Michael Chiesa

UFC fighter and commentator
AnalystFighter

The chips above are a lens, not a credential we conferred.

UFC veteran Michael Chiesa shares full-card UFC prediction breakdowns and betting picks on his channel.

Michael Chiesa on YouTube ↗

Track Record

Derived from every pick we've logged and verified — shown with its denominator, never a bare percentage. Draws and no-contests fall outside it. How Track Record works.

Track record building — no calls resolved yet

Visible hit/miss split unlocks at 5 resolved scored picks; current sample is 0.

Call Profile

How this analyst's logged calls performed: winner, stated detail, and frozen pre-event underdog context.

10Winner only 1KO/TKO 2Decision

Winner-only and method calls are separated so specificity stays visible.

On the Card

Michael Chiesa's picks for UFC Fight Night — tap a row for the reasoning and the source clip.

Upcoming Ankalaev vs Guskov PickAnkalaev · to win Michael Chiesa: picks Ankalaev · to win for Ankalaev vs Guskov — upcoming.

Favors Ankalaev's measured, well-rounded game and ability to work at range, in the clinch or on the mat against Guskov's short-notice challenge.

Upcoming Erceg vs Temirov PickTemirov · to win Michael Chiesa: picks Temirov · to win for Erceg vs Temirov — upcoming.

Calls it close but favors Temirov's explosiveness and more meaningful shots; he explicitly leaves finish versus decision open.

Upcoming Ponzinibbio vs Patterson PickPatterson · to win Michael Chiesa: picks Patterson · to win for Ponzinibbio vs Patterson — upcoming.

Names Patterson as his preliminary-card pick without a method call.

Upcoming Kuniev vs Fortune PickKuniev · Decision Michael Chiesa: picks Kuniev · Decision for Kuniev vs Fortune — upcoming.

Favors Kuniev's pocket combinations and knees against Fortune's wrestling entries, but does not expect Fortune to be stopped.

Upcoming Dulatov vs Turman PickDulatov · KO/TKO Michael Chiesa: picks Dulatov · KO/TKO for Dulatov vs Turman — upcoming.

Expects Dulatov's striking, including elbows or a check hook, to stop Turman as Turman presses for the clinch.

Upcoming Bonfim vs Sola PickSola · to win Michael Chiesa: picks Sola · to win for Bonfim vs Sola — upcoming.

Names Sola as his preliminary-card pick without a method call.

Upcoming Walker vs Petersen PickWalker · to win Michael Chiesa: picks Walker · to win for Walker vs Petersen — upcoming.

Names Walker as his preliminary-card pick without a method call.

Upcoming Tuchalov vs Ribeiro PickTuchalov · to win Michael Chiesa: picks Tuchalov · to win for Tuchalov vs Ribeiro — upcoming.

Names Tuchalov as his preliminary-card pick without a method call.

Upcoming Zaynukov vs Rzepecki PickZaynukov · to win Michael Chiesa: picks Zaynukov · to win for Zaynukov vs Rzepecki — upcoming.

Expects Zaynukov's output and well-rounded camp experience to overwhelm Rzepecki and find a finish inside two rounds, without naming a specific method or round.

Upcoming Davis vs Aliev PickDavis · to win Michael Chiesa: picks Davis · to win for Davis vs Aliev — upcoming.

Backs Davis as the more technically complete fighter if he stays mobile and keeps Aliev's grappling from dictating the bout.

Upcoming Vagaev vs Izagakhmaev PickVagaev · Decision Michael Chiesa: picks Vagaev · Decision for Vagaev vs Izagakhmaev — upcoming.

Favors Vagaev's deeper game and more reliable gas tank over Izagakhmaev after the latter faded in a previous long-layoff return.

Upcoming Jacoby vs Said PickJacoby · to win Michael Chiesa: picks Jacoby · to win for Jacoby vs Said — upcoming.

Names Jacoby as his preliminary-card pick without a method call.

Upcoming Gibson vs Hussein PickHussein · to win Michael Chiesa: picks Hussein · to win for Gibson vs Hussein — upcoming.

Names Hussein as his preliminary-card pick without a method call.

Resolved Calls

Once the card settles, every call shows up here with predicted vs actual.

No calls have resolved yet — check back after fight night.

Watch all of Michael Chiesa's video picks in the library