TonyHasDiedMMA covers MMA and UFC predictions, reactions, matchmaking and tier lists.
Scorecard
Called 15 of 29 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
- Method Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss Field median Gap to the field
15 of 29 — 52% now, from 50% at their first scored card. The first 1 point is drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
-
Method
45% 5 of 11 correct winners that named a method
-
Round
2 of 4 correct winners that named a round — too few to chart a trend.
-
Underdog
0 of 4 priced underdog calls — too few to chart a trend.
The opening points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos 6 hit · 5 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 6 hit · 6 miss
- Hooker vs. Parnasse 1 hit · 0 miss
- UFC 329 0 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 327 2 hit · 2 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
UFC 333
Volkanovski vs. Evloev
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkanovski vs Evloev | Volkanovski · to win | Upcoming | Volkanovski | Not called | Not called |
| Yan vs Dvalishvili | Yan · to win | Upcoming | Yan | Not called | Not called |
Buckley vs. Malott
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckley vs Malott | Malott · Sub | Upcoming | Malott | Sub | Not called |
Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jauregui · Dec | Jauregui · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Yazmin Jauregui. “She should get this one done pretty easily in my opinion. Uh 3027 is my prediction by decision.” | |||||
| Castaneda · Dec | Heili · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks John Castaneda. “I'm going to go with John Castanada to get this one done by decision.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Ailin Perez. “Let's just pick Perez. She's going to get her takedowns on Dumont.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.7% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Jackson · KO/TKO | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Montel Jackson. “Montel Jackson will get a quick knockout here over Ricky Simone.” | |||||
| Brener · KO/TKO · R1 | Brener · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Picks Elves Brener. “give me Elves Briner to get this one done by knockout round one.” | |||||
| Edwards · to win | Edwards · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Christian Edwards. “I'm actually going to go with Christian Edwards here against Ralpho Bolato.” | |||||
| Nakamura · to win | Hiestand · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Rinya Nakamura. “give me Ren Nakamura.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.7%. Machado · to win | Machado · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Valesca Machado. “Tina Black, but I think that she should get this one done against Melissa Amayo.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.7% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.7%. Osmanli · to win | Akylbek Uulu · DQ R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Mehemmedeli Osmanli. “And so, I'm going to pick him to win.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.7% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Bryczek · KO/TKO | Vieira · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Robert Bryczek. “Britechek, he's a super explosive striker. I think he should be able to get this one done.” | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 43.3%. Barcelos · to win | Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Raoni Barcelos. “So honestly, I'm going to pick Ronnie Barcelos here as the underdog.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.3% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 78.5%. Brito · Dec | Brito · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Transcript-reviewed TonyHasDiedMMA selection. “I got Joe Anderson Breurto by decision, and that is my prediction.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · Dec | O'Neill · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Transcript-reviewed TonyHasDiedMMA selection. “I'm going to take Casey O'Neal to win this one by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 62.5%. Shahbazyan · Dec | Shahbazyan · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Transcript-reviewed TonyHasDiedMMA selection. “Give me Edmond Shabazi. And they get this one done by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Gandra · KO/TKO · R1 | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Transcript-reviewed TonyHasDiedMMA selection. “Give me Ryan Gond to knock out Aussie Diaz in round one.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Yoo · KO/TKO | Aswell Jr. · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Transcript-reviewed TonyHasDiedMMA selection. “Very brutal KO. That's what I'm going with here. Give me Juangu to get this one done.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Despaigne · KO/TKO | Despaigne · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Transcript-reviewed TonyHasDiedMMA selection. “He's going to knock out Tatu Ivasa.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1 | Sharaf · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Transcript-reviewed TonyHasDiedMMA selection. “I'm going to pick Gable to knock out Shawn Sherro in round one.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 91.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Baraniewski · KO/TKO | Menifield · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Transcript-reviewed TonyHasDiedMMA selection. “Give me Baroniski though to win it by knockout.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.9%. Choi · Dec | Pitbull · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Transcript-reviewed TonyHasDiedMMA selection. “I'm going to pick him to defeat Patriceio Pitbull by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 27.2%. Ruffy · KO/TKO · R2 | Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Transcript-reviewed TonyHasDiedMMA selection. “Give me Mauricio Hufi by knockout round two.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 27.2% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Van · KO/TKO · R5 | Van · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Transcript-reviewed TonyHasDiedMMA selection. “I'm gonna pick Joshua Van in this one to win by knockout, late round knockout.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Jourdain · to win | Vera · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Hooker vs. Parnasse
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 80.8%. Parnasse · to win | Parnasse · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Salahdine Parnasse and expects the UFC Paris main event to go the full distance. “I'm going to pick Saladine Parnas. I think it's going to go the full distance.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 28.5%. McGregor · KO/TKO · R2 | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Conor McGregor to land the knockout in round two. “I'm going to pick Conor McGregor to win this one, man, by knockout, round two.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 28.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
UFC 327
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Pico · KO/TKO · R1 | Pico · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Aaron Pico by first-round knockout. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 68.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Holland · Dec | Holland · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Kevin Holland by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 52.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 33.5%. Ribovics · KO/TKO | Gamrot · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Esteban Ribovics to knock out Gamrot. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 33.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Gastelum · KO/TKO | Luque · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Kelvin Gastelum by knockout. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind TonyHasDiedMMA's logged calls.