Livid Larry MMA covers UFC, boxing and Dana White’s Contender Series through predictions and breakdowns. The channel also advertises UFC event recaps, betting guides and combat sports news.
Scorecard
Called 20 of 28 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 20 8
- Method Accuracy 84.6% 11 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss Field median Gap to the field
20 of 28 — 71% now, from 73% at their first scored card.
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Method
85% 11 of 13 correct winners that named a method
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Round
2 of 2 correct winners that named a round — too few to chart a trend.
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Underdog
2 of 3 priced underdog calls — too few to chart a trend.
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- UFC 332 6 hit · 3 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 1 hit · 0 miss
- Silva vs. Delgado 1 hit · 0 miss
- Nurmagomedov vs. Song 0 hit · 1 miss
- Hernandez vs. Rodrigues 0 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 330 1 hit · 0 miss
- Medic vs. Rodriguez 1 hit · 0 miss
- Du Plessis vs. Usman 1 hit · 0 miss
- UFC 329 1 hit · 0 miss
- Kape vs Horiguchi 8 hit · 3 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
UFC 332
Silva vs. Wang
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hernandez · KO/TKO | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Livid Larry MMA selects Alexander Hernandez by ko/tko. | |||||
| Talbott · KO/TKO | Talbott · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Livid Larry MMA selects Payton Talbott by ko/tko. | |||||
| Gautier · Dec | Kopylov · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Livid Larry MMA selects Ateba Gautier by decision. | |||||
| Ribovics · to win | Ribovics · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Livid Larry MMA selects Esteban Ribovics in a winner-only call. | |||||
| Nolan · KO/TKO | Nolan · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Livid Larry MMA selects Eric Nolan by ko/tko. | |||||
| Coria · to win | Rodriguez · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Livid Larry MMA selects Alden Coria in a winner-only call. | |||||
| Vettori · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Livid Larry MMA selects Marvin Vettori by decision. | |||||
| Walker · to win | Walker · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Livid Larry MMA selects Johnny Walker in a winner-only call. | |||||
| Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Livid Larry MMA selects Anthony Wint by ko/tko in round 1. | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Van · to win | Van · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Livid Larry MMA picks Joshua Van to win, with a decision or late-round TKO as the expected outcome. “I have decided to go with my initial lean and pick Van by decision or late rounds TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Silva vs. Delgado
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Tarin · to win | Tarin · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Regina Tarin; the speaker gives decision as most likely but retains TKO as an alternative. “picking her to win this one most likely by decision win or could even see a TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 82.5%. Nurmagomedov · Dec | Song · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Livid Larry MMA picks Umar Nurmagomedov by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 66.5%. Hernandez · KO/TKO | Rodrigues · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Livid Larry MMA picks Anthony Hernandez by a late-round ground-and-pound TKO without committing to a specific round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 66.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 330
Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Livid Larry MMA selects Islam Makhachev as the UFC 330 winner without inferring a method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Medic vs. Rodriguez
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO | Medić · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Livid Larry MMA picks Uroš Medić by knockout without committing to a specific round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Du Plessis vs. Usman
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 64.9%. Du Plessis · Dec | Du Plessis · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Livid Larry MMA leans to Dricus Du Plessis for a close decision victory over Kamaru Usman. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Holloway · KO/TKO | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Livid Larry MMA picks Max Holloway by TKO in the mid-to-late rounds, without committing to a specific round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Kape vs Horiguchi
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 34.5%. Tanzilovi · Dec | Collins · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Otari Tanzilovi by decision. “Official prediction is Tonsa Lovie by decision victory.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 34.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Chokheli · KO/TKO · R1 | Chokheli · TKO (leg kick and punches) R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Picks Levan Chokheli by first-round knockout. “Lev Chokheli is the pick here, guys. KO in round one.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Santos · to win | Santos · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Luana Santos; decision or submission is mentioned as a possible method, so no single method is inferred. “I expect Luana Santos to win this fight then. So most likely by decision or submission victory.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Aswell Jr. · to win | Bolanos · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Michael Aswell Jr. to win; no method is stated. “Michael should just win this fight.” | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 42.0%. Raposo · to win | Raposo · Decision - Split R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Mitch Raposo; decision or TKO is mentioned as a range, so no single method is inferred. “I'll pick him to win this one by decision or TKO.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 42.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 80.0%. Magomedov · Sub | Magomedov · Submission (twister) R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Murtazali Magomedov by submission; the captioned name is garbled but the preceding matchup and pronouns establish the mapping. “Meraz Ali to win this fight inside the distance is going to be my official prediction, leaning towards a submission victory.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 84.5%. Lima · Dec | Borjas · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Andre Lima by decision. “I think Andre Lima wins this one most likely by decision victory.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 84.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. Rodriguez · Dec | Rodriguez · Technical Submission (guillotine choke) R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Christian Rodriguez by decision. “I'm going to go with Christian Rodriguez officially, guys, by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Oliveira · KO/TKO | Oliveira · TKO (punches/elbows) R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Vinicius Oliveira by knockout. “I will pick him to win this one by KO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · Dec | Stirling · TKO (punches) R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Navajo Stirling by decision. “I'm going to go with Navajo Sterling to get this one done, most likely by decision victory.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Kape · KO/TKO | Kape · TKO (punches) R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Manel Kape by knockout. “Manel Cap by KO is going to be my official prediction.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind Livid Larry MMA's logged calls.