Knockouts worthy of bonuses💰 @JohnnyWalker, Damian Pinas, Imanol Rodriguez, and Roman Kopylov earn #UFC332 POTN bonuses after their electric RD1 finishes!
View photo on X ↗Imanol Rodriguez defeats Alden Coria by KO/TKO
KO/TKO · body kick
Round 1 · 3:11
Rodriguez vs Coria — Flyweight · UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang
Predictions summary
Analyst Picks
(16) 41%
59% (23)
AI Predictions
53%
47%
Market OddsComing soonNo forecast publishedUnavailable right nowBook prices available in Market
Checking latest live market odds.
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Rodriguez was on top of Coria from the opening bell, showing speed and power with his hands.
He then landed a body kick that dropped Coria, who fell backwards and clutched his midsection.
Rodriguez followed Coria to the canvas and sealed the win quickly.
- primaryUFC 332 prelim results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Rodriguez
Rodriguez brings a developing flyweight game.
Case for Coria
Coria brings the opposing pace and positional test.
What We Were Watching For
- Who wins the early exchanges.
- Whether grappling or range decides the bout.
Records & career stats
- 7-0-0
- Record
- 13-3-0
- —
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- Source pending
- Mexico
- Nationality
- United States
- 26
- Age
- 28
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Not published
- —
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 56%
- 05:47
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 13:36
- The Academy Fight Club and Blackxicans
- Team
- 4oz Fight Club, Aztlan Boxing
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
After the fight
Before the fight (1)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
(16) 41%
WRodriguez
59% (23)
CoriaL
Hank
Current pick evidence
Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Favors Rodriguez’s pressure and expects him to stop Coria in the second round.
Track record: winner called in 11 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 91.7% (11 hit, 1 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 90.9% (10 hit, 1 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 44.4% (4 hit, 5 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 91.7% 11 1
- Method Accuracy 90.9% 10 1
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
FightIQ
Current pick evidence
Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · Dec
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
FightIQ's public record lists Imanol Rodriguez as its pick over Alden Coria.
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
Tom Feely
Current pick evidence
Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · Dec
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Feely praises Rodriguez’s speed, explosiveness, and varied offense. He sees a close matchup but favors Rodriguez’s athleticism and Coria’s uncertain wrestling defense.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.6% (23 hit, 11 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (14 hit, 7 miss, across 21 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (5 hit, 5 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.6% 23 11
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 14 7
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 5 5
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Michael Chiesa
Current pick evidence
Picked: Imanol Rodriguez
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Chiesa identifies wrestling as the potential difference between two fighters with training partners who can emulate their opponent. He favors Rodriguez's wrestling while warning that Rodriguez must avoid rushing into Coria's powerful counters.
“I'm going with INL Rodriguez.”
Track record: winner called in 50 of 75 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.7% (50 hit, 25 miss, across 75 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 75 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 75 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 50 25
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 2 10
Matt
Current pick evidence
Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · Dec
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Favors Rodriguez’s more aggressive three-round output and his striking and wrestling, while respecting Coria’s toughness.
Track record: winner called in 14 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.7% (14 hit, 7 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (6 hit, 3 miss, across 9 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 14 7
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidence
Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Picks Rodriguez by TKO while acknowledging Coria could make it a difficult decision. Favors Rodriguez’s finishing ability, pressure, volume and ability to get back up after takedowns.
Track record: winner called in 213 of 322 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.1% (213 hit, 109 miss, across 322 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 method-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.9% (14 hit, 25 miss, across 39 round-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 47.4% (18 hit, 20 miss, across 38 underdog calls on 322 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.1% 213 109
- Method Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.4% 18 20
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
JakeGerberMMA favors Rodriguez by knockout over Alden Coria, pointing to his well-rounded skills, excellent boxing and explosive power against Coria’s methodical, tactical approach.
“Emannuel Rodriguez by knockout over Alden Coria.”
Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 101 53
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 39 26
- Round Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Mate Bersenadze
Current pick evidence
Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Mate Bersenadze picks Imanol Rodriguez by KO/TKO, per his UFC 332 preview.
Track record: winner called in 33 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.5% (33 hit, 19 miss, across 52 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 51.5% (17 hit, 16 miss, across 33 method-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 52 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.5% 33 19
- Method Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
HopperMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
HopperoMMA selects Imanol Rodriguez by ko/tko in round 1.
Track record: winner called in 92 of 148 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.2% (92 hit, 56 miss, across 148 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.8% (45 hit, 29 miss, across 74 method-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 round-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 26.9% (7 hit, 19 miss, across 26 underdog calls on 148 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.2% 92 56
- Method Accuracy 60.8% 45 29
- Round Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Underdog Accuracy 26.9% 7 19
Kunath
Current pick evidence
Picked: Imanol Rodriguez
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Kunath selects Imanol Rodriguez.
Track record: winner called in 38 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.5% (38 hit, 27 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 56.7% (17 hit, 13 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.5% 38 27
- Method Accuracy 56.7% 17 13
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
Artem MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Imanol Rodriguez
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Favors Rodriguez’s momentum, pressure and grappling against a Coria he thinks recently struggled with pressure and wrestling. Is confident in Rodriguez winning, while less certain about a finish.
Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 55 40
- Method Accuracy 63.8% 30 17
- Round Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Underdog Accuracy 23.5% 4 13
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidence
Picked: Imanol Rodriguez
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Litterine selects Imanol Rodriguez in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 70 54
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.0% 7 18
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidence
Picked: Imanol Rodriguez
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Shelton expects Rodriguez's striking to let him keep the fight standing, be more active and land the more damaging shots; he says Rodriguez could even get a TKO, but the formal bet is a moneyline pick.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Method Accuracy 87.5% 7 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 3 15
Vinny
Current pick evidence
Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · Dec
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Likes Rodriguez’s tenacity but thinks Coria’s size makes a finish less likely.
Track record: winner called in 6 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (6 hit, 6 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 16.7% (1 hit, 5 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 4 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
- Method Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 4
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
mmadbm
Current pick evidence
Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Picks Rodriguez by knockout because his aggression, persistence and explosiveness should get him inside Coria’s range and create damaging exchanges. He believes Coria’s complacency will catch up with him against Rodriguez’s approach.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (12 hit, 2 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 41 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 12 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Gerardo Rivas
Current pick evidence
Picked: Imanol Rodriguez · Dec
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Expects Rodriguez’s harder punches to produce the most important moments and open transitions to the ground.
Track record: winner called in 7 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 15 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria · Dec
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Bedtime favors Coria’s jab and more technical boxing, along with his ability to scramble back up after takedowns. He expects Coria to take over in the third round and edge a 29–28 decision, while respecting Rodriguez’s power and wrestling.
- Calls it a very close fight.
“I'm picking Alden Corier by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 132 of 185 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 71.4% (132 hit, 53 miss, across 185 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.9% (60 hit, 37 miss, across 97 method-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.7% (11 hit, 16 miss, across 27 round-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 48.7% (19 hit, 20 miss, across 39 underdog calls on 185 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 132 53
- Method Accuracy 61.9% 60 37
- Round Accuracy 40.7% 11 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.7% 19 20
TheWeasle
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria · Dec
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
He sees Coria as the bigger, more technical boxer who can keep Rodriguez at range with knees, front kicks, a jab, and combinations; Rodriguez would need to close distance with fast combinations and avoid reckless counters. He expects Coria's distance management and countering to produce more damage, and guesses Coria may have improved his takedown defense after the Nicoll fight, leading to a decision.
- He treats Rodriguez's takedowns as a possible response to Coria's range control, but expects damage to favor Coria.
“So, I'm going to go with him in this one being the much bigger and longer fighter with also having improved takedown defense.”
* He calls it somewhat close.
Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.6% (115 hit, 48 miss, across 163 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.8% (47 hit, 29 miss, across 76 method-scored calls on 163 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 36.5% (19 hit, 33 miss, across 52 round-scored calls on 163 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 163 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
- Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
- Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
- Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria · KO/TKO
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Alden Coria by ko/tko.
Track record: winner called in 38 of 56 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.9% (38 hit, 18 miss, across 56 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.1% (18 hit, 11 miss, across 29 method-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 56 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 38 18
- Method Accuracy 62.1% 18 11
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
Fite Feed
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria · Dec
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Favors Coria’s cleaner, more seasoned striking and range management in a competitive exchange with Rodriguez.
Track record: winner called in 24 of 37 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.9% (24 hit, 13 miss, across 37 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.9% (14 hit, 9 miss, across 23 method-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 21.4% (3 hit, 11 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 37 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.9% 24 13
- Method Accuracy 60.9% 14 9
- Round Accuracy 21.4% 3 11
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Livid Larry MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Livid Larry MMA selects Alden Coria in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 34 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.0% (34 hit, 20 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 79.2% (19 hit, 5 miss, across 24 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.0% 34 20
- Method Accuracy 79.2% 19 5
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
Picks with the Geek 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Favors Coria’s cleaner striking, height and reach, while acknowledging Rodriguez’s power.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.5% (5 hit, 3 miss, across 8 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
James Lynch
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria · Dec
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Lynch picks Coria by decision and describes him as durable.
Track record: winner called in 36 of 59 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 61.0% (36 hit, 23 miss, across 59 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 45.0% (9 hit, 11 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 59 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 61.0% 36 23
- Method Accuracy 45.0% 9 11
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
MMA Mathletes
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
MMA Mathletes selects Alden Coria.
Track record: winner called in 32 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (32 hit, 22 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 32 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria · Dec
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
KingofCrackdown5095 picks Alden Coria by decision.
Track record: winner called in 37 of 63 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.7% (37 hit, 26 miss, across 63 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.6% (21 hit, 11 miss, across 32 method-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 42.1% (8 hit, 11 miss, across 19 round-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 63 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.7% 37 26
- Method Accuracy 65.6% 21 11
- Round Accuracy 42.1% 8 11
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
The Octagon Oracle
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria · Dec
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Expects Coria to accumulate damage and make Rodriguez’s attacks harder to sustain, leaning toward a decision while allowing a late stoppage.
Track record: winner called in 7 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (6 hit, 1 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 6 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Angelo Bodetti
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Bodetti takes the underdog Coria by a narrow margin, regarding his hands as equally clean and fast while favoring his wrestling, grappling and cardio. He considers it a competitive matchup rather than a confident lock.
Track record: winner called in 29 of 50 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.0% (29 hit, 21 miss, across 50 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 50 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.0% 29 21
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
BeewolfMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Favors Coria’s boxing, wrestling, patience and discipline over Rodriguez’s reckless aggression. Expects him to catch an undisciplined entry and make a statement with a second-round knockout.
Track record: winner called in 13 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (13 hit, 10 miss, across 23 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (7 hit, 0 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 23 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 23 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 7
- Round Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Clenbat
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Clenbat selects Alden Coria in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 49 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.1% (27 hit, 22 miss, across 49 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 49 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.1% 27 22
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
The Finz Chats
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
The Finz Chats selects Alden Coria in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 12 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.5% (12 hit, 10 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 12 10
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria · Dec
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Schweppe picks Alden Coria by split decision.
Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.5% 53 46
- Method Accuracy 47.2% 25 28
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
D.Rose
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria · Dec
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Favors Coria’s size, sharp striking and calm composure to manage Rodriguez’s danger; notes Rodriguez was hurt by Borjas.
Track record: winner called in 11 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.4% (11 hit, 10 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 80.0% (4 hit, 1 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.4% 11 10
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
The MMA Yuda selects Alden Coria.
Track record: winner called in 30 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.7% (30 hit, 28 miss, across 58 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 58 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 58 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 30 28
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Greedo Plays MMA selects Alden Coria by ko/tko in round 2.
Track record: winner called in 37 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (37 hit, 35 miss, across 72 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.3% (19 hit, 11 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 72 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 37 35
- Method Accuracy 63.3% 19 11
- Round Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Walk The Line MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Walk The Line MMA selects Alden Coria.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (27 hit, 27 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.9% (11 hit, 8 miss, across 19 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 27 27
- Method Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
Guy Bruhn
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Bruhn selects Alden Coria in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 10 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.6% (10 hit, 11 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Chris Cross
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Chris Cross leans toward Alden Coria to win a very close fight.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (8 hit, 12 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 20 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 20 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 8 12
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Carlos Cano
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria · Dec
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Favors Coria’s experience, size, reach and grappling in a competitive fight with Rodriguez.
Track record: winner called in 3 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 30.0% (3 hit, 7 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 10 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 10 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Andio
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alden Coria
Fight result: Imanol Rodriguez · KO/TKO
Andio selects Alden Coria in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 2 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 18.2% (2 hit, 9 miss, across 11 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 3 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 11 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 18.2% 2 9
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
Analyst picks: Hank Hit; Bedtime MMA Miss; TheWeasle Miss; FightIQ Hit; Jimbo Ortega MMA Miss; Tom Feely Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; Matt Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; Fite Feed Miss; Mate Bersenadze Hit; Livid Larry MMA Miss; Picks with the Geek 2 Miss; HopperMMA Hit; James Lynch Miss; MMA Mathletes Miss; KingofCrackdown5095 Miss; Kunath Hit; The Octagon Oracle Miss; Angelo Bodetti Miss; Artem MMA Hit; BeewolfMMA Miss; Jon Litterine Hit; Clenbat Miss; The Finz Chats Miss; Chris Schweppe Miss; Cole Shelton Hit; D.Rose Miss; The MMA Yuda Miss; Greedo Plays MMA Miss; Walk The Line MMA Miss; Vinny Hit; mmadbm Hit; Guy Bruhn Miss; Gerardo Rivas Hit; Chris Cross Miss; Carlos Cano Miss; Andio Miss.
16 of 39 called the winner.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
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The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Rodriguez · KO/TKO · R1
Closest probability Gemini put 60% on Rodriguez.
42%
Rodriguez
58%
Coria
PickCoria · DecisionActualRodriguez · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missed
58%
Rodriguez
42%
Coria
PickRodriguez · KO/TKO · R2ActualRodriguez · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundMiss
60%
Rodriguez
40%
Coria
PickRodriguez · DecisionActualRodriguez · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot calledAI Predictions — latest pre-fight calls
Frozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.AI Predictions
Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.
ChatGPT
63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Coria
Most likely: Coria by decision, about 34 in 100
Win chance: Rodriguez 42%, Coria 58%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Claude
61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Pick Rodriguez
Most likely: Rodriguez by KO/TKO, about 33 in 100
Win chance: Rodriguez 58%, Coria 42%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Gemini
68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
Pick Rodriguez
Most likely: Rodriguez by decision, about 32 in 100
Win chance: Rodriguez 60%, Coria 40%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
2 of 3 models pick Rodriguez; 1 of 3 models pick Coria.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Coria: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Rodriguez: 42%.
Claude
Rodriguez: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Coria: 42%.
Gemini
Rodriguez: 60% (about 60 in 100 fights). Coria: 40%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Coria by decision: 34% (about 34 in 100).
Claude
Rodriguez by KO/TKO: 33% (about 33 in 100).
Gemini
Rodriguez by decision: 32% (about 32 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Coria by decision (34%); 2. Rodriguez by KO/TKO (25%); 3. Coria by KO/TKO (16%)
Claude
1. Rodriguez by KO/TKO (33%); 2. Coria by decision (22%); 3. Rodriguez by decision (20%)
Gemini
1. Rodriguez by decision (32%); 2. Coria by decision (24%); 3. Rodriguez by KO/TKO (21%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Coria's 58% win chance.
Claude
6 of 10, based on Rodriguez's 58% win chance.
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Rodriguez's 60% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 53%. Decision: 47%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 58%. Decision: 42%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 44%. Decision: 56%.
How does Rodriguez win?
ChatGPT
Rodriguez wins 42%: KO/TKO 25%, submission 4%, decision 13%.
Claude
Rodriguez wins 58%: KO/TKO 33%, submission 5%, decision 20%.
Gemini
Rodriguez wins 60%: KO/TKO 21%, submission 7%, decision 32%.
How does Coria win?
ChatGPT
Coria wins 58%: KO/TKO 16%, submission 8%, decision 34%.
Claude
Coria wins 42%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 8%, decision 22%.
Gemini
Coria wins 40%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 6%, decision 24%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
Claude
Coria's most likely upset: Coria by decision (22%).
Gemini
Coria's most likely upset: Coria by decision (24%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
All models
The models split 2–1 (ChatGPT: Coria, Claude: Rodriguez, Gemini: Rodriguez).
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Rodriguez by KO/TKO in round 1. Rodriguez by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Coria by decision (34%).
Claude
Result: Rodriguez by KO/TKO in round 1. Rodriguez by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
Gemini
Result: Rodriguez by KO/TKO in round 1. Rodriguez by KO/TKO was the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Rodriguez by decision (32%).
More questions (19)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 41%, submission 12%, decision 47%.
Claude
KO/TKO 45%, submission 13%, decision 42%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 31%, submission 13%, decision 56%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Rodriguez: 29%, against 24% for Coria.
Claude
Rodriguez: 38%, against 20% for Coria.
Gemini
Rodriguez: 28%, against 16% for Coria.
Can Rodriguez get the finish? Can Coria?
ChatGPT
Rodriguez: 29% (KO/TKO 25%, submission 4%). Coria: 24% (KO/TKO 16%, submission 8%).
Claude
Rodriguez: 38% (KO/TKO 33%, submission 5%). Coria: 20% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 8%).
Gemini
Rodriguez: 28% (KO/TKO 21%, submission 7%). Coria: 16% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 6%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Rodriguez is knocked out in 16% and submitted in 8%. Coria is knocked out in 25% and submitted in 4%.
Claude
Rodriguez is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 8%. Coria is knocked out in 33% and submitted in 5%.
Gemini
Rodriguez is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 6%. Coria is knocked out in 21% and submitted in 7%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Claude
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Gemini
A clear favourite: 60% vs 40%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
Gemini
Rodriguez by decision: 32%. Coria by decision: 24%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Rodriguez wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Claude
Coria wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Gemini
Coria wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
47%.
Claude
42%.
Gemini
56%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Rodriguez 28%, Coria 72%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Rodriguez 48%, Coria 52%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Rodriguez 57%, Coria 43%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Rodriguez by decision, 13% here against 26% on average for the others.
Gemini
Biggest difference: Rodriguez by decision, 32% here against 17% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 39 analyst picks, 16 back Rodriguez and 23 back Coria. This model picks Coria (58%).
Claude
Of 39 analyst picks, 16 back Rodriguez and 23 back Coria. This model picks Rodriguez (58%).
Gemini
Of 39 analyst picks, 16 back Rodriguez and 23 back Coria. This model picks Rodriguez (60%).
Which model is most confident on Rodriguez, and which on Coria?
All models
On Rodriguez: Gemini (60%). On Coria: ChatGPT (58%).
Where do the models disagree most?
All models
Rodriguez by decision: from 13% (ChatGPT) to 32% (Gemini).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
ChatGPT
Chris Schweppe (Coria by decision), KingofCrackdown5095 (Coria by decision), James Lynch (Coria by decision), Fite Feed (Coria by decision), The Octagon Oracle (Coria by decision), Carlos Cano (Coria by decision), D.Rose (Coria by decision), TheWeasle (Coria by decision) and Bedtime MMA (Coria by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Coria, most likely by decision.
Gemini
Tom Feely (Rodriguez by decision), Gerardo Rivas (Rodriguez by decision), Vinny (Rodriguez by decision), Matt (Rodriguez by decision) and FightIQ (Rodriguez by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Rodriguez, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
All models
Yes.
ChatGPT
Pick
Coria
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Coria by decision, about 34 in 100
Win chance: Rodriguez 42%, Coria 58%.
Most likely outcomes
- Coria by decision34%
- Rodriguez by KO/TKO25%
- Coria by KO/TKO16%
- KO/TKO: Rodriguez 25%, Coria 16%.
- Submission: Rodriguez 4%, Coria 8%.
- Decision: Rodriguez 13%, Coria 34%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Coria: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Rodriguez: 42%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Rodriguez: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Coria: 42%.
Gemini
Rodriguez: 60% (about 60 in 100 fights). Coria: 40%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Coria by decision: 34% (about 34 in 100).
Other models' answers
Claude
Rodriguez by KO/TKO: 33% (about 33 in 100).
Gemini
Rodriguez by decision: 32% (about 32 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Coria by decision (34%); 2. Rodriguez by KO/TKO (25%); 3. Coria by KO/TKO (16%)
Other models' answers
Claude
1. Rodriguez by KO/TKO (33%); 2. Coria by decision (22%); 3. Rodriguez by decision (20%)
Gemini
1. Rodriguez by decision (32%); 2. Coria by decision (24%); 3. Rodriguez by KO/TKO (21%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Coria's 58% win chance.
Other models' answers
Claude
6 of 10, based on Rodriguez's 58% win chance.
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Rodriguez's 60% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 53%. Decision: 47%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 58%. Decision: 42%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 44%. Decision: 56%.
How does Rodriguez win?
ChatGPT
Rodriguez wins 42%: KO/TKO 25%, submission 4%, decision 13%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Rodriguez wins 58%: KO/TKO 33%, submission 5%, decision 20%.
Gemini
Rodriguez wins 60%: KO/TKO 21%, submission 7%, decision 32%.
How does Coria win?
ChatGPT
Coria wins 58%: KO/TKO 16%, submission 8%, decision 34%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Coria wins 42%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 8%, decision 22%.
Gemini
Coria wins 40%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 6%, decision 24%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
ChatGPT
The models split 2–1 (ChatGPT: Coria, Claude: Rodriguez, Gemini: Rodriguez).
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Rodriguez by KO/TKO in round 1. Rodriguez by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Coria by decision (34%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Result: Rodriguez by KO/TKO in round 1. Rodriguez by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
Gemini
Result: Rodriguez by KO/TKO in round 1. Rodriguez by KO/TKO was the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Rodriguez by decision (32%).
More questions (18)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 41%, submission 12%, decision 47%.
Other models' answers
Claude
KO/TKO 45%, submission 13%, decision 42%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 31%, submission 13%, decision 56%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Rodriguez: 29%, against 24% for Coria.
Other models' answers
Claude
Rodriguez: 38%, against 20% for Coria.
Gemini
Rodriguez: 28%, against 16% for Coria.
Can Rodriguez get the finish? Can Coria?
ChatGPT
Rodriguez: 29% (KO/TKO 25%, submission 4%). Coria: 24% (KO/TKO 16%, submission 8%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Rodriguez: 38% (KO/TKO 33%, submission 5%). Coria: 20% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 8%).
Gemini
Rodriguez: 28% (KO/TKO 21%, submission 7%). Coria: 16% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 6%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Rodriguez is knocked out in 16% and submitted in 8%. Coria is knocked out in 25% and submitted in 4%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Rodriguez is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 8%. Coria is knocked out in 33% and submitted in 5%.
Gemini
Rodriguez is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 6%. Coria is knocked out in 21% and submitted in 7%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Other models' answers
Gemini
A clear favourite: 60% vs 40%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Rodriguez wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Other models' answers
Claude
Coria wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Gemini
Coria wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
47%.
Other models' answers
Claude
42%.
Gemini
56%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Rodriguez 28%, Coria 72%.
Other models' answers
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Rodriguez 48%, Coria 52%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Rodriguez 57%, Coria 43%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Rodriguez by decision, 13% here against 26% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
Gemini
Biggest difference: Rodriguez by decision, 32% here against 17% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 39 analyst picks, 16 back Rodriguez and 23 back Coria. This model picks Coria (58%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Of 39 analyst picks, 16 back Rodriguez and 23 back Coria. This model picks Rodriguez (58%).
Gemini
Of 39 analyst picks, 16 back Rodriguez and 23 back Coria. This model picks Rodriguez (60%).
Which model is most confident on Rodriguez, and which on Coria?
ChatGPT
On Rodriguez: Gemini (60%). On Coria: ChatGPT (58%).
Where do the models disagree most?
ChatGPT
Rodriguez by decision: from 13% (ChatGPT) to 32% (Gemini).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
ChatGPT
Chris Schweppe (Coria by decision), KingofCrackdown5095 (Coria by decision), James Lynch (Coria by decision), Fite Feed (Coria by decision), The Octagon Oracle (Coria by decision), Carlos Cano (Coria by decision), D.Rose (Coria by decision), TheWeasle (Coria by decision) and Bedtime MMA (Coria by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Coria, most likely by decision.
Other models' answers
Gemini
Tom Feely (Rodriguez by decision), Gerardo Rivas (Rodriguez by decision), Vinny (Rodriguez by decision), Matt (Rodriguez by decision) and FightIQ (Rodriguez by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Rodriguez, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Other models' answers
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
ChatGPT
Yes.
gpt-6-astra · 27 Sep63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Rodriguez
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Rodriguez by KO/TKO, about 33 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 2.
Win chance: Rodriguez 58%, Coria 42%.
Most likely outcomes
- Rodriguez by KO/TKO33%
- Coria by decision22%
- Rodriguez by decision20%
- KO/TKO: Rodriguez 33%, Coria 12%.
- Submission: Rodriguez 5%, Coria 8%.
- Decision: Rodriguez 20%, Coria 22%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Claude
Rodriguez: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Coria: 42%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Coria: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Rodriguez: 42%.
Gemini
Rodriguez: 60% (about 60 in 100 fights). Coria: 40%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Claude
Rodriguez by KO/TKO: 33% (about 33 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Coria by decision: 34% (about 34 in 100).
Gemini
Rodriguez by decision: 32% (about 32 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Claude
1. Rodriguez by KO/TKO (33%); 2. Coria by decision (22%); 3. Rodriguez by decision (20%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Coria by decision (34%); 2. Rodriguez by KO/TKO (25%); 3. Coria by KO/TKO (16%)
Gemini
1. Rodriguez by decision (32%); 2. Coria by decision (24%); 3. Rodriguez by KO/TKO (21%)
How confident is the model?
Claude
6 of 10, based on Rodriguez's 58% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Coria's 58% win chance.
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Rodriguez's 60% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 58%. Decision: 42%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 53%. Decision: 47%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 44%. Decision: 56%.
How does Rodriguez win?
Claude
Rodriguez wins 58%: KO/TKO 33%, submission 5%, decision 20%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rodriguez wins 42%: KO/TKO 25%, submission 4%, decision 13%.
Gemini
Rodriguez wins 60%: KO/TKO 21%, submission 7%, decision 32%.
How does Coria win?
Claude
Coria wins 42%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 8%, decision 22%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Coria wins 58%: KO/TKO 16%, submission 8%, decision 34%.
Gemini
Coria wins 40%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 6%, decision 24%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
Claude
Coria's most likely upset: Coria by decision (22%).
Other models' answers
Gemini
Coria's most likely upset: Coria by decision (24%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Claude
The models split 2–1 (ChatGPT: Coria, Claude: Rodriguez, Gemini: Rodriguez).
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Claude
Result: Rodriguez by KO/TKO in round 1. Rodriguez by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Rodriguez by KO/TKO in round 1. Rodriguez by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Coria by decision (34%).
Gemini
Result: Rodriguez by KO/TKO in round 1. Rodriguez by KO/TKO was the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Rodriguez by decision (32%).
More questions (16)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Claude
KO/TKO 45%, submission 13%, decision 42%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 41%, submission 12%, decision 47%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 31%, submission 13%, decision 56%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Claude
Rodriguez: 38%, against 20% for Coria.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rodriguez: 29%, against 24% for Coria.
Gemini
Rodriguez: 28%, against 16% for Coria.
Can Rodriguez get the finish? Can Coria?
Claude
Rodriguez: 38% (KO/TKO 33%, submission 5%). Coria: 20% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 8%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rodriguez: 29% (KO/TKO 25%, submission 4%). Coria: 24% (KO/TKO 16%, submission 8%).
Gemini
Rodriguez: 28% (KO/TKO 21%, submission 7%). Coria: 16% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 6%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Claude
Rodriguez is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 8%. Coria is knocked out in 33% and submitted in 5%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rodriguez is knocked out in 16% and submitted in 8%. Coria is knocked out in 25% and submitted in 4%.
Gemini
Rodriguez is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 6%. Coria is knocked out in 21% and submitted in 7%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Claude
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Other models' answers
Gemini
A clear favourite: 60% vs 40%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Claude
Coria wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rodriguez wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Gemini
Coria wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Claude
42%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
47%.
Gemini
56%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Rodriguez 48%, Coria 52%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Rodriguez 28%, Coria 72%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Rodriguez 57%, Coria 43%.
Compared with others 3 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Claude
Of 39 analyst picks, 16 back Rodriguez and 23 back Coria. This model picks Rodriguez (58%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 39 analyst picks, 16 back Rodriguez and 23 back Coria. This model picks Coria (58%).
Gemini
Of 39 analyst picks, 16 back Rodriguez and 23 back Coria. This model picks Rodriguez (60%).
Which model is most confident on Rodriguez, and which on Coria?
Claude
On Rodriguez: Gemini (60%). On Coria: ChatGPT (58%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Claude
Rodriguez by decision: from 13% (ChatGPT) to 32% (Gemini).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Claude
Yes.
claude-sonnet-5 · 27 Sep61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Rodriguez
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Rodriguez by decision, about 32 in 100
Win chance: Rodriguez 60%, Coria 40%.
Most likely outcomes
- Rodriguez by decision32%
- Coria by decision24%
- Rodriguez by KO/TKO21%
- KO/TKO: Rodriguez 21%, Coria 10%.
- Submission: Rodriguez 7%, Coria 6%.
- Decision: Rodriguez 32%, Coria 24%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Gemini
Rodriguez: 60% (about 60 in 100 fights). Coria: 40%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Coria: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Rodriguez: 42%.
Claude
Rodriguez: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Coria: 42%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Gemini
Rodriguez by decision: 32% (about 32 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Coria by decision: 34% (about 34 in 100).
Claude
Rodriguez by KO/TKO: 33% (about 33 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Gemini
1. Rodriguez by decision (32%); 2. Coria by decision (24%); 3. Rodriguez by KO/TKO (21%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Coria by decision (34%); 2. Rodriguez by KO/TKO (25%); 3. Coria by KO/TKO (16%)
Claude
1. Rodriguez by KO/TKO (33%); 2. Coria by decision (22%); 3. Rodriguez by decision (20%)
How confident is the model?
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Rodriguez's 60% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Coria's 58% win chance.
Claude
6 of 10, based on Rodriguez's 58% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 44%. Decision: 56%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 53%. Decision: 47%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 58%. Decision: 42%.
How does Rodriguez win?
Gemini
Rodriguez wins 60%: KO/TKO 21%, submission 7%, decision 32%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rodriguez wins 42%: KO/TKO 25%, submission 4%, decision 13%.
Claude
Rodriguez wins 58%: KO/TKO 33%, submission 5%, decision 20%.
How does Coria win?
Gemini
Coria wins 40%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 6%, decision 24%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Coria wins 58%: KO/TKO 16%, submission 8%, decision 34%.
Claude
Coria wins 42%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 8%, decision 22%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
Gemini
Coria's most likely upset: Coria by decision (24%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Coria's most likely upset: Coria by decision (22%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Gemini
The models split 2–1 (ChatGPT: Coria, Claude: Rodriguez, Gemini: Rodriguez).
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Gemini
Result: Rodriguez by KO/TKO in round 1. Rodriguez by KO/TKO was the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Rodriguez by decision (32%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Rodriguez by KO/TKO in round 1. Rodriguez by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Coria by decision (34%).
Claude
Result: Rodriguez by KO/TKO in round 1. Rodriguez by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
More questions (19)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Gemini
KO/TKO 31%, submission 13%, decision 56%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 41%, submission 12%, decision 47%.
Claude
KO/TKO 45%, submission 13%, decision 42%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Gemini
Rodriguez: 28%, against 16% for Coria.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rodriguez: 29%, against 24% for Coria.
Claude
Rodriguez: 38%, against 20% for Coria.
Can Rodriguez get the finish? Can Coria?
Gemini
Rodriguez: 28% (KO/TKO 21%, submission 7%). Coria: 16% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 6%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rodriguez: 29% (KO/TKO 25%, submission 4%). Coria: 24% (KO/TKO 16%, submission 8%).
Claude
Rodriguez: 38% (KO/TKO 33%, submission 5%). Coria: 20% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 8%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Gemini
Rodriguez is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 6%. Coria is knocked out in 21% and submitted in 7%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rodriguez is knocked out in 16% and submitted in 8%. Coria is knocked out in 25% and submitted in 4%.
Claude
Rodriguez is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 8%. Coria is knocked out in 33% and submitted in 5%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Gemini
A clear favourite: 60% vs 40%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Claude
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
Gemini
Rodriguez by decision: 32%. Coria by decision: 24%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Gemini
Coria wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rodriguez wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Claude
Coria wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Gemini
56%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
47%.
Claude
42%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Rodriguez 57%, Coria 43%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Rodriguez 28%, Coria 72%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Rodriguez 48%, Coria 52%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Gemini
Biggest difference: Rodriguez by decision, 32% here against 17% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Rodriguez by decision, 13% here against 26% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Gemini
Of 39 analyst picks, 16 back Rodriguez and 23 back Coria. This model picks Rodriguez (60%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 39 analyst picks, 16 back Rodriguez and 23 back Coria. This model picks Coria (58%).
Claude
Of 39 analyst picks, 16 back Rodriguez and 23 back Coria. This model picks Rodriguez (58%).
Which model is most confident on Rodriguez, and which on Coria?
Gemini
On Rodriguez: Gemini (60%). On Coria: ChatGPT (58%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Gemini
Rodriguez by decision: from 13% (ChatGPT) to 32% (Gemini).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
Gemini
Tom Feely (Rodriguez by decision), Gerardo Rivas (Rodriguez by decision), Vinny (Rodriguez by decision), Matt (Rodriguez by decision) and FightIQ (Rodriguez by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Rodriguez, most likely by decision.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Chris Schweppe (Coria by decision), KingofCrackdown5095 (Coria by decision), James Lynch (Coria by decision), Fite Feed (Coria by decision), The Octagon Oracle (Coria by decision), Carlos Cano (Coria by decision), D.Rose (Coria by decision), TheWeasle (Coria by decision) and Bedtime MMA (Coria by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Coria, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Gemini
Yes.
Version not reported · 29 Sep68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET
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