A lot at stake 🤝@Blanchfield_MMA vs @JasJasudavicius [ #UFCEdmonton | LIVE OCT 17 at 8pmET on @ParamountPlus ]
View video on X ↗UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Jasmine Jasudavicius defeats Erin Blanchfield by unanimous decision
Unanimous decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Blanchfield vs Jasudavicius — Women's Flyweight · UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Predictions summary
Analyst Picks
(73) 95%
5% (4)
AI Predictions
76%
24%
Market Odds
74%
26%
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Jasudavicius secured dominant grappling positions and threatened submissions in the first two rounds. Blanchfield had the better standing exchanges in the third, but all three judges scored the fight 29-28 for Jasudavicius.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Blanchfield
Blanchfield is 14-2, per UFC, and has won four of her last five, most recently submitting Tracy Cortez by rear-naked choke. Her 1.96 takedowns and 0.86 submission attempts per 15 minutes offer a clear path to test Jasudavicius through repeated entries and transitions.
Case for Jasudavicius
Jasudavicius is 15-4, per UFC, and her recent wins over Karine Silva and Jessica Andrade include a first-round rear-naked choke of Andrade, per UFC. Her 2.63 takedowns per 15 minutes can make this a two-way wrestling fight, while Blanchfield's 78% takedown defense is the key barrier to her route.
What We Were Watching For
- Can Jasudavicius turn her higher takedown rate into control against Blanchfield's 78% defense?
- Will Blanchfield's 0.86 submission attempts per 15 minutes create danger in the transitions?
- Does Jasudavicius's recent Andrade submission translate into a threat from top or back control?
Records & career stats
- 5.24 3.47
- 59% 52%
- 4.25 3.46
- 78% 75%
- 50% 38%
- 14-2-0
- Record
- 15-4-0
- Source pending
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- Not published
- United States
- Nationality
- Canada
- 27
- Age
- 37
- Source pending
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Source pending
- 13:37
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 12:45
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (2)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
(73) 95%
LBlanchfield
5% (4)
JasudaviciusW
FightIQ
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
FightIQ predicts Erin Blanchfield at 82% confidence.
“We predict Erin Blanchfield — 82% confident”
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Erin Blanchfield by decision.
“I'm going Blanchfield by decision”
Track record: winner called in 38 of 56 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.9% (38 hit, 18 miss, across 56 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.1% (18 hit, 11 miss, across 29 method-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 56 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 38 18
- Method Accuracy 62.1% 18 11
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
MMA Lock of the Night
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
“So I'm going to go Blanchfield And I think she wins this fight by decision”
Track record: winner called in 85 of 126 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.5% (85 hit, 41 miss, across 126 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 59.5% (25 hit, 17 miss, across 42 method-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 126 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.5% 85 41
- Method Accuracy 59.5% 25 17
- Round Accuracy 55.6% 5 4
- Underdog Accuracy 36.8% 7 12
AJ Devito
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
AJ favors Blanchfield's grappling and improving striking, naming submission or decision as his official call.
“So, I'm going to say Blanchfield submission or decision as the official call.”
Track record: winner called in 175 of 264 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.3% (175 hit, 89 miss, across 264 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.7% (61 hit, 43 miss, across 104 method-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 77.8% (7 hit, 2 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (12 hit, 21 miss, across 33 underdog calls on 264 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.3% 175 89
- Method Accuracy 58.7% 61 43
- Round Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 12 21
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
JakeGerberMMA picks Erin Blanchfield by decision; the later mention of submission is framed as a conditional statement, not the primary pick.
“Give me Blanchfield to get this one done by decision.”
* The captions garble first names in the segment, but the named matchup and official bout roster identify Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius.
Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 101 53
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 39 26
- Round Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Fite Feed
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Sub · Round 2
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
The speaker expects Blanchfield’s superior grappling and her team’s prior experience against Jasudavicius to help her secure a submission.
“I'm going to bank on Erin Blanchfield getting a submission though, guys.”
Track record: winner called in 24 of 37 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.9% (24 hit, 13 miss, across 37 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.9% (14 hit, 9 miss, across 23 method-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 21.4% (3 hit, 11 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 37 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.9% 24 13
- Method Accuracy 60.9% 14 9
- Round Accuracy 21.4% 3 11
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
He sees Erin Blanchfield winning by decision and notes Jasmine Jasudavicius is tough.
“I'm going to go Blanchfield probably by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 112 of 173 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.7% (112 hit, 61 miss, across 173 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.0% (61 hit, 39 miss, across 100 method-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 38.3% (18 hit, 29 miss, across 47 round-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 underdog calls on 173 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.7% 112 61
- Method Accuracy 61.0% 61 39
- Round Accuracy 38.3% 18 29
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 8 14
138 MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
138 MMA takes Erin Blanchfield, explicitly noting the pick is driven by team-USA loyalty rather than confidence in the matchup.
“So I'm going to take Aaron.”
Track record: winner called in 42 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.6% (42 hit, 24 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 43.8% (7 hit, 9 miss, across 16 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 42 24
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 43.8% 7 9
Mate Bersenadze
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Sub · Round 2
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Mate Bersenadze explicitly predicts Erin Blanchfield by submission in round 2.
“Prediction: Blanchfield by submission in round two.”
Track record: winner called in 33 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.5% (33 hit, 19 miss, across 52 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 51.5% (17 hit, 16 miss, across 33 method-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 52 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.5% 33 19
- Method Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Drake Burden
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Drake Burden selects Erin Blanchfield to win.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.3% (62 hit, 36 miss, across 98 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 98 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.3% 62 36
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
Livid Larry MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
He favors Blanchfield's striking, grappling, and cardio, expecting her to neutralize Jasudavicius's usual grappling and pace.
“me, Blanchfield by decision is the pick.”
Track record: winner called in 34 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.0% (34 hit, 20 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 79.2% (19 hit, 5 miss, across 24 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.0% 34 20
- Method Accuracy 79.2% 19 5
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
MMA JOEY
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
He says he is confident in Blanchfield and predicts a unanimous decision.
“But yeah, I'm picking Erin Blanchfield. I'm pretty confident Erin Blanchfield gets it done. I'll say she wins via unanimous decision.”
Track record: winner called in 78 of 125 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.4% (78 hit, 47 miss, across 125 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.6% (27 hit, 31 miss, across 58 method-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.1% (9 hit, 23 miss, across 32 round-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 125 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.4% 78 47
- Method Accuracy 46.6% 27 31
- Round Accuracy 28.1% 9 23
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 7 14
HopperMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
“Yeah I'm going to go Erin Blankfield by decision”
Track record: winner called in 92 of 148 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.2% (92 hit, 56 miss, across 148 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.8% (45 hit, 29 miss, across 74 method-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 round-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 26.9% (7 hit, 19 miss, across 26 underdog calls on 148 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.2% 92 56
- Method Accuracy 60.8% 45 29
- Round Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Underdog Accuracy 26.9% 7 19
James Lynch
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Blanchfield as James Lynch’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 36 of 59 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 61.0% (36 hit, 23 miss, across 59 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 45.0% (9 hit, 11 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 59 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 61.0% 36 23
- Method Accuracy 45.0% 9 11
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
James Blissett
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
James favors Blanchfield’s grappling, pressure, and top game, and makes her the official decision winner.
“I've got Aaron Blanchfield to win the fight. I'll say she wins it via decision cuz Jasmine is just so tough.”
Track record: winner called in 48 of 79 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.8% (48 hit, 31 miss, across 79 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.2% (26 hit, 22 miss, across 48 method-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 41.2% (7 hit, 10 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 79 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.8% 48 31
- Method Accuracy 54.2% 26 22
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Underdog Accuracy 41.2% 7 10
Garrett Kerman
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Kerman selects Erin Blanchfield, expecting her pressure, top control and conditioning to wear down Jasmine Jasudavicius.
“Pick: Erin Blanchfield”
Track record: winner called in 20 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.6% (20 hit, 13 miss, across 33 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 33 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
- Method Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Combat Edge Model
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Combat Edge Model selects Erin Blanchfield as its strong model lean (72%) against Jasmine Jasudavicius. The event card describes a point-in-time model using Elo, records, and matchup data and says forecasts freeze before fight night. It provides win probabilities, not a selected method or round.
Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Jacob Lines
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Picks Erin Blanchfield, citing her constant pressure.
“she can get it done but I got to go Aaron because I do like her her just constant pressure”
Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
Owen Liao
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Erin Blanchfield to win.
“Erin Blanchfield to win”
Track record: winner called in 9 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (9 hit, 6 miss, across 15 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 15 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 9 6
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
MMA Mathletes
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
MMA Mathletes says Erin Blanchfield will have the stronger grappling and dominate the fight, and expects her to win by decision.
“I also have Aaron Blanchfield.”
Track record: winner called in 32 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (32 hit, 22 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 32 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Fight Genie (Claude)
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Fight Genie Claude selects Erin Blanchfield over Jasmine Jasudavicius by decision. Blanchfield’s higher striking output and takedown defense support a points win; the layoff and Jasudavicius’s wrestling are risks. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.
Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (8 hit, 8 miss, across 16 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 16 11
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 8 8
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) selects Erin Blanchfield; no round is stated.
Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 16 11
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Tim Edwards
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Edwards favors Erin Blanchfield’s grappling and control. He mentions both a dominant decision and a possible submission, so the result is winner-only.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.8% (20 hit, 14 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.8% 20 14
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Sub · Round 2
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
He expects Blanchfield's striking pressure to lead to grappling exchanges where her superior grappling produces a submission.
“in this one I have Erin Blanchfield via second round submission.”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 63 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.7% (37 hit, 26 miss, across 63 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.6% (21 hit, 11 miss, across 32 method-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 42.1% (8 hit, 11 miss, across 19 round-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 63 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.7% 37 26
- Method Accuracy 65.6% 21 11
- Round Accuracy 42.1% 8 11
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
Kunath
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Sub
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
He expects Blanchfield’s wrestling to put Jasudavicius on her back and create chances to take the back, and does not expect Jasudavicius to outgrapple her.
“So, I'm going to take Erin Blanchfield to win. Give me Erin Blanchfield by submission.”
Track record: winner called in 38 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.5% (38 hit, 27 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 56.7% (17 hit, 13 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.5% 38 27
- Method Accuracy 56.7% 17 13
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
Angelo Bodetti
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
“i'm gonna pick Aaron Blanchfield here i don't love it i don't want to I want to pick Jasmine i'll be rooting for Jasmine but I got to pick Aaron”
* Wants and roots for Jasmine Jasudavicius, but feels Blanchfield is evolving too quickly.
Track record: winner called in 29 of 50 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.0% (29 hit, 21 miss, across 50 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 50 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.0% 29 21
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Artem MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Artem believes Blanchfield has the advantage both striking and grappling, despite not rating her as a particularly strong striker overall. He sees little submission danger from Jasudavicius off her back and expects Blanchfield to outwrestle her. He is fairly confident in a Blanchfield decision.
Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 55 40
- Method Accuracy 63.8% 30 17
- Round Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Underdog Accuracy 23.5% 4 13
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Jon Litterine explicitly selects Erin Blanchfield by decision over Jasmine Jasudavicius.
“Give me Erin via decision. UFC EDMONTON PICK: Blanchfield”
Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 70 54
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.0% 7 18
BetSam
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
He expects Blanchfield's relentless forward pressure and roughly ten-year age advantage over Jasudavicius to carry the fight.
“My pick is going to be Aaron Blanchfield.”
Track record: winner called in 22 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.4% (22 hit, 17 miss, across 39 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 39 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.4% 22 17
- Method Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Fight Productions
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
“i'm just going to go with the fighter who I think is better more skilled honestly everywhere and that is Aaron Blanchfield i think she's going to win this one by decision”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.7% (28 hit, 9 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 41.7% (10 hit, 14 miss, across 24 round-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (2 hit, 6 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 37 29
- Method Accuracy 75.7% 28 9
- Round Accuracy 41.7% 10 14
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6
Fight Genie (GPT)
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Fight Genie GPT selects Erin Blanchfield over Jasmine Jasudavicius by decision. Blanchfield’s striking differential and takedown defense support the pick, tempered by Jasudavicius’s activity and wrestling. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.
Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.3% (8 hit, 7 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 16.7% (1 hit, 5 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
- Method Accuracy 53.3% 8 7
- Round Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
MMA.SOCIAL
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
MMA.SOCIAL selects Erin Blanchfield by decision; no round is stated.
“Blanchfield by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
- Method Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Clenbat
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
The speaker favors Blanchfield's experience against stronger competition and grappling strengths despite concerns about Jasmine's defense and striking.
“Hey, I'm going to pick Aaron Blanchfield here.”
Track record: winner called in 27 of 49 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.1% (27 hit, 22 miss, across 49 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 49 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.1% 27 22
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Kasper MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
He favors Blanchfield's positional grappling, scrambling, transitions, stronger opposition experience, and striking output to win rounds.
“So, I'm picking Blanchfield to win by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.8% (23 hit, 19 miss, across 42 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.1% (11 hit, 7 miss, across 18 method-scored calls on 42 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 42 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
- Method Accuracy 61.1% 11 7
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Chris Schweppe picks Erin Blanchfield by split decision.
Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.5% 53 46
- Method Accuracy 47.2% 25 28
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Shelton expects Blanchfield to use her wrestling and clinch game to grind out a decision.
“I'm taking Erin Blanchfield to beat Jasmine Jasudavicius by decision on Saturday in the co-main event.”
Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Method Accuracy 87.5% 7 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 3 15
TonyHasDiedMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Erin Blanchfield by decision.
“I'm gonna pick Aaron Blanchfield ... pick Aaron Blanchfield to get this one done by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 28 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.8% (28 hit, 25 miss, across 53 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.1% (8 hit, 9 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 71.4% (5 hit, 2 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 53 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.8% 28 25
- Method Accuracy 47.1% 8 9
- Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Locked Door MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
They favor Blanchfield’s wrestling and recent competition; the co-host calls it a favorable stylistic matchup.
Track record: winner called in 10 of 19 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.6% (10 hit, 9 miss, across 19 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 19 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 19 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 19 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
MikesMMAPicks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Blanchfield as MikesMMAPicks’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 25 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.1% (25 hit, 23 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.1% 25 23
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
Steve Garcia
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
“give me Aaron Blanchfield for this one”
Track record: winner called in 15 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.7% (15 hit, 14 miss, across 29 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 29 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 29 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Andy Lang
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Andy Lang calls Erin Blanchfield the easy pick; he does not specify a method or round.
“Blanchfield is the easy pick.”
Track record: winner called in 18 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (18 hit, 17 miss, across 35 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 35 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 18 17
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Greedo selects Erin Blanchfield over Jasmine Jasudavicius by decision.
“going to take Blanchfield by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (37 hit, 35 miss, across 72 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.3% (19 hit, 11 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 72 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 37 35
- Method Accuracy 63.3% 19 11
- Round Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Bookie Beatdown
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Bookie Beatdown selects Erin Blanchfield. Later captions record differing finish methods, so no method is assigned.
“I got Blanchfield. I got Blanchfield pretty wide to be honest with you.”
Track record: winner called in 23 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.1% (23 hit, 22 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.1% 23 22
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
Walk The Line MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · KO/TKO
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Teller expects Blanchfield's grappling to prevent Jasudavicius from imposing her usual pressure and control. He thinks Blanchfield's developing striking will then have opportunities against Jasudavicius's poor striking defense. He confidently backs Blanchfield to win and repeatedly calls a knockout for fun.
* He expressly describes the knockout method as a for-fun call to shake things up.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (27 hit, 27 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.9% (11 hit, 8 miss, across 19 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 27 27
- Method Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
The Die Hard MMA Podcast
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
“so I I'll say Blanchfield by decision but I do think she's the right side”
Track record: winner called in 7 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (7 hit, 7 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 7 7
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Sean Sheehan
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Sheehan selects Erin Blanchfield, praising her striking and combinations while noting Jasudavicius’s grappling threat. He does not select a method or round.
“But I do like Aaron Blanchfield here. I think um and I think she’s without a doubt certainly the pick in this fight.”
Track record: winner called in 4 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 8 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
MCA PICKS
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
MCA PICKS expects a competitive fight but sees Blanchfield winning clearly.
“yo creo que va a ser una decisión va a estar competida la pelea pero clara victoria para Blanchfield”
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 4 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
mmadbm
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
He expects Blanchfield's superior jiu-jitsu and positional control to win minutes while matching Jasudavicius's cardio and striking.
“Aaron Blanchfield by decision against Jasmine Jazz the Vicious.”
Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (12 hit, 2 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 41 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 12 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Nick Kalikas
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Blanchfield as Nick Kalikas’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.9% (23 hit, 25 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.9% 23 25
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Guy Bruhn
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
DocSports author Guy Bruhn explicitly selects Erin Blanchfield.
“Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Erin Blanchfield (-330)”
Track record: winner called in 10 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.6% (10 hit, 11 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Zain Bando
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Blanchfield as Zain Bando’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
MMA JAWN
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
MMA JAWN leans Blanchfield for her improving striking, stronger submission game, takedowns and experience, predicting a unanimous decision.
“So Eric Blanchfield is the pick for me be a unanimous decision.”
* He acknowledges Jasudavicius’s physical tools and cautions about Blanchfield’s betting price.
Track record: winner called in 16 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.1% (16 hit, 18 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.1% 16 18
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Uselyis
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
The speaker highlights Blanchfield's resilience, pressure, and ground control in a matchup expected to hinge on takedowns and control time.
“I'm going to go by 2928 decision. Let's go Aaron Blanchfield for the dub.”
Track record: winner called in 25 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.3% (25 hit, 29 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 7 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.3% 25 29
- Method Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 7
Adam Martin
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Adam Martin picks Erin Blanchfield by decision as the most likely outcome, while mentioning submission as another possibility.
Track record: winner called in 6 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
- Method Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Marcel Dorff
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Marcel Dorff picks Erin Blanchfield by decision and cites her preparation and standing in the division.
“I'm going Aaron Blanchfield obviously, you know, I think she wins the decision here.”
Track record: winner called in 6 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (4 hit, 2 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Drew Beaupre
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Drew Beaupre explicitly selects Blanchfield.
“Pick: Blanchfield”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.8% (11 hit, 13 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.8% 11 13
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
FightStudy
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
FightStudy selects Blanchfield by Decision.
“Prediction: Blanchfield by DEC”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.8% (11 hit, 13 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 72.7% (8 hit, 3 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 round-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.8% 11 13
- Method Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Andrew Sumian
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Andrew Sumian selects Erin Blanchfield to win.
Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.0% 18 22
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Brandon K
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Brandon K selects Erin Blanchfield by Decision.
““Blanchfield by decision.””
Track record: winner called in 20 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 44.4% (20 hit, 25 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 42.9% (6 hit, 8 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 44.4% 20 25
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 6 8
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
BennyPMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
BennyPMMA selects Erin Blanchfield by Decision.
““I’m gonna go with Aaron Blanchfield. Decision.””
Track record: winner called in 9 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 42.9% (9 hit, 12 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 42.9% 9 12
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Lightning MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
The speaker considers Blanchfield slightly more skilled and driven, ranking her among the division's top three.
“Blanchfield by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 42.3% (11 hit, 15 miss, across 26 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.0% (6 hit, 2 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 4 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 26 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 42.3% 11 15
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Round Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
The Lab Analytics
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
The Lab Analytics selects Erin Blanchfield at 72.1% and labels the pick Lean (informational — do not bet). The source describes Lean picks as informational and says not to bet; this records the model's selected winner without presenting it as betting advice. The method estimates are explicitly indicative, so method and round are omitted.
Track record: winner called in 10 of 25 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (10 hit, 15 miss, across 25 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 25 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 10 15
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Chris White
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Blanchfield as Chris White’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 19 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 39.6% (19 hit, 29 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 39.6% 19 29
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 2 10
Alexander K. Lee
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Sub · Round 2
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Alexander K. Lee selects Blanchfield by submission in round 2.
“Pick: Blanchfield”
Track record: winner called in 14 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 38.9% (14 hit, 22 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 38.9% 14 22
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
AI Sports Metrics
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
AI Sports Metrics explicitly labels Erin Blanchfield as its AI/model pick against Jasmine Jasudavicius. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. AI Sports Metrics identifies its UFC model as a fight-level probability beside the devigged market and warns the current MMA winner model has not beaten closing market.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
FunkyBunch MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
The speaker favors Blanchfield's wrestling, strength, experience, cardio, and stronger competition history.
“So, the pick is going to be Blanchfield,”
Track record: winner called in 5 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 33.3% (5 hit, 10 miss, across 15 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 3 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 15 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 33.3% 5 10
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
Joshua Bell
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Joshua Bell selects Erin Blanchfield by decision as a best betting play; the article gives no round.
Track record: winner called in 2 of 6 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 6 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 6 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
SideswipeMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
SideswipeMMA sees the data as favoring Erin Blanchfield, but says the moneyline is not value and is unsure about betting the fight. The listed Blanchfield-by-decision play is conditional at -130 or better, is unplaced, and the author says they are hesitant to commit.
“Erin Blanchfield to Win by Decision (-130 or better)”
* Conditional, unplaced decision prop at -130 or better; the article explicitly says “Unsure right now” and expresses hesitation.
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
FIGHT//AI
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
FIGHT//AI explicitly labels Erin Blanchfield as its AI/model pick against Jasmine Jasudavicius. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. FIGHT//AI says its displayed probability blends model, market, and fan-sentiment inputs.
Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 32.0% 49 104
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 20 80
Chris Faria
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Chris Faria lists Erin Blanchfield as the outright winner; decision and submission are shown separately as props.
“Who will win Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius: Blanchfield (76% Probability)”
Track record: winner called in 3 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 30.0% (3 hit, 7 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 10 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 10 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Maiden
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Maiden selects Erin Blanchfield by decision; no round is stated.
“Maiden picks Erin Blanchfield (74%) by decision over Jasmine Jasudavicius.”
Track record: winner called in 0 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 5 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
FightIndex
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
FightIndex lists Erin Blanchfield as its 70% model lean over Jasmine Jasudavicius in its Oct. 9 revision 2. This winner-only read comes from an early-stage model with no published live track record.
“Erin Blanchfield projects ahead at 69.7%.”
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 2 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
The Fight Algorithm
Current pick evidence
Picked: Erin Blanchfield · Sub
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
The Fight Algorithm's public free play selects Erin Blanchfield over Jasmine Jasudavicius and names Submission as its model call. This is a 2026-10-14 pre-event page snapshot, not an asserted original release time; the page says the remaining slate is locked and its release-timing copy is inconsistent.
“Erin Blanchfield over Jasmine Jasudavicius”
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jasmine Jasudavicius
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
“I'm going to pick Jasmine Jastysius to to win this fight”
Track record: winner called in 30 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.7% (30 hit, 28 miss, across 58 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 58 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 58 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 30 28
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
Bert MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Bert MMA expects Erin Blanchfield to win the opening round through stronger strikes and initial takedown defense. He then favors Jasmine Jasudavicius to keep pursuing takedowns, control from top and avoid submissions in rounds two and three, earning a close 29–28 decision.
* He describes this as a very close decision.
Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Method Accuracy 55.6% 5 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
The Sports Scientist
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Dec
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
He favors Jasudavicius for her energy, passion, and strong performances when fighting in Canada.
“uh yeah, give me I'm gonna take JJ to win here by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 10 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.5% (10 hit, 12 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.5% 10 12
- Method Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
Matthew Petela
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jasmine Jasudavicius
Fight result: Jasmine Jasudavicius · Decision
Matthew Petela selects Jasmine Jasudavicius to win.
Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.0% 18 22
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 36.8% 7 12
Analyst picks: FightIQ Miss; Jimbo Ortega MMA Miss; MMA Lock of the Night Miss; AJ Devito Miss; JakeGerberMMA Miss; Fite Feed Miss; DFS By The Numbers Miss; 138 MMA Miss; Mate Bersenadze Miss; Drake Burden Miss; Livid Larry MMA Miss; MMA JOEY Miss; HopperMMA Miss; James Lynch Miss; James Blissett Miss; Garrett Kerman Miss; Combat Edge Model Miss; Jacob Lines Miss; Owen Liao Miss; MMA Mathletes Miss; Fight Genie (Claude) Miss; The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) Miss; Tim Edwards Miss; KingofCrackdown5095 Miss; Kunath Miss; Angelo Bodetti Miss; Artem MMA Miss; Jon Litterine Miss; BetSam Miss; Fight Productions Miss; Fight Genie (GPT) Miss; MMA.SOCIAL Miss; Clenbat Miss; Kasper MMA Miss; Chris Schweppe Miss; Cole Shelton Miss; TonyHasDiedMMA Miss; Locked Door MMA Miss; MikesMMAPicks Miss; The MMA Yuda Hit; Steve Garcia Miss; Andy Lang Miss; Greedo Plays MMA Miss; Bookie Beatdown Miss; Walk The Line MMA Miss; The Die Hard MMA Podcast Miss; Sean Sheehan Miss; MCA PICKS Miss; mmadbm Miss; Nick Kalikas Miss; Guy Bruhn Miss; Bert MMA Hit; Zain Bando Miss; MMA JAWN Miss; Uselyis Miss; Adam Martin Miss; Marcel Dorff Miss; Drew Beaupre Miss; FightStudy Miss; The Sports Scientist Hit; Andrew Sumian Miss; Matthew Petela Hit; Brandon K Miss; BennyPMMA Miss; Lightning MMA Miss; The Lab Analytics Miss; Chris White Miss; Alexander K. Lee Miss; AI Sports Metrics Miss; FunkyBunch MMA Miss; Joshua Bell Miss; SideswipeMMA Miss; FIGHT//AI Miss; Chris Faria Miss; Maiden Miss; FightIndex Miss; The Fight Algorithm Miss.
Only 4 of 77 called the upset.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
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The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Jasudavicius · Decision · R3
Closest probability Gemini put 29% on Jasudavicius.
72%
Blanchfield
28%
Jasudavicius
PickBlanchfield · DecisionActualJasudavicius · Decision · R3
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
85%
Blanchfield
15%
Jasudavicius
PickBlanchfield · DecisionActualJasudavicius · Decision · R3
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
71%
Blanchfield
29%
Jasudavicius
PickBlanchfield · DecisionActualJasudavicius · Decision · R3
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite callAI Predictions — latest pre-fight calls
Frozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.AI Predictions
Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.
ChatGPT
63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Blanchfield
Most likely: Blanchfield by decision, about 47 in 100
Win chance: Blanchfield 72%, Jasudavicius 28%.
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Claude
61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Pick Blanchfield
Most likely: Blanchfield by decision, about 54 in 100
Win chance: Blanchfield 85%, Jasudavicius 15%.
Confidence 9 of 10 · High
Gemini
68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
Pick Blanchfield
Most likely: Blanchfield by decision, about 46 in 100
Win chance: Blanchfield 71%, Jasudavicius 29%.
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
3 of 3 models pick Blanchfield.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Blanchfield: 72% (about 72 in 100 fights). Jasudavicius: 28%.
Claude
Blanchfield: 85% (about 85 in 100 fights). Jasudavicius: 15%.
Gemini
Blanchfield: 71% (about 71 in 100 fights). Jasudavicius: 29%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Blanchfield by decision: 47% (about 47 in 100).
Claude
Blanchfield by decision: 54% (about 54 in 100).
Gemini
Blanchfield by decision: 46% (about 46 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Blanchfield by decision (47%); 2. Jasudavicius by decision (21%); 3. Blanchfield by submission (20%)
Claude
1. Blanchfield by decision (54%); 2. Blanchfield by submission (22%); 3. Jasudavicius by decision (10%)
Gemini
1. Blanchfield by decision (46%); 2. Jasudavicius by decision (22%); 3. Blanchfield by submission (21%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
7 of 10, based on Blanchfield's 72% win chance.
Claude
9 of 10, based on Blanchfield's 85% win chance.
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Blanchfield's 71% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 32%. Decision: 68%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 36%. Decision: 64%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 32%. Decision: 68%.
How does Blanchfield win?
ChatGPT
Blanchfield wins 72%: KO/TKO 5%, submission 20%, decision 47%.
Claude
Blanchfield wins 85%: KO/TKO 9%, submission 22%, decision 54%.
Gemini
Blanchfield wins 71%: KO/TKO 4%, submission 21%, decision 46%.
How does Jasudavicius win?
ChatGPT
Jasudavicius wins 28%: KO/TKO 3%, submission 4%, decision 21%.
Claude
Jasudavicius wins 15%: KO/TKO 2%, submission 3%, decision 10%.
Gemini
Jasudavicius wins 29%: KO/TKO 3%, submission 4%, decision 22%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
ChatGPT
Jasudavicius's most likely upset: Jasudavicius by decision (21%).
Claude
Jasudavicius's most likely upset: Jasudavicius by decision (10%).
Gemini
Jasudavicius's most likely upset: Jasudavicius by decision (22%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
All models
The models agree: all 3 pick Blanchfield.
After the fight 2 questions
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Jasudavicius by decision, the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Blanchfield by decision (47%).
Claude
Result: Jasudavicius by decision, the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Blanchfield by decision (54%).
Gemini
Result: Jasudavicius by decision, the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Blanchfield by decision (46%).
How much chance did it give the actual result?
ChatGPT
21% (about 21 in 100).
Claude
10% (about 10 in 100).
Gemini
22% (about 22 in 100).
More questions (20)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 8%, submission 24%, decision 68%.
Claude
KO/TKO 11%, submission 25%, decision 64%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 7%, submission 25%, decision 68%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Blanchfield: 25%, against 7% for Jasudavicius.
Claude
Blanchfield: 31%, against 5% for Jasudavicius.
Gemini
Blanchfield: 25%, against 7% for Jasudavicius.
Can Blanchfield get the finish? Can Jasudavicius?
ChatGPT
Blanchfield: 25% (KO/TKO 5%, submission 20%). Jasudavicius: 7% (KO/TKO 3%, submission 4%).
Claude
Blanchfield: 31% (KO/TKO 9%, submission 22%). Jasudavicius: 5% (KO/TKO 2%, submission 3%).
Gemini
Blanchfield: 25% (KO/TKO 4%, submission 21%). Jasudavicius: 7% (KO/TKO 3%, submission 4%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Blanchfield is knocked out in 3% and submitted in 4%. Jasudavicius is knocked out in 5% and submitted in 20%.
Claude
Blanchfield is knocked out in 2% and submitted in 3%. Jasudavicius is knocked out in 9% and submitted in 22%.
Gemini
Blanchfield is knocked out in 3% and submitted in 4%. Jasudavicius is knocked out in 4% and submitted in 21%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 72% vs 28%.
Claude
Lopsided: 85% vs 15%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 71% vs 29%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
ChatGPT
Blanchfield by decision: 47%. Jasudavicius by decision: 21%.
Claude
Blanchfield by decision: 54%. Jasudavicius by decision: 10%.
Gemini
Blanchfield by decision: 46%. Jasudavicius by decision: 22%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Jasudavicius wins 28% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.
Claude
Jasudavicius wins 15% (about 1 in 7 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Jasudavicius wins 29% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
68%.
Claude
64%.
Gemini
68%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Blanchfield 69%, Jasudavicius 31%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Blanchfield 84%, Jasudavicius 16%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Blanchfield 68%, Jasudavicius 32%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Jasudavicius by decision, 21% here against 16% on average for the others.
Claude
Biggest difference: Jasudavicius by decision, 10% here against 22% on average for the others.
Gemini
Biggest difference: Jasudavicius by decision, 22% here against 16% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 77 analyst picks, 73 back Blanchfield and 4 back Jasudavicius. This model picks Blanchfield (72%).
Claude
Of 77 analyst picks, 73 back Blanchfield and 4 back Jasudavicius. This model picks Blanchfield (85%).
Gemini
Of 77 analyst picks, 73 back Blanchfield and 4 back Jasudavicius. This model picks Blanchfield (71%).
Which model is most confident on Blanchfield, and which on Jasudavicius?
All models
On Blanchfield: Claude (85%). On Jasudavicius: Gemini (29%).
Where do the models disagree most?
All models
Jasudavicius by decision: from 10% (Claude) to 22% (Gemini).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
All models
Chris Schweppe (Blanchfield by decision), James Blissett (Blanchfield by decision), BennyPMMA (Blanchfield by decision), Brandon K (Blanchfield by decision), Fight Productions (Blanchfield by decision), JakeGerberMMA (Blanchfield by decision), TonyHasDiedMMA (Blanchfield by decision), MMA JAWN (Blanchfield by decision), DFS By The Numbers (Blanchfield by decision), Artem MMA (Blanchfield by decision), The Die Hard MMA Podcast (Blanchfield by decision), Jimbo Ortega MMA (Blanchfield by decision), MMA Mathletes (Blanchfield by decision), Joshua Bell (Blanchfield by decision), Maiden (Blanchfield by decision), MMA.SOCIAL (Blanchfield by decision), FightIQ (Blanchfield by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Blanchfield by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Blanchfield by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Blanchfield by decision), HopperMMA (Blanchfield by decision), SideswipeMMA (Blanchfield by decision), Cole Shelton (Blanchfield by decision), MMA Lock of the Night (Blanchfield by decision), Jon Litterine (Blanchfield by decision), FightStudy (Blanchfield by decision), FunkyBunch MMA (Blanchfield by decision), Kasper MMA (Blanchfield by decision), Livid Larry MMA (Blanchfield by decision), Lightning MMA (Blanchfield by decision), mmadbm (Blanchfield by decision), Uselyis (Blanchfield by decision), Adam Martin (Blanchfield by decision), Marcel Dorff (Blanchfield by decision) and MMA JOEY (Blanchfield by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Blanchfield, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 2 questions
Which model was closest?
All models
Gemini, which gave the actual result 22%.
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
All models
Yes.
ChatGPT
Pick
Blanchfield
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Most likely: Blanchfield by decision, about 47 in 100
Win chance: Blanchfield 72%, Jasudavicius 28%.
Most likely outcomes
- Blanchfield by decision47%
- Jasudavicius by decision21%
- Blanchfield by submission20%
- KO/TKO: Blanchfield 5%, Jasudavicius 3%.
- Submission: Blanchfield 20%, Jasudavicius 4%.
- Decision: Blanchfield 47%, Jasudavicius 21%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Blanchfield: 72% (about 72 in 100 fights). Jasudavicius: 28%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Blanchfield: 85% (about 85 in 100 fights). Jasudavicius: 15%.
Gemini
Blanchfield: 71% (about 71 in 100 fights). Jasudavicius: 29%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Blanchfield by decision: 47% (about 47 in 100).
Other models' answers
Claude
Blanchfield by decision: 54% (about 54 in 100).
Gemini
Blanchfield by decision: 46% (about 46 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Blanchfield by decision (47%); 2. Jasudavicius by decision (21%); 3. Blanchfield by submission (20%)
Other models' answers
Claude
1. Blanchfield by decision (54%); 2. Blanchfield by submission (22%); 3. Jasudavicius by decision (10%)
Gemini
1. Blanchfield by decision (46%); 2. Jasudavicius by decision (22%); 3. Blanchfield by submission (21%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
7 of 10, based on Blanchfield's 72% win chance.
Other models' answers
Claude
9 of 10, based on Blanchfield's 85% win chance.
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Blanchfield's 71% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 32%. Decision: 68%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 36%. Decision: 64%.
How does Blanchfield win?
ChatGPT
Blanchfield wins 72%: KO/TKO 5%, submission 20%, decision 47%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Blanchfield wins 85%: KO/TKO 9%, submission 22%, decision 54%.
Gemini
Blanchfield wins 71%: KO/TKO 4%, submission 21%, decision 46%.
How does Jasudavicius win?
ChatGPT
Jasudavicius wins 28%: KO/TKO 3%, submission 4%, decision 21%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Jasudavicius wins 15%: KO/TKO 2%, submission 3%, decision 10%.
Gemini
Jasudavicius wins 29%: KO/TKO 3%, submission 4%, decision 22%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
ChatGPT
Jasudavicius's most likely upset: Jasudavicius by decision (21%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Jasudavicius's most likely upset: Jasudavicius by decision (10%).
Gemini
Jasudavicius's most likely upset: Jasudavicius by decision (22%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
ChatGPT
The models agree: all 3 pick Blanchfield.
After the fight 2 questions
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Jasudavicius by decision, the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Blanchfield by decision (47%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Result: Jasudavicius by decision, the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Blanchfield by decision (54%).
Gemini
Result: Jasudavicius by decision, the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Blanchfield by decision (46%).
How much chance did it give the actual result?
ChatGPT
21% (about 21 in 100).
Other models' answers
Claude
10% (about 10 in 100).
Gemini
22% (about 22 in 100).
More questions (20)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 8%, submission 24%, decision 68%.
Other models' answers
Claude
KO/TKO 11%, submission 25%, decision 64%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 7%, submission 25%, decision 68%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Blanchfield: 25%, against 7% for Jasudavicius.
Other models' answers
Claude
Blanchfield: 31%, against 5% for Jasudavicius.
Can Blanchfield get the finish? Can Jasudavicius?
ChatGPT
Blanchfield: 25% (KO/TKO 5%, submission 20%). Jasudavicius: 7% (KO/TKO 3%, submission 4%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Blanchfield: 31% (KO/TKO 9%, submission 22%). Jasudavicius: 5% (KO/TKO 2%, submission 3%).
Gemini
Blanchfield: 25% (KO/TKO 4%, submission 21%). Jasudavicius: 7% (KO/TKO 3%, submission 4%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Blanchfield is knocked out in 3% and submitted in 4%. Jasudavicius is knocked out in 5% and submitted in 20%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Blanchfield is knocked out in 2% and submitted in 3%. Jasudavicius is knocked out in 9% and submitted in 22%.
Gemini
Blanchfield is knocked out in 3% and submitted in 4%. Jasudavicius is knocked out in 4% and submitted in 21%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 72% vs 28%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Lopsided: 85% vs 15%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 71% vs 29%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
ChatGPT
Blanchfield by decision: 47%. Jasudavicius by decision: 21%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Blanchfield by decision: 54%. Jasudavicius by decision: 10%.
Gemini
Blanchfield by decision: 46%. Jasudavicius by decision: 22%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Jasudavicius wins 28% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
Claude
Jasudavicius wins 15% (about 1 in 7 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Jasudavicius wins 29% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
68%.
Other models' answers
Claude
64%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Blanchfield 69%, Jasudavicius 31%.
Other models' answers
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Blanchfield 84%, Jasudavicius 16%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Blanchfield 68%, Jasudavicius 32%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Jasudavicius by decision, 21% here against 16% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
Claude
Biggest difference: Jasudavicius by decision, 10% here against 22% on average for the others.
Gemini
Biggest difference: Jasudavicius by decision, 22% here against 16% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 77 analyst picks, 73 back Blanchfield and 4 back Jasudavicius. This model picks Blanchfield (72%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Of 77 analyst picks, 73 back Blanchfield and 4 back Jasudavicius. This model picks Blanchfield (85%).
Gemini
Of 77 analyst picks, 73 back Blanchfield and 4 back Jasudavicius. This model picks Blanchfield (71%).
Which model is most confident on Blanchfield, and which on Jasudavicius?
ChatGPT
On Blanchfield: Claude (85%). On Jasudavicius: Gemini (29%).
Where do the models disagree most?
ChatGPT
Jasudavicius by decision: from 10% (Claude) to 22% (Gemini).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
ChatGPT
Chris Schweppe (Blanchfield by decision), James Blissett (Blanchfield by decision), BennyPMMA (Blanchfield by decision), Brandon K (Blanchfield by decision), Fight Productions (Blanchfield by decision), JakeGerberMMA (Blanchfield by decision), TonyHasDiedMMA (Blanchfield by decision), MMA JAWN (Blanchfield by decision), DFS By The Numbers (Blanchfield by decision), Artem MMA (Blanchfield by decision), The Die Hard MMA Podcast (Blanchfield by decision), Jimbo Ortega MMA (Blanchfield by decision), MMA Mathletes (Blanchfield by decision), Joshua Bell (Blanchfield by decision), Maiden (Blanchfield by decision), MMA.SOCIAL (Blanchfield by decision), FightIQ (Blanchfield by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Blanchfield by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Blanchfield by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Blanchfield by decision), HopperMMA (Blanchfield by decision), SideswipeMMA (Blanchfield by decision), Cole Shelton (Blanchfield by decision), MMA Lock of the Night (Blanchfield by decision), Jon Litterine (Blanchfield by decision), FightStudy (Blanchfield by decision), FunkyBunch MMA (Blanchfield by decision), Kasper MMA (Blanchfield by decision), Livid Larry MMA (Blanchfield by decision), Lightning MMA (Blanchfield by decision), mmadbm (Blanchfield by decision), Uselyis (Blanchfield by decision), Adam Martin (Blanchfield by decision), Marcel Dorff (Blanchfield by decision) and MMA JOEY (Blanchfield by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Blanchfield, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Other models' answers
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 2 questions
Which model was closest?
ChatGPT
Gemini, which gave the actual result 22%.
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
ChatGPT
Yes.
gpt-6-astra · 15 Oct63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Blanchfield
Confidence 9 of 10 · High
Most likely: Blanchfield by decision, about 54 in 100
Win chance: Blanchfield 85%, Jasudavicius 15%.
Most likely outcomes
- Blanchfield by decision54%
- Blanchfield by submission22%
- Jasudavicius by decision10%
- KO/TKO: Blanchfield 9%, Jasudavicius 2%.
- Submission: Blanchfield 22%, Jasudavicius 3%.
- Decision: Blanchfield 54%, Jasudavicius 10%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Claude
Blanchfield: 85% (about 85 in 100 fights). Jasudavicius: 15%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Blanchfield: 72% (about 72 in 100 fights). Jasudavicius: 28%.
Gemini
Blanchfield: 71% (about 71 in 100 fights). Jasudavicius: 29%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Claude
Blanchfield by decision: 54% (about 54 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Blanchfield by decision: 47% (about 47 in 100).
Gemini
Blanchfield by decision: 46% (about 46 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Claude
1. Blanchfield by decision (54%); 2. Blanchfield by submission (22%); 3. Jasudavicius by decision (10%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Blanchfield by decision (47%); 2. Jasudavicius by decision (21%); 3. Blanchfield by submission (20%)
Gemini
1. Blanchfield by decision (46%); 2. Jasudavicius by decision (22%); 3. Blanchfield by submission (21%)
How confident is the model?
Claude
9 of 10, based on Blanchfield's 85% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
7 of 10, based on Blanchfield's 72% win chance.
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Blanchfield's 71% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 36%. Decision: 64%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 32%. Decision: 68%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 32%. Decision: 68%.
How does Blanchfield win?
Claude
Blanchfield wins 85%: KO/TKO 9%, submission 22%, decision 54%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Blanchfield wins 72%: KO/TKO 5%, submission 20%, decision 47%.
Gemini
Blanchfield wins 71%: KO/TKO 4%, submission 21%, decision 46%.
How does Jasudavicius win?
Claude
Jasudavicius wins 15%: KO/TKO 2%, submission 3%, decision 10%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jasudavicius wins 28%: KO/TKO 3%, submission 4%, decision 21%.
Gemini
Jasudavicius wins 29%: KO/TKO 3%, submission 4%, decision 22%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
Claude
Jasudavicius's most likely upset: Jasudavicius by decision (10%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jasudavicius's most likely upset: Jasudavicius by decision (21%).
Gemini
Jasudavicius's most likely upset: Jasudavicius by decision (22%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Claude
The models agree: all 3 pick Blanchfield.
After the fight 2 questions
What happened vs what the model said?
Claude
Result: Jasudavicius by decision, the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Blanchfield by decision (54%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Jasudavicius by decision, the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Blanchfield by decision (47%).
Gemini
Result: Jasudavicius by decision, the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Blanchfield by decision (46%).
How much chance did it give the actual result?
Claude
10% (about 10 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
21% (about 21 in 100).
Gemini
22% (about 22 in 100).
More questions (20)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Claude
KO/TKO 11%, submission 25%, decision 64%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 8%, submission 24%, decision 68%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 7%, submission 25%, decision 68%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Claude
Blanchfield: 31%, against 5% for Jasudavicius.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Blanchfield: 25%, against 7% for Jasudavicius.
Gemini
Blanchfield: 25%, against 7% for Jasudavicius.
Can Blanchfield get the finish? Can Jasudavicius?
Claude
Blanchfield: 31% (KO/TKO 9%, submission 22%). Jasudavicius: 5% (KO/TKO 2%, submission 3%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Blanchfield: 25% (KO/TKO 5%, submission 20%). Jasudavicius: 7% (KO/TKO 3%, submission 4%).
Gemini
Blanchfield: 25% (KO/TKO 4%, submission 21%). Jasudavicius: 7% (KO/TKO 3%, submission 4%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Claude
Blanchfield is knocked out in 2% and submitted in 3%. Jasudavicius is knocked out in 9% and submitted in 22%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Blanchfield is knocked out in 3% and submitted in 4%. Jasudavicius is knocked out in 5% and submitted in 20%.
Gemini
Blanchfield is knocked out in 3% and submitted in 4%. Jasudavicius is knocked out in 4% and submitted in 21%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Claude
Lopsided: 85% vs 15%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 72% vs 28%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 71% vs 29%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
Claude
Blanchfield by decision: 54%. Jasudavicius by decision: 10%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Blanchfield by decision: 47%. Jasudavicius by decision: 21%.
Gemini
Blanchfield by decision: 46%. Jasudavicius by decision: 22%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Claude
Jasudavicius wins 15% (about 1 in 7 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jasudavicius wins 28% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Jasudavicius wins 29% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Claude
64%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
68%.
Gemini
68%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Blanchfield 84%, Jasudavicius 16%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Blanchfield 69%, Jasudavicius 31%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Blanchfield 68%, Jasudavicius 32%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Claude
Biggest difference: Jasudavicius by decision, 10% here against 22% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Jasudavicius by decision, 21% here against 16% on average for the others.
Gemini
Biggest difference: Jasudavicius by decision, 22% here against 16% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Claude
Of 77 analyst picks, 73 back Blanchfield and 4 back Jasudavicius. This model picks Blanchfield (85%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 77 analyst picks, 73 back Blanchfield and 4 back Jasudavicius. This model picks Blanchfield (72%).
Gemini
Of 77 analyst picks, 73 back Blanchfield and 4 back Jasudavicius. This model picks Blanchfield (71%).
Which model is most confident on Blanchfield, and which on Jasudavicius?
Claude
On Blanchfield: Claude (85%). On Jasudavicius: Gemini (29%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Claude
Jasudavicius by decision: from 10% (Claude) to 22% (Gemini).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
Claude
Chris Schweppe (Blanchfield by decision), James Blissett (Blanchfield by decision), BennyPMMA (Blanchfield by decision), Brandon K (Blanchfield by decision), Fight Productions (Blanchfield by decision), JakeGerberMMA (Blanchfield by decision), TonyHasDiedMMA (Blanchfield by decision), MMA JAWN (Blanchfield by decision), DFS By The Numbers (Blanchfield by decision), Artem MMA (Blanchfield by decision), The Die Hard MMA Podcast (Blanchfield by decision), Jimbo Ortega MMA (Blanchfield by decision), MMA Mathletes (Blanchfield by decision), Joshua Bell (Blanchfield by decision), Maiden (Blanchfield by decision), MMA.SOCIAL (Blanchfield by decision), FightIQ (Blanchfield by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Blanchfield by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Blanchfield by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Blanchfield by decision), HopperMMA (Blanchfield by decision), SideswipeMMA (Blanchfield by decision), Cole Shelton (Blanchfield by decision), MMA Lock of the Night (Blanchfield by decision), Jon Litterine (Blanchfield by decision), FightStudy (Blanchfield by decision), FunkyBunch MMA (Blanchfield by decision), Kasper MMA (Blanchfield by decision), Livid Larry MMA (Blanchfield by decision), Lightning MMA (Blanchfield by decision), mmadbm (Blanchfield by decision), Uselyis (Blanchfield by decision), Adam Martin (Blanchfield by decision), Marcel Dorff (Blanchfield by decision) and MMA JOEY (Blanchfield by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Blanchfield, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 2 questions
Which model was closest?
Claude
Gemini, which gave the actual result 22%.
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Claude
Yes.
claude-sonnet-5-5 · 17 Oct61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Blanchfield
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Most likely: Blanchfield by decision, about 46 in 100
Win chance: Blanchfield 71%, Jasudavicius 29%.
Most likely outcomes
- Blanchfield by decision46%
- Jasudavicius by decision22%
- Blanchfield by submission21%
- KO/TKO: Blanchfield 4%, Jasudavicius 3%.
- Submission: Blanchfield 21%, Jasudavicius 4%.
- Decision: Blanchfield 46%, Jasudavicius 22%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Gemini
Blanchfield: 71% (about 71 in 100 fights). Jasudavicius: 29%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Blanchfield: 72% (about 72 in 100 fights). Jasudavicius: 28%.
Claude
Blanchfield: 85% (about 85 in 100 fights). Jasudavicius: 15%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Gemini
Blanchfield by decision: 46% (about 46 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Blanchfield by decision: 47% (about 47 in 100).
Claude
Blanchfield by decision: 54% (about 54 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Gemini
1. Blanchfield by decision (46%); 2. Jasudavicius by decision (22%); 3. Blanchfield by submission (21%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Blanchfield by decision (47%); 2. Jasudavicius by decision (21%); 3. Blanchfield by submission (20%)
Claude
1. Blanchfield by decision (54%); 2. Blanchfield by submission (22%); 3. Jasudavicius by decision (10%)
How confident is the model?
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Blanchfield's 71% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
7 of 10, based on Blanchfield's 72% win chance.
Claude
9 of 10, based on Blanchfield's 85% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 32%. Decision: 68%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 36%. Decision: 64%.
How does Blanchfield win?
Gemini
Blanchfield wins 71%: KO/TKO 4%, submission 21%, decision 46%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Blanchfield wins 72%: KO/TKO 5%, submission 20%, decision 47%.
Claude
Blanchfield wins 85%: KO/TKO 9%, submission 22%, decision 54%.
How does Jasudavicius win?
Gemini
Jasudavicius wins 29%: KO/TKO 3%, submission 4%, decision 22%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jasudavicius wins 28%: KO/TKO 3%, submission 4%, decision 21%.
Claude
Jasudavicius wins 15%: KO/TKO 2%, submission 3%, decision 10%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
Gemini
Jasudavicius's most likely upset: Jasudavicius by decision (22%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jasudavicius's most likely upset: Jasudavicius by decision (21%).
Claude
Jasudavicius's most likely upset: Jasudavicius by decision (10%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Gemini
The models agree: all 3 pick Blanchfield.
After the fight 2 questions
What happened vs what the model said?
Gemini
Result: Jasudavicius by decision, the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Blanchfield by decision (46%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Jasudavicius by decision, the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Blanchfield by decision (47%).
Claude
Result: Jasudavicius by decision, the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Blanchfield by decision (54%).
How much chance did it give the actual result?
Gemini
22% (about 22 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
21% (about 21 in 100).
Claude
10% (about 10 in 100).
More questions (20)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Gemini
KO/TKO 7%, submission 25%, decision 68%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 8%, submission 24%, decision 68%.
Claude
KO/TKO 11%, submission 25%, decision 64%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Gemini
Blanchfield: 25%, against 7% for Jasudavicius.
Other models' answers
Claude
Blanchfield: 31%, against 5% for Jasudavicius.
Can Blanchfield get the finish? Can Jasudavicius?
Gemini
Blanchfield: 25% (KO/TKO 4%, submission 21%). Jasudavicius: 7% (KO/TKO 3%, submission 4%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Blanchfield: 25% (KO/TKO 5%, submission 20%). Jasudavicius: 7% (KO/TKO 3%, submission 4%).
Claude
Blanchfield: 31% (KO/TKO 9%, submission 22%). Jasudavicius: 5% (KO/TKO 2%, submission 3%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Gemini
Blanchfield is knocked out in 3% and submitted in 4%. Jasudavicius is knocked out in 4% and submitted in 21%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Blanchfield is knocked out in 3% and submitted in 4%. Jasudavicius is knocked out in 5% and submitted in 20%.
Claude
Blanchfield is knocked out in 2% and submitted in 3%. Jasudavicius is knocked out in 9% and submitted in 22%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Gemini
Lopsided: 71% vs 29%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 72% vs 28%.
Claude
Lopsided: 85% vs 15%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
Gemini
Blanchfield by decision: 46%. Jasudavicius by decision: 22%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Blanchfield by decision: 47%. Jasudavicius by decision: 21%.
Claude
Blanchfield by decision: 54%. Jasudavicius by decision: 10%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Gemini
Jasudavicius wins 29% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jasudavicius wins 28% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.
Claude
Jasudavicius wins 15% (about 1 in 7 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Gemini
68%.
Other models' answers
Claude
64%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Blanchfield 68%, Jasudavicius 32%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Blanchfield 69%, Jasudavicius 31%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Blanchfield 84%, Jasudavicius 16%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Gemini
Biggest difference: Jasudavicius by decision, 22% here against 16% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Jasudavicius by decision, 21% here against 16% on average for the others.
Claude
Biggest difference: Jasudavicius by decision, 10% here against 22% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Gemini
Of 77 analyst picks, 73 back Blanchfield and 4 back Jasudavicius. This model picks Blanchfield (71%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 77 analyst picks, 73 back Blanchfield and 4 back Jasudavicius. This model picks Blanchfield (72%).
Claude
Of 77 analyst picks, 73 back Blanchfield and 4 back Jasudavicius. This model picks Blanchfield (85%).
Which model is most confident on Blanchfield, and which on Jasudavicius?
Gemini
On Blanchfield: Claude (85%). On Jasudavicius: Gemini (29%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Gemini
Jasudavicius by decision: from 10% (Claude) to 22% (Gemini).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
Gemini
Chris Schweppe (Blanchfield by decision), James Blissett (Blanchfield by decision), BennyPMMA (Blanchfield by decision), Brandon K (Blanchfield by decision), Fight Productions (Blanchfield by decision), JakeGerberMMA (Blanchfield by decision), TonyHasDiedMMA (Blanchfield by decision), MMA JAWN (Blanchfield by decision), DFS By The Numbers (Blanchfield by decision), Artem MMA (Blanchfield by decision), The Die Hard MMA Podcast (Blanchfield by decision), Jimbo Ortega MMA (Blanchfield by decision), MMA Mathletes (Blanchfield by decision), Joshua Bell (Blanchfield by decision), Maiden (Blanchfield by decision), MMA.SOCIAL (Blanchfield by decision), FightIQ (Blanchfield by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Blanchfield by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Blanchfield by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Blanchfield by decision), HopperMMA (Blanchfield by decision), SideswipeMMA (Blanchfield by decision), Cole Shelton (Blanchfield by decision), MMA Lock of the Night (Blanchfield by decision), Jon Litterine (Blanchfield by decision), FightStudy (Blanchfield by decision), FunkyBunch MMA (Blanchfield by decision), Kasper MMA (Blanchfield by decision), Livid Larry MMA (Blanchfield by decision), Lightning MMA (Blanchfield by decision), mmadbm (Blanchfield by decision), Uselyis (Blanchfield by decision), Adam Martin (Blanchfield by decision), Marcel Dorff (Blanchfield by decision) and MMA JOEY (Blanchfield by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Blanchfield, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 2 questions
Which model was closest?
Gemini
Gemini, which gave the actual result 22%.
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Gemini
Yes.
Version not reported · 15 Oct68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET
Market Odds
How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.
Market read · 6 sportsbooks
74%
Erin Blanchfield
26%
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Favoured: Blanchfield (74%) Upset
Jasudavicius defeats Blanchfield · Dec
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