Mahjoub vs Faglier — Heavyweight · UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott

Scheduled · 17 Oct 2026 UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott Buckley vs. Malott · Heavyweight · Preliminary Card · 3 rounds · Edmonton, Alberta
Javad
Mahjoub
Record Record: 5-0-0
Wins
5
Losses
0
Draws
0
3KO/TKO
1Sub
1Dec

Red corner

5-0-0
Record
6-0-0
Canada
Nationality
Source pending
35
Age
25
Source pending
Height
188
Source pending
Reach
187
Source pending
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
Source pending
80%
Finish rateFinish % — Faglier leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
83%
Joel
Faglier
Record Record: 6-0-0
Wins
6
Losses
0
Draws
0
2KO/TKO
3Sub
1Dec

Blue corner

View full tale of the tape & radar (+10)
5-0-0
Record
6-0-0
Source pending
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
Source pending
Source pending
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Source pending
3
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Mahjoub leads
2
1
Wins by submissionSub wins — Faglier leads
3
Source pending
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
Source pending
Source pending
Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
Source pending
Source pending
Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
Source pending
Source pending
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
Source pending
Tristar Gym - Montreal
Team
Faglier’s MMA

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Predictions summary

Fight details

Analysis has not been published for this scheduled bout.

Comments

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Analysts

Independent analyst picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — on this fight: who they pick, how, and the exact moment they say it. Tap any clip to hear it.

The Die Hard MMA Podcast

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

Clint selects Javad Mahjoub with zero confidence; guest Gordo selects Joel Faglier. The winner is clear, but the round-one-sub exchange later in the video is not confidently attributable to Clint, so method and round are omitted.

“wouldn't shock me in the least. So, 0% confidence. I'm gonna pick the Javad side of things here. Um, and say that maybe Joel just isn't UFC caliber yet,”

* Zero-confidence selection; guest disagrees. Captions are automatically generated. Method and round omitted because speaker attribution for the later finish exchange is unclear.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (4 calls)
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Hear it — 10:43 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Sub

Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Javad Mahjoub by submission.

“I'm going to go with Javad by sub”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 72.4% 21 8
  • Method Accuracy 73.3% 11 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (29 calls)
Andy Lang

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

Andy Lang's only selection is Javad Mahjoub as a lean at -125; he explicitly says it is not a confident pick. Source labels this a lean, not a confident pick.

“the lean, but it’s not a confident pick.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.0% 7 3
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Angelo Bodetti
Hear it — 17:21 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

“javad's the pick i don't know what the hell people are looking at”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (36 calls)
James Blissett

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Sub

James sees a close fight but favors Mahjoub for his top-time and jiu-jitsu upside, selecting him by submission.

“via submission as my official prediction.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

138 MMA explicitly takes Mahjoub despite calling it a zero-confidence pick; the chapter identifies the bout and corner.

“I'm going to take Maj”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
Kunath

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Sub

He expects the stronger, Olympic-level wrestler to take Faglier down and control him. He acknowledges Faglier could hurt him with kicks and hands if the fight stays standing, but predicts a submission.

“So, I'll take Javid Magomedov to make good on his UFC debut to move to 6 and 0. I think he ends up winning by submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (39 calls)
HopperMMA
Hear it — 2:33 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Round 1

“I'm going to go with Maju by sub in the first round”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Sub

Artem likes Mahjoub’s judo-based grappling and submission work from top position. He acknowledges that Faglier is the more athletic and much better striker, with impressive cardio and his own grappling credentials. He still sides with Mahjoub finding a submission, while expressing low confidence.

* He says he does not feel great about the pick.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Bert MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Sub · Round 2

Bert MMA expects Javad Mahjoub to repeatedly enter the clinch and use his judo throws to take Joel Faglier down. He thinks the first round’s clinching will leave little time to finish, then predicts an easier takedown, side control and ground-and-pound leading to a second-round submission.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
View full track record (23 calls)
Fight Productions
Hear it — 15:41 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Sub · Round 1

“i'm going to lean towards Javed in this one i feel like his judo and just his grappling game in general is probably like the best overall skill set in this matchup so I think he's going to get the fight to the ground i'm going to take Javed Majube to win this one by round one submission”

* Analyst stated a lean

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
  • Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
  • Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (42 calls)
TonyHasDiedMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Sub · Round 1

TonyHasDiedMMA picks Javad Mahjoub by first-round submission.

“I'm going to pick him to go out there and get the submission in round number one.”

* He says he did not watch tape and had only watched highlights.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
  • Method Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
View full track record (29 calls)
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · KO/TKO · Round 1

Chris Schweppe picks Javad Mahjoub by first-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
The MMA Yuda
Hear it — 18:57 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

“I'm going to pick Javad Makjub”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (45 calls)
Brandon K

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · KO/TKO

Brandon K selects Javad Mahjoub by KO/TKO.

““I’m going to take him by TKO here. Just ground and pound on the floor. I think you’ll get it done in the second to third round…””

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Locked Door MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

They expect Mahjoub’s athleticism and grappling to get the fight down and let him control it.

“Who's got more ways to win? We think it's Javad.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (7 calls)
BennyPMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Sub

BennyPMMA selects Javad Mahjoub by Submission.

“I've got Shavad winning”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (8 calls)
MMA.SOCIAL

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Dec

MMA.SOCIAL selects Javad Mahjoub by decision; no round is stated.

“Mahjoub by decision.”

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) selects Javad Mahjoub; no round is stated.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
FightIQ

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

FightIQ predicts Javad Mahjoub at 53% confidence.

“We predict Javad Mahjoub — 53% confident”

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Fight Genie (Claude)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight Genie Claude selects Javad Mahjoub over Joel Faglier by ko/tko in round 1. Claude selects a first-round stoppage in a near coin-flip debutant bout and describes the method as highly uncertain. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Fight Genie (GPT)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Dec

Fight Genie GPT selects Javad Mahjoub over Joel Faglier by decision. GPT makes a low-conviction decision pick in a near coin-flip matchup with little separating evidence. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
AI Sports Metrics

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

AI Sports Metrics explicitly labels Javad Mahjoub as its AI/model pick against Joel Faglier. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. AI Sports Metrics identifies its UFC model as a fight-level probability beside the devigged market and warns the current MMA winner model has not beaten closing market.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
FIGHT//AI

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

FIGHT//AI explicitly labels Javad Mahjoub as its AI/model pick against Joel Faglier. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. FIGHT//AI says its displayed probability blends model, market, and fan-sentiment inputs.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
MMA Lock of the Night
Hear it — 27:43 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier · KO/TKO

“I'm going to go Faglier by TKO in round two or round three”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier · KO/TKO

AJ prefers Faglier's more proven MMA experience, kickboxing, and ground game, and predicts a knockout.

“Joel Foglier is my call. I'm picking him as a slight dog. And I'm calling him by knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier

JakeGerberMMA leans toward Joel Faglier, while saying he wants to see the weigh-ins and has questions about the matchup.

“I'm going to lean Joel Faglier to go out here and get this one done.”

* The analyst qualifies this as a lean pending weigh-ins and notes uncertainty; no method or round is specified.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier · KO/TKO · Round 2

He selects Joel Faglier by second-round knockout while discussing Faglier’s wrestling and submission threat.

“I'm going to take Foggler to win this fight by second round knockout.”

* He explicitly says he does not recommend betting on the fight, while still making a pick for the prediction show.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Tim Edwards

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier

Edwards selects Joel Faglier, citing Faglier’s knockout record; he does not call a method for this bout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Jacob Lines
Hear it — 88:15 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier

Picks Joel Faglier and says he has bet on him; he describes the pick as a fade of Javad Mahjoub.

“yeah i like Joel personally i put $250 on on him to win”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (7 calls)
Jon Litterine

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier

Litterine explicitly selects Joel Faglier; no method or round is stated.

“UFC EDMONTON PICK: Faglier”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Walk The Line MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier

Teller regards Faglier as the more complete mixed martial artist, combining wrestling experience with calculated striking and submissions. He thinks Faglier can resist Mahjoub's grappling, force a more varied fight and expose him as the rounds progress. He expects an inside-the-distance win but leaves open a TKO or submission.

* He wants to see more from both UFC debutants before backing either confidently; he selects an inside-the-distance win without settling on one method.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (33 calls)
Bookie Beatdown

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier

Bookie Beatdown explicitly selects Joel Faglier in the matchup discussion. The captions record an additional decision reference, so no single method is assigned.

“Give me Joel Faglier”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
Cole Shelton

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier · KO/TKO

Shelton expects Faglier to keep the fight standing and predicts a knockout, without naming a round.

“On the feet, he's the better striker and should be able to get a big knockout win here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
Greedo Plays MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier · Round 2

Greedo selects Joel Faglier over Javad Mahjoub in round two. The caption ends at “TK,” so no finish method is assigned.

“Joel Fagler to beat Javad Majube on my second round TK.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (48 calls)
MMA JAWN

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier · Dec

MMA JAWN leans Faglier, citing his size, youth, submission skills and experience over three rounds; he expects the fight to go the distance.

“lean Joel Faggler. And I think it goes all the way. I think he goes to the distance.”

* The analyst explicitly labels Faglier a low-confidence pick and acknowledges Mahjoub’s takedown path.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (21 calls)
Steve Garcia

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier

“I think Joel's gonna get it done. Give me Joel.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (9 calls)
Combat Edge Model

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier

Combat Edge Model selects Joel Faglier as its model lean (62%) against Javad Mahjoub. The event card describes a point-in-time model using Elo, records, and matchup data and says forecasts freeze before fight night. It provides win probabilities, not a selected method or round.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record

Analyst picks: The Die Hard MMA Podcast picks Mahjoub; MMA Lock of the Night picks Faglier; Jimbo Ortega MMA picks Mahjoub; Andy Lang picks Mahjoub; AJ Devito picks Faglier; Angelo Bodetti picks Mahjoub; JakeGerberMMA picks Faglier; James Blissett picks Mahjoub; DFS By The Numbers picks Faglier; 138 MMA picks Mahjoub; Kunath picks Mahjoub; HopperMMA picks Mahjoub; Artem MMA picks Mahjoub; Tim Edwards picks Faglier; Jacob Lines picks Faglier; Bert MMA picks Mahjoub; Jon Litterine picks Faglier; Fight Productions picks Mahjoub; Walk The Line MMA picks Faglier; Bookie Beatdown picks Faglier; Cole Shelton picks Faglier; TonyHasDiedMMA picks Mahjoub; Chris Schweppe picks Mahjoub; Greedo Plays MMA picks Faglier; The MMA Yuda picks Mahjoub; MMA JAWN picks Faglier; Steve Garcia picks Faglier; Brandon K picks Mahjoub; Locked Door MMA picks Mahjoub; BennyPMMA picks Mahjoub; MMA.SOCIAL picks Mahjoub; The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) picks Mahjoub; FightIQ picks Mahjoub; Fight Genie (Claude) picks Mahjoub; Fight Genie (GPT) picks Mahjoub; AI Sports Metrics picks Mahjoub; FIGHT//AI picks Mahjoub; Combat Edge Model picks Faglier.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
The Die Hard MMA Podcast4 resolved calls
The Die Hard MMA Podcast

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

Clint selects Javad Mahjoub with zero confidence; guest Gordo selects Joel Faglier. The winner is clear, but the round-one-sub exchange later in the video is not confidently attributable to Clint, so method and round are omitted.

“wouldn't shock me in the least. So, 0% confidence. I'm gonna pick the Javad side of things here. Um, and say that maybe Joel just isn't UFC caliber yet,”

* Zero-confidence selection; guest disagrees. Captions are automatically generated. Method and round omitted because speaker attribution for the later finish exchange is unclear.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (4 calls)
Mahjoub · to winUpcomingMahjoubNot calledNot called
MMA Lock of the Night99 resolved calls
MMA Lock of the Night
Hear it — 27:43 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier · KO/TKO

“I'm going to go Faglier by TKO in round two or round three”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
Faglier · KO/TKOUpcomingFaglierKO/TKONot called
Jimbo Ortega MMA29 resolved calls
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Hear it — 10:43 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Sub

Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Javad Mahjoub by submission.

“I'm going to go with Javad by sub”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 72.4% 21 8
  • Method Accuracy 73.3% 11 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (29 calls)
Mahjoub · SubUpcomingMahjoubSubNot called
Andy Lang10 resolved calls
Andy Lang

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

Andy Lang's only selection is Javad Mahjoub as a lean at -125; he explicitly says it is not a confident pick. Source labels this a lean, not a confident pick.

“the lean, but it’s not a confident pick.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.0% 7 3
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Mahjoub · to winUpcomingMahjoubNot calledNot called
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier · KO/TKO

AJ prefers Faglier's more proven MMA experience, kickboxing, and ground game, and predicts a knockout.

“Joel Foglier is my call. I'm picking him as a slight dog. And I'm calling him by knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Faglier · KO/TKOUpcomingFaglierKO/TKONot called
Angelo Bodetti36 resolved calls
Angelo Bodetti
Hear it — 17:21 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

“javad's the pick i don't know what the hell people are looking at”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Mahjoub · to winUpcomingMahjoubNot calledNot called
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier

JakeGerberMMA leans toward Joel Faglier, while saying he wants to see the weigh-ins and has questions about the matchup.

“I'm going to lean Joel Faglier to go out here and get this one done.”

* The analyst qualifies this as a lean pending weigh-ins and notes uncertainty; no method or round is specified.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Faglier · to winUpcomingFaglierNot calledNot called
James Blissett54 resolved calls
James Blissett

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Sub

James sees a close fight but favors Mahjoub for his top-time and jiu-jitsu upside, selecting him by submission.

“via submission as my official prediction.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
Mahjoub · SubUpcomingMahjoubSubNot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier · KO/TKO · Round 2

He selects Joel Faglier by second-round knockout while discussing Faglier’s wrestling and submission threat.

“I'm going to take Foggler to win this fight by second round knockout.”

* He explicitly says he does not recommend betting on the fight, while still making a pick for the prediction show.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Faglier · KO/TKO · R2UpcomingFaglierKO/TKOR2
138 MMA39 resolved calls
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

138 MMA explicitly takes Mahjoub despite calling it a zero-confidence pick; the chapter identifies the bout and corner.

“I'm going to take Maj”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
Mahjoub · to winUpcomingMahjoubNot calledNot called
Kunath39 resolved calls
Kunath

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Sub

He expects the stronger, Olympic-level wrestler to take Faglier down and control him. He acknowledges Faglier could hurt him with kicks and hands if the fight stays standing, but predicts a submission.

“So, I'll take Javid Magomedov to make good on his UFC debut to move to 6 and 0. I think he ends up winning by submission.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (39 calls)
Mahjoub · SubUpcomingMahjoubSubNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA
Hear it — 2:33 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Round 1

“I'm going to go with Maju by sub in the first round”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Mahjoub · to winUpcomingMahjoubNot calledR1
Artem MMA71 resolved calls
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Sub

Artem likes Mahjoub’s judo-based grappling and submission work from top position. He acknowledges that Faglier is the more athletic and much better striker, with impressive cardio and his own grappling credentials. He still sides with Mahjoub finding a submission, while expressing low confidence.

* He says he does not feel great about the pick.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Mahjoub · SubUpcomingMahjoubSubNot called
Tim Edwards10 resolved calls
Tim Edwards

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier

Edwards selects Joel Faglier, citing Faglier’s knockout record; he does not call a method for this bout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Faglier · to winUpcomingFaglierNot calledNot called
Jacob Lines7 resolved calls
Jacob Lines
Hear it — 88:15 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier

Picks Joel Faglier and says he has bet on him; he describes the pick as a fade of Javad Mahjoub.

“yeah i like Joel personally i put $250 on on him to win”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (7 calls)
Faglier · to winUpcomingFaglierNot calledNot called
Bert MMA23 resolved calls
Bert MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Sub · Round 2

Bert MMA expects Javad Mahjoub to repeatedly enter the clinch and use his judo throws to take Joel Faglier down. He thinks the first round’s clinching will leave little time to finish, then predicts an easier takedown, side control and ground-and-pound leading to a second-round submission.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
View full track record (23 calls)
Mahjoub · Sub · R2UpcomingMahjoubSubR2
Jon Litterine97 resolved calls
Jon Litterine

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier

Litterine explicitly selects Joel Faglier; no method or round is stated.

“UFC EDMONTON PICK: Faglier”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Faglier · to winUpcomingFaglierNot calledNot called
Fight Productions42 resolved calls
Fight Productions
Hear it — 15:41 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Sub · Round 1

“i'm going to lean towards Javed in this one i feel like his judo and just his grappling game in general is probably like the best overall skill set in this matchup so I think he's going to get the fight to the ground i'm going to take Javed Majube to win this one by round one submission”

* Analyst stated a lean

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
  • Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
  • Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (42 calls)
Mahjoub · Sub · R1UpcomingMahjoubSubR1
Walk The Line MMA33 resolved calls
Walk The Line MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier

Teller regards Faglier as the more complete mixed martial artist, combining wrestling experience with calculated striking and submissions. He thinks Faglier can resist Mahjoub's grappling, force a more varied fight and expose him as the rounds progress. He expects an inside-the-distance win but leaves open a TKO or submission.

* He wants to see more from both UFC debutants before backing either confidently; he selects an inside-the-distance win without settling on one method.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (33 calls)
Faglier · to winUpcomingFaglierNot calledNot called
Bookie Beatdown36 resolved calls
Bookie Beatdown

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier

Bookie Beatdown explicitly selects Joel Faglier in the matchup discussion. The captions record an additional decision reference, so no single method is assigned.

“Give me Joel Faglier”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
Faglier · to winUpcomingFaglierNot calledNot called
Cole Shelton99 resolved calls
Cole Shelton

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier · KO/TKO

Shelton expects Faglier to keep the fight standing and predicts a knockout, without naming a round.

“On the feet, he's the better striker and should be able to get a big knockout win here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
Faglier · KO/TKOUpcomingFaglierKO/TKONot called
TonyHasDiedMMA29 resolved calls
TonyHasDiedMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Sub · Round 1

TonyHasDiedMMA picks Javad Mahjoub by first-round submission.

“I'm going to pick him to go out there and get the submission in round number one.”

* He says he did not watch tape and had only watched highlights.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
  • Method Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
View full track record (29 calls)
Mahjoub · Sub · R1UpcomingMahjoubSubR1
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · KO/TKO · Round 1

Chris Schweppe picks Javad Mahjoub by first-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Mahjoub · KO/TKO · R1UpcomingMahjoubKO/TKOR1
Greedo Plays MMA48 resolved calls
Greedo Plays MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier · Round 2

Greedo selects Joel Faglier over Javad Mahjoub in round two. The caption ends at “TK,” so no finish method is assigned.

“Joel Fagler to beat Javad Majube on my second round TK.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (48 calls)
Faglier · to winUpcomingFaglierNot calledR2
The MMA Yuda45 resolved calls
The MMA Yuda
Hear it — 18:57 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

“I'm going to pick Javad Makjub”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (45 calls)
Mahjoub · to winUpcomingMahjoubNot calledNot called
MMA JAWN21 resolved calls
MMA JAWN

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier · Dec

MMA JAWN leans Faglier, citing his size, youth, submission skills and experience over three rounds; he expects the fight to go the distance.

“lean Joel Faggler. And I think it goes all the way. I think he goes to the distance.”

* The analyst explicitly labels Faglier a low-confidence pick and acknowledges Mahjoub’s takedown path.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (21 calls)
Faglier · DecUpcomingFaglierDecNot called
Steve Garcia9 resolved calls
Steve Garcia

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier

“I think Joel's gonna get it done. Give me Joel.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (9 calls)
Faglier · to winUpcomingFaglierNot calledNot called
Brandon K23 resolved calls
Brandon K

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · KO/TKO

Brandon K selects Javad Mahjoub by KO/TKO.

““I’m going to take him by TKO here. Just ground and pound on the floor. I think you’ll get it done in the second to third round…””

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Mahjoub · KO/TKOUpcomingMahjoubKO/TKONot called
Locked Door MMA7 resolved calls
Locked Door MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

They expect Mahjoub’s athleticism and grappling to get the fight down and let him control it.

“Who's got more ways to win? We think it's Javad.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (7 calls)
Mahjoub · to winUpcomingMahjoubNot calledNot called
BennyPMMA8 resolved calls
BennyPMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Sub

BennyPMMA selects Javad Mahjoub by Submission.

“I've got Shavad winning”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (8 calls)
Mahjoub · SubUpcomingMahjoubSubNot called
MMA.SOCIAL
MMA.SOCIAL

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Dec

MMA.SOCIAL selects Javad Mahjoub by decision; no round is stated.

“Mahjoub by decision.”

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Mahjoub · DecUpcomingMahjoubDecNot called
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) selects Javad Mahjoub; no round is stated.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Mahjoub · to winUpcomingMahjoubNot calledNot called
FightIQ
FightIQ

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

FightIQ predicts Javad Mahjoub at 53% confidence.

“We predict Javad Mahjoub — 53% confident”

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Mahjoub · to winUpcomingMahjoubNot calledNot called
Fight Genie (Claude)
Fight Genie (Claude)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight Genie Claude selects Javad Mahjoub over Joel Faglier by ko/tko in round 1. Claude selects a first-round stoppage in a near coin-flip debutant bout and describes the method as highly uncertain. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Mahjoub · KO/TKO · R1UpcomingMahjoubKO/TKOR1
Fight Genie (GPT)
Fight Genie (GPT)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub · Dec

Fight Genie GPT selects Javad Mahjoub over Joel Faglier by decision. GPT makes a low-conviction decision pick in a near coin-flip matchup with little separating evidence. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Mahjoub · DecUpcomingMahjoubDecNot called
AI Sports Metrics
AI Sports Metrics

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

AI Sports Metrics explicitly labels Javad Mahjoub as its AI/model pick against Joel Faglier. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. AI Sports Metrics identifies its UFC model as a fight-level probability beside the devigged market and warns the current MMA winner model has not beaten closing market.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Mahjoub · to winUpcomingMahjoubNot calledNot called
FIGHT//AI
FIGHT//AI

Current pick evidence

Picked: Javad Mahjoub

FIGHT//AI explicitly labels Javad Mahjoub as its AI/model pick against Joel Faglier. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. FIGHT//AI says its displayed probability blends model, market, and fan-sentiment inputs.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Mahjoub · to winUpcomingMahjoubNot calledNot called
Combat Edge Model
Combat Edge Model

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joel Faglier

Combat Edge Model selects Joel Faglier as its model lean (62%) against Javad Mahjoub. The event card describes a point-in-time model using Elo, records, and matchup data and says forecasts freeze before fight night. It provides win probabilities, not a selected method or round.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Faglier · to winUpcomingFaglierNot calledNot called

15 of 38 see a finish — 7 by KO/TKO, 8 by submission, 3 by decision.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

AI Predictions

Latest eligible AI predictions load when this page is online.

Odds

No current consensus line is saved on this page.

Best available price

Javad Mahjoub
+100 at BetMGM, DraftKings
Joel Faglier
-117 at BetRivers

Highest American-odds quote among 4 US-licensed sportsbooks, oldest quote Oct 14, 23:22 UTC. Lines move; confirm with the sportsbook. Not betting advice.

Offshore sportsbooks (not licensed in US states)
Javad Mahjoub
-103 at BetUS, Bovada
Joel Faglier
-110 at BetOnline.ag

Best price among 3 offshore sportsbooks that quote this fight. Offshore books are not licensed by any US state regulator.

Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET