Knockouts worthy of bonuses💰 @JohnnyWalker, Damian Pinas, Imanol Rodriguez, and Roman Kopylov earn #UFC332 POTN bonuses after their electric RD1 finishes!
View photo on X ↗Roman Kopylov defeats Ateba Gautier by KO/TKO
KO/TKO · strikes
Round 1 · 3:12
Gautier vs Kopylov — Middleweight · UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang
Predictions summary
Analyst Picks
(34) 85%
15% (6)
AI Predictions
63%
37%
Market OddsComing soonNo forecast publishedUnavailable right nowBook prices available in Market
Checking latest live market odds.
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Kopylov landed several clean punches in the early going to establish his range and experience.
A left hand then wobbled Gautier and Kopylov swarmed, following him to the canvas.
Kopylov finished with strikes on the ground to open the main card with a win and a Performance of the Night bonus.
- primaryUFC 332 main card results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Gautier
Gautier is unbeaten in the UFC at 5-0 since his March 2025 debut, with four finishes including a second-round TKO of Ozzy Diaz in May 2026; his only judges' decision in that stretch came over Andrey Pulyaev. At 24 years old with a 206 cm reach, he is the clear physical and experience-curve outlier on this card.
Case for Kopylov
Kopylov is a decade-long veteran southpaw who has alternated momentum — back-to-back decision losses to Gregory Rodrigues and Paulo Costa in 2025 were followed by a rebound decision over Marco Tulio in May 2026. His profile-level metrics (4.54 significant strikes landed per minute, 89 percent takedown defense) back a dense kicking-and-left-hand attack, and he brings the far deeper UFC track record into this fight.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Gautier's size and reach advantage lets him strike from outside Kopylov's kicking range.
- Kopylov's decade of southpaw experience against a live finishing threat ten years his junior.
- Whether Gautier can be taken past a first-round finish for the first time since his UFC debut.
- Kopylov's response if hurt early, after his last two losses came by decision rather than stoppage.
Records & career stats
- 4.32 4.54
- 54% 53%
- 2.60 5.08
- 94% 89%
- 82% 80%
- 11-1-0
- Record
- 15-5-0
- —
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 3-2 last 5
- Cameroon
- Nationality
- Russia
- 24
- Age
- 34
- Switch
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Southpaw
- 05:41
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 12:16
- Manchester Top Team
- Team
- Raty Team
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
After the fight
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
(34) 85%
LGautier
15% (6)
KopylovW
Hank
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Expects Gautier’s power and pressure to overwhelm Kopylov against the fence.
Track record: winner called in 11 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 91.7% (11 hit, 1 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 90.9% (10 hit, 1 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 44.4% (4 hit, 5 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 91.7% 11 1
- Method Accuracy 90.9% 10 1
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
TheWeasle
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · Dec
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
He says Kopylov's low output can leave Gautier chances to pick shots from range; Gautier has size and reach, good boxing, and careful defense. He predicts a Gautier decision if Kopylov maintains his usual pace, while saying more output could change his view and make him favor Kopylov.
- His pick depends on Kopylov remaining near his usual low output.
“I think he's going to win this by a decision.”
* If Kopylov raises his output, the analyst says he thinks Kopylov will win.
Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.6% (115 hit, 48 miss, across 163 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.8% (47 hit, 29 miss, across 76 method-scored calls on 163 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 36.5% (19 hit, 33 miss, across 52 round-scored calls on 163 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 163 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
- Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
- Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
- Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
FightIQ
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
FightIQ's public record lists Ateba Gautier as its pick over Roman Kopylov.
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · Dec
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Ateba Gautier by decision.
Track record: winner called in 38 of 56 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.9% (38 hit, 18 miss, across 56 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.1% (18 hit, 11 miss, across 29 method-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 56 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 38 18
- Method Accuracy 62.1% 18 11
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
Matt
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Expects Gautier to hurt Kopylov early, with Kopylov’s toughness carrying him into a second-round knockout.
Track record: winner called in 14 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.7% (14 hit, 7 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (6 hit, 3 miss, across 9 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 14 7
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Favors Gautier by knockout but calls it a risky step up in competition. Thinks his reach, physicality and power can punish Kopylov’s tendency to absorb shots and trade rather than evade.
Track record: winner called in 213 of 322 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.1% (213 hit, 109 miss, across 322 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 method-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.9% (14 hit, 25 miss, across 39 round-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 47.4% (18 hit, 20 miss, across 38 underdog calls on 322 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.1% 213 109
- Method Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.4% 18 20
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · Dec
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Jake expects Ateba Gautier to out-damage Roman Kopylov and win a decision. He thinks Kopylov will hesitate against Gautier’s power, look for kicks and spend the fight moving on the back foot.
“Atiba will keep him on the back foot running around and he will out-damage him and get it done on the cards.”
Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 101 53
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 39 26
- Round Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Fite Feed
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · Dec
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Expects Gautier to land the bigger shots and win rounds, but respects Kopylov’s recovery and ability to survive.
Track record: winner called in 24 of 37 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.9% (24 hit, 13 miss, across 37 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.9% (14 hit, 9 miss, across 23 method-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 21.4% (3 hit, 11 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 37 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.9% 24 13
- Method Accuracy 60.9% 14 9
- Round Accuracy 21.4% 3 11
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Mate Bersenadze
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Mate Bersenadze picks Ateba Gautier by KO/TKO, per his UFC 332 preview.
Track record: winner called in 33 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.5% (33 hit, 19 miss, across 52 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 51.5% (17 hit, 16 miss, across 33 method-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 52 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.5% 33 19
- Method Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Livid Larry MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · Dec
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Livid Larry MMA selects Ateba Gautier by decision.
Track record: winner called in 34 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.0% (34 hit, 20 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 79.2% (19 hit, 5 miss, across 24 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.0% 34 20
- Method Accuracy 79.2% 19 5
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
Picks with the Geek 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Favors Gautier’s power and athleticism and doubts Kopylov will bank enough rounds against him.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.5% (5 hit, 3 miss, across 8 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
MMA JOEY
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
MMA JOEY selects Ateba Gautier.
Track record: winner called in 78 of 125 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.4% (78 hit, 47 miss, across 125 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.6% (27 hit, 31 miss, across 58 method-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.1% (9 hit, 23 miss, across 32 round-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 125 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.4% 78 47
- Method Accuracy 46.6% 27 31
- Round Accuracy 28.1% 9 23
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 7 14
James Lynch
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · Dec
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Lynch picks Gautier by decision.
Track record: winner called in 36 of 59 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 61.0% (36 hit, 23 miss, across 59 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 45.0% (9 hit, 11 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 59 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 61.0% 36 23
- Method Accuracy 45.0% 9 11
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
MMA Mathletes
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
MMA Mathletes selects Ateba Gautier.
Track record: winner called in 32 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (32 hit, 22 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 32 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · Dec
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
KingofCrackdown5095 picks Ateba Gautier by decision.
Track record: winner called in 37 of 63 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.7% (37 hit, 26 miss, across 63 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.6% (21 hit, 11 miss, across 32 method-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 42.1% (8 hit, 11 miss, across 19 round-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 63 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.7% 37 26
- Method Accuracy 65.6% 21 11
- Round Accuracy 42.1% 8 11
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
Kunath
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Kunath selects Ateba Gautier by ko/tko.
Track record: winner called in 38 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.5% (38 hit, 27 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 56.7% (17 hit, 13 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.5% 38 27
- Method Accuracy 56.7% 17 13
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
The Octagon Oracle
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Expects Gautier’s pressure and power to punish Kopylov’s discomfort under pressure.
Track record: winner called in 7 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (6 hit, 1 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 6 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Angelo Bodetti
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Bodetti expects Gautier’s speed and power to help him win early rounds, but respects Kopylov’s kickboxing, durability and wrestling. He picks Gautier while avoiding him for DraftKings because a decision or late cardio problems could limit the return.
Track record: winner called in 29 of 50 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.0% (29 hit, 21 miss, across 50 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 50 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.0% 29 21
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Artem MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Picks Gautier to catch Kopylov despite respecting Kopylov’s durability, kicks and willingness to pressure. Calls it a very low-confidence pick after nearly talking himself out of it.
Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 55 40
- Method Accuracy 63.8% 30 17
- Round Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Underdog Accuracy 23.5% 4 13
BeewolfMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Expects Gautier’s power to punish Kopylov when he plants his feet to attack. Rates Gautier’s ability to play his striking game and doubts Kopylov can remain stationary without being caught.
Track record: winner called in 13 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (13 hit, 10 miss, across 23 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (7 hit, 0 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 23 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 23 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 7
- Round Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Although Kopylov has a volume/wrestling route, concludes Gautier is the pick because Kopylov is hit too often on the feet.
Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 70 54
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.0% 7 18
Brian Campbell
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO · Round 3
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Brian Campbell picks Ateba Gautier to win by third-round TKO.
Track record: winner called in 24 of 43 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.8% (24 hit, 19 miss, across 43 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.0% (13 hit, 7 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 7.1% (1 hit, 13 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 43 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.8% 24 19
- Method Accuracy 65.0% 13 7
- Round Accuracy 7.1% 1 13
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
Shakiel Mahjouri
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · Dec
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Shakiel Mahjouri picks Ateba Gautier to win by unanimous decision.
Track record: winner called in 25 of 46 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.3% (25 hit, 21 miss, across 46 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (10 hit, 10 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 46 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 9 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 46 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 46 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.3% 25 21
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 10 10
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 9
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Schweppe picks Ateba Gautier to win by first-round knockout.
Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.5% 53 46
- Method Accuracy 47.2% 25 28
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
D.Rose
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · Dec
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Expects Kopylov to become cautious after being hurt and Gautier to show the measured style he used against Pulyaev.
Track record: winner called in 11 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.4% (11 hit, 10 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 80.0% (4 hit, 1 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.4% 11 10
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
The MMA Yuda selects Ateba Gautier.
Track record: winner called in 30 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.7% (30 hit, 28 miss, across 58 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 58 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 58 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 30 28
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Greedo Plays MMA selects Ateba Gautier by ko/tko in round 1.
Track record: winner called in 37 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (37 hit, 35 miss, across 72 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.3% (19 hit, 11 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 72 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 37 35
- Method Accuracy 63.3% 19 11
- Round Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Walk The Line MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Walk The Line MMA selects Ateba Gautier by ko/tko in round 2.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (27 hit, 27 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.9% (11 hit, 8 miss, across 19 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 27 27
- Method Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
Vinny
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Confirms Gautier by first-round knockout in the final recap after discussing his power and Kopylov’s vulnerability.
Track record: winner called in 6 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (6 hit, 6 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 16.7% (1 hit, 5 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 4 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
- Method Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 4
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
mmadbm
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Picks Gautier by knockout because he expects Kopylov’s footwork and head movement to leave him available for hard counters and combinations. He sees Gautier as the more durable fighter and doubts Kopylov can consistently wrestle and keep him down.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (12 hit, 2 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 41 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 12 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Gerardo Rivas
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Expects Gautier’s power to break through Kopylov’s resistance and stop him in the second round.
Track record: winner called in 7 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 15 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Chris Cross
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · Dec
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Leans Ateba Gautier to win two rounds to one, mainly on significant strikes and takedown defense, as Gautier continues to rise.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (8 hit, 12 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 20 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 20 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 8 12
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Josh Schonwald
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Josh Schonwald selects Ateba Gautier in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 6 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (6 hit, 9 miss, across 15 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 15 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 6 9
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Carlos Cano
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ateba Gautier · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Expects Gautier’s size and powerful punches to become too much for Kopylov in the second round.
Track record: winner called in 3 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 30.0% (3 hit, 7 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 10 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 10 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Roman Kopylov · Dec
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Bedtime favors Kopylov’s footwork, comfort fighting on the back foot and body/head kicks, then his ability to mix in grappling as the fight develops. He expects Kopylov to survive Gautier’s early power and wrestle in the later rounds, but warns that Gautier can punish predictable takedown entries with knees.
- Expects a close, competitive fight.
“I'm going to go with Roman Copilov by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 132 of 185 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 71.4% (132 hit, 53 miss, across 185 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.9% (60 hit, 37 miss, across 97 method-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.7% (11 hit, 16 miss, across 27 round-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 48.7% (19 hit, 20 miss, across 39 underdog calls on 185 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 132 53
- Method Accuracy 61.9% 60 37
- Round Accuracy 40.7% 11 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.7% 19 20
Michael Chiesa
Current pick evidence
Picked: Roman Kopylov
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Chiesa favors Kopylov's fast southpaw kickboxing, body kicks and combinations. He thinks Kopylov can improve on the striking successes Pulyaev had against Gautier, while Gautier needs to cut off lateral movement rather than chase.
“Roman Copilov is my pick and I'll tell you why right now.”
Track record: winner called in 50 of 75 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.7% (50 hit, 25 miss, across 75 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 75 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 75 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 50 25
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 2 10
Brent Brookhouse
Current pick evidence
Picked: Roman Kopylov · Dec
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Brent Brookhouse picks Roman Kopylov to win by unanimous decision.
Track record: winner called in 28 of 43 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 65.1% (28 hit, 15 miss, across 43 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 method-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 22.2% (2 hit, 7 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 43 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 65.1% 28 15
- Method Accuracy 36.4% 8 14
- Round Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Clenbat
Current pick evidence
Picked: Roman Kopylov
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Clenbat selects Roman Kopylov in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 49 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.1% (27 hit, 22 miss, across 49 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 49 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.1% 27 22
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
The Finz Chats
Current pick evidence
Picked: Roman Kopylov · Dec
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
The Finz Chats selects Roman Kopylov by decision.
Track record: winner called in 12 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.5% (12 hit, 10 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 12 10
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
Brandon Wise
Current pick evidence
Picked: Roman Kopylov · Dec
Fight result: Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO
Brandon Wise picks Roman Kopylov to win by unanimous decision.
Track record: winner called in 21 of 43 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 48.8% (21 hit, 22 miss, across 43 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (6 hit, 9 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 round-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 8.3% (1 hit, 11 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 43 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 21 22
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 6 9
- Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
- Underdog Accuracy 8.3% 1 11
Analyst picks: Hank Miss; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Miss; FightIQ Miss; Jimbo Ortega MMA Miss; Michael Chiesa Hit; Matt Miss; The MMA Guru Miss; JakeGerberMMA Miss; Brent Brookhouse Hit; Fite Feed Miss; Mate Bersenadze Miss; Livid Larry MMA Miss; Picks with the Geek 2 Miss; MMA JOEY Miss; James Lynch Miss; MMA Mathletes Miss; KingofCrackdown5095 Miss; Kunath Miss; The Octagon Oracle Miss; Angelo Bodetti Miss; Artem MMA Miss; BeewolfMMA Miss; Jon Litterine Miss; Brian Campbell Miss; Clenbat Hit; The Finz Chats Hit; Shakiel Mahjouri Miss; Chris Schweppe Miss; D.Rose Miss; The MMA Yuda Miss; Greedo Plays MMA Miss; Walk The Line MMA Miss; Vinny Miss; Brandon Wise Hit; mmadbm Miss; Gerardo Rivas Miss; Chris Cross Miss; Josh Schonwald Miss; Carlos Cano Miss.
Only 6 of 40 called the upset.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
| Expand row |
|---|
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Kopylov · KO/TKO · R1
Closest probability ChatGPT put 39% on Kopylov.
61%
Gautier
39%
Kopylov
PickGautier · KO/TKO · R2ActualKopylov · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missed
62%
Gautier
38%
Kopylov
PickGautier · KO/TKO · R2ActualKopylov · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missed
65%
Gautier
35%
Kopylov
PickGautier · KO/TKO · R2ActualKopylov · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedAI Predictions — latest pre-fight calls
Frozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.AI Predictions
Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.
ChatGPT
63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Gautier
Most likely: Gautier by KO/TKO, about 37 in 100
Win chance: Gautier 61%, Kopylov 39%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Claude
61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Pick Gautier
Most likely: Gautier by KO/TKO, about 40 in 100
Win chance: Gautier 62%, Kopylov 38%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Gemini
68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
Pick Gautier
Most likely: Gautier by KO/TKO, about 36 in 100
Win chance: Gautier 65%, Kopylov 35%.
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
3 of 3 models pick Gautier.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Gautier: 61% (about 61 in 100 fights). Kopylov: 39%.
Claude
Gautier: 62% (about 62 in 100 fights). Kopylov: 38%.
Gemini
Gautier: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Kopylov: 35%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Gautier by KO/TKO: 37% (about 37 in 100).
Claude
Gautier by KO/TKO: 40% (about 40 in 100).
Gemini
Gautier by KO/TKO: 36% (about 36 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Gautier by KO/TKO (37%); 2. Gautier by decision (23%); 3. Kopylov by decision (22%)
Claude
1. Gautier by KO/TKO (40%); 2. Kopylov by KO/TKO (20%); 3. Gautier by decision (18%)
Gemini
1. Gautier by KO/TKO (36%); 2. Gautier by decision (27%); 3. Kopylov by KO/TKO (17%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Gautier's 61% win chance.
Claude
6 of 10, based on Gautier's 62% win chance.
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Gautier's 65% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 55%. Decision: 45%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 67%. Decision: 33%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 57%. Decision: 43%.
How does Gautier win?
ChatGPT
Gautier wins 61%: KO/TKO 37%, submission 1%, decision 23%.
Claude
Gautier wins 62%: KO/TKO 40%, submission 4%, decision 18%.
Gemini
Gautier wins 65%: KO/TKO 36%, submission 2%, decision 27%.
How does Kopylov win?
ChatGPT
Kopylov wins 39%: KO/TKO 16%, submission 1%, decision 22%.
Claude
Kopylov wins 38%: KO/TKO 20%, submission 3%, decision 15%.
Gemini
Kopylov wins 35%: KO/TKO 17%, submission 2%, decision 16%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
ChatGPT
Kopylov's most likely upset: Kopylov by decision (22%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
All models
The models agree: all 3 pick Gautier.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Kopylov by KO/TKO in round 1. Kopylov by KO/TKO was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Gautier by KO/TKO (37%).
Claude
Result: Kopylov by KO/TKO in round 1. Kopylov by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Gautier by KO/TKO (40%).
Gemini
Result: Kopylov by KO/TKO in round 1. Kopylov by KO/TKO was the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Gautier by KO/TKO (36%).
More questions (17)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 53%, submission 2%, decision 45%.
Claude
KO/TKO 60%, submission 7%, decision 33%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 53%, submission 4%, decision 43%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Gautier: 38%, against 17% for Kopylov.
Claude
Gautier: 44%, against 23% for Kopylov.
Gemini
Gautier: 38%, against 19% for Kopylov.
Can Gautier get the finish? Can Kopylov?
ChatGPT
Gautier: 38% (KO/TKO 37%, submission 1%). Kopylov: 17% (KO/TKO 16%, submission 1%).
Claude
Gautier: 44% (KO/TKO 40%, submission 4%). Kopylov: 23% (KO/TKO 20%, submission 3%).
Gemini
Gautier: 38% (KO/TKO 36%, submission 2%). Kopylov: 19% (KO/TKO 17%, submission 2%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Gautier is knocked out in 16% and submitted in 1%. Kopylov is knocked out in 37% and submitted in 1%.
Claude
Gautier is knocked out in 20% and submitted in 3%. Kopylov is knocked out in 40% and submitted in 4%.
Gemini
Gautier is knocked out in 17% and submitted in 2%. Kopylov is knocked out in 36% and submitted in 2%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 61% vs 39%.
Claude
A clear favourite: 62% vs 38%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Kopylov wins 39% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Claude
Kopylov wins 38% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Gemini
Kopylov wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
45%.
Claude
33%.
Gemini
43%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Gautier 51%, Kopylov 49%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Gautier 55%, Kopylov 46%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Gautier 63%, Kopylov 37%.
Compared with others 4 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Kopylov by decision, 22% here against 16% on average for the others.
Claude
Biggest difference: Gautier by decision, 18% here against 25% on average for the others.
Gemini
Biggest difference: Gautier by decision, 27% here against 21% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 40 analyst picks, 34 back Gautier and 6 back Kopylov. This model picks Gautier (61%).
Claude
Of 40 analyst picks, 34 back Gautier and 6 back Kopylov. This model picks Gautier (62%).
Gemini
Of 40 analyst picks, 34 back Gautier and 6 back Kopylov. This model picks Gautier (65%).
Which model is most confident on Gautier, and which on Kopylov?
All models
On Gautier: Gemini (65%). On Kopylov: ChatGPT (39%).
Where do the models disagree most?
All models
Gautier by decision: from 18% (Claude) to 27% (Gemini).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
ChatGPT
No.
Claude
Yes.
Gemini
Yes.
ChatGPT
Pick
Gautier
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Gautier by KO/TKO, about 37 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 2.
Win chance: Gautier 61%, Kopylov 39%.
Most likely outcomes
- Gautier by KO/TKO37%
- Gautier by decision23%
- Kopylov by decision22%
- KO/TKO: Gautier 37%, Kopylov 16%.
- Submission: Gautier 1%, Kopylov 1%.
- Decision: Gautier 23%, Kopylov 22%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Gautier: 61% (about 61 in 100 fights). Kopylov: 39%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Gautier: 62% (about 62 in 100 fights). Kopylov: 38%.
Gemini
Gautier: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Kopylov: 35%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Gautier by KO/TKO: 37% (about 37 in 100).
Other models' answers
Claude
Gautier by KO/TKO: 40% (about 40 in 100).
Gemini
Gautier by KO/TKO: 36% (about 36 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Gautier by KO/TKO (37%); 2. Gautier by decision (23%); 3. Kopylov by decision (22%)
Other models' answers
Claude
1. Gautier by KO/TKO (40%); 2. Kopylov by KO/TKO (20%); 3. Gautier by decision (18%)
Gemini
1. Gautier by KO/TKO (36%); 2. Gautier by decision (27%); 3. Kopylov by KO/TKO (17%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Gautier's 61% win chance.
Other models' answers
Claude
6 of 10, based on Gautier's 62% win chance.
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Gautier's 65% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 55%. Decision: 45%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 67%. Decision: 33%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 57%. Decision: 43%.
How does Gautier win?
ChatGPT
Gautier wins 61%: KO/TKO 37%, submission 1%, decision 23%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Gautier wins 62%: KO/TKO 40%, submission 4%, decision 18%.
Gemini
Gautier wins 65%: KO/TKO 36%, submission 2%, decision 27%.
How does Kopylov win?
ChatGPT
Kopylov wins 39%: KO/TKO 16%, submission 1%, decision 22%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Kopylov wins 38%: KO/TKO 20%, submission 3%, decision 15%.
Gemini
Kopylov wins 35%: KO/TKO 17%, submission 2%, decision 16%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
ChatGPT
Kopylov's most likely upset: Kopylov by decision (22%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
ChatGPT
The models agree: all 3 pick Gautier.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Kopylov by KO/TKO in round 1. Kopylov by KO/TKO was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Gautier by KO/TKO (37%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Result: Kopylov by KO/TKO in round 1. Kopylov by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Gautier by KO/TKO (40%).
Gemini
Result: Kopylov by KO/TKO in round 1. Kopylov by KO/TKO was the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Gautier by KO/TKO (36%).
More questions (17)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 53%, submission 2%, decision 45%.
Other models' answers
Claude
KO/TKO 60%, submission 7%, decision 33%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 53%, submission 4%, decision 43%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Gautier: 38%, against 17% for Kopylov.
Other models' answers
Claude
Gautier: 44%, against 23% for Kopylov.
Gemini
Gautier: 38%, against 19% for Kopylov.
Can Gautier get the finish? Can Kopylov?
ChatGPT
Gautier: 38% (KO/TKO 37%, submission 1%). Kopylov: 17% (KO/TKO 16%, submission 1%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Gautier: 44% (KO/TKO 40%, submission 4%). Kopylov: 23% (KO/TKO 20%, submission 3%).
Gemini
Gautier: 38% (KO/TKO 36%, submission 2%). Kopylov: 19% (KO/TKO 17%, submission 2%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Gautier is knocked out in 16% and submitted in 1%. Kopylov is knocked out in 37% and submitted in 1%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Gautier is knocked out in 20% and submitted in 3%. Kopylov is knocked out in 40% and submitted in 4%.
Gemini
Gautier is knocked out in 17% and submitted in 2%. Kopylov is knocked out in 36% and submitted in 2%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 61% vs 39%.
Other models' answers
Claude
A clear favourite: 62% vs 38%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Kopylov wins 39% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Other models' answers
Claude
Kopylov wins 38% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Gemini
Kopylov wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
45%.
Other models' answers
Claude
33%.
Gemini
43%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Gautier 51%, Kopylov 49%.
Other models' answers
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Gautier 55%, Kopylov 46%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Gautier 63%, Kopylov 37%.
Compared with others 4 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Kopylov by decision, 22% here against 16% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
Claude
Biggest difference: Gautier by decision, 18% here against 25% on average for the others.
Gemini
Biggest difference: Gautier by decision, 27% here against 21% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 40 analyst picks, 34 back Gautier and 6 back Kopylov. This model picks Gautier (61%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Of 40 analyst picks, 34 back Gautier and 6 back Kopylov. This model picks Gautier (62%).
Gemini
Of 40 analyst picks, 34 back Gautier and 6 back Kopylov. This model picks Gautier (65%).
Which model is most confident on Gautier, and which on Kopylov?
ChatGPT
On Gautier: Gemini (65%). On Kopylov: ChatGPT (39%).
Where do the models disagree most?
ChatGPT
Gautier by decision: from 18% (Claude) to 27% (Gemini).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Other models' answers
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
ChatGPT
No.
Other models' answers
Claude
Yes.
Gemini
Yes.
gpt-6-astra · 27 Sep63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Gautier
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Gautier by KO/TKO, about 40 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 2.
Win chance: Gautier 62%, Kopylov 38%.
Most likely outcomes
- Gautier by KO/TKO40%
- Kopylov by KO/TKO20%
- Gautier by decision18%
- KO/TKO: Gautier 40%, Kopylov 20%.
- Submission: Gautier 4%, Kopylov 3%.
- Decision: Gautier 18%, Kopylov 15%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Claude
Gautier: 62% (about 62 in 100 fights). Kopylov: 38%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Gautier: 61% (about 61 in 100 fights). Kopylov: 39%.
Gemini
Gautier: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Kopylov: 35%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Claude
Gautier by KO/TKO: 40% (about 40 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Gautier by KO/TKO: 37% (about 37 in 100).
Gemini
Gautier by KO/TKO: 36% (about 36 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Claude
1. Gautier by KO/TKO (40%); 2. Kopylov by KO/TKO (20%); 3. Gautier by decision (18%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Gautier by KO/TKO (37%); 2. Gautier by decision (23%); 3. Kopylov by decision (22%)
Gemini
1. Gautier by KO/TKO (36%); 2. Gautier by decision (27%); 3. Kopylov by KO/TKO (17%)
How confident is the model?
Claude
6 of 10, based on Gautier's 62% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Gautier's 61% win chance.
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Gautier's 65% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 67%. Decision: 33%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 55%. Decision: 45%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 57%. Decision: 43%.
How does Gautier win?
Claude
Gautier wins 62%: KO/TKO 40%, submission 4%, decision 18%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Gautier wins 61%: KO/TKO 37%, submission 1%, decision 23%.
Gemini
Gautier wins 65%: KO/TKO 36%, submission 2%, decision 27%.
How does Kopylov win?
Claude
Kopylov wins 38%: KO/TKO 20%, submission 3%, decision 15%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Kopylov wins 39%: KO/TKO 16%, submission 1%, decision 22%.
Gemini
Kopylov wins 35%: KO/TKO 17%, submission 2%, decision 16%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Claude
The models agree: all 3 pick Gautier.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Claude
Result: Kopylov by KO/TKO in round 1. Kopylov by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Gautier by KO/TKO (40%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Kopylov by KO/TKO in round 1. Kopylov by KO/TKO was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Gautier by KO/TKO (37%).
Gemini
Result: Kopylov by KO/TKO in round 1. Kopylov by KO/TKO was the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Gautier by KO/TKO (36%).
More questions (17)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Claude
KO/TKO 60%, submission 7%, decision 33%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 53%, submission 2%, decision 45%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 53%, submission 4%, decision 43%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Claude
Gautier: 44%, against 23% for Kopylov.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Gautier: 38%, against 17% for Kopylov.
Gemini
Gautier: 38%, against 19% for Kopylov.
Can Gautier get the finish? Can Kopylov?
Claude
Gautier: 44% (KO/TKO 40%, submission 4%). Kopylov: 23% (KO/TKO 20%, submission 3%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Gautier: 38% (KO/TKO 37%, submission 1%). Kopylov: 17% (KO/TKO 16%, submission 1%).
Gemini
Gautier: 38% (KO/TKO 36%, submission 2%). Kopylov: 19% (KO/TKO 17%, submission 2%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Claude
Gautier is knocked out in 20% and submitted in 3%. Kopylov is knocked out in 40% and submitted in 4%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Gautier is knocked out in 16% and submitted in 1%. Kopylov is knocked out in 37% and submitted in 1%.
Gemini
Gautier is knocked out in 17% and submitted in 2%. Kopylov is knocked out in 36% and submitted in 2%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Claude
A clear favourite: 62% vs 38%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 61% vs 39%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Claude
Kopylov wins 38% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Kopylov wins 39% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Gemini
Kopylov wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Claude
33%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
45%.
Gemini
43%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Gautier 55%, Kopylov 46%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Gautier 51%, Kopylov 49%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Gautier 63%, Kopylov 37%.
Compared with others 4 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Claude
Biggest difference: Gautier by decision, 18% here against 25% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Kopylov by decision, 22% here against 16% on average for the others.
Gemini
Biggest difference: Gautier by decision, 27% here against 21% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Claude
Of 40 analyst picks, 34 back Gautier and 6 back Kopylov. This model picks Gautier (62%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 40 analyst picks, 34 back Gautier and 6 back Kopylov. This model picks Gautier (61%).
Gemini
Of 40 analyst picks, 34 back Gautier and 6 back Kopylov. This model picks Gautier (65%).
Which model is most confident on Gautier, and which on Kopylov?
Claude
On Gautier: Gemini (65%). On Kopylov: ChatGPT (39%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Claude
Gautier by decision: from 18% (Claude) to 27% (Gemini).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Claude
Yes.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
No.
claude-sonnet-5 · 27 Sep61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Gautier
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Most likely: Gautier by KO/TKO, about 36 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 2.
Win chance: Gautier 65%, Kopylov 35%.
Most likely outcomes
- Gautier by KO/TKO36%
- Gautier by decision27%
- Kopylov by KO/TKO17%
- KO/TKO: Gautier 36%, Kopylov 17%.
- Submission: Gautier 2%, Kopylov 2%.
- Decision: Gautier 27%, Kopylov 16%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Gemini
Gautier: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Kopylov: 35%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Gautier: 61% (about 61 in 100 fights). Kopylov: 39%.
Claude
Gautier: 62% (about 62 in 100 fights). Kopylov: 38%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Gemini
Gautier by KO/TKO: 36% (about 36 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Gautier by KO/TKO: 37% (about 37 in 100).
Claude
Gautier by KO/TKO: 40% (about 40 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Gemini
1. Gautier by KO/TKO (36%); 2. Gautier by decision (27%); 3. Kopylov by KO/TKO (17%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Gautier by KO/TKO (37%); 2. Gautier by decision (23%); 3. Kopylov by decision (22%)
Claude
1. Gautier by KO/TKO (40%); 2. Kopylov by KO/TKO (20%); 3. Gautier by decision (18%)
How confident is the model?
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Gautier's 65% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Gautier's 61% win chance.
Claude
6 of 10, based on Gautier's 62% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 57%. Decision: 43%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 55%. Decision: 45%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 67%. Decision: 33%.
How does Gautier win?
Gemini
Gautier wins 65%: KO/TKO 36%, submission 2%, decision 27%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Gautier wins 61%: KO/TKO 37%, submission 1%, decision 23%.
Claude
Gautier wins 62%: KO/TKO 40%, submission 4%, decision 18%.
How does Kopylov win?
Gemini
Kopylov wins 35%: KO/TKO 17%, submission 2%, decision 16%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Kopylov wins 39%: KO/TKO 16%, submission 1%, decision 22%.
Claude
Kopylov wins 38%: KO/TKO 20%, submission 3%, decision 15%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Gemini
The models agree: all 3 pick Gautier.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Gemini
Result: Kopylov by KO/TKO in round 1. Kopylov by KO/TKO was the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Gautier by KO/TKO (36%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Kopylov by KO/TKO in round 1. Kopylov by KO/TKO was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Gautier by KO/TKO (37%).
Claude
Result: Kopylov by KO/TKO in round 1. Kopylov by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Gautier by KO/TKO (40%).
More questions (17)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Gemini
KO/TKO 53%, submission 4%, decision 43%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 53%, submission 2%, decision 45%.
Claude
KO/TKO 60%, submission 7%, decision 33%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Gemini
Gautier: 38%, against 19% for Kopylov.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Gautier: 38%, against 17% for Kopylov.
Claude
Gautier: 44%, against 23% for Kopylov.
Can Gautier get the finish? Can Kopylov?
Gemini
Gautier: 38% (KO/TKO 36%, submission 2%). Kopylov: 19% (KO/TKO 17%, submission 2%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Gautier: 38% (KO/TKO 37%, submission 1%). Kopylov: 17% (KO/TKO 16%, submission 1%).
Claude
Gautier: 44% (KO/TKO 40%, submission 4%). Kopylov: 23% (KO/TKO 20%, submission 3%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Gemini
Gautier is knocked out in 17% and submitted in 2%. Kopylov is knocked out in 36% and submitted in 2%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Gautier is knocked out in 16% and submitted in 1%. Kopylov is knocked out in 37% and submitted in 1%.
Claude
Gautier is knocked out in 20% and submitted in 3%. Kopylov is knocked out in 40% and submitted in 4%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Gemini
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 61% vs 39%.
Claude
A clear favourite: 62% vs 38%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Gemini
Kopylov wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Kopylov wins 39% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Claude
Kopylov wins 38% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Gemini
43%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
45%.
Claude
33%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Gautier 63%, Kopylov 37%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Gautier 51%, Kopylov 49%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Gautier 55%, Kopylov 46%.
Compared with others 4 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Gemini
Biggest difference: Gautier by decision, 27% here against 21% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Kopylov by decision, 22% here against 16% on average for the others.
Claude
Biggest difference: Gautier by decision, 18% here against 25% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Gemini
Of 40 analyst picks, 34 back Gautier and 6 back Kopylov. This model picks Gautier (65%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 40 analyst picks, 34 back Gautier and 6 back Kopylov. This model picks Gautier (61%).
Claude
Of 40 analyst picks, 34 back Gautier and 6 back Kopylov. This model picks Gautier (62%).
Which model is most confident on Gautier, and which on Kopylov?
Gemini
On Gautier: Gemini (65%). On Kopylov: ChatGPT (39%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Gemini
Gautier by decision: from 18% (Claude) to 27% (Gemini).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Gemini
Yes.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
No.
Version not reported · 29 Sep68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET
Market Odds
No current consensus line is saved on this page.
Comments are currently closed while we finish moderation and privacy controls.