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View video on X ↗UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Timmy Cuamba defeats Louis Jourdain by Submission
Submission · rear-naked choke
Round 2 · 2:48
Jourdain vs Cuamba — Bantamweight · UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Predictions summary
Analyst Picks
(64) 90%
10% (7)
AI Predictions
61%
39%
Market OddsComing soonNo forecast publishedUnavailable right nowBook prices available in Market
Checking latest live market odds.
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Cuamba used takedowns and control through the opening round. Another takedown in the second led to back control and the finishing rear-naked choke.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Jourdain
Jourdain is 9-3, per UFC, and his last two recorded wins came by a rear-naked choke of Magno Dias and an elbow TKO of Danilo Adreani. His 7.32 significant strikes per minute and 1.41 submission attempts per 15 minutes give him two distinct ways to pressure Cuamba, rather than a single-phase finish threat.
Case for Cuamba
Cuamba is 10-4, per UFC, and his UFC run includes a flying-knee TKO of Roberto Romero and a decision over Chang Ho Lee before a rear-naked-choke loss to Benardo Sopaj. His 2.88 significant strikes per minute and 71% takedown defense give him a measured striking route, but he must protect against Jourdain's submission volume.
What We Were Watching For
- Can Jourdain's 1.41 submission attempts per 15 minutes exploit the openings that preceded Cuamba's loss to Sopaj?
- Does Cuamba's 71% takedown defense keep Jourdain from turning striking pressure into grappling?
- Can Cuamba make his 2.88 significant strikes per minute count against Jourdain's higher 7.32 rate?
Records & career stats
- 7.32 2.88
- 54% 56%
- 2.44 3.72
- 67% 71%
- 67% 55%
- 9-3-0
- Record
- 10-4-0
- Source pending
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- Canada
- Nationality
- United States
- 29
- Age
- 27
- Source pending
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 10:39
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 12:43
- Brazilian Top Team Canada
- Team
- BK MMA
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
(64) 90%
LJourdain
10% (7)
CuambaW
FightIQ
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
FightIQ predicts Louis Jourdain at 59% confidence.
“We predict Louis Jourdain — 59% confident”
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Jimbo Ortega MMA leans toward Louis Jourdain, citing greater dynamism on the feet.
“I don't like this pick I'm gonna go Jordane I think he should just be a little more dynamic on the feet”
* The analyst says he does not like the pick, indicating low confidence.
Track record: winner called in 38 of 56 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.9% (38 hit, 18 miss, across 56 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.1% (18 hit, 11 miss, across 29 method-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 56 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 38 18
- Method Accuracy 62.1% 18 11
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
MMA Lock of the Night
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · KO/TKO
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
“in terms of a straightup prediction I'm going to go Jordane by knockout”
Track record: winner called in 85 of 126 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.5% (85 hit, 41 miss, across 126 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 59.5% (25 hit, 17 miss, across 42 method-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 126 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.5% 85 41
- Method Accuracy 59.5% 25 17
- Round Accuracy 55.6% 5 4
- Underdog Accuracy 36.8% 7 12
AJ Devito
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
AJ trusts Jourdain's speed, athleticism, and varied offense, and expects him to win with a possible finish.
“So Luis Jordane is going to be my pick to go out and get it done against Timmy Kumba.”
Track record: winner called in 175 of 264 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.3% (175 hit, 89 miss, across 264 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.7% (61 hit, 43 miss, across 104 method-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 77.8% (7 hit, 2 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (12 hit, 21 miss, across 33 underdog calls on 264 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.3% 175 89
- Method Accuracy 58.7% 61 43
- Round Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 12 21
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Sub · Round 3
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
JakeGerberMMA picks Louis Jourdain to submit Timmy Cuamba in round three.
“I think Louis Jordan goes out here and ends up submitting Timmy Kawa later on in this fight. I'm going to say it happens in the third round.”
* Auto-captions render the names as “Jordan” and “Kawa”; the official bout roster identifies Louis Jourdain and Timmy Cuamba.
Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 101 53
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 39 26
- Round Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Fite Feed
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Sub · Round 3
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
He can see Cuamba winning but backs Jourdain, pointing to Jourdain's gritty third-round submission win in his last fight.
“I'm going with Luis Jourdain by way of a sub in round three.”
Track record: winner called in 24 of 37 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.9% (24 hit, 13 miss, across 37 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.9% (14 hit, 9 miss, across 23 method-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 21.4% (3 hit, 11 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 37 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.9% 24 13
- Method Accuracy 60.9% 14 9
- Round Accuracy 21.4% 3 11
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
He picks Louis Jourdain by decision, describing Timmy Cuamba as tough despite his recent loss.
“I'll say Jordane wins this fight and wins this fight by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 112 of 173 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.7% (112 hit, 61 miss, across 173 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.0% (61 hit, 39 miss, across 100 method-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 38.3% (18 hit, 29 miss, across 47 round-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 underdog calls on 173 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.7% 112 61
- Method Accuracy 61.0% 61 39
- Round Accuracy 38.3% 18 29
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 8 14
Tony Sink
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
DocSports author Tony Sink explicitly selects Louis Jourdain.
“Tony Sink's Pick: Take Louis Jourdain (-215)”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 17 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.7% (11 hit, 6 miss, across 17 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 17 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.7% 11 6
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
138 MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
138 MMA picks Louis Jourdain for the damage he can do between grappling exchanges; the source later calls its method guesses unreliable, so none is recorded.
“So, I'm gonna take Louis Jordane”
Track record: winner called in 42 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.6% (42 hit, 24 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 43.8% (7 hit, 9 miss, across 16 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 42 24
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 43.8% 7 9
Mate Bersenadze
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Mate Bersenadze explicitly predicts Louis Jourdain by decision.
“Prediction: Jourdain by decision, with less confidence than the line suggests.”
Track record: winner called in 33 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.5% (33 hit, 19 miss, across 52 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 51.5% (17 hit, 16 miss, across 33 method-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 52 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.5% 33 19
- Method Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Drake Burden
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Drake Burden selects Louis Jourdain to win.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.3% (62 hit, 36 miss, across 98 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 98 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.3% 62 36
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
Livid Larry MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
He favors Jourdain's striking versatility, power, volume, and intercepting elbows against Cuamba's boxing.
“This will be my lean, guys. Uh Louis Jourdain by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 34 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.0% (34 hit, 20 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 79.2% (19 hit, 5 miss, across 24 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.0% 34 20
- Method Accuracy 79.2% 19 5
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
MMA JOEY
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Sub · Round 2
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
He expects Jourdain to outgrapple Cuamba and find a second-round rear-naked-choke submission; captions garble Cuamba’s name.
“So, I'll go I'll go Louis Jourdain. Second round rear naked choke against Tim Elliott Quamba.”
Track record: winner called in 78 of 125 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.4% (78 hit, 47 miss, across 125 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.6% (27 hit, 31 miss, across 58 method-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.1% (9 hit, 23 miss, across 32 round-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 125 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.4% 78 47
- Method Accuracy 46.6% 27 31
- Round Accuracy 28.1% 9 23
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 7 14
HopperMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
“I think Louis Jane gets this one done I'm picking him to win this one by sub”
Track record: winner called in 92 of 148 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.2% (92 hit, 56 miss, across 148 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.8% (45 hit, 29 miss, across 74 method-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 round-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 26.9% (7 hit, 19 miss, across 26 underdog calls on 148 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.2% 92 56
- Method Accuracy 60.8% 45 29
- Round Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Underdog Accuracy 26.9% 7 19
James Lynch
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Jourdain as James Lynch’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 36 of 59 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 61.0% (36 hit, 23 miss, across 59 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 45.0% (9 hit, 11 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 59 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 61.0% 36 23
- Method Accuracy 45.0% 9 11
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
James Blissett
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · KO/TKO
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
James favors Jourdain’s boxing and damage and names him by knockout as his official prediction.
“via KO is my official prediction.”
Track record: winner called in 48 of 79 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.8% (48 hit, 31 miss, across 79 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.2% (26 hit, 22 miss, across 48 method-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 41.2% (7 hit, 10 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 79 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.8% 48 31
- Method Accuracy 54.2% 26 22
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Underdog Accuracy 41.2% 7 10
Garrett Kerman
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Kerman selects Louis Jourdain, expecting cleaner striking and distance management to earn the decision over Timmy Cuamba.
“Over three rounds, his cleaner striking and better distance management should earn the decision.”
Track record: winner called in 20 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.6% (20 hit, 13 miss, across 33 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 33 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
- Method Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Jacob Lines
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Picks Louis Jourdain, calling him the better fighter and saying he can handle adversity.
“he's still going to be my pick he is the better fighter”
Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
MMA Mathletes
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
After an initial split, the hosts settle on Louis Jourdain; the speaker describes the selection as more of a wish.
“we can go with Jordane because I want Jordane to win so bad so I'm I I have no qualms with not picking Quombo”
* The hosts initially split; the speaker says it is more of a wish/lean before the other host accepts.
Track record: winner called in 32 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (32 hit, 22 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 32 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Fight Genie (Claude)
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Fight Genie Claude selects Louis Jourdain over Timmy Cuamba by decision. Jourdain’s likely volume advantage is the pick; the debut and thin non-UFC sample limit confidence. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.
Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (8 hit, 8 miss, across 16 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 16 11
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 8 8
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) selects Louis Jourdain; no round is stated.
Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 16 11
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · KO/TKO · Round 3
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
He favors Jourdain's sharper striking and expects Cuamba's limited grappling threat to let him strike comfortably.
“So, in this one I have Louis Jourdain via third round TKO.”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 63 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.7% (37 hit, 26 miss, across 63 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.6% (21 hit, 11 miss, across 32 method-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 42.1% (8 hit, 11 miss, across 19 round-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 63 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.7% 37 26
- Method Accuracy 65.6% 21 11
- Round Accuracy 42.1% 8 11
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
Kunath
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
He expects Jourdain’s steady output to outscore Cuamba over three rounds, with Jourdain holding the jiu-jitsu edge if the fight reaches the mat.
“So, give me Luis Jourdain by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 38 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.5% (38 hit, 27 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 56.7% (17 hit, 13 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.5% 38 27
- Method Accuracy 56.7% 17 13
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
Angelo Bodetti
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
“but I'm going to pick Luis here i think he's too creative too fun”
Track record: winner called in 29 of 50 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.0% (29 hit, 21 miss, across 50 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 50 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.0% 29 21
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Artem MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Artem likes Jourdain’s offensive striking and grappling, but criticizes his striking and wrestling defense. He expects Cuamba’s high-volume boxing to create problems, yet doubts that Cuamba has enough power to capitalize fully on Jourdain’s defensive lapses. He chooses Jourdain by decision while cautioning against treating him as a strong parlay pick.
* He does not love the pick and warns against putting Jourdain on every parlay.
Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 55 40
- Method Accuracy 63.8% 30 17
- Round Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Underdog Accuracy 23.5% 4 13
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Litterine explicitly selects Louis Jourdain; no method or round is stated.
“UFC EDMONTON PICK: Jourdain”
Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 70 54
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.0% 7 18
BetSam
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · KO/TKO
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
He expects Jourdain's polished jab and varied striking to damage Cuamba and create a knockout opportunity.
“but let's call it Lewis Judane by knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 22 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.4% (22 hit, 17 miss, across 39 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 39 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.4% 22 17
- Method Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Andrew Richardson
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Sub · Round 2
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Andrew Richardson predicts Louis Jourdain to join the roster in style and selects a second-round submission.
“Second round club-and-sub — book it!”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 73.0% (27 hit, 10 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 10.0% (1 hit, 9 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 37 29
- Method Accuracy 73.0% 27 10
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 10.0% 1 9
Fight Productions
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
“So I am going to lean towards Jordan in this one i do think he's just a little bit more dynamic if he can keep this one standing I do think he's going to get the win and I think he can find a finish here i'm gonna take Jordan to win this one by round two knockout”
* Analyst stated a lean
Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.7% (28 hit, 9 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 41.7% (10 hit, 14 miss, across 24 round-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (2 hit, 6 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 37 29
- Method Accuracy 75.7% 28 9
- Round Accuracy 41.7% 10 14
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6
Fight Genie (GPT)
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Fight Genie GPT selects Louis Jourdain over Timmy Cuamba by decision. The market favors Jourdain, while his debut and limited supporting record leave method and outcome uncertain. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.
Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.3% (8 hit, 7 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 16.7% (1 hit, 5 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
- Method Accuracy 53.3% 8 7
- Round Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
MMA.SOCIAL
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
MMA.SOCIAL selects Louis Jourdain by decision; no round is stated.
“Jourdain by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
- Method Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Kasper MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
He favors Jourdain's varied offense, particularly calf kicks disrupting Cuamba's boxing rhythm and the ability to mix in grappling.
“So I'm picking Shardane to win by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.8% (23 hit, 19 miss, across 42 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.1% (11 hit, 7 miss, across 18 method-scored calls on 42 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 42 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
- Method Accuracy 61.1% 11 7
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Jourdain as Cole Shelton’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Method Accuracy 87.5% 7 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 3 15
TonyHasDiedMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Sub · Round 1
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Louis Jourdain by first-round submission.
“I think that Jordane's gonna get this one done round one ... by submission.”
Track record: winner called in 28 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.8% (28 hit, 25 miss, across 53 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.1% (8 hit, 9 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 71.4% (5 hit, 2 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 53 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.8% 28 25
- Method Accuracy 47.1% 8 9
- Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Locked Door MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
They like Jourdain’s range, jab, straight shots, and grappling; both hosts ultimately select him for his UFC debut.
“Louis going to be the pick.”
Track record: winner called in 10 of 19 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.6% (10 hit, 9 miss, across 19 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 19 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 19 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 19 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
MikesMMAPicks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Jourdain as MikesMMAPicks’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 25 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.1% (25 hit, 23 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.1% 25 23
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
“I'm going to pick Lewis Jordan here”
Track record: winner called in 30 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.7% (30 hit, 28 miss, across 58 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 58 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 58 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 30 28
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Greedo selects Louis Jourdain over Timmy Cuamba by decision; the captions garble Jourdain’s nickname and surname.
“I'm going decision here. I think Luis Jordan either decision or late knockout, but I'm going to go decision.”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (37 hit, 35 miss, across 72 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.3% (19 hit, 11 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 72 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 37 35
- Method Accuracy 63.3% 19 11
- Round Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Bookie Beatdown
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
In its closing recap of picks, Bookie Beatdown names Louis Jourdain; the captions garble the name. The full-card order and matchup context identify the bout.
“Lu Day”
Track record: winner called in 23 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.1% (23 hit, 22 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.1% 23 22
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
Walk The Line MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Teller sees Jourdain as slightly more polished in his striking and ahead in his overall tactics, with a promising well-rounded skill set. He respects Cuamba's development and considers this a close, winnable matchup for the underdog. He selects Jourdain by decision while declining to back him confidently at the quoted favorite's price.
* A close matchup and a qualified Jourdain pick; Teller sees betting value on Cuamba.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (27 hit, 27 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.9% (11 hit, 8 miss, across 19 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 27 27
- Method Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
The Die Hard MMA Podcast
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
“so I'm going to pick Louis Jordane i think he gets his UFC career off the ground in a big way”
Track record: winner called in 7 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (7 hit, 7 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 7 7
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Eric Beuchat
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Eric Beuchat picks Louis Jourdain. He gives alternate outcomes: submission in round two or three, or a decision if Timmy Cuamba avoids the ground.
“Notre pronostic : victoire de Louis Jourdain, par soumission au deuxième ou au troisième round, ou par décision si Cuamba parvient à éviter le sol.”
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
mmadbm
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
He favors Jourdain's jab, varied striking, timing and power against Cuamba's hittable defense.
“Luis Jordan gets a Jordan brother win in Canada as a Canadian. Um, late knockout to decision.”
Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (12 hit, 2 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 41 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 12 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Nick Kalikas
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Jourdain as Nick Kalikas’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.9% (23 hit, 25 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.9% 23 25
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Bert MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Bert MMA expects Louis Jourdain’s higher striking volume, kicks and unorthodox attacks to win rounds against Timmy Cuamba. He credits Cuamba with the potential for the bigger individual shots and a round earned through a takedown or damaging strike, but selects Jourdain by a close 29–28 decision.
* He calls the matchup very competitive, says it can go either way and considers a split decision possible.
Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Method Accuracy 55.6% 5 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
Zain Bando
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Jourdain as Zain Bando’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
MMA JAWN
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
MMA JAWN slightly favors Jourdain’s combination striking and consistency, predicting a unanimous decision.
“So, Lewis Jordane is going to be the pick for me via unanimous decision.”
Track record: winner called in 16 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.1% (16 hit, 18 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.1% 16 18
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Uselyis
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
The speaker favors Jourdain's striking background and submission skills while acknowledging his low hands and Cuamba's durability.
“I'm going to go with Lewis Jordane. Give me Jordane by decision,”
Track record: winner called in 25 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.3% (25 hit, 29 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 7 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.3% 25 29
- Method Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 7
Adam Martin
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Sub
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Adam Martin picks Louis Jourdain by submission, while calling the matchup difficult and acknowledging Cuamba could win a decision.
“By submission. That's my pick. But I again, I don't know for sure.”
Track record: winner called in 6 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
- Method Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Marcel Dorff
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Marcel Dorff picks Louis Jourdain by decision and expects the fight to go the distance.
“I think it will go three rounds. I don't see a finish in this one, and I think he wins a decision.”
Track record: winner called in 6 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (4 hit, 2 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Drew Beaupre
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Drew Beaupre explicitly selects Jourdain.
“Pick: Jourdain”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.8% (11 hit, 13 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.8% 11 13
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
FightStudy
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
FightStudy selects Jourdain by Decision.
“Prediction: Jourdain by DEC”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.8% (11 hit, 13 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 72.7% (8 hit, 3 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 round-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.8% 11 13
- Method Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
The Sports Scientist
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
He expects Jourdain to have better endurance and crowd support, and sees Cuamba in trouble if taken down.
“I am taking Jordane to win by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 10 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.5% (10 hit, 12 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.5% 10 12
- Method Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
Andrew Sumian
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Andrew Sumian selects Louis Jourdain to win.
Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.0% 18 22
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Matthew Petela
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Matthew Petela selects Louis Jourdain to win.
Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.0% 18 22
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 36.8% 7 12
Brandon K
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Brandon K selects Louis Jourdain by Decision.
““Going to take Jordan by decision here.””
Track record: winner called in 20 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 44.4% (20 hit, 25 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 42.9% (6 hit, 8 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 44.4% 20 25
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 6 8
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
BennyPMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · KO/TKO
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
BennyPMMA selects Louis Jourdain by KO/TKO.
““I’ve got Jordane TKO.””
Track record: winner called in 9 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 42.9% (9 hit, 12 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 42.9% 9 12
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Lightning MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Sub · Round 2
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
The speaker says Jourdain is more technically advanced, knows how to win, and is more motivated.
“Jourdain by second round submission.”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 42.3% (11 hit, 15 miss, across 26 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.0% (6 hit, 2 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 4 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 26 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 42.3% 11 15
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Round Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
The Lab Analytics
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
The Lab Analytics selects Louis Jourdain at 51.2% and labels the pick Lean (informational — do not bet). The source describes Lean picks as informational and says not to bet; this records the model's selected winner without presenting it as betting advice. The method estimates are explicitly indicative, so method and round are omitted.
Track record: winner called in 10 of 25 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (10 hit, 15 miss, across 25 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 25 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 10 15
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Chris White
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Jourdain as Chris White’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 19 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 39.6% (19 hit, 29 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 39.6% 19 29
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 2 10
Alexander K. Lee
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Alexander K. Lee selects Jourdain by decision.
“Pick: Jourdain”
Track record: winner called in 14 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 38.9% (14 hit, 22 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 38.9% 14 22
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
AI Sports Metrics
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
AI Sports Metrics explicitly labels Louis Jourdain as its AI/model pick against Timmy Cuamba. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. AI Sports Metrics identifies its UFC model as a fight-level probability beside the devigged market and warns the current MMA winner model has not beaten closing market.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
FunkyBunch MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain · KO/TKO
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
The speaker favors Jourdain's polished technique and shot selection against Cuamba's questionable chin.
“So the pick is going to be Jourdain,”
Track record: winner called in 5 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 33.3% (5 hit, 10 miss, across 15 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 3 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 15 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 33.3% 5 10
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
FIGHT//AI
Current pick evidence
Picked: Louis Jourdain
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
FIGHT//AI explicitly labels Louis Jourdain as its AI/model pick against Timmy Cuamba. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. FIGHT//AI says its displayed probability blends model, market, and fan-sentiment inputs.
Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 32.0% 49 104
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 20 80
Gabriel Sheehan
Current pick evidence
Picked: Timmy Cuamba · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Timothy Cuamba by decision.
“Timothy Cuamba to win by decision”
Track record: winner called in 10 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 76.9% (10 hit, 3 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.0% (6 hit, 2 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 76.9% 10 3
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Combat Edge Model
Current pick evidence
Picked: Timmy Cuamba
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Combat Edge Model selects Timmy Cuamba as its strong model lean (77%) against Louis Jourdain. The event card describes a point-in-time model using Elo, records, and matchup data and says forecasts freeze before fight night. It provides win probabilities, not a selected method or round.
Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Tim Edwards
Current pick evidence
Picked: Timmy Cuamba
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Edwards explicitly picks Timothy Cuamba, citing his activity and more well-rounded game.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.8% (20 hit, 14 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.8% 20 14
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
Clenbat
Current pick evidence
Picked: Timmy Cuamba
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
The speaker favors Cuamba's UFC experience and competitive performances over Jourdain's unproven ability.
“And I'm going to side with Timmy over here.”
Track record: winner called in 27 of 49 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.1% (27 hit, 22 miss, across 49 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 49 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.1% 27 22
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidence
Picked: Timmy Cuamba · Dec
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Chris Schweppe picks Timmy Cuamba by decision.
Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.5% 53 46
- Method Accuracy 47.2% 25 28
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
Steve Garcia
Current pick evidence
Picked: Timmy Cuamba
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
“So give me Timmy Kamba for this one.”
Track record: winner called in 15 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.7% (15 hit, 14 miss, across 29 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 29 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 29 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Andy Lang
Current pick evidence
Picked: Timmy Cuamba
Fight result: Timmy Cuamba · Submission
Andy Lang selects Timmy Cuamba at +170, conditional on keeping the fight standing; no method or round is stated. The pick is expressly conditional on Cuamba keeping the fight standing.
“Cuamba at +170 is the pick.”
Track record: winner called in 18 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (18 hit, 17 miss, across 35 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 35 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 18 17
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
Analyst picks: Gabriel Sheehan Hit; FightIQ Miss; Jimbo Ortega MMA Miss; MMA Lock of the Night Miss; AJ Devito Miss; JakeGerberMMA Miss; Fite Feed Miss; DFS By The Numbers Miss; Tony Sink Miss; 138 MMA Miss; Mate Bersenadze Miss; Drake Burden Miss; Livid Larry MMA Miss; MMA JOEY Miss; HopperMMA Miss; James Lynch Miss; James Blissett Miss; Garrett Kerman Miss; Combat Edge Model Hit; Jacob Lines Miss; MMA Mathletes Miss; Fight Genie (Claude) Miss; The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) Miss; Tim Edwards Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Miss; Kunath Miss; Angelo Bodetti Miss; Artem MMA Miss; Jon Litterine Miss; BetSam Miss; Andrew Richardson Miss; Fight Productions Miss; Fight Genie (GPT) Miss; MMA.SOCIAL Miss; Clenbat Hit; Kasper MMA Miss; Chris Schweppe Hit; Cole Shelton Miss; TonyHasDiedMMA Miss; Locked Door MMA Miss; MikesMMAPicks Miss; The MMA Yuda Miss; Steve Garcia Hit; Andy Lang Hit; Greedo Plays MMA Miss; Bookie Beatdown Miss; Walk The Line MMA Miss; The Die Hard MMA Podcast Miss; Eric Beuchat Miss; mmadbm Miss; Nick Kalikas Miss; Bert MMA Miss; Zain Bando Miss; MMA JAWN Miss; Uselyis Miss; Adam Martin Miss; Marcel Dorff Miss; Drew Beaupre Miss; FightStudy Miss; The Sports Scientist Miss; Andrew Sumian Miss; Matthew Petela Miss; Brandon K Miss; BennyPMMA Miss; Lightning MMA Miss; The Lab Analytics Miss; Chris White Miss; Alexander K. Lee Miss; AI Sports Metrics Miss; FunkyBunch MMA Miss; FIGHT//AI Miss.
Only 7 of 71 called the upset.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
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The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Cuamba · Submission · R2
Closest probability ChatGPT put 44% on Cuamba.
56%
Jourdain
44%
Cuamba
PickJourdain · DecisionActualCuamba · Submission · R2
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missed
64%
Jourdain
36%
Cuamba
PickJourdain · DecisionActualCuamba · Submission · R2
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missed
63%
Jourdain
37%
Cuamba
PickJourdain · DecisionActualCuamba · Submission · R2
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedAI Predictions — latest pre-fight calls
Frozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.AI Predictions
Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.
ChatGPT
63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Jourdain
Most likely: Jourdain by decision, about 29 in 100
Win chance: Jourdain 56%, Cuamba 44%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Claude
61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Pick Jourdain
Most likely: Jourdain by decision, about 32 in 100
Win chance: Jourdain 64%, Cuamba 36%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Gemini
68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
Pick Jourdain
Most likely: Jourdain by decision, about 28 in 100
Win chance: Jourdain 63%, Cuamba 37%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
3 of 3 models pick Jourdain.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Jourdain: 56% (about 56 in 100 fights). Cuamba: 44%.
Claude
Jourdain: 64% (about 64 in 100 fights). Cuamba: 36%.
Gemini
Jourdain: 63% (about 63 in 100 fights). Cuamba: 37%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Jourdain by decision: 29% (about 29 in 100).
Claude
Jourdain by decision: 32% (about 32 in 100).
Gemini
Jourdain by decision: 28% (about 28 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Jourdain by decision (29%); 2. Cuamba by decision (28%); 3. Jourdain by KO/TKO (14%)
Claude
1. Jourdain by decision (32%); 2. Jourdain by KO/TKO (24%); 3. Cuamba by KO/TKO (18%)
Gemini
1. Jourdain by decision (28%); 2. Jourdain by KO/TKO (26%); 3. Cuamba by decision (19%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Jourdain's 56% win chance.
Claude
6 of 10, based on Jourdain's 64% win chance.
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Jourdain's 63% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 43%. Decision: 57%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 56%. Decision: 44%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 53%. Decision: 47%.
How does Jourdain win?
ChatGPT
Jourdain wins 56%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 13%, decision 29%.
Claude
Jourdain wins 64%: KO/TKO 24%, submission 8%, decision 32%.
Gemini
Jourdain wins 63%: KO/TKO 26%, submission 9%, decision 28%.
How does Cuamba win?
ChatGPT
Cuamba wins 44%: KO/TKO 11%, submission 5%, decision 28%.
Claude
Cuamba wins 36%: KO/TKO 18%, submission 6%, decision 12%.
Gemini
Cuamba wins 37%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 6%, decision 19%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
ChatGPT
Cuamba's most likely upset: Cuamba by decision (28%).
Gemini
Cuamba's most likely upset: Cuamba by decision (19%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
All models
The models agree: all 3 pick Jourdain.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Cuamba by submission in round 2. Cuamba by submission was the model's number 6 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jourdain by decision (29%).
Claude
Result: Cuamba by submission in round 2. Cuamba by submission was the model's number 6 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jourdain by decision (32%).
Gemini
Result: Cuamba by submission in round 2. Cuamba by submission was the model's number 6 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jourdain by decision (28%).
More questions (19)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 25%, submission 18%, decision 57%.
Claude
KO/TKO 42%, submission 14%, decision 44%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 38%, submission 15%, decision 47%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Jourdain: 27%, against 16% for Cuamba.
Claude
Jourdain: 32%, against 24% for Cuamba.
Gemini
Jourdain: 35%, against 18% for Cuamba.
Can Jourdain get the finish? Can Cuamba?
ChatGPT
Jourdain: 27% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 13%). Cuamba: 16% (KO/TKO 11%, submission 5%).
Claude
Jourdain: 32% (KO/TKO 24%, submission 8%). Cuamba: 24% (KO/TKO 18%, submission 6%).
Gemini
Jourdain: 35% (KO/TKO 26%, submission 9%). Cuamba: 18% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 6%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Jourdain is knocked out in 11% and submitted in 5%. Cuamba is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 13%.
Claude
Jourdain is knocked out in 18% and submitted in 6%. Cuamba is knocked out in 24% and submitted in 8%.
Gemini
Jourdain is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 6%. Cuamba is knocked out in 26% and submitted in 9%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 56% vs 44%.
Claude
Lopsided: 64% vs 36%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 63% vs 37%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
ChatGPT
Jourdain by decision: 29%. Cuamba by decision: 28%.
Gemini
Jourdain by decision: 28%. Cuamba by decision: 19%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Cuamba wins 44% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Claude
Cuamba wins 36% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Cuamba wins 37% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
57%.
Claude
44%.
Gemini
47%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Jourdain 51%, Cuamba 49%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Jourdain 73%, Cuamba 27%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Jourdain 60%, Cuamba 40%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Cuamba by decision, 28% here against 16% on average for the others.
Claude
Biggest difference: Cuamba by decision, 12% here against 24% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 71 analyst picks, 64 back Jourdain and 7 back Cuamba. This model picks Jourdain (56%).
Claude
Of 71 analyst picks, 64 back Jourdain and 7 back Cuamba. This model picks Jourdain (64%).
Gemini
Of 71 analyst picks, 64 back Jourdain and 7 back Cuamba. This model picks Jourdain (63%).
Which model is most confident on Jourdain, and which on Cuamba?
All models
On Jourdain: Claude (64%). On Cuamba: ChatGPT (44%).
Where do the models disagree most?
All models
Cuamba by decision: from 12% (Claude) to 28% (ChatGPT).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
All models
Brandon K (Jourdain by decision), MMA JAWN (Jourdain by decision), DFS By The Numbers (Jourdain by decision), Walk The Line MMA (Jourdain by decision), Artem MMA (Jourdain by decision), Bert MMA (Jourdain by decision), MMA.SOCIAL (Jourdain by decision), FightIQ (Jourdain by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Jourdain by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Jourdain by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Jourdain by decision), Kunath (Jourdain by decision), Garrett Kerman (Jourdain by decision), FightStudy (Jourdain by decision), Kasper MMA (Jourdain by decision), Livid Larry MMA (Jourdain by decision), The Sports Scientist (Jourdain by decision), Uselyis (Jourdain by decision), Marcel Dorff (Jourdain by decision), Mate Bersenadze (Jourdain by decision) and Alexander K. Lee (Jourdain by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Jourdain, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
All models
No.
ChatGPT
Pick
Jourdain
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Jourdain by decision, about 29 in 100
Win chance: Jourdain 56%, Cuamba 44%.
Most likely outcomes
- Jourdain by decision29%
- Cuamba by decision28%
- Jourdain by KO/TKO14%
- KO/TKO: Jourdain 14%, Cuamba 11%.
- Submission: Jourdain 13%, Cuamba 5%.
- Decision: Jourdain 29%, Cuamba 28%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Jourdain: 56% (about 56 in 100 fights). Cuamba: 44%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Jourdain: 64% (about 64 in 100 fights). Cuamba: 36%.
Gemini
Jourdain: 63% (about 63 in 100 fights). Cuamba: 37%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Jourdain by decision: 29% (about 29 in 100).
Other models' answers
Claude
Jourdain by decision: 32% (about 32 in 100).
Gemini
Jourdain by decision: 28% (about 28 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Jourdain by decision (29%); 2. Cuamba by decision (28%); 3. Jourdain by KO/TKO (14%)
Other models' answers
Claude
1. Jourdain by decision (32%); 2. Jourdain by KO/TKO (24%); 3. Cuamba by KO/TKO (18%)
Gemini
1. Jourdain by decision (28%); 2. Jourdain by KO/TKO (26%); 3. Cuamba by decision (19%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Jourdain's 56% win chance.
Other models' answers
Claude
6 of 10, based on Jourdain's 64% win chance.
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Jourdain's 63% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 43%. Decision: 57%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 56%. Decision: 44%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 53%. Decision: 47%.
How does Jourdain win?
ChatGPT
Jourdain wins 56%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 13%, decision 29%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Jourdain wins 64%: KO/TKO 24%, submission 8%, decision 32%.
Gemini
Jourdain wins 63%: KO/TKO 26%, submission 9%, decision 28%.
How does Cuamba win?
ChatGPT
Cuamba wins 44%: KO/TKO 11%, submission 5%, decision 28%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Cuamba wins 36%: KO/TKO 18%, submission 6%, decision 12%.
Gemini
Cuamba wins 37%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 6%, decision 19%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
ChatGPT
Cuamba's most likely upset: Cuamba by decision (28%).
Other models' answers
Gemini
Cuamba's most likely upset: Cuamba by decision (19%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
ChatGPT
The models agree: all 3 pick Jourdain.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Cuamba by submission in round 2. Cuamba by submission was the model's number 6 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jourdain by decision (29%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Result: Cuamba by submission in round 2. Cuamba by submission was the model's number 6 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jourdain by decision (32%).
Gemini
Result: Cuamba by submission in round 2. Cuamba by submission was the model's number 6 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jourdain by decision (28%).
More questions (19)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 25%, submission 18%, decision 57%.
Other models' answers
Claude
KO/TKO 42%, submission 14%, decision 44%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 38%, submission 15%, decision 47%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Jourdain: 27%, against 16% for Cuamba.
Other models' answers
Claude
Jourdain: 32%, against 24% for Cuamba.
Gemini
Jourdain: 35%, against 18% for Cuamba.
Can Jourdain get the finish? Can Cuamba?
ChatGPT
Jourdain: 27% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 13%). Cuamba: 16% (KO/TKO 11%, submission 5%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Jourdain: 32% (KO/TKO 24%, submission 8%). Cuamba: 24% (KO/TKO 18%, submission 6%).
Gemini
Jourdain: 35% (KO/TKO 26%, submission 9%). Cuamba: 18% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 6%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Jourdain is knocked out in 11% and submitted in 5%. Cuamba is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 13%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Jourdain is knocked out in 18% and submitted in 6%. Cuamba is knocked out in 24% and submitted in 8%.
Gemini
Jourdain is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 6%. Cuamba is knocked out in 26% and submitted in 9%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 56% vs 44%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Lopsided: 64% vs 36%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 63% vs 37%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
ChatGPT
Jourdain by decision: 29%. Cuamba by decision: 28%.
Other models' answers
Gemini
Jourdain by decision: 28%. Cuamba by decision: 19%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Cuamba wins 44% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Other models' answers
Claude
Cuamba wins 36% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Cuamba wins 37% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
57%.
Other models' answers
Claude
44%.
Gemini
47%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Jourdain 51%, Cuamba 49%.
Other models' answers
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Jourdain 73%, Cuamba 27%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Jourdain 60%, Cuamba 40%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Cuamba by decision, 28% here against 16% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
Claude
Biggest difference: Cuamba by decision, 12% here against 24% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 71 analyst picks, 64 back Jourdain and 7 back Cuamba. This model picks Jourdain (56%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Of 71 analyst picks, 64 back Jourdain and 7 back Cuamba. This model picks Jourdain (64%).
Gemini
Of 71 analyst picks, 64 back Jourdain and 7 back Cuamba. This model picks Jourdain (63%).
Which model is most confident on Jourdain, and which on Cuamba?
ChatGPT
On Jourdain: Claude (64%). On Cuamba: ChatGPT (44%).
Where do the models disagree most?
ChatGPT
Cuamba by decision: from 12% (Claude) to 28% (ChatGPT).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
ChatGPT
Brandon K (Jourdain by decision), MMA JAWN (Jourdain by decision), DFS By The Numbers (Jourdain by decision), Walk The Line MMA (Jourdain by decision), Artem MMA (Jourdain by decision), Bert MMA (Jourdain by decision), MMA.SOCIAL (Jourdain by decision), FightIQ (Jourdain by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Jourdain by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Jourdain by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Jourdain by decision), Kunath (Jourdain by decision), Garrett Kerman (Jourdain by decision), FightStudy (Jourdain by decision), Kasper MMA (Jourdain by decision), Livid Larry MMA (Jourdain by decision), The Sports Scientist (Jourdain by decision), Uselyis (Jourdain by decision), Marcel Dorff (Jourdain by decision), Mate Bersenadze (Jourdain by decision) and Alexander K. Lee (Jourdain by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Jourdain, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Other models' answers
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
ChatGPT
No.
gpt-6-astra · 15 Oct63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Jourdain
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Jourdain by decision, about 32 in 100
Win chance: Jourdain 64%, Cuamba 36%.
Most likely outcomes
- Jourdain by decision32%
- Jourdain by KO/TKO24%
- Cuamba by KO/TKO18%
- KO/TKO: Jourdain 24%, Cuamba 18%.
- Submission: Jourdain 8%, Cuamba 6%.
- Decision: Jourdain 32%, Cuamba 12%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Claude
Jourdain: 64% (about 64 in 100 fights). Cuamba: 36%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jourdain: 56% (about 56 in 100 fights). Cuamba: 44%.
Gemini
Jourdain: 63% (about 63 in 100 fights). Cuamba: 37%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Claude
Jourdain by decision: 32% (about 32 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jourdain by decision: 29% (about 29 in 100).
Gemini
Jourdain by decision: 28% (about 28 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Claude
1. Jourdain by decision (32%); 2. Jourdain by KO/TKO (24%); 3. Cuamba by KO/TKO (18%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Jourdain by decision (29%); 2. Cuamba by decision (28%); 3. Jourdain by KO/TKO (14%)
Gemini
1. Jourdain by decision (28%); 2. Jourdain by KO/TKO (26%); 3. Cuamba by decision (19%)
How confident is the model?
Claude
6 of 10, based on Jourdain's 64% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Jourdain's 56% win chance.
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Jourdain's 63% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 56%. Decision: 44%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 43%. Decision: 57%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 53%. Decision: 47%.
How does Jourdain win?
Claude
Jourdain wins 64%: KO/TKO 24%, submission 8%, decision 32%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jourdain wins 56%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 13%, decision 29%.
Gemini
Jourdain wins 63%: KO/TKO 26%, submission 9%, decision 28%.
How does Cuamba win?
Claude
Cuamba wins 36%: KO/TKO 18%, submission 6%, decision 12%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Cuamba wins 44%: KO/TKO 11%, submission 5%, decision 28%.
Gemini
Cuamba wins 37%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 6%, decision 19%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Claude
The models agree: all 3 pick Jourdain.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Claude
Result: Cuamba by submission in round 2. Cuamba by submission was the model's number 6 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jourdain by decision (32%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Cuamba by submission in round 2. Cuamba by submission was the model's number 6 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jourdain by decision (29%).
Gemini
Result: Cuamba by submission in round 2. Cuamba by submission was the model's number 6 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jourdain by decision (28%).
More questions (18)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Claude
KO/TKO 42%, submission 14%, decision 44%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 25%, submission 18%, decision 57%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 38%, submission 15%, decision 47%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Claude
Jourdain: 32%, against 24% for Cuamba.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jourdain: 27%, against 16% for Cuamba.
Gemini
Jourdain: 35%, against 18% for Cuamba.
Can Jourdain get the finish? Can Cuamba?
Claude
Jourdain: 32% (KO/TKO 24%, submission 8%). Cuamba: 24% (KO/TKO 18%, submission 6%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jourdain: 27% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 13%). Cuamba: 16% (KO/TKO 11%, submission 5%).
Gemini
Jourdain: 35% (KO/TKO 26%, submission 9%). Cuamba: 18% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 6%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Claude
Jourdain is knocked out in 18% and submitted in 6%. Cuamba is knocked out in 24% and submitted in 8%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jourdain is knocked out in 11% and submitted in 5%. Cuamba is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 13%.
Gemini
Jourdain is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 6%. Cuamba is knocked out in 26% and submitted in 9%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Claude
Lopsided: 64% vs 36%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 56% vs 44%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 63% vs 37%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Claude
Cuamba wins 36% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Cuamba wins 44% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Gemini
Cuamba wins 37% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Claude
44%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
57%.
Gemini
47%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Jourdain 73%, Cuamba 27%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Jourdain 51%, Cuamba 49%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Jourdain 60%, Cuamba 40%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Claude
Biggest difference: Cuamba by decision, 12% here against 24% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Cuamba by decision, 28% here against 16% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Claude
Of 71 analyst picks, 64 back Jourdain and 7 back Cuamba. This model picks Jourdain (64%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 71 analyst picks, 64 back Jourdain and 7 back Cuamba. This model picks Jourdain (56%).
Gemini
Of 71 analyst picks, 64 back Jourdain and 7 back Cuamba. This model picks Jourdain (63%).
Which model is most confident on Jourdain, and which on Cuamba?
Claude
On Jourdain: Claude (64%). On Cuamba: ChatGPT (44%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Claude
Cuamba by decision: from 12% (Claude) to 28% (ChatGPT).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
Claude
Brandon K (Jourdain by decision), MMA JAWN (Jourdain by decision), DFS By The Numbers (Jourdain by decision), Walk The Line MMA (Jourdain by decision), Artem MMA (Jourdain by decision), Bert MMA (Jourdain by decision), MMA.SOCIAL (Jourdain by decision), FightIQ (Jourdain by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Jourdain by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Jourdain by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Jourdain by decision), Kunath (Jourdain by decision), Garrett Kerman (Jourdain by decision), FightStudy (Jourdain by decision), Kasper MMA (Jourdain by decision), Livid Larry MMA (Jourdain by decision), The Sports Scientist (Jourdain by decision), Uselyis (Jourdain by decision), Marcel Dorff (Jourdain by decision), Mate Bersenadze (Jourdain by decision) and Alexander K. Lee (Jourdain by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Jourdain, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Claude
No.
claude-sonnet-5-5 · 17 Oct61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Jourdain
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Jourdain by decision, about 28 in 100
Win chance: Jourdain 63%, Cuamba 37%.
Most likely outcomes
- Jourdain by decision28%
- Jourdain by KO/TKO26%
- Cuamba by decision19%
- KO/TKO: Jourdain 26%, Cuamba 12%.
- Submission: Jourdain 9%, Cuamba 6%.
- Decision: Jourdain 28%, Cuamba 19%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Gemini
Jourdain: 63% (about 63 in 100 fights). Cuamba: 37%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jourdain: 56% (about 56 in 100 fights). Cuamba: 44%.
Claude
Jourdain: 64% (about 64 in 100 fights). Cuamba: 36%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Gemini
Jourdain by decision: 28% (about 28 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jourdain by decision: 29% (about 29 in 100).
Claude
Jourdain by decision: 32% (about 32 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Gemini
1. Jourdain by decision (28%); 2. Jourdain by KO/TKO (26%); 3. Cuamba by decision (19%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Jourdain by decision (29%); 2. Cuamba by decision (28%); 3. Jourdain by KO/TKO (14%)
Claude
1. Jourdain by decision (32%); 2. Jourdain by KO/TKO (24%); 3. Cuamba by KO/TKO (18%)
How confident is the model?
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Jourdain's 63% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Jourdain's 56% win chance.
Claude
6 of 10, based on Jourdain's 64% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 53%. Decision: 47%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 43%. Decision: 57%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 56%. Decision: 44%.
How does Jourdain win?
Gemini
Jourdain wins 63%: KO/TKO 26%, submission 9%, decision 28%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jourdain wins 56%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 13%, decision 29%.
Claude
Jourdain wins 64%: KO/TKO 24%, submission 8%, decision 32%.
How does Cuamba win?
Gemini
Cuamba wins 37%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 6%, decision 19%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Cuamba wins 44%: KO/TKO 11%, submission 5%, decision 28%.
Claude
Cuamba wins 36%: KO/TKO 18%, submission 6%, decision 12%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
Gemini
Cuamba's most likely upset: Cuamba by decision (19%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Cuamba's most likely upset: Cuamba by decision (28%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Gemini
The models agree: all 3 pick Jourdain.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Gemini
Result: Cuamba by submission in round 2. Cuamba by submission was the model's number 6 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jourdain by decision (28%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Cuamba by submission in round 2. Cuamba by submission was the model's number 6 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jourdain by decision (29%).
Claude
Result: Cuamba by submission in round 2. Cuamba by submission was the model's number 6 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jourdain by decision (32%).
More questions (18)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Gemini
KO/TKO 38%, submission 15%, decision 47%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 25%, submission 18%, decision 57%.
Claude
KO/TKO 42%, submission 14%, decision 44%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Gemini
Jourdain: 35%, against 18% for Cuamba.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jourdain: 27%, against 16% for Cuamba.
Claude
Jourdain: 32%, against 24% for Cuamba.
Can Jourdain get the finish? Can Cuamba?
Gemini
Jourdain: 35% (KO/TKO 26%, submission 9%). Cuamba: 18% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 6%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jourdain: 27% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 13%). Cuamba: 16% (KO/TKO 11%, submission 5%).
Claude
Jourdain: 32% (KO/TKO 24%, submission 8%). Cuamba: 24% (KO/TKO 18%, submission 6%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Gemini
Jourdain is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 6%. Cuamba is knocked out in 26% and submitted in 9%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jourdain is knocked out in 11% and submitted in 5%. Cuamba is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 13%.
Claude
Jourdain is knocked out in 18% and submitted in 6%. Cuamba is knocked out in 24% and submitted in 8%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Gemini
Lopsided: 63% vs 37%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 56% vs 44%.
Claude
Lopsided: 64% vs 36%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
Gemini
Jourdain by decision: 28%. Cuamba by decision: 19%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jourdain by decision: 29%. Cuamba by decision: 28%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Gemini
Cuamba wins 37% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Cuamba wins 44% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Claude
Cuamba wins 36% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Gemini
47%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
57%.
Claude
44%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Jourdain 60%, Cuamba 40%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Jourdain 51%, Cuamba 49%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Jourdain 73%, Cuamba 27%.
Compared with others 4 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Gemini
Of 71 analyst picks, 64 back Jourdain and 7 back Cuamba. This model picks Jourdain (63%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 71 analyst picks, 64 back Jourdain and 7 back Cuamba. This model picks Jourdain (56%).
Claude
Of 71 analyst picks, 64 back Jourdain and 7 back Cuamba. This model picks Jourdain (64%).
Which model is most confident on Jourdain, and which on Cuamba?
Gemini
On Jourdain: Claude (64%). On Cuamba: ChatGPT (44%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Gemini
Cuamba by decision: from 12% (Claude) to 28% (ChatGPT).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
Gemini
Brandon K (Jourdain by decision), MMA JAWN (Jourdain by decision), DFS By The Numbers (Jourdain by decision), Walk The Line MMA (Jourdain by decision), Artem MMA (Jourdain by decision), Bert MMA (Jourdain by decision), MMA.SOCIAL (Jourdain by decision), FightIQ (Jourdain by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Jourdain by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Jourdain by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Jourdain by decision), Kunath (Jourdain by decision), Garrett Kerman (Jourdain by decision), FightStudy (Jourdain by decision), Kasper MMA (Jourdain by decision), Livid Larry MMA (Jourdain by decision), The Sports Scientist (Jourdain by decision), Uselyis (Jourdain by decision), Marcel Dorff (Jourdain by decision), Mate Bersenadze (Jourdain by decision) and Alexander K. Lee (Jourdain by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Jourdain, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Gemini
No.
Version not reported · 15 Oct68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET
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