the exact quote is retained and no phonetic spelling is inferred.
“I do have Yonada Denise to win this fight”
Track record: winner called in 32 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (32 hit, 22 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 32 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Fight Genie (Claude)
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · Dec
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Fight Genie Claude selects Jhonata Diniz over Tanner Boser by decision. Diniz’s reach and more measured striking favor him, while Boser’s stronger career differential and both fighters’ recent stoppages add risk. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.
Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (8 hit, 8 miss, across 16 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 16 11
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 8 8
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) selects Jhonata Diniz; no round is stated.
Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 16 11
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Tim Edwards
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Edwards lists Jhonata Diniz as his moneyline best bet, expecting Boser to struggle with Diniz’s striking.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.8% (20 hit, 14 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.8% 20 14
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
Kunath
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · Dec
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
He expects Diniz to tag Boser over three rounds; Boser may have moments, but Kunath does not expect sustained success and says Diniz has a good chin.
“So, give me Jonata Diniz at the chance of winning by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 38 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.5% (38 hit, 27 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 56.7% (17 hit, 13 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.5% 38 27
- Method Accuracy 56.7% 17 13
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
Angelo Bodetti
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
“janata Denise is the pick it's hard to be that confident in a guy who gets finished if you just look at him on the ground but I think he's going to end up with a finish here”
Track record: winner called in 29 of 50 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.0% (29 hit, 21 miss, across 50 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 50 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.0% 29 21
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Artem MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Artem thinks Boser has lost the durability, striking defense and offense that once made him a gritty opponent. He is frustrated by Diniz’s low output and failure to deliver recent knockouts, but believes his kickboxing talent can produce a first-round knockout here.
Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 55 40
- Method Accuracy 63.8% 30 17
- Round Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Underdog Accuracy 23.5% 4 13
BetSam
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
He favors Diniz's kickboxing, power, durability and composure over Boser.
Track record: winner called in 22 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.4% (22 hit, 17 miss, across 39 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 39 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.4% 22 17
- Method Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Fight Productions
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
“I do think Denise is gonna find the knockout here i'm gonna take him to win this one by round one KO i feel like you know it's more likely than not he gets it done early so round one knockout will be the pick”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.7% (28 hit, 9 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 41.7% (10 hit, 14 miss, across 24 round-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (2 hit, 6 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 37 29
- Method Accuracy 75.7% 28 9
- Round Accuracy 41.7% 10 14
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6
Fight Genie (GPT)
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Fight Genie GPT selects Jhonata Diniz over Tanner Boser by ko/tko in round 2. Diniz’s reach and accuracy, combined with both fighters’ recent stoppage vulnerability, support the second-round finish pick. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.
Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.3% (8 hit, 7 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 16.7% (1 hit, 5 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
- Method Accuracy 53.3% 8 7
- Round Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
MMA.SOCIAL
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · Dec
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
MMA.SOCIAL selects Jhonata Diniz by decision; no round is stated.
“Diniz by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
- Method Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Clenbat
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
The speaker favors Diniz's more technical striking because Boser is unlikely to exploit his ground weaknesses.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 49 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.1% (27 hit, 22 miss, across 49 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 49 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.1% 27 22
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Daniel Vreeland
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Daniel Vreeland expects Jhonata Diniz to outstrike Tanner Boser and selects Diniz on the moneyline.
“UFC Edmonton Prelim Pick: Jhonata Diniz ML (-230).”
Track record: winner called in 17 of 31 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.8% (17 hit, 14 miss, across 31 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 31 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 31 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Kasper MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
He favors Diniz's kickboxing, accuracy, and power against Boser, whose durability concerns and limited offensive wrestling suit this matchup.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.8% (23 hit, 19 miss, across 42 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.1% (11 hit, 7 miss, across 18 method-scored calls on 42 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 42 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
- Method Accuracy 61.1% 11 7
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Anatoly Pimentel
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Anatoly Pimentel predicts Jhonata Diniz by KO/TKO over Tanner Boser.
“I predict a TKO/KO win for Diniz over Boser”
Track record: winner called in 12 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.5% (12 hit, 10 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 12 10
- Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Diniz as Cole Shelton’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Method Accuracy 87.5% 7 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 3 15
TonyHasDiedMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Jhonata Diniz by first-round knockout.
“I think Denise will piece him up on the feet ... probably knock out Tanner Boser in round one.”
Track record: winner called in 28 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.8% (28 hit, 25 miss, across 53 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.1% (8 hit, 9 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 71.4% (5 hit, 2 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 53 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.8% 28 25
- Method Accuracy 47.1% 8 9
- Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Locked Door MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
They expect Jhonata Diniz’s kickboxing and striking to prevail if Boser chooses to trade.
Track record: winner called in 10 of 19 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.6% (10 hit, 9 miss, across 19 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 19 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 19 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 19 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
“I'm picking Jan Denise to win this fight”
Track record: winner called in 30 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.7% (30 hit, 28 miss, across 58 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 58 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 58 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 30 28
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
Steve Garcia
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
“I think my pick's going to be Denise here”
* Analyst stated a lean
Track record: winner called in 15 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.7% (15 hit, 14 miss, across 29 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 29 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 29 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Greedo selects Jhonata Diniz over Tanner Boser by first-round knockout; the captioned winner name is too garbled to preserve as a reliable spoken form.
“I'm gonna go Janette Janette Denise first round knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (37 hit, 35 miss, across 72 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.3% (19 hit, 11 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 72 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 37 35
- Method Accuracy 63.3% 19 11
- Round Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Walk The Line MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Teller expects Diniz's stronger striking and power to hurt Boser and make him hesitant to pursue takedowns. He distrusts Boser's ability to exploit Diniz's grappling weakness, although he acknowledges that weakness creates a real path for Boser. He calls a Diniz knockout in the first or second round.
* Diniz's takedown defense remains a concern; Teller gives a first-or-second-round range rather than one selected round and sees the money-line value on Boser.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (27 hit, 27 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.9% (11 hit, 8 miss, across 19 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 27 27
- Method Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
The Die Hard MMA Podcast
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
“i'm gonna take the coward's way out i'll pick Jonathan Denise uh but my heart will be firmly in the corner of Tanner Bozer”
Track record: winner called in 7 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (7 hit, 7 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 7 7
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
mmadbm
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
He expects Diniz's size, power and counterstriking to exploit Boser's durability concerns.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (12 hit, 2 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 41 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 12 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Nick Kalikas
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Diniz as Nick Kalikas’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.9% (23 hit, 25 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.9% 23 25
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Bert MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Bert MMA sees Jhonata Diniz as the bigger, harder-hitting striker and doubts Tanner Boser has the wrestling to keep him down. He grants Boser a speed advantage and a possible takedown, but expects Diniz to get up and dominate the striking before a TKO in round one or two.
- He names round one or round two rather than selecting a single finish round.
Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Method Accuracy 55.6% 5 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
Zain Bando
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Diniz as Zain Bando’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
MMA JAWN
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
MMA JAWN favors Diniz’s reach, technical kickboxing and power, and predicts a knockout.
“Jonathan Denise is going to be the pick and I think he gets it done via knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 16 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.1% (16 hit, 18 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.1% 16 18
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Uselyis
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
The speaker favors Diniz's punching power against Boser, who absorbs too many strikes.
Track record: winner called in 25 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.3% (25 hit, 29 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 7 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.3% 25 29
- Method Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 7
Adam Martin
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Adam Martin picks Jhonata Diniz by knockout, mentioning a possible head kick; the auto-caption garbles Diniz’s name and no round is stated.
“Probably knocks him out with like a head kick or something.”
Track record: winner called in 6 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
- Method Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Marcel Dorff
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Marcel Dorff predicts Jhonata Diniz by first-round knockout.
“I'm going with a knockout first round for Jonathan Denise.”
Track record: winner called in 6 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (4 hit, 2 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Drew Beaupre
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Drew Beaupre explicitly selects Diniz.
“Pick: Diniz”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.8% (11 hit, 13 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.8% 11 13
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
FightStudy
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
FightStudy selects Diniz by KO/TKO in round 1.
“Prediction: Diniz by KO R1”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.8% (11 hit, 13 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 72.7% (8 hit, 3 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 round-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.8% 11 13
- Method Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
The Sports Scientist
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · Dec
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
He favors Diniz's recent activity and camp in a fight he expects to remain largely standing.
“I like I like Denise winning here by decision”
Track record: winner called in 10 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.5% (10 hit, 12 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.5% 10 12
- Method Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
Brandon K
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · Dec
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Brandon K selects Jhonata Diniz by Decision.
““I’m going to take Denise by decision here.””
Track record: winner called in 20 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 44.4% (20 hit, 25 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 42.9% (6 hit, 8 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 44.4% 20 25
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 6 8
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
BennyPMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
BennyPMMA selects Jhonata Diniz by KO/TKO.
““I’m going to go with Jun DZ via KO.””
Track record: winner called in 9 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 42.9% (9 hit, 12 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 42.9% 9 12
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
MMA Gambling Podcast
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Both MMA Gambling Podcast hosts select the fighter captioned as “Denise” over Tanner Boser; the official UFC card confirms this is Jhonata Diniz.
“both have Denise”
Track record: winner called in 3 of 7 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 7 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Lightning MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
He backs Diniz to knock out Boser in the first round and is dismissive of Boser's UFC return.
“we got to go with Diniz by first round knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 42.3% (11 hit, 15 miss, across 26 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.0% (6 hit, 2 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 4 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 26 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 42.3% 11 15
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Round Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
The Lab Analytics
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
The Lab Analytics selects Jhonata Diniz at 70.7% and labels the pick Lean (informational — do not bet). The source describes Lean picks as informational and says not to bet; this records the model's selected winner without presenting it as betting advice. The method estimates are explicitly indicative, so method and round are omitted.
Track record: winner called in 10 of 25 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (10 hit, 15 miss, across 25 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 25 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 10 15
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Chris White
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Diniz as Chris White’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 19 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 39.6% (19 hit, 29 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 39.6% 19 29
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 2 10
Alexander K. Lee
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Alexander K. Lee explicitly selects Diniz.
“Jhonata Diniz def. Tanner Boser”
Track record: winner called in 14 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 38.9% (14 hit, 22 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 38.9% 14 22
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
AI Sports Metrics
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
AI Sports Metrics explicitly labels Jhonata Diniz as its AI/model pick against Tanner Boser. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. AI Sports Metrics identifies its UFC model as a fight-level probability beside the devigged market and warns the current MMA winner model has not beaten closing market.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
FunkyBunch MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
The speaker picks Boser's opponent, citing superior striking and power, and predicts a KO by knees.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 33.3% (5 hit, 10 miss, across 15 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 3 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 15 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 33.3% 5 10
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
FIGHT//AI
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
FIGHT//AI explicitly labels Jhonata Diniz as its AI/model pick against Tanner Boser. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. FIGHT//AI says its displayed probability blends model, market, and fan-sentiment inputs.
Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 32.0% 49 104
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 20 80
Maiden
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO
Fight result: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO
Maiden selects Jhonata Diniz by KO/TKO; no round is stated.
“Maiden picks Jhonata Diniz (54%) by KO/TKO over Tanner Boser.”
Track record: winner called in 0 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 5 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Analyst picks: Gabriel Sheehan Miss; FightIQ Miss; Jimbo Ortega MMA Miss; MMA Lock of the Night Miss; AJ Devito Miss; JakeGerberMMA Miss; DFS By The Numbers Miss; 138 MMA Miss; Mate Bersenadze Miss; Drake Burden Miss; MMA JOEY Miss; HopperMMA Miss; James Lynch Hit; James Blissett Miss; Combat Edge Model Miss; Jacob Lines Miss; MMA Mathletes Miss; Fight Genie (Claude) Miss; The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) Miss; Tim Edwards Miss; Kunath Miss; Angelo Bodetti Miss; Artem MMA Miss; Jon Litterine Hit; BetSam Miss; Fight Productions Miss; Fight Genie (GPT) Miss; MMA.SOCIAL Miss; Clenbat Miss; Daniel Vreeland Miss; Kasper MMA Miss; Anatoly Pimentel Miss; Chris Schweppe Hit; Cole Shelton Miss; TonyHasDiedMMA Miss; Locked Door MMA Miss; MikesMMAPicks Hit; The MMA Yuda Miss; Steve Garcia Miss; Andy Lang Hit; Greedo Plays MMA Miss; Bookie Beatdown Hit; Walk The Line MMA Miss; The Die Hard MMA Podcast Miss; mmadbm Miss; Nick Kalikas Miss; Guy Bruhn Hit; Bert MMA Miss; Zain Bando Miss; MMA JAWN Miss; Uselyis Miss; Adam Martin Miss; Marcel Dorff Miss; Drew Beaupre Miss; FightStudy Miss; The Sports Scientist Miss; Andrew Sumian Hit; Matthew Petela Hit; Brandon K Miss; BennyPMMA Miss; MMA Gambling Podcast Miss; Lightning MMA Miss; The Lab Analytics Miss; Chris White Miss; Alexander K. Lee Miss; AI Sports Metrics Miss; FunkyBunch MMA Miss; FIGHT//AI Miss; Maiden Miss.
Only 9 of 69 called the upset.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
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The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Boser · KO/TKO · R3
Closest probability ChatGPT put 37% on Boser.
37%
Boser
63%
Diniz
PickDiniz · KO/TKO · R2ActualBoser · KO/TKO · R3
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
35%
Boser
65%
Diniz
PickDiniz · KO/TKO · R1ActualBoser · KO/TKO · R3
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
32%
Boser
68%
Diniz
PickDiniz · KO/TKO · R2ActualBoser · KO/TKO · R3
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite callAI Predictions — latest pre-fight calls
Frozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.AI Predictions
Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.
ChatGPT
63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Diniz
Most likely: Diniz by KO/TKO, about 38 in 100
Win chance: Boser 37%, Diniz 63%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Claude
61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Pick Diniz
Most likely: Diniz by KO/TKO, about 40 in 100
Win chance: Boser 35%, Diniz 65%.
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Gemini
68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
Pick Diniz
Most likely: Diniz by KO/TKO, about 44 in 100
Win chance: Boser 32%, Diniz 68%.
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
3 of 3 models pick Diniz.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Diniz: 63% (about 63 in 100 fights). Boser: 37%.
Claude
Diniz: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Boser: 35%.
Gemini
Diniz: 68% (about 68 in 100 fights). Boser: 32%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Diniz by KO/TKO: 38% (about 38 in 100).
Claude
Diniz by KO/TKO: 40% (about 40 in 100).
Gemini
Diniz by KO/TKO: 44% (about 44 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Diniz by KO/TKO (38%); 2. Diniz by decision (24%); 3. Boser by decision (21%)
Claude
1. Diniz by KO/TKO (40%); 2. Boser by KO/TKO (22%); 3. Diniz by decision (17%)
Gemini
1. Diniz by KO/TKO (44%); 2. Diniz by decision (23%); 3. Boser by decision (18%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Diniz's 63% win chance.
Claude
7 of 10, based on Diniz's 65% win chance.
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Diniz's 68% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 55%. Decision: 45%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 73%. Decision: 27%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 59%. Decision: 41%.
How does Boser win?
ChatGPT
Boser wins 37%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 2%, decision 21%.
Claude
Boser wins 35%: KO/TKO 22%, submission 3%, decision 10%.
Gemini
Boser wins 32%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 1%, decision 18%.
How does Diniz win?
ChatGPT
Diniz wins 63%: KO/TKO 38%, submission 1%, decision 24%.
Claude
Diniz wins 65%: KO/TKO 40%, submission 8%, decision 17%.
Gemini
Diniz wins 68%: KO/TKO 44%, submission 1%, decision 23%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
ChatGPT
Boser's most likely upset: Boser by decision (21%).
Gemini
Boser's most likely upset: Boser by decision (18%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
All models
The models agree: all 3 pick Diniz.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Boser by KO/TKO in round 3. Boser by KO/TKO was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Diniz by KO/TKO (38%).
Claude
Result: Boser by KO/TKO in round 3. Boser by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Diniz by KO/TKO (40%).
Gemini
Result: Boser by KO/TKO in round 3. Boser by KO/TKO was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Diniz by KO/TKO (44%).
More questions (17)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 52%, submission 3%, decision 45%.
Claude
KO/TKO 62%, submission 11%, decision 27%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 57%, submission 2%, decision 41%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Diniz: 39%, against 16% for Boser.
Claude
Diniz: 48%, against 25% for Boser.
Gemini
Diniz: 45%, against 14% for Boser.
Can Boser get the finish? Can Diniz?
ChatGPT
Boser: 16% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 2%). Diniz: 39% (KO/TKO 38%, submission 1%).
Claude
Boser: 25% (KO/TKO 22%, submission 3%). Diniz: 48% (KO/TKO 40%, submission 8%).
Gemini
Boser: 14% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 1%). Diniz: 45% (KO/TKO 44%, submission 1%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Boser is knocked out in 38% and submitted in 1%. Diniz is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 2%.
Claude
Boser is knocked out in 40% and submitted in 8%. Diniz is knocked out in 22% and submitted in 3%.
Gemini
Boser is knocked out in 44% and submitted in 1%. Diniz is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 1%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 63% vs 37%.
Claude
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 68% vs 32%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Boser wins 37% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Claude
Boser wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Boser wins 32% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
45%.
Claude
27%.
Gemini
41%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Boser 47%, Diniz 53%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Boser 37%, Diniz 63%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Boser 44%, Diniz 56%.
Compared with others 4 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Boser by decision, 21% here against 14% on average for the others.
Claude
Biggest difference: Boser by decision, 10% here against 20% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 69 analyst picks, 9 back Boser and 60 back Diniz. This model picks Diniz (63%).
Claude
Of 69 analyst picks, 9 back Boser and 60 back Diniz. This model picks Diniz (65%).
Gemini
Of 69 analyst picks, 9 back Boser and 60 back Diniz. This model picks Diniz (68%).
Which model is most confident on Boser, and which on Diniz?
All models
On Boser: ChatGPT (37%). On Diniz: Gemini (68%).
Where do the models disagree most?
All models
Boser by decision: from 10% (Claude) to 21% (ChatGPT).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
ChatGPT
No.
Claude
Yes.
Gemini
No.
ChatGPT
Pick
Diniz
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Diniz by KO/TKO, about 38 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 2.
Win chance: Boser 37%, Diniz 63%.
Most likely outcomes
- Diniz by KO/TKO38%
- Diniz by decision24%
- Boser by decision21%
- KO/TKO: Boser 14%, Diniz 38%.
- Submission: Boser 2%, Diniz 1%.
- Decision: Boser 21%, Diniz 24%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Diniz: 63% (about 63 in 100 fights). Boser: 37%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Diniz: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Boser: 35%.
Gemini
Diniz: 68% (about 68 in 100 fights). Boser: 32%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Diniz by KO/TKO: 38% (about 38 in 100).
Other models' answers
Claude
Diniz by KO/TKO: 40% (about 40 in 100).
Gemini
Diniz by KO/TKO: 44% (about 44 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Diniz by KO/TKO (38%); 2. Diniz by decision (24%); 3. Boser by decision (21%)
Other models' answers
Claude
1. Diniz by KO/TKO (40%); 2. Boser by KO/TKO (22%); 3. Diniz by decision (17%)
Gemini
1. Diniz by KO/TKO (44%); 2. Diniz by decision (23%); 3. Boser by decision (18%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Diniz's 63% win chance.
Other models' answers
Claude
7 of 10, based on Diniz's 65% win chance.
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Diniz's 68% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 55%. Decision: 45%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 73%. Decision: 27%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 59%. Decision: 41%.
How does Boser win?
ChatGPT
Boser wins 37%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 2%, decision 21%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Boser wins 35%: KO/TKO 22%, submission 3%, decision 10%.
Gemini
Boser wins 32%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 1%, decision 18%.
How does Diniz win?
ChatGPT
Diniz wins 63%: KO/TKO 38%, submission 1%, decision 24%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Diniz wins 65%: KO/TKO 40%, submission 8%, decision 17%.
Gemini
Diniz wins 68%: KO/TKO 44%, submission 1%, decision 23%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
ChatGPT
Boser's most likely upset: Boser by decision (21%).
Other models' answers
Gemini
Boser's most likely upset: Boser by decision (18%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
ChatGPT
The models agree: all 3 pick Diniz.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Boser by KO/TKO in round 3. Boser by KO/TKO was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Diniz by KO/TKO (38%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Result: Boser by KO/TKO in round 3. Boser by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Diniz by KO/TKO (40%).
Gemini
Result: Boser by KO/TKO in round 3. Boser by KO/TKO was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Diniz by KO/TKO (44%).
More questions (17)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 52%, submission 3%, decision 45%.
Other models' answers
Claude
KO/TKO 62%, submission 11%, decision 27%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 57%, submission 2%, decision 41%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Diniz: 39%, against 16% for Boser.
Other models' answers
Claude
Diniz: 48%, against 25% for Boser.
Gemini
Diniz: 45%, against 14% for Boser.
Can Boser get the finish? Can Diniz?
ChatGPT
Boser: 16% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 2%). Diniz: 39% (KO/TKO 38%, submission 1%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Boser: 25% (KO/TKO 22%, submission 3%). Diniz: 48% (KO/TKO 40%, submission 8%).
Gemini
Boser: 14% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 1%). Diniz: 45% (KO/TKO 44%, submission 1%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Boser is knocked out in 38% and submitted in 1%. Diniz is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 2%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Boser is knocked out in 40% and submitted in 8%. Diniz is knocked out in 22% and submitted in 3%.
Gemini
Boser is knocked out in 44% and submitted in 1%. Diniz is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 1%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 63% vs 37%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 68% vs 32%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Boser wins 37% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
Claude
Boser wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Boser wins 32% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
45%.
Other models' answers
Claude
27%.
Gemini
41%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Boser 47%, Diniz 53%.
Other models' answers
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Boser 37%, Diniz 63%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Boser 44%, Diniz 56%.
Compared with others 4 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Boser by decision, 21% here against 14% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
Claude
Biggest difference: Boser by decision, 10% here against 20% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 69 analyst picks, 9 back Boser and 60 back Diniz. This model picks Diniz (63%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Of 69 analyst picks, 9 back Boser and 60 back Diniz. This model picks Diniz (65%).
Gemini
Of 69 analyst picks, 9 back Boser and 60 back Diniz. This model picks Diniz (68%).
Which model is most confident on Boser, and which on Diniz?
ChatGPT
On Boser: ChatGPT (37%). On Diniz: Gemini (68%).
Where do the models disagree most?
ChatGPT
Boser by decision: from 10% (Claude) to 21% (ChatGPT).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Other models' answers
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
ChatGPT
No.
Other models' answers
Claude
Yes.
gpt-6-astra · 15 Oct63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Diniz
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Most likely: Diniz by KO/TKO, about 40 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 1.
Win chance: Boser 35%, Diniz 65%.
Most likely outcomes
- Diniz by KO/TKO40%
- Boser by KO/TKO22%
- Diniz by decision17%
- KO/TKO: Boser 22%, Diniz 40%.
- Submission: Boser 3%, Diniz 8%.
- Decision: Boser 10%, Diniz 17%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Claude
Diniz: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Boser: 35%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Diniz: 63% (about 63 in 100 fights). Boser: 37%.
Gemini
Diniz: 68% (about 68 in 100 fights). Boser: 32%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Claude
Diniz by KO/TKO: 40% (about 40 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Diniz by KO/TKO: 38% (about 38 in 100).
Gemini
Diniz by KO/TKO: 44% (about 44 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Claude
1. Diniz by KO/TKO (40%); 2. Boser by KO/TKO (22%); 3. Diniz by decision (17%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Diniz by KO/TKO (38%); 2. Diniz by decision (24%); 3. Boser by decision (21%)
Gemini
1. Diniz by KO/TKO (44%); 2. Diniz by decision (23%); 3. Boser by decision (18%)
How confident is the model?
Claude
7 of 10, based on Diniz's 65% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Diniz's 63% win chance.
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Diniz's 68% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 73%. Decision: 27%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 55%. Decision: 45%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 59%. Decision: 41%.
How does Boser win?
Claude
Boser wins 35%: KO/TKO 22%, submission 3%, decision 10%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Boser wins 37%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 2%, decision 21%.
Gemini
Boser wins 32%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 1%, decision 18%.
How does Diniz win?
Claude
Diniz wins 65%: KO/TKO 40%, submission 8%, decision 17%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Diniz wins 63%: KO/TKO 38%, submission 1%, decision 24%.
Gemini
Diniz wins 68%: KO/TKO 44%, submission 1%, decision 23%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Claude
The models agree: all 3 pick Diniz.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Claude
Result: Boser by KO/TKO in round 3. Boser by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Diniz by KO/TKO (40%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Boser by KO/TKO in round 3. Boser by KO/TKO was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Diniz by KO/TKO (38%).
Gemini
Result: Boser by KO/TKO in round 3. Boser by KO/TKO was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Diniz by KO/TKO (44%).
More questions (17)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Claude
KO/TKO 62%, submission 11%, decision 27%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 52%, submission 3%, decision 45%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 57%, submission 2%, decision 41%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Claude
Diniz: 48%, against 25% for Boser.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Diniz: 39%, against 16% for Boser.
Gemini
Diniz: 45%, against 14% for Boser.
Can Boser get the finish? Can Diniz?
Claude
Boser: 25% (KO/TKO 22%, submission 3%). Diniz: 48% (KO/TKO 40%, submission 8%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Boser: 16% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 2%). Diniz: 39% (KO/TKO 38%, submission 1%).
Gemini
Boser: 14% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 1%). Diniz: 45% (KO/TKO 44%, submission 1%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Claude
Boser is knocked out in 40% and submitted in 8%. Diniz is knocked out in 22% and submitted in 3%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Boser is knocked out in 38% and submitted in 1%. Diniz is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 2%.
Gemini
Boser is knocked out in 44% and submitted in 1%. Diniz is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 1%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Claude
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 63% vs 37%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 68% vs 32%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Claude
Boser wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Boser wins 37% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Boser wins 32% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Claude
27%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
45%.
Gemini
41%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Boser 37%, Diniz 63%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Boser 47%, Diniz 53%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Boser 44%, Diniz 56%.
Compared with others 4 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Claude
Biggest difference: Boser by decision, 10% here against 20% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Boser by decision, 21% here against 14% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Claude
Of 69 analyst picks, 9 back Boser and 60 back Diniz. This model picks Diniz (65%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 69 analyst picks, 9 back Boser and 60 back Diniz. This model picks Diniz (63%).
Gemini
Of 69 analyst picks, 9 back Boser and 60 back Diniz. This model picks Diniz (68%).
Which model is most confident on Boser, and which on Diniz?
Claude
On Boser: ChatGPT (37%). On Diniz: Gemini (68%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Claude
Boser by decision: from 10% (Claude) to 21% (ChatGPT).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Claude
Yes.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
No.
Gemini
No.
claude-sonnet-5-5 · 17 Oct61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Diniz
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Most likely: Diniz by KO/TKO, about 44 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 2.
Win chance: Boser 32%, Diniz 68%.
Most likely outcomes
- Diniz by KO/TKO44%
- Diniz by decision23%
- Boser by decision18%
- KO/TKO: Boser 13%, Diniz 44%.
- Submission: Boser 1%, Diniz 1%.
- Decision: Boser 18%, Diniz 23%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Gemini
Diniz: 68% (about 68 in 100 fights). Boser: 32%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Diniz: 63% (about 63 in 100 fights). Boser: 37%.
Claude
Diniz: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Boser: 35%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Gemini
Diniz by KO/TKO: 44% (about 44 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Diniz by KO/TKO: 38% (about 38 in 100).
Claude
Diniz by KO/TKO: 40% (about 40 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Gemini
1. Diniz by KO/TKO (44%); 2. Diniz by decision (23%); 3. Boser by decision (18%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Diniz by KO/TKO (38%); 2. Diniz by decision (24%); 3. Boser by decision (21%)
Claude
1. Diniz by KO/TKO (40%); 2. Boser by KO/TKO (22%); 3. Diniz by decision (17%)
How confident is the model?
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Diniz's 68% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Diniz's 63% win chance.
Claude
7 of 10, based on Diniz's 65% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 59%. Decision: 41%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 55%. Decision: 45%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 73%. Decision: 27%.
How does Boser win?
Gemini
Boser wins 32%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 1%, decision 18%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Boser wins 37%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 2%, decision 21%.
Claude
Boser wins 35%: KO/TKO 22%, submission 3%, decision 10%.
How does Diniz win?
Gemini
Diniz wins 68%: KO/TKO 44%, submission 1%, decision 23%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Diniz wins 63%: KO/TKO 38%, submission 1%, decision 24%.
Claude
Diniz wins 65%: KO/TKO 40%, submission 8%, decision 17%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
Gemini
Boser's most likely upset: Boser by decision (18%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Boser's most likely upset: Boser by decision (21%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Gemini
The models agree: all 3 pick Diniz.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Gemini
Result: Boser by KO/TKO in round 3. Boser by KO/TKO was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Diniz by KO/TKO (44%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Boser by KO/TKO in round 3. Boser by KO/TKO was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Diniz by KO/TKO (38%).
Claude
Result: Boser by KO/TKO in round 3. Boser by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Diniz by KO/TKO (40%).
More questions (16)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Gemini
KO/TKO 57%, submission 2%, decision 41%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 52%, submission 3%, decision 45%.
Claude
KO/TKO 62%, submission 11%, decision 27%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Gemini
Diniz: 45%, against 14% for Boser.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Diniz: 39%, against 16% for Boser.
Claude
Diniz: 48%, against 25% for Boser.
Can Boser get the finish? Can Diniz?
Gemini
Boser: 14% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 1%). Diniz: 45% (KO/TKO 44%, submission 1%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Boser: 16% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 2%). Diniz: 39% (KO/TKO 38%, submission 1%).
Claude
Boser: 25% (KO/TKO 22%, submission 3%). Diniz: 48% (KO/TKO 40%, submission 8%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Gemini
Boser is knocked out in 44% and submitted in 1%. Diniz is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 1%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Boser is knocked out in 38% and submitted in 1%. Diniz is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 2%.
Claude
Boser is knocked out in 40% and submitted in 8%. Diniz is knocked out in 22% and submitted in 3%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Gemini
Lopsided: 68% vs 32%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 63% vs 37%.
Claude
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Gemini
Boser wins 32% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Boser wins 37% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Claude
Boser wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Gemini
41%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
45%.
Claude
27%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Boser 44%, Diniz 56%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Boser 47%, Diniz 53%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Boser 37%, Diniz 63%.
Compared with others 3 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Gemini
Of 69 analyst picks, 9 back Boser and 60 back Diniz. This model picks Diniz (68%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 69 analyst picks, 9 back Boser and 60 back Diniz. This model picks Diniz (63%).
Claude
Of 69 analyst picks, 9 back Boser and 60 back Diniz. This model picks Diniz (65%).
Which model is most confident on Boser, and which on Diniz?
Gemini
On Boser: ChatGPT (37%). On Diniz: Gemini (68%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Gemini
Boser by decision: from 10% (Claude) to 21% (ChatGPT).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Gemini
No.
Other models' answers
Claude
Yes.
Version not reported · 15 Oct68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET
Market Odds
How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.
Market read · 6 sportsbooks
36%
Tanner Boser
64%
Jhonata Diniz
Favoured: Diniz (64%) Upset
Boser defeats Diniz · KO/TKO R3
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