Anthony Wint defeats Lucas Armand by KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:23
Wint vs Armand — Heavyweight · UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang
At a glance
Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Wint rushed Armand from the opening seconds and drove him back to the fence.
He threw heavy strikes along the fence until Armand fell to the canvas and covered up.
The stoppage came at 0:23 of the first round, Wint’s third win in 54 days.
- primaryUFC 332 prelim results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Wint
Wint is 8-0 with five knockouts and two submissions and has looked dangerous everywhere the fight goes, finishing Terrance Chatman by arm-triangle choke in his Octagon debut and stopping Matt Adams in 34 seconds on the Contender Series. This is his third pro fight in 54 days, an aggressive pace that tests his recovery as much as his skill.
Case for Armand
Armand is a perfect 6-0 as the reigning 2 Piece Promotions Heavyweight champion, with five finishes by strikes including stoppages of Cameron Graham and former UFC heavyweight Braxton Smith in his last two outings. He takes the fight on short notice for his first Octagon appearance, a step up in competition from the regional Midwest circuit.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Wint's rapid three-fights-in-54-days schedule catches up with him physically.
- How Armand's regional finishing power translates against his first true UFC-level opponent.
- Early exchanges — both men have finished the large majority of their wins by strikes.
- Armand's readiness on unusually short notice for a UFC debut.
Records & career stats
- 8-0-0
- Record
- 6-0-0
- Source pending
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- United States
- Nationality
- United States
- 31
- Age
- 30
- 180.34 cm
- Height
- Not published
- 198.12 cm
- Reach
- Not published
- Not published
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Not published
- Source pending
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- —
- —
- Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
- 5
- —
- Wins by submissionSub wins
- 0
- 3.56
- Sig. strikes landed / minStr / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- Not published
- Source pending
- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- Source pending
- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- Source pending
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- Source pending
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
- Winner Accuracy 91.7% 11 1
- Method Accuracy 90.9% 10 1
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 72.4% 21 8
- Method Accuracy 73.3% 11 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 20 8
- Method Accuracy 84.6% 11 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 120 50
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 56 32
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 10 15
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
- Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
- Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
- Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 68.0% 17 8
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 22 11
- Method Accuracy 53.8% 7 6
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 14 7
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 66.4% 77 39
- Method Accuracy 61.7% 29 18
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 195 101
- Method Accuracy 52.9% 55 49
- Round Accuracy 34.3% 12 23
- Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 15 18
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 65.2% 15 8
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 3
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 65.0% 13 7
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
- Method Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 64.0% 16 9
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 61.7% 37 23
- Method Accuracy 65.6% 21 11
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Underdog Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 61.3% 19 12
- Method Accuracy 73.7% 14 5
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 60.7% 17 11
- Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Round Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 60.5% 52 34
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 31.3% 5 11
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 59.1% 13 9
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 6 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 7
- Round Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 8
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 12 10
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 52.4% 11 10
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 19 18
- Method Accuracy 61.5% 8 5
- Round Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 17 17
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 49.2% 30 31
- Method Accuracy 53.3% 16 14
- Round Accuracy 27.3% 6 16
- Underdog Accuracy 21.4% 3 11
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
- Method Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 4
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
Analyst picks: Hank Hit; Jimbo Ortega MMA Hit; Livid Larry MMA Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; Angelo Bodetti Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; James Lynch Hit; Matt Hit; Fite Feed Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; MMA Mathletes Hit; Tom Feely Hit; Kunath Hit; Clenbat Hit; Picks with the Geek 2 Hit; Artem MMA Hit; Fight Productions Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Hit; Jon Litterine Hit; Walk The Line MMA Hit; The Octagon Oracle Hit; BeewolfMMA Hit; mmadbm Hit; The Finz Chats Hit; D.Rose Hit; Greedo Plays MMA Hit; The MMA Yuda Hit; Vinny Miss; Chris Schweppe Hit.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hank
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Chooses Wint by first-round knockout in the brief matchup discussion. Track record: winner called in 11 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Jimbo Ortega MMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · KO/TKO | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Anthony Wint by ko/tko. Track record: winner called in 21 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Livid Larry MMA
Livid Larry MMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Livid Larry MMA selects Anthony Wint by ko/tko in round 1. Track record: winner called in 20 of 28 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · Sub · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Hit | |
| Bedtime expects Armand to try to hold Wint against the cage, but expects Wint to take him down and submit him. He expresses strong confidence because he does not rate Armand as ready for this level of opposition.
“Anthony Wint by like round one submission.” Track record: winner called in 120 of 170 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
TheWeasle
TheWeasleView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| He calls this an easy win for Wint, saying Wint is more athletic and has better technical striking and ground game, with more finishing potential in both phases. He predicts a first-round knockout.
“it's just going to be an easy win for Wint. I'm going first round knockout.” Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Angelo Bodetti
Angelo BodettiView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · to win | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Hit | |
| Bodetti favors Wint’s speed, power and pressure against Armand’s defensive weaknesses and predicts a first-round win. He discusses both a TKO and a submission rather than committing to one finishing method. Track record: winner called in 17 of 25 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Chiesa
Michael ChiesaView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · to win | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Chiesa favors Wint's athleticism and promise as a prospect. He argues that high-level football experience brings footwork, explosiveness and experience absorbing contact and continuing to compete. “Listen, I'm going with Anthony Wind.” Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
James Lynch
James LynchView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · to win | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Lynch prefers Wint on experience, though he says he would pass on betting the fight. Track record: winner called in 22 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Matt
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · Sub · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Hit | |
| Expects Wint to take Armand down and submit him in the first round. Track record: winner called in 14 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Fite Feed
Fite FeedView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · Sub · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Hit | |
| Expects Wint’s explosiveness to lead to a takedown and submission in the first round. Track record: winner called in 8 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · to win | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Jake expects Anthony Wint to finish Lucas Armand. He points to Wint’s explosive striking power and ground-and-pound, while leaving open a knockout or a takedown into a submission. “going Anthony Win by finish. Now, I feel” Track record: winner called in 77 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA GuruView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Picks Wint by first-round TKO, favoring his athleticism and dominant performances. Acknowledges Armand’s size and punching power, and that Wint is still developing his striking composure. Track record: winner called in 195 of 296 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA Mathletes
MMA MathletesView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · to win | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Hit | |
| MMA Mathletes selects Anthony Wint in round 1. Track record: winner called in 15 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Tom Feely
Tom FeelyView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Feely describes Wint as a powerful, aggressive heavyweight with wrestling and pro-football athleticism. He sees little evidence that Armand is ready for that pressure. Track record: winner called in 13 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Kunath
KunathView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Kunath selects Anthony Wint by ko/tko in round 1. Track record: winner called in 25 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Clenbat
ClenbatView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · to win | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Clenbat selects Anthony Wint in a winner-only call. Track record: winner called in 16 of 25 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Picks with the Geek 2
Picks with the Geek 2View full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · to win | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Favors Wint’s speed, athleticism and wrestling to neutralize Armand’s power and control where the fight takes place. Track record: winner called in 5 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Artem MMA
Artem MMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Favors Wint’s speed and footwork against an Armand he considers uncomfortable striking and unconvincing in wrestling. Expects Wint to be able to beat him wherever the fight takes place. Track record: winner called in 37 of 60 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Fight Productions
Fight ProductionsView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Fight Productions selects Anthony Wint by ko/tko in round 1. Track record: winner called in 19 of 31 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KingofCrackdown5095
KingofCrackdown5095View full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| KingofCrackdown5095 picks Anthony Wint by first-round TKO. Track record: winner called in 17 of 28 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jon Litterine
Jon LitterineView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · to win | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Litterine selects Anthony Wint in a winner-only call. Track record: winner called in 52 of 86 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Walk The Line MMA
Walk The Line MMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Walk The Line MMA selects Anthony Wint by ko/tko in round 1. Track record: winner called in 13 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The Octagon Oracle
The Octagon OracleView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · KO/TKO | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Names Wint by TKO in his final prediction recap. Track record: winner called in 7 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
BeewolfMMA
BeewolfMMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Leans toward Wint’s athleticism while remaining unconvinced by his previous performance and acknowledging Armand’s size. Chooses a first-round TKO from grounded punches. Track record: winner called in 13 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
mmadbm
mmadbmView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Picks Wint by first-round knockout because he sees a large athletic gap over Armand. He expects Wint to hurt Armand explosively on the feet and to have the better wrestling if needed. Track record: winner called in 13 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The Finz Chats
The Finz ChatsView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · Dec | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| The Finz Chats selects Anthony Wint by decision. Track record: winner called in 12 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
D.Rose
D.RoseView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Expects Wint to exploit Armand’s unproven takedown defense with first-round ground-and-pound, while noting Armand’s striking threat. Track record: winner called in 11 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Greedo Plays MMA
Greedo Plays MMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Greedo Plays MMA selects Anthony Wint by ko/tko in round 1. Track record: winner called in 19 of 37 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Yuda
The MMA YudaView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · Sub | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| The MMA Yuda selects Anthony Wint by submission. Track record: winner called in 17 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Vinny
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Armand · Sub · R2 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Changes his initial decision call to a second-round submission and confirms that selection in the final recap. Track record: winner called in 6 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Schweppe
Chris SchweppeView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Wint · Sub · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Hit | |
| Chris Schweppe's MMA Fight Picks UFC 332 preview picks Anthony Wint by first-round submission. Track record: winner called in 30 of 61 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
30 of 31 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
AI Predictions — Results
Pre-fight calls compared with the recorded result. Winner, method and round are scored separately; market context names whether it comes from a qualified sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Wint · KO/TKO · R1
Closest probability Gemini put 76% on Wint.
AI Predictions — pre-fight snapshot
AI Predictions
Independent forecasts from ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini · latest 24 Sep, 9 days before the fight
All 3 models pick Wint
All three expect a win by KO/TKO, with win chances from 60% (Claude) to 76% (Gemini).
Method mix differs most for Decision: 13% (Claude) to 15% (ChatGPT), a 2-point range.
-
ChatGPT
40 of 70 winner picks correct · 57% hit rate
Pick Wint by KO/TKO in round 1
Win probability: Wint 71%, Armand 29%.
High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score. -
Claude
41 of 64 winner picks correct · 64% hit rate
Pick Wint by KO/TKO in round 1
Win probability: Wint 60%, Armand 40%.
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score. -
Gemini
45 of 70 winner picks correct · 64% hit rate
Pick Wint by KO/TKO in round 1
Win probability: Wint 76%, Armand 24%.
High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
More detail2 areas differ
The models differ on confidence, probability distribution.
| Detail | ChatGPT | Claude | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|
| How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack | |||
| Round | Round 1 | Round 1 | Round 1 |
| Detail | ChatGPT | Claude | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|
| How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack | |||
| Round | Round 1 | Round 1 | Round 1 |
ChatGPT
Pick
Wint by KO/TKO in round 1
High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Winner probability by method
gpt-6-astra · 24 Sep40 of 70 winner picks correct · 57% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Wint by KO/TKO in round 1
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Winner probability by method
claude-sonnet-5 · 24 Sep41 of 64 winner picks correct · 64% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Wint by KO/TKO in round 1
High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Winner probability by method
Version not reported · 24 Sep45 of 70 winner picks correct · 64% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗
No market odds are available for this fight yet.



























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