UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott  17 Oct 2026 · Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, CA

Steven Koslow defeats Chad Anheliger by Submission

Loss Chad Anheliger 13-9-0
Win Steven Koslow 7-1-0
Submission · rear-naked choke

Round 3 · 4:31

Anheliger vs Koslow — Bantamweight · UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Koslow took Anheliger down and controlled him in the first two rounds. In the third, he advanced through mount to the back and finished with a rear-naked choke.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Anheliger

Anheliger is 13-8, per UFC, and his recent UFC results include a decision win over Charalampos Grigoriou followed by a decision loss to Cody Gibson. His 3.11 significant strikes per minute and 54% striking defense point to a measured striking route against a newcomer whose recorded wins all came by submission.

Case for Koslow

Koslow is 6-1, per UFC, and all six of his wins are submissions; his recent ledger lists three first-round submission wins before his UFC loss to Cameron Saaiman. His 5.28 takedowns per 15 minutes make getting Anheliger to the mat the defining test of that finishing record.

What We Were Watching For

  • Can Koslow convert his 5.28 takedowns per 15 minutes against Anheliger's 38% takedown defense?
  • Does Koslow find a submission opening after Anheliger's recent three-round decision bouts?
  • Can Anheliger make Koslow pay at range, where Anheliger averages 3.11 significant strikes per minute?
Records & career stats
Anheliger vs Koslow
13-8-0
Record
6-1-0
—
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
—
Canada
Nationality
United States
38
Age
29
5′6″168 cm
Height — Koslow leads
5′7″171 cm
65″164 cm
Reach — Koslow leads
69″175 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Not published
77%
Finish rateFinish % — Koslow leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
100%
7
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Anheliger leads
0
3
Wins by submissionSub wins — Koslow leads
7
3.11
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Anheliger leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
0.77
2.76
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Anheliger leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.73
54%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Anheliger leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
40%
38%
Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
—
14:44
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
14:13
Champions Creed MMA
Team
Gracie Barra Jacksonville

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

After the fight
Fighter interview▶ Steven Koslow Octagon Interview | UFC Edmonton

Comments

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

MMA Lock of the Night
Hear it — 16:08 Gemini YouTube analysisMMA Lock of the Night on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

“in terms of try uh just prediction purposes I'll go and Helaiger by knockout in round three”

Track record: winner called in 85 of 126 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 67.5% (85 hit, 41 miss, across 126 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 59.5% (25 hit, 17 miss, across 42 method-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 126 resolved calls).

View full track record (126 calls)
AJ Devito
Hear it — 12:26 AJ Devito on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger · KO/TKO

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

AJ favors Anheliger's toughness, pressure, and cardio over Koslow's long layoff, and calls an Anheliger finish.

“So, the pick is Chad and Hela. I'll go in Hela TKO.”

Track record: winner called in 175 of 264 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 66.3% (175 hit, 89 miss, across 264 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.7% (61 hit, 43 miss, across 104 method-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 77.8% (7 hit, 2 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (12 hit, 21 miss, across 33 underdog calls on 264 resolved calls).

View full track record (264 calls)
HopperMMA
Hear it — 6:43 Gemini YouTube analysisHopperMMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger · Dec

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

“I'm going to go with Chad and Helga by decision”

Track record: winner called in 92 of 148 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 62.2% (92 hit, 56 miss, across 148 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.8% (45 hit, 29 miss, across 74 method-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 round-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 26.9% (7 hit, 19 miss, across 26 underdog calls on 148 resolved calls).

View full track record (148 calls)
James Lynch
Read sourceJames Lynch on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Anheliger as James Lynch’s winner.

Track record: winner called in 36 of 59 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 61.0% (36 hit, 23 miss, across 59 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 45.0% (9 hit, 11 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 59 resolved calls).

View full track record (59 calls)
James Blissett
Hear it — 47:20 James Blissett on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger · KO/TKO

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

James acknowledges the volatile matchup and selects Anheliger by knockout.

“I'll say Chad wins this fight via knockout as my official prediction.”

Track record: winner called in 48 of 79 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.8% (48 hit, 31 miss, across 79 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.2% (26 hit, 22 miss, across 48 method-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 41.2% (7 hit, 10 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 79 resolved calls).

View full track record (79 calls)
Garrett Kerman
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger · Dec

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

ClutchPoints selects Chad Anheliger by decision.

Track record: winner called in 20 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.6% (20 hit, 13 miss, across 33 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 33 resolved calls).

View full track record (33 calls)
Fight Genie (Claude)
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger · Dec

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Fight Genie Claude selects Chad Anheliger over Steven Koslow by decision. Anheliger’s broader UFC experience and striking output underpin a narrow decision lean, against Koslow’s wrestling and both long layoffs. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.

Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (8 hit, 8 miss, across 16 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
Fight Genie (GPT)
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger · Dec

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Fight Genie GPT selects Chad Anheliger over Steven Koslow by decision. Anheliger’s larger sample and better striking support a narrow decision pick, while Koslow’s takedowns remain an upset route. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.

Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.3% (8 hit, 7 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 16.7% (1 hit, 5 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
Chris Schweppe
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger · Dec

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Chris Schweppe picks Chad Anheliger by decision.

Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).

View full track record (99 calls)
Jeff Fox
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Jeff Fox selects Chad Anheliger, arguing that Steven Koslow's long absence and limited striking leave him vulnerable to Anheliger on the feet.

“UFC Edmonton Underdog Pick: Chad Anheliger ML (+113)”

Track record: winner called in 9 of 17 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 17 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 17 resolved calls).

View full track record (17 calls)
Greedo Plays MMA
Hear it — 14:44 Greedo Plays MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger · Dec

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Greedo selects Chad Anheliger over Steven Koslow by decision; the captioned surname is garbled.

“Give me Chad and Hela to win a decision.”

Track record: winner called in 37 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 51.4% (37 hit, 35 miss, across 72 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.3% (19 hit, 11 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 72 resolved calls).

View full track record (72 calls)
mmadbm
Hear it — 5:34 mmadbm on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger · Dec

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

He favors Anheliger's experience, quicker striking and overall skills against an opponent returning from prolonged inactivity.

“I'd go with Chad Anne and Heliger here by decision.”

Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (12 hit, 2 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 41 resolved calls).

View full track record (41 calls)
Bert MMA
Hear it — 9:13 Bert MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger · Dec

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Bert MMA sees Chad Anheliger as the stronger, busier striker and expects him to defend Steven Koslow’s takedowns as Koslow tires. Koslow’s early submission threat is the danger, but Bert selects Anheliger to win the later rounds and take a 29–28 split decision.

* He calls this unpredictable because both fighters are returning from long layoffs and advises against betting it unless Anheliger becomes an underdog.

Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).

View full track record (36 calls)
Zain Bando
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Anheliger as Zain Bando’s winner.

Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).

View full track record (36 calls)
Adam Martin
Hear it — 9:48

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger · KO/TKO

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Adam Martin picks Chad Anheliger by knockout, while expressing uncertainty because of Anheliger’s long layoff.

“Chad by knockout. I think he knocks him out, Marcel.”

Track record: winner called in 6 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).

View full track record (13 calls)
Andrew Sumian
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Andrew Sumian selects Chad Anheliger to win.

Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).

View full track record (40 calls)
Matthew Petela
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Matthew Petela selects Chad Anheliger to win.

Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).

View full track record (40 calls)
BennyPMMA
Hear it — 2:52 BennyPMMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger · KO/TKO

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

BennyPMMA selects Chad Anheliger by KO/TKO.

““I’m going to go with Chad to get this one done via KO.””

Track record: winner called in 9 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 42.9% (9 hit, 12 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).

View full track record (21 calls)
MMA Gambling Podcast
Hear it — 16:40 Gemini YouTube analysisMMA Gambling Podcast on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

The MMA Gambling Podcast selects Chad Anheliger.

“so yeah Chad and Heller definitely the pick”

Track record: winner called in 3 of 7 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 7 resolved calls).

View full track record (7 calls)
Josh Schonwald
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

DocSports author Josh Schonwald explicitly selects Chad Anheliger.

“Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chad Anheliger (-120)”

Track record: winner called in 6 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 40.0% (6 hit, 9 miss, across 15 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 15 resolved calls).

View full track record (15 calls)
AI Sports Metrics
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

AI Sports Metrics explicitly labels Steven Koslow as its AI/model pick against Steven Koslow. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. AI Sports Metrics identifies its UFC model as a fight-level probability beside the devigged market and warns the current MMA winner model has not beaten closing market.

Track record: winner called in 5 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).

View full track record (13 calls)
FunkyBunch MMA
Hear it — 16:45 FunkyBunch MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger · Dec

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

The speaker favors Chad's experience, striking output, and power while acknowledging his vulnerability to takedowns.

“So, the pick is going to be Chad.”

Track record: winner called in 5 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 33.3% (5 hit, 10 miss, across 15 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 3 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 15 resolved calls).

View full track record (15 calls)
FIGHT//AI
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Chad Anheliger

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

FIGHT//AI explicitly labels Steven Koslow as its AI/model pick against Steven Koslow. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. FIGHT//AI says its displayed probability blends model, market, and fan-sentiment inputs.

Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).

View full track record (153 calls)
FightIQ
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Dec

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

FightIQ predicts Steven Koslow at 65% confidence (page metadata: modified 2026-10-14T13:03:54Z).

“We predict Steven Koslow — 65% confident”

Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).

View full track record (227 calls)
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Hear it — 7:35 Gemini YouTube analysisJimbo Ortega MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Steven Koslow by submission, with round one or two given as possibilities.

“I'll go Coslo by sub round one or two”

Track record: winner called in 38 of 56 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 67.9% (38 hit, 18 miss, across 56 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.1% (18 hit, 11 miss, across 29 method-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 56 resolved calls).

View full track record (56 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 12:09 JakeGerberMMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

JakeGerberMMA picks Steven Koslow, expecting takedowns and a jiu-jitsu advantage to lead to a submission.

“But I'm saying Steven goes out here, gets some takedowns, and his jiu-jitsu will be a step ahead and he gets a submission.”

Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).

View full track record (154 calls)
Fite Feed
Hear it — 6:20 Fite Feed on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

The speaker picks Koslow based on his age, while acknowledging low confidence.

“I'll give Steven Koslow a sub in round one, but I'm not confident either way.”

Track record: winner called in 24 of 37 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.9% (24 hit, 13 miss, across 37 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.9% (14 hit, 9 miss, across 23 method-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 21.4% (3 hit, 11 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 37 resolved calls).

View full track record (37 calls)
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 10:27 DFS By The Numbers on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

He picks Steven Koslow by first-round submission, while noting Koslow could be in danger if he cannot get his grappling going.

“Give me Steven Cosell for the win. I'll take him to win this fight by first round submission.”

Track record: winner called in 112 of 173 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.7% (112 hit, 61 miss, across 173 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.0% (61 hit, 39 miss, across 100 method-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 38.3% (18 hit, 29 miss, across 47 round-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 underdog calls on 173 resolved calls).

View full track record (173 calls)
138 MMA
Hear it — 14:59 138 MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

138 MMA takes Steven Koslow based on the submission grappling matchup; the auto-captions garble his surname.

“I'm going to take Coslo and assume that the submission grappling is still going to be there.”

Track record: winner called in 42 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 63.6% (42 hit, 24 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 43.8% (7 hit, 9 miss, across 16 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).

View full track record (66 calls)
Mate Bersenadze
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Mate Bersenadze explicitly predicts Steven Koslow by submission.

“Prediction: Koslow by submission.”

Track record: winner called in 33 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 63.5% (33 hit, 19 miss, across 52 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 51.5% (17 hit, 16 miss, across 33 method-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 52 resolved calls).

View full track record (52 calls)
Drake Burden
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Drake Burden selects Steven Koslow to win.

Track record: winner called in 62 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 63.3% (62 hit, 36 miss, across 98 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 98 resolved calls).

View full track record (98 calls)
Livid Larry MMA
Hear it — 8:32 Livid Larry MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

He expects Koslow's early takedowns and grappling to exploit Anheliger's submission vulnerability.

“Uh I'm leaning towards Coslow by sub. That's going to be my official prediction here for this one.”

Track record: winner called in 34 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 63.0% (34 hit, 20 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 79.2% (19 hit, 5 miss, across 24 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).

View full track record (54 calls)
MMA JOEY
Hear it — 7:50 MMA JOEY on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Dec

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

He chooses Koslow by decision, while saying he reserves the right to change this pick.

“I'm going to go Koslow via decision.”

Track record: winner called in 78 of 125 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 62.4% (78 hit, 47 miss, across 125 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.6% (27 hit, 31 miss, across 58 method-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.1% (9 hit, 23 miss, across 32 round-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 125 resolved calls).

View full track record (125 calls)
Combat Edge Model
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Combat Edge Model selects Steven Koslow as its model lean (62%) against Chad Anheliger. The event card describes a point-in-time model using Elo, records, and matchup data and says forecasts freeze before fight night. It provides win probabilities, not a selected method or round.

Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).

View full track record (20 calls)
Jacob Lines
Hear it — 57:40 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Picks Steven Koslow and notes that he has already bet on him.

“why would I say Chad i got to bet on Stephen already”

Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).

View full track record (20 calls)
Owen Liao
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Steven Koslow by submission in round one.

“Steven Koslow to win by submission in round one”

Track record: winner called in 9 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.0% (9 hit, 6 miss, across 15 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 15 resolved calls).

View full track record (15 calls)
MMA Mathletes
Hear it — 8:48 Gemini YouTube analysisMMA Mathletes on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

MMA Mathletes selects Steven Koslow and states submission.

“i have Steven by submission”

Track record: winner called in 32 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 59.3% (32 hit, 22 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).

View full track record (54 calls)
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) selects Steven Koslow; no round is stated.

Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
Tim Edwards
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Edwards lists Steven Koslow as his moneyline best bet, weighing the size and age gap despite Koslow’s long layoff.

Track record: winner called in 20 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.8% (20 hit, 14 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).

View full track record (34 calls)
KingofCrackdown5095
Hear it — 4:22 KingofCrackdown5095 on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Dec

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

He expects Koslow to score takedowns and control Anheliger on the way to a decision.

“I will go low confidence Steven Koslow to beat Chad Anheliger.”

Track record: winner called in 37 of 63 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.7% (37 hit, 26 miss, across 63 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.6% (21 hit, 11 miss, across 32 method-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 42.1% (8 hit, 11 miss, across 19 round-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 63 resolved calls).

View full track record (63 calls)
Kunath
Hear it — 20:09 Kunath on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

He cites Koslow’s ground game as the strength that should let him take down and submit Anheliger in the first round.

“So I think Steven Koslow gets a submission. I think he does it round one.”

Track record: winner called in 38 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.5% (38 hit, 27 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 56.7% (17 hit, 13 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).

View full track record (65 calls)
Angelo Bodetti
Hear it — 22:59

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

“if we just assume they're basically who they were before then I'm going to pick Stephen that's it”

* Caveats heavily due to long layoffs (4 years vs 2 years) and advises leaving the fight alone.

Track record: winner called in 29 of 50 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.0% (29 hit, 21 miss, across 50 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 50 resolved calls).

View full track record (50 calls)
Artem MMA
Hear it — 9:57 Artem MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Artem sees a takedown route for Koslow against Anheliger’s weak takedown defense. He is concerned by Koslow’s long absence, ACL injury and underwhelming performance against Cameron Saaiman, but also sees age and inactivity concerns for Anheliger. He ultimately chooses Koslow by first-round submission with very low confidence.

* He says he feels terrible about this pick and understands anyone fading Koslow.

Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).

View full track record (95 calls)
Jon Litterine
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Litterine explicitly selects Steven Koslow; no method or round is stated.

“UFC EDMONTON PICK: Koslow”

Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).

View full track record (124 calls)
BetSam
Hear it — 5:10 BetSam on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

He expects Koslow's grappling and physical development to exploit Anheliger's demonstrated difficulties against grapplers.

“So, I'm gonna take Steven Coloss to win this fight by submission based off of his grappling prowess.”

Track record: winner called in 22 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 56.4% (22 hit, 17 miss, across 39 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 39 resolved calls).

View full track record (39 calls)
Fight Productions
Hear it — 9:32 Gemini YouTube analysisFight Productions on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

“With that being said I am going to lean towards Coslo getting the dub here i just think he's younger he's the better athlete i think his grappling against the grappling deficiencies of Van Helinger can give him the win here so I'm going to take Coslo to win this one by I'll say round one submission”

* Analyst stated a lean

Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.7% (28 hit, 9 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 41.7% (10 hit, 14 miss, across 24 round-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (2 hit, 6 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).

View full track record (66 calls)
MMA.SOCIAL
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Dec

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

MMA.SOCIAL selects Steven Koslow by decision; no round is stated.

“Koslow by decision.”

Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
Clenbat
Hear it — 7:50 Clenbat on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

The speaker favors Koslow's youth and well-roundedness despite uncertainty caused by both fighters' lengthy layoffs.

“guess I'll have to go Kaslo here with the youth and the well-roundedness.”

Track record: winner called in 27 of 49 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 55.1% (27 hit, 22 miss, across 49 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 49 resolved calls).

View full track record (49 calls)
Kasper MMA
Hear it — 2:35 Kasper MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

He expects Koslow's submission grappling to exploit Anheliger's weak takedown defense.

“So I'm picking Coslo to win by submission.”

Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 54.8% (23 hit, 19 miss, across 42 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.1% (11 hit, 7 miss, across 18 method-scored calls on 42 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 42 resolved calls).

View full track record (42 calls)
Anatoly Pimentel
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Anatoly Pimentel predicts Steven Koslow by submission over Chad Anheliger.

“I predict a submission win for Koslow over Anheliger”

Track record: winner called in 12 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 54.5% (12 hit, 10 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).

View full track record (22 calls)
Cole Shelton
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Koslow as Cole Shelton’s winner.

Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).

View full track record (116 calls)
TonyHasDiedMMA
Hear it — 8:48 TonyHasDiedMMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

TonyHasDiedMMA picks Steven Koslow without stating a method or round.

“I'm going to pick Steven Coslo.”

Track record: winner called in 28 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 52.8% (28 hit, 25 miss, across 53 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.1% (8 hit, 9 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 71.4% (5 hit, 2 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 53 resolved calls).

View full track record (53 calls)
Locked Door MMA
Hear it — 15:02 Locked Door MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Brevon selects Koslow for grappling control and a probable submission. JP cautions about the matchup but does not name an alternate pick.

“So, give me Steven Koslow.”

Track record: winner called in 10 of 19 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 52.6% (10 hit, 9 miss, across 19 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 19 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 19 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 19 resolved calls).

View full track record (19 calls)
MikesMMAPicks
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Koslow as MikesMMAPicks’s winner.

Track record: winner called in 25 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 52.1% (25 hit, 23 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).

View full track record (48 calls)
The MMA Yuda
Hear it — 13:29 Gemini YouTube analysisThe MMA Yuda on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

“I'm going to pick Steven Coslo to win this fight”

Track record: winner called in 30 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 51.7% (30 hit, 28 miss, across 58 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 58 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 58 resolved calls).

View full track record (58 calls)
Steve Garcia
Hear it — 8:22 Gemini YouTube analysisSteve Garcia on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

“Give give me give me Steven Koslaw”

Track record: winner called in 15 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 51.7% (15 hit, 14 miss, across 29 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 29 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 29 resolved calls).

View full track record (29 calls)
Walk The Line MMA
Hear it — 24:53 Walk The Line MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Teller selects Koslow for his jiu-jitsu, youth and size, seeing ways to exploit Anheliger's grappling difficulties through takedowns, pressure and control. He also sees a possible submission but does not choose a method. His pick depends on Koslow having used his lengthy absence to sharpen his striking and overall game.

* Backing Koslow assumes he has trained and improved during his long absence; Teller still needs to see progress in his striking.

Track record: winner called in 27 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 50.0% (27 hit, 27 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.9% (11 hit, 8 miss, across 19 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).

View full track record (54 calls)
The Die Hard MMA Podcast
Hear it — 31:58 Gemini YouTube analysisThe Die Hard MMA Podcast on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

“that's the way I'm going to lean I'm going to pick Coslo but I I don't know how you put your money on a fight”

* Analyst stated a lean

Track record: winner called in 7 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 50.0% (7 hit, 7 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
Nick Kalikas
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Koslow as Nick Kalikas’s winner.

Track record: winner called in 23 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 47.9% (23 hit, 25 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).

View full track record (48 calls)
MMA JAWN
Hear it — 3:37 MMA JAWN on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

MMA JAWN leans Koslow, expecting him to take the fight to the ground and use his submission game.

“So giving give me Stephen Klaw to get it done via submission.”

* He frames this as a lean and cautions that both fighters have been inactive; he says not to bet it at even odds.

Track record: winner called in 16 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 47.1% (16 hit, 18 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).

View full track record (34 calls)
Uselyis
Hear it — 4:55 Uselyis on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

The speaker expects Koslow to exploit Anheliger's susceptibility to ground control and pursue a submission.

“I'm going to go with Steven Klau by sub. I'll go by rear naked choke.”

Track record: winner called in 25 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 46.3% (25 hit, 29 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 7 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).

View full track record (54 calls)
Marcel Dorff
Hear it — 10:41

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Dec

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Marcel Dorff takes Steven Koslow by decision as his underdog pick; the method and selection are clear in the exchange despite the caption rendering the name as an initial.

“U by decision I'm going with.”

Track record: winner called in 6 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (4 hit, 2 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).

View full track record (13 calls)
Drew Beaupre
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Drew Beaupre explicitly selects Koslow.

“Pick: Koslow”

Track record: winner called in 11 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 45.8% (11 hit, 13 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).

View full track record (24 calls)
FightStudy
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub · Round 2

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

FightStudy selects Koslow by Submission in round 2.

“Prediction: Koslow by SUB R2”

Track record: winner called in 11 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 45.8% (11 hit, 13 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 72.7% (8 hit, 3 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 round-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).

View full track record (24 calls)
The Sports Scientist
Hear it — 14:13 The Sports Scientist on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

He considers Koslow more dangerous with more weapons and distrusts Anheliger despite his output and home advantage.

“give me Stephven Costello to win by submission.”

Track record: winner called in 10 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 45.5% (10 hit, 12 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).

View full track record (22 calls)
Brandon K
Hear it — 47:05 Brandon K on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Dec

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Brandon K selects Steven Koslow by Decision.

““So, Coslo by decision.””

Track record: winner called in 20 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 44.4% (20 hit, 25 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 42.9% (6 hit, 8 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).

View full track record (45 calls)
Lightning MMA
Hear it — 0:24 Lightning MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

No reason is stated for this pick.

“to go with Koslow by first round submission.”

Track record: winner called in 11 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 42.3% (11 hit, 15 miss, across 26 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.0% (6 hit, 2 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 4 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 26 resolved calls).

View full track record (26 calls)
The Lab Analytics
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

The Lab Analytics selects Steven Koslow at 72.8% and labels the pick Strong Play. The source describes Lean picks as informational and says not to bet; this records the model's selected winner without presenting it as betting advice. The method estimates are explicitly indicative, so method and round are omitted.

Track record: winner called in 10 of 25 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 40.0% (10 hit, 15 miss, across 25 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 25 resolved calls).

View full track record (25 calls)
Chris White
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Koslow as Chris White’s winner.

Track record: winner called in 19 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 39.6% (19 hit, 29 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).

View full track record (48 calls)
Alexander K. Lee
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Steven Koslow

Fight result: Steven Koslow · Submission

Alexander K. Lee explicitly selects Koslow.

“Steven Koslow def. Chad Anheliger”

Track record: winner called in 14 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 38.9% (14 hit, 22 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).

View full track record (36 calls)

Analyst picks: FightIQ Hit; Jimbo Ortega MMA Hit; MMA Lock of the Night Miss; AJ Devito Miss; JakeGerberMMA Hit; Fite Feed Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; 138 MMA Hit; Mate Bersenadze Hit; Drake Burden Hit; Livid Larry MMA Hit; MMA JOEY Hit; HopperMMA Miss; James Lynch Miss; James Blissett Miss; Garrett Kerman Miss; Combat Edge Model Hit; Jacob Lines Hit; Owen Liao Hit; MMA Mathletes Hit; Fight Genie (Claude) Miss; The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) Hit; Tim Edwards Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Hit; Kunath Hit; Angelo Bodetti Hit; Artem MMA Hit; Jon Litterine Hit; BetSam Hit; Fight Productions Hit; Fight Genie (GPT) Miss; MMA.SOCIAL Hit; Clenbat Hit; Kasper MMA Hit; Anatoly Pimentel Hit; Chris Schweppe Miss; Cole Shelton Hit; Jeff Fox Miss; TonyHasDiedMMA Hit; Locked Door MMA Hit; MikesMMAPicks Hit; The MMA Yuda Hit; Steve Garcia Hit; Greedo Plays MMA Miss; Walk The Line MMA Hit; The Die Hard MMA Podcast Hit; mmadbm Miss; Nick Kalikas Hit; Bert MMA Miss; Zain Bando Miss; MMA JAWN Hit; Uselyis Hit; Adam Martin Miss; Marcel Dorff Hit; Drew Beaupre Hit; FightStudy Hit; The Sports Scientist Hit; Andrew Sumian Miss; Matthew Petela Miss; Brandon K Hit; BennyPMMA Miss; MMA Gambling Podcast Miss; Lightning MMA Hit; The Lab Analytics Hit; Josh Schonwald Miss; Chris White Hit; Alexander K. Lee Hit; AI Sports Metrics Miss; FunkyBunch MMA Miss; FIGHT//AI Miss.

47 of 70 nailed it.

Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Results

Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.

Actual Koslow · Submission · R3

Closest probability Gemini put 53% on Koslow.

ChatGPTForecast: 63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
51% Anheliger
49% Koslow
PickAnheliger · DecisionActualKoslow · Submission · R3
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedSportsbook underdogMissSportsbook underdog: UnderdogThe selected fighter had a lower market-implied chance of winning. This underdog call was a miss.Sportsbook underdog: underdog call, miss
ClaudeForecast: 61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
52% Anheliger
48% Koslow
PickAnheliger · DecisionActualKoslow · Submission · R3
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedSportsbook underdogMissSportsbook underdog: UnderdogThe selected fighter had a lower market-implied chance of winning. This underdog call was a miss.Sportsbook underdog: underdog call, miss
GeminiForecast: 68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
47% Anheliger
53% Koslow
PickKoslow · Submission · R1ActualKoslow · Submission · R3
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundMissSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
AI Predictions — latest pre-fight callsFrozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.

AI Predictions

Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.

  • ChatGPT

    63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

    Pick Anheliger

    Most likely: Koslow by submission, about 31 in 100

    Win chance: Anheliger 51%, Koslow 49%.

    gpt-6-astra · 15 Oct

    Confidence 5 of 10 · Medium

  • Claude

    61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate

    Pick Anheliger

    Most likely: Anheliger by decision, about 32 in 100

    Win chance: Anheliger 52%, Koslow 48%.

    claude-sonnet-5-5 · 17 Oct

    Confidence 5 of 10 · Medium

  • Gemini

    68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate

    Pick Koslow

    Most likely: Koslow by submission, about 28 in 100

    Win chance: Anheliger 47%, Koslow 53%.

    Version not reported · 15 Oct

    Confidence 5 of 10 · Medium

2 of 3 models pick Anheliger; 1 of 3 models pick Koslow.

Questions

The result 7 questions

Who wins, and how likely?

  • ChatGPT

    Anheliger: 51% (about 51 in 100 fights). Koslow: 49%.

  • Claude

    Anheliger: 52% (about 52 in 100 fights). Koslow: 48%.

  • Gemini

    Koslow: 53% (about 53 in 100 fights). Anheliger: 47%.

What is the single most likely outcome?

  • ChatGPT

    Koslow by submission: 31% (about 31 in 100).

  • Claude

    Anheliger by decision: 32% (about 32 in 100).

  • Gemini

    Koslow by submission: 28% (about 28 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?

  • ChatGPT

    1. Koslow by submission (31%); 2. Anheliger by decision (25%); 3. Anheliger by KO/TKO (22%)

  • Claude

    1. Anheliger by decision (32%); 2. Koslow by decision (30%); 3. Anheliger by KO/TKO (13%)

  • Gemini

    1. Koslow by submission (28%); 2. Anheliger by decision (26%); 3. Koslow by decision (16%)

How confident is the model?

  • ChatGPT

    5 of 10, based on Anheliger's 51% win chance.

  • Claude

    5 of 10, based on Anheliger's 52% win chance.

  • Gemini

    5 of 10, based on Koslow's 53% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?

  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.

  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 38%. Decision: 62%.

  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 58%. Decision: 42%.

How does Anheliger win?

  • ChatGPT

    Anheliger wins 51%: KO/TKO 22%, submission 4%, decision 25%.

  • Claude

    Anheliger wins 52%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 7%, decision 32%.

  • Gemini

    Anheliger wins 47%: KO/TKO 15%, submission 6%, decision 26%.

How does Koslow win?

  • ChatGPT

    Koslow wins 49%: KO/TKO 3%, submission 31%, decision 15%.

  • Claude

    Koslow wins 48%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 10%, decision 30%.

  • Gemini

    Koslow wins 53%: KO/TKO 9%, submission 28%, decision 16%.

What if 1 question

What is the upset path?

  • Claude

    Koslow's most likely upset: Koslow by decision (30%).

  • Gemini

    Anheliger's most likely upset: Anheliger by decision (26%).

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?

  • All models

    The models split 2–1 (ChatGPT: Anheliger, Claude: Anheliger, Gemini: Koslow).

After the fight 1 question

What happened vs what the model said?

  • ChatGPT

    Result: Koslow by submission in round 3. Koslow by submission was the model's most likely outcome.

  • Claude

    Result: Koslow by submission in round 3. Koslow by submission was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Anheliger by decision (32%).

  • Gemini

    Result: Koslow by submission in round 3. Koslow by submission was the model's most likely outcome.

More questions (17)

The result 7 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall

  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 25%, submission 35%, decision 40%.

  • Claude

    KO/TKO 21%, submission 17%, decision 62%.

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 24%, submission 34%, decision 42%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?

  • ChatGPT

    Koslow: 34%, against 26% for Anheliger.

  • Claude

    Anheliger: 20%, against 18% for Koslow.

  • Gemini

    Koslow: 37%, against 21% for Anheliger.

Can Anheliger get the finish? Can Koslow?

  • ChatGPT

    Anheliger: 26% (KO/TKO 22%, submission 4%). Koslow: 34% (KO/TKO 3%, submission 31%).

  • Claude

    Anheliger: 20% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 7%). Koslow: 18% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 10%).

  • Gemini

    Anheliger: 21% (KO/TKO 15%, submission 6%). Koslow: 37% (KO/TKO 9%, submission 28%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?

  • ChatGPT

    Anheliger is knocked out in 3% and submitted in 31%. Koslow is knocked out in 22% and submitted in 4%.

  • Claude

    Anheliger is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 10%. Koslow is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 7%.

  • Gemini

    Anheliger is knocked out in 9% and submitted in 28%. Koslow is knocked out in 15% and submitted in 6%.

How lopsided is this fight?

  • ChatGPT

    Close to a coin flip: 51% vs 49%.

  • Claude

    Close to a coin flip: 52% vs 48%.

  • Gemini

    Close to a coin flip: 53% vs 47%.

Each fighter's single most likely way to win

  • Claude

    Anheliger by decision: 32%. Koslow by decision: 30%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?

  • ChatGPT

    Koslow wins 49% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.

  • Claude

    Koslow wins 48% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.

  • Gemini

    Anheliger wins 47% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.

Timing 1 question

Chance it goes to a decision

  • ChatGPT

    40%.

  • Claude

    62%.

  • Gemini

    42%.

What if 1 question

If it goes to the judges, who wins?

  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Anheliger 63%, Koslow 38%.

  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Anheliger 52%, Koslow 48%.

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Anheliger 62%, Koslow 38%.

Compared with others 3 questions

How does it compare with analyst picks?

  • ChatGPT

    Of 70 analyst picks, 23 back Anheliger and 47 back Koslow. This model picks Anheliger (51%).

  • Claude

    Of 70 analyst picks, 23 back Anheliger and 47 back Koslow. This model picks Anheliger (52%).

  • Gemini

    Of 70 analyst picks, 23 back Anheliger and 47 back Koslow. This model picks Koslow (53%).

Which model is most confident on Anheliger, and which on Koslow?

  • All models

    On Anheliger: Claude (52%). On Koslow: Gemini (53%).

Which analyst agrees most with this model?

  • ChatGPT

    Chris Schweppe (Anheliger by decision), Bert MMA (Anheliger by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Anheliger by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Anheliger by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Anheliger by decision), HopperMMA (Anheliger by decision), FunkyBunch MMA (Anheliger by decision), mmadbm (Anheliger by decision) and Garrett Kerman (Anheliger by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Anheliger, most likely by decision.

  • Claude

    Chris Schweppe (Anheliger by decision), Bert MMA (Anheliger by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Anheliger by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Anheliger by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Anheliger by decision), HopperMMA (Anheliger by decision), FunkyBunch MMA (Anheliger by decision), mmadbm (Anheliger by decision) and Garrett Kerman (Anheliger by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Anheliger, most likely by decision.

How sure 4 questions

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?

  • ChatGPT

    On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

  • Claude

    On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.

  • Gemini

    On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

What can't the model know?

  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?

  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?

  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 1 question

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?

  • ChatGPT

    Yes.

  • Claude

    No.

  • Gemini

    Yes.

ChatGPT

Pick

Anheliger

Confidence 5 of 10 · Medium

Most likely: Koslow by submission, about 31 in 100

Win chance: Anheliger 51%, Koslow 49%.

Most likely outcomes

  1. Koslow by submission31%
  2. Anheliger by decision25%
  3. Anheliger by KO/TKO22%
How it ends
  1. KO/TKO: Anheliger 22%, Koslow 3%.
  2. Submission: Anheliger 4%, Koslow 31%.
  3. Decision: Anheliger 25%, Koslow 15%.

Questions

The result 7 questions

Who wins, and how likely?

  • ChatGPT

    Anheliger: 51% (about 51 in 100 fights). Koslow: 49%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Anheliger: 52% (about 52 in 100 fights). Koslow: 48%.

  • Gemini

    Koslow: 53% (about 53 in 100 fights). Anheliger: 47%.

What is the single most likely outcome?

  • ChatGPT

    Koslow by submission: 31% (about 31 in 100).

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Anheliger by decision: 32% (about 32 in 100).

  • Gemini

    Koslow by submission: 28% (about 28 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?

  • ChatGPT

    1. Koslow by submission (31%); 2. Anheliger by decision (25%); 3. Anheliger by KO/TKO (22%)

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    1. Anheliger by decision (32%); 2. Koslow by decision (30%); 3. Anheliger by KO/TKO (13%)

  • Gemini

    1. Koslow by submission (28%); 2. Anheliger by decision (26%); 3. Koslow by decision (16%)

How confident is the model?

  • ChatGPT

    5 of 10, based on Anheliger's 51% win chance.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    5 of 10, based on Anheliger's 52% win chance.

  • Gemini

    5 of 10, based on Koslow's 53% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?

  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 38%. Decision: 62%.

  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 58%. Decision: 42%.

How does Anheliger win?

  • ChatGPT

    Anheliger wins 51%: KO/TKO 22%, submission 4%, decision 25%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Anheliger wins 52%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 7%, decision 32%.

  • Gemini

    Anheliger wins 47%: KO/TKO 15%, submission 6%, decision 26%.

How does Koslow win?

  • ChatGPT

    Koslow wins 49%: KO/TKO 3%, submission 31%, decision 15%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Koslow wins 48%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 10%, decision 30%.

  • Gemini

    Koslow wins 53%: KO/TKO 9%, submission 28%, decision 16%.

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?

  • ChatGPT

    The models split 2–1 (ChatGPT: Anheliger, Claude: Anheliger, Gemini: Koslow).

After the fight 1 question

What happened vs what the model said?

  • ChatGPT

    Result: Koslow by submission in round 3. Koslow by submission was the model's most likely outcome.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Result: Koslow by submission in round 3. Koslow by submission was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Anheliger by decision (32%).

More questions (16)

The result 6 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall

  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 25%, submission 35%, decision 40%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    KO/TKO 21%, submission 17%, decision 62%.

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 24%, submission 34%, decision 42%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?

  • ChatGPT

    Koslow: 34%, against 26% for Anheliger.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Anheliger: 20%, against 18% for Koslow.

  • Gemini

    Koslow: 37%, against 21% for Anheliger.

Can Anheliger get the finish? Can Koslow?

  • ChatGPT

    Anheliger: 26% (KO/TKO 22%, submission 4%). Koslow: 34% (KO/TKO 3%, submission 31%).

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Anheliger: 20% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 7%). Koslow: 18% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 10%).

  • Gemini

    Anheliger: 21% (KO/TKO 15%, submission 6%). Koslow: 37% (KO/TKO 9%, submission 28%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?

  • ChatGPT

    Anheliger is knocked out in 3% and submitted in 31%. Koslow is knocked out in 22% and submitted in 4%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Anheliger is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 10%. Koslow is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 7%.

  • Gemini

    Anheliger is knocked out in 9% and submitted in 28%. Koslow is knocked out in 15% and submitted in 6%.

How lopsided is this fight?

  • ChatGPT

    Close to a coin flip: 51% vs 49%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Close to a coin flip: 52% vs 48%.

  • Gemini

    Close to a coin flip: 53% vs 47%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?

  • ChatGPT

    Koslow wins 49% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Koslow wins 48% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.

  • Gemini

    Anheliger wins 47% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.

Timing 1 question

Chance it goes to a decision

  • ChatGPT

    40%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    62%.

  • Gemini

    42%.

What if 1 question

If it goes to the judges, who wins?

  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Anheliger 63%, Koslow 38%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Anheliger 52%, Koslow 48%.

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Anheliger 62%, Koslow 38%.

Compared with others 3 questions

How does it compare with analyst picks?

  • ChatGPT

    Of 70 analyst picks, 23 back Anheliger and 47 back Koslow. This model picks Anheliger (51%).

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Of 70 analyst picks, 23 back Anheliger and 47 back Koslow. This model picks Anheliger (52%).

  • Gemini

    Of 70 analyst picks, 23 back Anheliger and 47 back Koslow. This model picks Koslow (53%).

Which model is most confident on Anheliger, and which on Koslow?

  • ChatGPT

    On Anheliger: Claude (52%). On Koslow: Gemini (53%).

Which analyst agrees most with this model?

  • ChatGPT

    Chris Schweppe (Anheliger by decision), Bert MMA (Anheliger by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Anheliger by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Anheliger by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Anheliger by decision), HopperMMA (Anheliger by decision), FunkyBunch MMA (Anheliger by decision), mmadbm (Anheliger by decision) and Garrett Kerman (Anheliger by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Anheliger, most likely by decision.

How sure 4 questions

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?

  • ChatGPT

    On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.

  • Gemini

    On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

What can't the model know?

  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?

  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?

  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 1 question

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?

  • ChatGPT

    Yes.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    No.

gpt-6-astra · 15 Oct63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

Claude

Pick

Anheliger

Confidence 5 of 10 · Medium

Most likely: Anheliger by decision, about 32 in 100

Win chance: Anheliger 52%, Koslow 48%.

Most likely outcomes

  1. Anheliger by decision32%
  2. Koslow by decision30%
  3. Anheliger by KO/TKO13%
How it ends
  1. KO/TKO: Anheliger 13%, Koslow 8%.
  2. Submission: Anheliger 7%, Koslow 10%.
  3. Decision: Anheliger 32%, Koslow 30%.

Questions

The result 7 questions

Who wins, and how likely?

  • Claude

    Anheliger: 52% (about 52 in 100 fights). Koslow: 48%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Anheliger: 51% (about 51 in 100 fights). Koslow: 49%.

  • Gemini

    Koslow: 53% (about 53 in 100 fights). Anheliger: 47%.

What is the single most likely outcome?

  • Claude

    Anheliger by decision: 32% (about 32 in 100).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Koslow by submission: 31% (about 31 in 100).

  • Gemini

    Koslow by submission: 28% (about 28 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?

  • Claude

    1. Anheliger by decision (32%); 2. Koslow by decision (30%); 3. Anheliger by KO/TKO (13%)

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    1. Koslow by submission (31%); 2. Anheliger by decision (25%); 3. Anheliger by KO/TKO (22%)

  • Gemini

    1. Koslow by submission (28%); 2. Anheliger by decision (26%); 3. Koslow by decision (16%)

How confident is the model?

  • Claude

    5 of 10, based on Anheliger's 52% win chance.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    5 of 10, based on Anheliger's 51% win chance.

  • Gemini

    5 of 10, based on Koslow's 53% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?

  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 38%. Decision: 62%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.

  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 58%. Decision: 42%.

How does Anheliger win?

  • Claude

    Anheliger wins 52%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 7%, decision 32%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Anheliger wins 51%: KO/TKO 22%, submission 4%, decision 25%.

  • Gemini

    Anheliger wins 47%: KO/TKO 15%, submission 6%, decision 26%.

How does Koslow win?

  • Claude

    Koslow wins 48%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 10%, decision 30%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Koslow wins 49%: KO/TKO 3%, submission 31%, decision 15%.

  • Gemini

    Koslow wins 53%: KO/TKO 9%, submission 28%, decision 16%.

What if 1 question

What is the upset path?

  • Claude

    Koslow's most likely upset: Koslow by decision (30%).

Other models' answers

  • Gemini

    Anheliger's most likely upset: Anheliger by decision (26%).

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?

  • Claude

    The models split 2–1 (ChatGPT: Anheliger, Claude: Anheliger, Gemini: Koslow).

After the fight 1 question

What happened vs what the model said?

  • Claude

    Result: Koslow by submission in round 3. Koslow by submission was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Anheliger by decision (32%).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Result: Koslow by submission in round 3. Koslow by submission was the model's most likely outcome.

  • Gemini

    Result: Koslow by submission in round 3. Koslow by submission was the model's most likely outcome.

More questions (17)

The result 7 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall

  • Claude

    KO/TKO 21%, submission 17%, decision 62%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 25%, submission 35%, decision 40%.

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 24%, submission 34%, decision 42%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?

  • Claude

    Anheliger: 20%, against 18% for Koslow.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Koslow: 34%, against 26% for Anheliger.

  • Gemini

    Koslow: 37%, against 21% for Anheliger.

Can Anheliger get the finish? Can Koslow?

  • Claude

    Anheliger: 20% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 7%). Koslow: 18% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 10%).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Anheliger: 26% (KO/TKO 22%, submission 4%). Koslow: 34% (KO/TKO 3%, submission 31%).

  • Gemini

    Anheliger: 21% (KO/TKO 15%, submission 6%). Koslow: 37% (KO/TKO 9%, submission 28%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?

  • Claude

    Anheliger is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 10%. Koslow is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 7%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Anheliger is knocked out in 3% and submitted in 31%. Koslow is knocked out in 22% and submitted in 4%.

  • Gemini

    Anheliger is knocked out in 9% and submitted in 28%. Koslow is knocked out in 15% and submitted in 6%.

How lopsided is this fight?

  • Claude

    Close to a coin flip: 52% vs 48%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Close to a coin flip: 51% vs 49%.

  • Gemini

    Close to a coin flip: 53% vs 47%.

Each fighter's single most likely way to win

  • Claude

    Anheliger by decision: 32%. Koslow by decision: 30%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?

  • Claude

    Koslow wins 48% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Koslow wins 49% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.

  • Gemini

    Anheliger wins 47% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.

Timing 1 question

Chance it goes to a decision

  • Claude

    62%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    40%.

  • Gemini

    42%.

What if 1 question

If it goes to the judges, who wins?

  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Anheliger 52%, Koslow 48%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Anheliger 63%, Koslow 38%.

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Anheliger 62%, Koslow 38%.

Compared with others 3 questions

How does it compare with analyst picks?

  • Claude

    Of 70 analyst picks, 23 back Anheliger and 47 back Koslow. This model picks Anheliger (52%).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Of 70 analyst picks, 23 back Anheliger and 47 back Koslow. This model picks Anheliger (51%).

  • Gemini

    Of 70 analyst picks, 23 back Anheliger and 47 back Koslow. This model picks Koslow (53%).

Which model is most confident on Anheliger, and which on Koslow?

  • Claude

    On Anheliger: Claude (52%). On Koslow: Gemini (53%).

Which analyst agrees most with this model?

  • Claude

    Chris Schweppe (Anheliger by decision), Bert MMA (Anheliger by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Anheliger by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Anheliger by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Anheliger by decision), HopperMMA (Anheliger by decision), FunkyBunch MMA (Anheliger by decision), mmadbm (Anheliger by decision) and Garrett Kerman (Anheliger by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Anheliger, most likely by decision.

How sure 4 questions

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?

  • Claude

    On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

  • Gemini

    On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

What can't the model know?

  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?

  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?

  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 1 question

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?

  • Claude

    No.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Yes.

  • Gemini

    Yes.

claude-sonnet-5-5 · 17 Oct61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate

Gemini

Pick

Koslow

Confidence 5 of 10 · Medium

Most likely: Koslow by submission, about 28 in 100

The model's predicted finish round: 1.

Win chance: Anheliger 47%, Koslow 53%.

Most likely outcomes

  1. Koslow by submission28%
  2. Anheliger by decision26%
  3. Koslow by decision16%
How it ends
  1. KO/TKO: Anheliger 15%, Koslow 9%.
  2. Submission: Anheliger 6%, Koslow 28%.
  3. Decision: Anheliger 26%, Koslow 16%.

Questions

The result 7 questions

Who wins, and how likely?

  • Gemini

    Koslow: 53% (about 53 in 100 fights). Anheliger: 47%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Anheliger: 51% (about 51 in 100 fights). Koslow: 49%.

  • Claude

    Anheliger: 52% (about 52 in 100 fights). Koslow: 48%.

What is the single most likely outcome?

  • Gemini

    Koslow by submission: 28% (about 28 in 100).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Koslow by submission: 31% (about 31 in 100).

  • Claude

    Anheliger by decision: 32% (about 32 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?

  • Gemini

    1. Koslow by submission (28%); 2. Anheliger by decision (26%); 3. Koslow by decision (16%)

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    1. Koslow by submission (31%); 2. Anheliger by decision (25%); 3. Anheliger by KO/TKO (22%)

  • Claude

    1. Anheliger by decision (32%); 2. Koslow by decision (30%); 3. Anheliger by KO/TKO (13%)

How confident is the model?

  • Gemini

    5 of 10, based on Koslow's 53% win chance.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    5 of 10, based on Anheliger's 51% win chance.

  • Claude

    5 of 10, based on Anheliger's 52% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?

  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 58%. Decision: 42%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.

  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 38%. Decision: 62%.

How does Anheliger win?

  • Gemini

    Anheliger wins 47%: KO/TKO 15%, submission 6%, decision 26%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Anheliger wins 51%: KO/TKO 22%, submission 4%, decision 25%.

  • Claude

    Anheliger wins 52%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 7%, decision 32%.

How does Koslow win?

  • Gemini

    Koslow wins 53%: KO/TKO 9%, submission 28%, decision 16%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Koslow wins 49%: KO/TKO 3%, submission 31%, decision 15%.

  • Claude

    Koslow wins 48%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 10%, decision 30%.

What if 1 question

What is the upset path?

  • Gemini

    Anheliger's most likely upset: Anheliger by decision (26%).

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Koslow's most likely upset: Koslow by decision (30%).

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?

  • Gemini

    The models split 2–1 (ChatGPT: Anheliger, Claude: Anheliger, Gemini: Koslow).

After the fight 1 question

What happened vs what the model said?

  • Gemini

    Result: Koslow by submission in round 3. Koslow by submission was the model's most likely outcome.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Result: Koslow by submission in round 3. Koslow by submission was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Anheliger by decision (32%).

More questions (15)

The result 6 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 24%, submission 34%, decision 42%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 25%, submission 35%, decision 40%.

  • Claude

    KO/TKO 21%, submission 17%, decision 62%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?

  • Gemini

    Koslow: 37%, against 21% for Anheliger.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Koslow: 34%, against 26% for Anheliger.

  • Claude

    Anheliger: 20%, against 18% for Koslow.

Can Anheliger get the finish? Can Koslow?

  • Gemini

    Anheliger: 21% (KO/TKO 15%, submission 6%). Koslow: 37% (KO/TKO 9%, submission 28%).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Anheliger: 26% (KO/TKO 22%, submission 4%). Koslow: 34% (KO/TKO 3%, submission 31%).

  • Claude

    Anheliger: 20% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 7%). Koslow: 18% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 10%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?

  • Gemini

    Anheliger is knocked out in 9% and submitted in 28%. Koslow is knocked out in 15% and submitted in 6%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Anheliger is knocked out in 3% and submitted in 31%. Koslow is knocked out in 22% and submitted in 4%.

  • Claude

    Anheliger is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 10%. Koslow is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 7%.

How lopsided is this fight?

  • Gemini

    Close to a coin flip: 53% vs 47%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Close to a coin flip: 51% vs 49%.

  • Claude

    Close to a coin flip: 52% vs 48%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?

  • Gemini

    Anheliger wins 47% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Koslow wins 49% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.

  • Claude

    Koslow wins 48% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.

Timing 1 question

Chance it goes to a decision

  • Gemini

    42%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    40%.

  • Claude

    62%.

What if 1 question

If it goes to the judges, who wins?

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Anheliger 62%, Koslow 38%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Anheliger 63%, Koslow 38%.

  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Anheliger 52%, Koslow 48%.

Compared with others 2 questions

How does it compare with analyst picks?

  • Gemini

    Of 70 analyst picks, 23 back Anheliger and 47 back Koslow. This model picks Koslow (53%).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Of 70 analyst picks, 23 back Anheliger and 47 back Koslow. This model picks Anheliger (51%).

  • Claude

    Of 70 analyst picks, 23 back Anheliger and 47 back Koslow. This model picks Anheliger (52%).

Which model is most confident on Anheliger, and which on Koslow?

  • Gemini

    On Anheliger: Claude (52%). On Koslow: Gemini (53%).

How sure 4 questions

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?

  • Gemini

    On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

  • Claude

    On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.

What can't the model know?

  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?

  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?

  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 1 question

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?

  • Gemini

    Yes.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    No.

Version not reported · 15 Oct68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate

AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

Market Odds

How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.

Market read · 6 sportsbooks

40% Chad Anheliger
60% Steven Koslow

Favoured: Koslow (60%) Called it

Koslow defeats Anheliger · Sub R3

Final pre-fight line · as of 17 Oct 20:29 UTC · 6 sportsbooks · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

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