Fight Productions publishes full-card predictions and breakdowns for UFC events and Dana White’s Contender Series. Its channel also offers event recaps and retrospective UFC discussions.
Scorecard
Called 19 of 31 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 61.3% 19 12
- Method Accuracy 73.7% 14 5
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss Field median Gap to the field
19 of 31 — 61% now, from 100% at their first scored card. The first 3 points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
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Method
74% 14 of 19 correct winners that named a method
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Round
38% 5 of 13 correct winners that named a round
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Underdog
1 of 3 priced underdog calls — too few to chart a trend.
The opening points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- UFC 332 8 hit · 1 miss
- Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos 4 hit · 7 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 4 hit · 4 miss
- UFC 330 1 hit · 0 miss
- UFC 329 1 hit · 0 miss
- Kape vs Horiguchi 1 hit · 0 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Allen vs. Duncan
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen vs Duncan | Duncan · KO/TKO · R2 | Upcoming | Duncan | KO/TKO | R2 |
| Camilo vs Herbert | Camilo · KO/TKO · R1 | Upcoming | Camilo | KO/TKO | R1 |
| Fili vs Kamaka III | Fili · KO/TKO · R2 | Upcoming | Fili | KO/TKO | R2 |
| Franco vs Ribeiro | Franco · KO/TKO · R2 | Upcoming | Franco | KO/TKO | R2 |
| Frye Jr. vs Harris | Harris · KO/TKO · R1 | Upcoming | Harris | KO/TKO | R1 |
| Godinez vs Souza | Godinez · Dec | Upcoming | Godinez | Dec | Not called |
| Kareckaitė vs Gatto | Kareckaitė · Dec | Upcoming | Kareckaitė | Dec | Not called |
| Pereira vs Zhelezniakova | Pereira · Dec | Upcoming | Pereira | Dec | Not called |
| Prado vs Bonfim | Bonfim · Dec | Upcoming | Bonfim | Dec | Not called |
| Price vs Shahbazyan | Shahbazyan · Sub · R1 | Upcoming | Shahbazyan | Sub | R1 |
| Walker vs Meerschaert | Walker · KO/TKO · R2 | Upcoming | Walker | KO/TKO | R2 |
| Wellmaker vs Tanzilovi | Wellmaker · KO/TKO · R2 | Upcoming | Wellmaker | KO/TKO | R2 |
UFC 332
Silva vs. Wang
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 88.9% 8 1
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hernandez · Dec | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Fight Productions selects Alexander Hernandez by decision. | |||||
| Talbott · KO/TKO · R2 | Talbott · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Fight Productions selects Payton Talbott by ko/tko in round 2. | |||||
| Ribovics · KO/TKO · R2 | Ribovics · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Fight Productions selects Esteban Ribovics by ko/tko in round 2. | |||||
| Nolan · KO/TKO · R2 | Nolan · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Fight Productions selects Eric Nolan by ko/tko in round 2. | |||||
| Wang · Dec | Silva · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Fight Productions selects Wang Cong by decision. | |||||
| Naurdiev · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Fight Productions selects Ismail Naurdiev by decision. | |||||
| Walker · KO/TKO · R1 | Walker · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Fight Productions selects Johnny Walker by ko/tko in round 1. | |||||
| Soldic · KO/TKO · R1 | Soldic · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Fight Productions selects Roberto Soldic by ko/tko in round 1. | |||||
| Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Fight Productions selects Anthony Wint by ko/tko in round 1. | |||||
Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jauregui · KO/TKO · R3 | Jauregui · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Fight Productions picks Yazmin Jauregui by third-round knockout over Vanessa Demopoulos. “I'll go round three knockout win for Yazmin Jauregui.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · Dec | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Fight Productions picks Ailin Perez by decision over Norma Dumont. “So, Eileen Perez, uh, by decision is going to be my pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.7% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Castaneda · Dec | Heili · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Fight Productions picks John Castaneda by decision over Alateng Heili. “I'm going to take Castanada to win this one by decision.” | |||||
| Simón · Dec | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Fight Productions picks Ricky Simon by decision over Montel Jackson. “I'm gonna take Ricky Simon to win this one by decision.” | |||||
| Bellato · KO/TKO · R2 | Edwards · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Fight Productions picks Rodolfo Bellato by second-round knockout over Christian Edwards. “I'm gonna go with Bellato to win this one by round two knockout.” | |||||
| Harrell · KO/TKO · R2 | Brener · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Fight Productions picks Josiah Harrell by second-round knockout over Elves Brener. “I'm going to back Harold in this matchup, though. I'm going to take Harold by a round two knockout.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.7%. Machado · KO/TKO · R2 | Machado · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Fight Productions picks Valesca Machado by second-round knockout over Melissa Amaya. “I'm going to take Tina Black to win this one by round two knockout.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.7% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.7%. Osmanli · Sub · R2 | Akylbek Uulu · DQ R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Fight Productions picks Mehemmedeli Osmanli by second-round submission over Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu. “I'm going to go round two sub for Osmanli.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.7% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Nakamura · KO/TKO · R1 | Hiestand · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Fight Productions picks Rinya Nakamura by first-round knockout over Brady Hiestand. “I've got to go with Nakamura here. I'm going to take him to win this one by a round one knockout.” | |||||
| Vieira · Sub · R1 | Vieira · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Fight Productions picks Rodolfo Vieira by first-round submission over Robert Bryczek. “I'll go round one sub for Vieira.” | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 43.3%. Barcelos · Sub · R4 | Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Fight Productions picks Raoni Barcelos by fourth-round submission over Raul Rosas Jr. “Barcelos round four sub is the pick.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.3% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Gandra · KO/TKO · R1 | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Fight Productions picks Ryan Gandra by first-round knockout over Ozzy Diaz. “I'm going to take Ryan Gond to win this one by knockout. And I think he gets it done early. I'll go round one KO now.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Yoo · Dec | Aswell Jr. · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Fight Productions picks JooSang Yoo by decision over Michael Aswell Jr. “And so I think Yu is going to take this one by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Despaigne · KO/TKO · R1 | Despaigne · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Fight Productions picks Robelis Despaigne by first-round knockout over Tai Tuivasa. “Robelis to Spain round one knockout will be the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 35.5%. Vera · Dec | Vera · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Fight Productions picks Marlon Vera by decision over Charles Jourdain. “I'm going to take Cheeto to win this one by decision.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 35.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1 | Sharaf · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Fight Productions picks Gable Steveson by first-round knockout over Sean Sharaf. “Nine out of 10 times I think Stefson just knocks him out in the first round.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 91.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.9%. Choi · KO/TKO · R3 | Pitbull · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Fight Productions picks Dooho Choi by third-round knockout over Patrício Pitbull. “I'm going to go Duo Choi round three KO to win this fight.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.8%. Tsarukyan · KO/TKO · R2 | Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Fight Productions picks Arman Tsarukyan by second-round ground-and-pound knockout over Maurício Ruffy. “I'm going to take Armen to win this one by round two ground and pound knockout.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Pantoja · Sub · R3 | Van · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Fight Productions picks Alexandre Pantoja by third-round submission over Joshua Van. “I'm going to take him to pick up a round three submission win.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
UFC 330
Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Fight Productions takes Islam Makhachev by decision after weighing his grappling and control path. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Holloway · KO/TKO | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Fight Productions gives a transcript-verified UFC 329 main-event pick for Max Holloway by KO/TKO. “I think Holloway pulls away, ends up finishing him by knockout.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Kape vs Horiguchi
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Kape · KO/TKO · R3 | Kape · TKO (punches) R3 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Picks Kape to use his youth and speed advantage to produce a third-round knockout in a difficult matchup for Horiguchi. “I'm going to take him by round three knockout.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind Fight Productions's logged calls.