Knockouts worthy of bonuses💰 @JohnnyWalker, Damian Pinas, Imanol Rodriguez, and Roman Kopylov earn #UFC332 POTN bonuses after their electric RD1 finishes!
View photo on X ↗Johnny Walker defeats Mick Parkin by KO/TKO
KO/TKO · knee
Round 1 · 3:35
Walker vs Parkin — Heavyweight · UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang
Predictions summary
Analyst Picks
(26) 65%
35% (14)
AI Predictions
45%
55%
Market OddsComing soonNo forecast publishedUnavailable right nowBook prices available in Market
Checking latest live market odds.
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Walker softened Parkin up with an elbow in close and a jumping knee that did not land cleanly.
His next attack found the mark, a Thai-clinch knee up the middle that sent Parkin crashing to the canvas.
The knockout earned Walker a Performance of the Night bonus.
- primaryUFC 332 prelim results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Walker
Walker brings explosive finishing threat.
Case for Parkin
Parkin brings a heavyweight durability test.
What We Were Watching For
- Who controls the first exchange.
- Whether the bout reaches a measured rhythm.
Records & career stats
- 22-10-0
- Record
- 10-1-0
- 1-3 (1 NC) last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- Brazil
- Nationality
- England
- 34
- Age
- 30
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- Source pending
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- 70%
- —
- Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
- 6
- 07:03
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 10:53
- SBG Ireland
- Team
- Team Fish Tank
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (1)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
(26) 65%
WWalker
35% (14)
ParkinL
Hank
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Expects Walker’s unpredictable attacks to find the chin of a slow Parkin.
Track record: winner called in 11 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 91.7% (11 hit, 1 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 90.9% (10 hit, 1 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 44.4% (4 hit, 5 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 91.7% 11 1
- Method Accuracy 90.9% 10 1
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker · Dec
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Bedtime expects Walker’s activity, calf kicks and bigger moments to earn him a 29–28 decision. He also sees possible grappling opportunities but acknowledges Walker’s defensive weaknesses and the risk that Parkin knocks him out.
“picking Johnny Walker by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 132 of 185 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 71.4% (132 hit, 53 miss, across 185 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.9% (60 hit, 37 miss, across 97 method-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.7% (11 hit, 16 miss, across 27 round-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 48.7% (19 hit, 20 miss, across 39 underdog calls on 185 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 132 53
- Method Accuracy 61.9% 60 37
- Round Accuracy 40.7% 11 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.7% 19 20
FightIQ
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
FightIQ's public record lists Johnny Walker as its pick over Mick Parkin.
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker · Dec
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Johnny Walker by decision.
Track record: winner called in 38 of 56 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.9% (38 hit, 18 miss, across 56 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.1% (18 hit, 11 miss, across 29 method-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 56 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 38 18
- Method Accuracy 62.1% 18 11
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
Michael Chiesa
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Chiesa likes Walker's move to heavyweight after his difficulties balancing the light-heavyweight weight cut with training. He considers Parkin a powerful but suitable test for Walker, while acknowledging Walker's past knockout losses.
“I'm going with Johnny Walker.”
Track record: winner called in 50 of 75 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.7% (50 hit, 25 miss, across 75 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 75 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 75 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 50 25
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 2 10
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Favors Walker’s range and low kicks against Parkin. Thinks Walker can avoid extended boxing exchanges and potentially mix in grappling. Although he thought Parkin beat Tybura, he sees that close matchup as a limit on his confidence in Parkin.
Track record: winner called in 213 of 322 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.1% (213 hit, 109 miss, across 322 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 method-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.9% (14 hit, 25 miss, across 39 round-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 47.4% (18 hit, 20 miss, across 38 underdog calls on 322 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.1% 213 109
- Method Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.4% 18 20
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker · Dec
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Jake picks Johnny Walker by decision.
“Hernandez by decision, and Walker by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 101 53
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 39 26
- Round Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Livid Larry MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Livid Larry MMA selects Johnny Walker in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 34 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.0% (34 hit, 20 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 79.2% (19 hit, 5 miss, across 24 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.0% 34 20
- Method Accuracy 79.2% 19 5
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
Picks with the Geek 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Thinks Walker will be more durable at heavyweight and favors his length, speed and athleticism over Parkin.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.5% (5 hit, 3 miss, across 8 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
HopperMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
HopperoMMA selects Johnny Walker by ko/tko in round 1.
Track record: winner called in 92 of 148 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.2% (92 hit, 56 miss, across 148 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.8% (45 hit, 29 miss, across 74 method-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 round-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 26.9% (7 hit, 19 miss, across 26 underdog calls on 148 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.2% 92 56
- Method Accuracy 60.8% 45 29
- Round Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Underdog Accuracy 26.9% 7 19
James Lynch
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker · Dec
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Lynch expects Walker's cleaner shots to carry him to a decision over three rounds.
Track record: winner called in 36 of 59 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 61.0% (36 hit, 23 miss, across 59 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 45.0% (9 hit, 11 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 59 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 61.0% 36 23
- Method Accuracy 45.0% 9 11
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
MMA Mathletes
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
MMA Mathletes selects Johnny Walker.
Track record: winner called in 32 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (32 hit, 22 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 32 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker · Dec
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
KingofCrackdown5095 picks Johnny Walker by decision.
Track record: winner called in 37 of 63 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.7% (37 hit, 26 miss, across 63 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.6% (21 hit, 11 miss, across 32 method-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 42.1% (8 hit, 11 miss, across 19 round-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 63 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.7% 37 26
- Method Accuracy 65.6% 21 11
- Round Accuracy 42.1% 8 11
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
Kunath
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker · Dec
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Kunath selects Johnny Walker by decision.
Track record: winner called in 38 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.5% (38 hit, 27 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 56.7% (17 hit, 13 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.5% 38 27
- Method Accuracy 56.7% 17 13
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
Artem MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker · Dec
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Favors Walker’s reach, speed and varied kicks and knees against Parkin’s slower pressure style. Picks a decision while acknowledging that the fight could become sloppy and end early.
Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 55 40
- Method Accuracy 63.8% 30 17
- Round Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Underdog Accuracy 23.5% 4 13
Fight Productions
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Fight Productions selects Johnny Walker by ko/tko in round 1.
Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.7% (28 hit, 9 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 41.7% (10 hit, 14 miss, across 24 round-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (2 hit, 6 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 37 29
- Method Accuracy 75.7% 28 9
- Round Accuracy 41.7% 10 14
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6
Clenbat
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Clenbat selects Johnny Walker in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 49 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.1% (27 hit, 22 miss, across 49 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 49 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.1% 27 22
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Schweppe picks Johnny Walker by second-round knockout.
Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.5% 53 46
- Method Accuracy 47.2% 25 28
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
The MMA Yuda selects Johnny Walker.
Track record: winner called in 30 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.7% (30 hit, 28 miss, across 58 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 58 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 58 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 30 28
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Greedo Plays MMA selects Johnny Walker in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 37 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (37 hit, 35 miss, across 72 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.3% (19 hit, 11 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 72 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 37 35
- Method Accuracy 63.3% 19 11
- Round Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Vinny
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker · Sub · Round 2
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Doubts Walker’s striking finish but thinks his grappling background and long limbs can produce an opportunistic submission.
Track record: winner called in 6 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (6 hit, 6 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 16.7% (1 hit, 5 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 4 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
- Method Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 4
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
mmadbm
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Picks Walker for his athleticism, size, reach, explosiveness and bigger shots, saying Parkin lacks enough tools to answer him. He has very little confidence and leaves the method open between knockout and decision.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (12 hit, 2 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 41 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 12 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Guy Bruhn
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Bruhn selects Johnny Walker in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 10 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.6% (10 hit, 11 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Chris Cross
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Picks Johnny Walker to win if he stays active and keeps Mick Parkin from landing takedowns, while warning about Parkin's takedown game.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (8 hit, 12 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 20 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 20 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 8 12
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
FIGHT//AI
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
FIGHT//AI’s selected value bet names Johnny Walker.
Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 32.0% 49 104
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 20 80
Andio
Current pick evidence
Picked: Johnny Walker
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Andio selects Johnny Walker in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 2 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 18.2% (2 hit, 9 miss, across 11 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 3 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 11 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 18.2% 2 9
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
TheWeasle
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mick Parkin · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Walker is the faster, more athletic fighter, but the analyst doubts his chin and fight IQ as he moves to heavyweight. He sees heavyweight power as a major problem for Walker and predicts Parkin to knock him out in the first round.
- The move from light heavyweight to heavyweight power is the analyst's central concern for Walker.
“So, I'm going to go with Mick Parkin in this one.”
Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.6% (115 hit, 48 miss, across 163 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.8% (47 hit, 29 miss, across 76 method-scored calls on 163 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 36.5% (19 hit, 33 miss, across 52 round-scored calls on 163 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 163 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
- Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
- Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
- Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
Tom Feely
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mick Parkin · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Feely expects Parkin to use steady pressure and durability to exploit Walker’s lapses. He predicts Parkin catches him after Walker slips up.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.6% (23 hit, 11 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (14 hit, 7 miss, across 21 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (5 hit, 5 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.6% 23 11
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 14 7
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 5 5
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Matt
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mick Parkin · Dec
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Expects Parkin to pin Walker against the cage, use trips and top control to win a decision.
Track record: winner called in 14 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.7% (14 hit, 7 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (6 hit, 3 miss, across 9 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 14 7
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Fite Feed
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mick Parkin · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Leans toward Parkin as the established heavyweight and sees his boxing producing a second-round knockout, though he is not confident.
Track record: winner called in 24 of 37 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.9% (24 hit, 13 miss, across 37 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.9% (14 hit, 9 miss, across 23 method-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 21.4% (3 hit, 11 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 37 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.9% 24 13
- Method Accuracy 60.9% 14 9
- Round Accuracy 21.4% 3 11
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Mate Bersenadze
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mick Parkin · Dec
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Mate Bersenadze picks Mick Parkin by decision, per his UFC 332 preview.
Track record: winner called in 33 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.5% (33 hit, 19 miss, across 52 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 51.5% (17 hit, 16 miss, across 33 method-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 52 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.5% 33 19
- Method Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
The Octagon Oracle
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mick Parkin · KO/TKO
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Expects Parkin to exploit Walker’s defensive flaws in his Muay Thai stance and stop him.
Track record: winner called in 7 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (6 hit, 1 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 6 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
BeewolfMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mick Parkin · KO/TKO
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Expects Walker to stay cautious because of his durability concerns, while Parkin advances and finds a knockout.
Track record: winner called in 13 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (13 hit, 10 miss, across 23 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (7 hit, 0 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 23 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 23 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 7
- Round Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mick Parkin
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Litterine selects Mick Parkin in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 70 54
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.0% 7 18
The Finz Chats
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mick Parkin
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
The Finz Chats selects Mick Parkin in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 12 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.5% (12 hit, 10 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 12 10
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
Lou Finocchiaro
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mick Parkin
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Finocchiaro regards Walker as overpriced and favors Parkin's size, pressure and grappling if the fight moves inside.
Track record: winner called in 6 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.5% (6 hit, 5 miss, across 11 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 11 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 11 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mick Parkin · Dec
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Shelton worries about Walker's chin at heavyweight and expects Parkin's durability and strength to help him work against the fence, mix wrestling and edge a close decision.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Method Accuracy 87.5% 7 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 3 15
D.Rose
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mick Parkin · Dec
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Expects Parkin’s cardio and clinch pressure to grind out a less active Walker, while recognizing Walker’s danger at range.
Track record: winner called in 11 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.4% (11 hit, 10 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 80.0% (4 hit, 1 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.4% 11 10
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Walk The Line MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mick Parkin · KO/TKO
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Walk The Line MMA selects Mick Parkin by ko/tko.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (27 hit, 27 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.9% (11 hit, 8 miss, across 19 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 27 27
- Method Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
Timothy Wheaton
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mick Parkin · Dec
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Timothy Wheaton picks Mick Parkin to win by decision, describing his measured heavyweight style and wrestling control as the path against Johnny Walker.
Track record: winner called in 4 of 9 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 44.4% (4 hit, 5 miss, across 9 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 9 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
No pick
View full track record (50 calls)
Angelo Bodetti
Current pick evidence
No pick has been recorded.
Fight result: Johnny Walker · KO/TKO
Bodetti discusses Walker’s knockout threat and Parkin’s wrestling but does not commit to a winner. He avoids both sides for DraftKings.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.0% (29 hit, 21 miss, across 50 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 50 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.0% 29 21
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Analyst picks: Hank Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Miss; FightIQ Hit; Jimbo Ortega MMA Hit; Tom Feely Miss; Michael Chiesa Hit; Matt Miss; The MMA Guru Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; Fite Feed Miss; Mate Bersenadze Miss; Livid Larry MMA Hit; Picks with the Geek 2 Hit; HopperMMA Hit; James Lynch Hit; MMA Mathletes Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Hit; Kunath Hit; The Octagon Oracle Miss; Artem MMA Hit; BeewolfMMA Miss; Jon Litterine Miss; Fight Productions Hit; Clenbat Hit; The Finz Chats Miss; Lou Finocchiaro Miss; Chris Schweppe Hit; Cole Shelton Miss; D.Rose Miss; The MMA Yuda Hit; Greedo Plays MMA Hit; Walk The Line MMA Miss; Vinny Hit; mmadbm Hit; Guy Bruhn Hit; Timothy Wheaton Miss; Chris Cross Hit; FIGHT//AI Hit; Andio Hit; Angelo Bodetti no pick.
26 of 40 nailed it.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
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The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Walker · KO/TKO · R1
Closest probability Claude put 48% on Walker.
42%
Walker
58%
Parkin
PickParkin · KO/TKO · R2ActualWalker · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missed
48%
Walker
52%
Parkin
PickParkin · DecisionActualWalker · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missed
45%
Walker
55%
Parkin
PickParkin · DecisionActualWalker · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedAI Predictions — latest pre-fight calls
Frozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.AI Predictions
Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.
ChatGPT
63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Parkin
Most likely: Parkin by KO/TKO, about 30 in 100
Win chance: Walker 42%, Parkin 58%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Claude
61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Pick Parkin
Most likely: Walker by KO/TKO, about 30 in 100
Win chance: Walker 48%, Parkin 52%.
Confidence 5 of 10 · Medium
Gemini
68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
Pick Parkin
Most likely: Parkin by decision, about 33 in 100
Win chance: Walker 45%, Parkin 55%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
3 of 3 models pick Parkin.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Parkin: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Walker: 42%.
Claude
Parkin: 52% (about 52 in 100 fights). Walker: 48%.
Gemini
Parkin: 55% (about 55 in 100 fights). Walker: 45%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Parkin by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).
Claude
Walker by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).
Gemini
Parkin by decision: 33% (about 33 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Parkin by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Walker by KO/TKO (24%); 2. Parkin by decision (24%)
Claude
1. Walker by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Parkin by decision (25%); 3. Walker by decision (15%)
Gemini
1. Parkin by decision (33%); 2. Walker by KO/TKO (27%); 3. Parkin by KO/TKO (20%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Parkin's 58% win chance.
Claude
5 of 10, based on Parkin's 52% win chance.
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Parkin's 55% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 61%. Decision: 39%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 52%. Decision: 48%.
How does Walker win?
ChatGPT
Walker wins 42%: KO/TKO 24%, submission 3%, decision 15%.
Claude
Walker wins 48%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 3%, decision 15%.
Gemini
Walker wins 45%: KO/TKO 27%, submission 3%, decision 15%.
How does Parkin win?
ChatGPT
Parkin wins 58%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 4%, decision 24%.
Claude
Parkin wins 52%: KO/TKO 15%, submission 12%, decision 25%.
Gemini
Parkin wins 55%: KO/TKO 20%, submission 2%, decision 33%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
All models
The models agree: all 3 pick Parkin.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Walker by KO/TKO in round 1. Walker by KO/TKO was the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Parkin by KO/TKO (30%).
Claude
Result: Walker by KO/TKO in round 1. Walker by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
Gemini
Result: Walker by KO/TKO in round 1. Walker by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Parkin by decision (33%).
More questions (17)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 54%, submission 7%, decision 39%.
Claude
KO/TKO 45%, submission 15%, decision 40%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 47%, submission 5%, decision 48%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Parkin: 34%, against 27% for Walker.
Claude
Walker: 33%, against 27% for Parkin.
Gemini
Walker: 30%, against 22% for Parkin.
Can Walker get the finish? Can Parkin?
ChatGPT
Walker: 27% (KO/TKO 24%, submission 3%). Parkin: 34% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 4%).
Claude
Walker: 33% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 3%). Parkin: 27% (KO/TKO 15%, submission 12%).
Gemini
Walker: 30% (KO/TKO 27%, submission 3%). Parkin: 22% (KO/TKO 20%, submission 2%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Walker is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 4%. Parkin is knocked out in 24% and submitted in 3%.
Claude
Walker is knocked out in 15% and submitted in 12%. Parkin is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 3%.
Gemini
Walker is knocked out in 20% and submitted in 2%. Parkin is knocked out in 27% and submitted in 3%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Claude
Close to a coin flip: 52% vs 48%.
Gemini
A clear favourite: 55% vs 45%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Walker wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Claude
Walker wins 48% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.
Gemini
Walker wins 45% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
39%.
Claude
40%.
Gemini
48%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Walker 39%, Parkin 62%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Walker 38%, Parkin 63%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Walker 31%, Parkin 69%.
Compared with others 4 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Gemini
Biggest difference: Parkin by decision, 33% here against 25% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 40 analyst picks, 26 back Walker and 14 back Parkin. This model picks Parkin (58%).
Claude
Of 40 analyst picks, 26 back Walker and 14 back Parkin. This model picks Parkin (52%).
Gemini
Of 40 analyst picks, 26 back Walker and 14 back Parkin. This model picks Parkin (55%).
Which model is most confident on Walker, and which on Parkin?
All models
On Walker: Claude (48%). On Parkin: ChatGPT (58%).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
Claude
Timothy Wheaton (Parkin by decision), Cole Shelton (Parkin by decision), Matt (Parkin by decision), D.Rose (Parkin by decision) and Mate Bersenadze (Parkin by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Parkin, most likely by decision.
Gemini
Timothy Wheaton (Parkin by decision), Cole Shelton (Parkin by decision), Matt (Parkin by decision), D.Rose (Parkin by decision) and Mate Bersenadze (Parkin by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Parkin, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
All models
Yes.
ChatGPT
Pick
Parkin
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Parkin by KO/TKO, about 30 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 2.
Win chance: Walker 42%, Parkin 58%.
Most likely outcomes
- Parkin by KO/TKO30%
- Walker by KO/TKO, tied for number 224%
- Parkin by decision, tied for number 224%
- KO/TKO: Walker 24%, Parkin 30%.
- Submission: Walker 3%, Parkin 4%.
- Decision: Walker 15%, Parkin 24%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Parkin: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Walker: 42%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Parkin: 52% (about 52 in 100 fights). Walker: 48%.
Gemini
Parkin: 55% (about 55 in 100 fights). Walker: 45%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Parkin by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).
Other models' answers
Claude
Walker by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).
Gemini
Parkin by decision: 33% (about 33 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Parkin by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Walker by KO/TKO (24%); 2. Parkin by decision (24%)
Other models' answers
Claude
1. Walker by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Parkin by decision (25%); 3. Walker by decision (15%)
Gemini
1. Parkin by decision (33%); 2. Walker by KO/TKO (27%); 3. Parkin by KO/TKO (20%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Parkin's 58% win chance.
Other models' answers
Claude
5 of 10, based on Parkin's 52% win chance.
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Parkin's 55% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 61%. Decision: 39%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 52%. Decision: 48%.
How does Walker win?
ChatGPT
Walker wins 42%: KO/TKO 24%, submission 3%, decision 15%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Walker wins 48%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 3%, decision 15%.
Gemini
Walker wins 45%: KO/TKO 27%, submission 3%, decision 15%.
How does Parkin win?
ChatGPT
Parkin wins 58%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 4%, decision 24%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Parkin wins 52%: KO/TKO 15%, submission 12%, decision 25%.
Gemini
Parkin wins 55%: KO/TKO 20%, submission 2%, decision 33%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
ChatGPT
The models agree: all 3 pick Parkin.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Walker by KO/TKO in round 1. Walker by KO/TKO was the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Parkin by KO/TKO (30%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Result: Walker by KO/TKO in round 1. Walker by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
Gemini
Result: Walker by KO/TKO in round 1. Walker by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Parkin by decision (33%).
More questions (15)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 54%, submission 7%, decision 39%.
Other models' answers
Claude
KO/TKO 45%, submission 15%, decision 40%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 47%, submission 5%, decision 48%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Parkin: 34%, against 27% for Walker.
Other models' answers
Claude
Walker: 33%, against 27% for Parkin.
Gemini
Walker: 30%, against 22% for Parkin.
Can Walker get the finish? Can Parkin?
ChatGPT
Walker: 27% (KO/TKO 24%, submission 3%). Parkin: 34% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 4%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Walker: 33% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 3%). Parkin: 27% (KO/TKO 15%, submission 12%).
Gemini
Walker: 30% (KO/TKO 27%, submission 3%). Parkin: 22% (KO/TKO 20%, submission 2%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Walker is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 4%. Parkin is knocked out in 24% and submitted in 3%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Walker is knocked out in 15% and submitted in 12%. Parkin is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 3%.
Gemini
Walker is knocked out in 20% and submitted in 2%. Parkin is knocked out in 27% and submitted in 3%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Close to a coin flip: 52% vs 48%.
Gemini
A clear favourite: 55% vs 45%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Walker wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Other models' answers
Claude
Walker wins 48% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.
Gemini
Walker wins 45% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
39%.
Other models' answers
Claude
40%.
Gemini
48%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Walker 39%, Parkin 62%.
Other models' answers
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Walker 38%, Parkin 63%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Walker 31%, Parkin 69%.
Compared with others 2 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 40 analyst picks, 26 back Walker and 14 back Parkin. This model picks Parkin (58%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Of 40 analyst picks, 26 back Walker and 14 back Parkin. This model picks Parkin (52%).
Gemini
Of 40 analyst picks, 26 back Walker and 14 back Parkin. This model picks Parkin (55%).
Which model is most confident on Walker, and which on Parkin?
ChatGPT
On Walker: Claude (48%). On Parkin: ChatGPT (58%).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Other models' answers
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
ChatGPT
Yes.
gpt-6-astra · 27 Sep63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Parkin
Confidence 5 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Walker by KO/TKO, about 30 in 100
Win chance: Walker 48%, Parkin 52%.
Most likely outcomes
- Walker by KO/TKO30%
- Parkin by decision25%
- Walker by decision, tied for number 315%
- KO/TKO: Walker 30%, Parkin 15%.
- Submission: Walker 3%, Parkin 12%.
- Decision: Walker 15%, Parkin 25%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Claude
Parkin: 52% (about 52 in 100 fights). Walker: 48%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Parkin: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Walker: 42%.
Gemini
Parkin: 55% (about 55 in 100 fights). Walker: 45%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Claude
Walker by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Parkin by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).
Gemini
Parkin by decision: 33% (about 33 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Claude
1. Walker by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Parkin by decision (25%); 3. Walker by decision (15%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Parkin by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Walker by KO/TKO (24%); 2. Parkin by decision (24%)
Gemini
1. Parkin by decision (33%); 2. Walker by KO/TKO (27%); 3. Parkin by KO/TKO (20%)
How confident is the model?
Claude
5 of 10, based on Parkin's 52% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Parkin's 58% win chance.
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Parkin's 55% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 61%. Decision: 39%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 52%. Decision: 48%.
How does Walker win?
Claude
Walker wins 48%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 3%, decision 15%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Walker wins 42%: KO/TKO 24%, submission 3%, decision 15%.
Gemini
Walker wins 45%: KO/TKO 27%, submission 3%, decision 15%.
How does Parkin win?
Claude
Parkin wins 52%: KO/TKO 15%, submission 12%, decision 25%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Parkin wins 58%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 4%, decision 24%.
Gemini
Parkin wins 55%: KO/TKO 20%, submission 2%, decision 33%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Claude
The models agree: all 3 pick Parkin.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Claude
Result: Walker by KO/TKO in round 1. Walker by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Walker by KO/TKO in round 1. Walker by KO/TKO was the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Parkin by KO/TKO (30%).
Gemini
Result: Walker by KO/TKO in round 1. Walker by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Parkin by decision (33%).
More questions (16)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Claude
KO/TKO 45%, submission 15%, decision 40%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 54%, submission 7%, decision 39%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 47%, submission 5%, decision 48%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Claude
Walker: 33%, against 27% for Parkin.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Parkin: 34%, against 27% for Walker.
Gemini
Walker: 30%, against 22% for Parkin.
Can Walker get the finish? Can Parkin?
Claude
Walker: 33% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 3%). Parkin: 27% (KO/TKO 15%, submission 12%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Walker: 27% (KO/TKO 24%, submission 3%). Parkin: 34% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 4%).
Gemini
Walker: 30% (KO/TKO 27%, submission 3%). Parkin: 22% (KO/TKO 20%, submission 2%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Claude
Walker is knocked out in 15% and submitted in 12%. Parkin is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 3%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Walker is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 4%. Parkin is knocked out in 24% and submitted in 3%.
Gemini
Walker is knocked out in 20% and submitted in 2%. Parkin is knocked out in 27% and submitted in 3%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Claude
Close to a coin flip: 52% vs 48%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Gemini
A clear favourite: 55% vs 45%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Claude
Walker wins 48% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Walker wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Gemini
Walker wins 45% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Claude
40%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
39%.
Gemini
48%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Walker 38%, Parkin 63%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Walker 39%, Parkin 62%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Walker 31%, Parkin 69%.
Compared with others 3 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Claude
Of 40 analyst picks, 26 back Walker and 14 back Parkin. This model picks Parkin (52%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 40 analyst picks, 26 back Walker and 14 back Parkin. This model picks Parkin (58%).
Gemini
Of 40 analyst picks, 26 back Walker and 14 back Parkin. This model picks Parkin (55%).
Which model is most confident on Walker, and which on Parkin?
Claude
On Walker: Claude (48%). On Parkin: ChatGPT (58%).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
Claude
Timothy Wheaton (Parkin by decision), Cole Shelton (Parkin by decision), Matt (Parkin by decision), D.Rose (Parkin by decision) and Mate Bersenadze (Parkin by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Parkin, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Claude
Yes.
claude-sonnet-5 · 27 Sep61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Parkin
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Parkin by decision, about 33 in 100
Win chance: Walker 45%, Parkin 55%.
Most likely outcomes
- Parkin by decision33%
- Walker by KO/TKO27%
- Parkin by KO/TKO20%
- KO/TKO: Walker 27%, Parkin 20%.
- Submission: Walker 3%, Parkin 2%.
- Decision: Walker 15%, Parkin 33%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Gemini
Parkin: 55% (about 55 in 100 fights). Walker: 45%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Parkin: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Walker: 42%.
Claude
Parkin: 52% (about 52 in 100 fights). Walker: 48%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Gemini
Parkin by decision: 33% (about 33 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Parkin by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).
Claude
Walker by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Gemini
1. Parkin by decision (33%); 2. Walker by KO/TKO (27%); 3. Parkin by KO/TKO (20%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Parkin by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Walker by KO/TKO (24%); 2. Parkin by decision (24%)
Claude
1. Walker by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Parkin by decision (25%); 3. Walker by decision (15%)
How confident is the model?
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Parkin's 55% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Parkin's 58% win chance.
Claude
5 of 10, based on Parkin's 52% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 52%. Decision: 48%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 61%. Decision: 39%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.
How does Walker win?
Gemini
Walker wins 45%: KO/TKO 27%, submission 3%, decision 15%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Walker wins 42%: KO/TKO 24%, submission 3%, decision 15%.
Claude
Walker wins 48%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 3%, decision 15%.
How does Parkin win?
Gemini
Parkin wins 55%: KO/TKO 20%, submission 2%, decision 33%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Parkin wins 58%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 4%, decision 24%.
Claude
Parkin wins 52%: KO/TKO 15%, submission 12%, decision 25%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Gemini
The models agree: all 3 pick Parkin.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Gemini
Result: Walker by KO/TKO in round 1. Walker by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Parkin by decision (33%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Walker by KO/TKO in round 1. Walker by KO/TKO was the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Parkin by KO/TKO (30%).
Claude
Result: Walker by KO/TKO in round 1. Walker by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
More questions (17)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Gemini
KO/TKO 47%, submission 5%, decision 48%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 54%, submission 7%, decision 39%.
Claude
KO/TKO 45%, submission 15%, decision 40%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Gemini
Walker: 30%, against 22% for Parkin.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Parkin: 34%, against 27% for Walker.
Claude
Walker: 33%, against 27% for Parkin.
Can Walker get the finish? Can Parkin?
Gemini
Walker: 30% (KO/TKO 27%, submission 3%). Parkin: 22% (KO/TKO 20%, submission 2%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Walker: 27% (KO/TKO 24%, submission 3%). Parkin: 34% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 4%).
Claude
Walker: 33% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 3%). Parkin: 27% (KO/TKO 15%, submission 12%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Gemini
Walker is knocked out in 20% and submitted in 2%. Parkin is knocked out in 27% and submitted in 3%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Walker is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 4%. Parkin is knocked out in 24% and submitted in 3%.
Claude
Walker is knocked out in 15% and submitted in 12%. Parkin is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 3%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Gemini
A clear favourite: 55% vs 45%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Claude
Close to a coin flip: 52% vs 48%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Gemini
Walker wins 45% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Walker wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Claude
Walker wins 48% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Gemini
48%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
39%.
Claude
40%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Walker 31%, Parkin 69%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Walker 39%, Parkin 62%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Walker 38%, Parkin 63%.
Compared with others 4 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Gemini
Biggest difference: Parkin by decision, 33% here against 25% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Gemini
Of 40 analyst picks, 26 back Walker and 14 back Parkin. This model picks Parkin (55%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 40 analyst picks, 26 back Walker and 14 back Parkin. This model picks Parkin (58%).
Claude
Of 40 analyst picks, 26 back Walker and 14 back Parkin. This model picks Parkin (52%).
Which model is most confident on Walker, and which on Parkin?
Gemini
On Walker: Claude (48%). On Parkin: ChatGPT (58%).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
Gemini
Timothy Wheaton (Parkin by decision), Cole Shelton (Parkin by decision), Matt (Parkin by decision), D.Rose (Parkin by decision) and Mate Bersenadze (Parkin by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Parkin, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Gemini
Yes.
Version not reported · 29 Sep68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET
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