UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez 1 Aug 2026 · Belgrade Arena, Belgrade, Serbia, RS

Aleksandar Rakić defeats Marcin Tybura by unanimous decision

Win Rocket Aleksandar Rakić View profile 15-6-0

Loss Tybur Marcin Tybura View profile 27-12-0

Unanimous decision

Round 3 · 5:00

At a glance

Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.

Analyst Picks13 analysts✓ Correct 100%13 picks 0%0 picks

Analyst picks AI forecasts Market odds

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Rakic took the first round with better output and cleaner blows in his heavyweight debut. The contest then moved into the second round.

Tybura pushed back through the second and third rounds. Rakic had already taken the opening round.

The contest went the full fifteen minutes and Rakic took the unanimous verdict.

Official UFC resultsUFC.com — UFC Belgrade main card results

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Rakić

Rakić remains the cleaner athlete and the harder single-shot puncher, with a 71% finish rate and an 86% takedown defence that should keep this standing. Tybura was knocked out by Ante Delija in just over two minutes in September 2025, so the finish is there even on Rakić's first trip to heavyweight.

Case for Tybura

Tybura is the more durable and more experienced man at 27-11, with a 1.30 takedown average that gives him a path Rakić has struggled to answer. Rakić has lost four in a row and been stopped by strikes twice in that run; if Tybura can make it a grinding, clinch-heavy fight, the older man has the better engine.

What We Were Watching For

Rakić's leg kicks — historically his best weapon, and Tybura's base depends on his stance.
Takedowns; Tybura lands 1.30 per fifteen minutes against Rakić's 86% takedown defence.
Whether either man shows the chin damage of a combined six recent losses.
Pace after round two — Rakić is 34, Tybura 40, and neither has finished a fight late recently.

Records & career stats

Rakić vs Tybura

Rakić Tybura

OutputSig. strikes landed / min 4.20 3.49
Striking def.Striking defense 55% 55%
DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 2.78 3.34
Takedown def.Takedown defense 87% 71%
FinishingFinish rate 71% 63%

14-6-0
Record: 27-11-0; 1-4 last 5
Recent form: 3-2 last 5; Austria
Nationality: Poland; 34
Age: 40; 1.93 m
Height — Rakić leads: 1.91 m; 198 cm
Reach: 198 cm; Orthodox
Stance: —; 71%
Finish rateFinish % — Rakić leads: 63%; 9
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Tybura leads: 10; 1
Wins by submissionSub wins — Tybura leads: 7; 4.20
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Rakić leads: 3.49; 2.78
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Rakić leads: 3.34; 55%
Striking defenseStrike def.: 55%; 87%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Rakić leads: 71%; 11:03
Avg. fight timeAvg. time: 11:11; Light Heavyweight (moving up)
Weight classWeight: Heavyweight; American Top Team Zagreb
Team: S4 Warszawa

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

(13) 100%

WRakić

0% (0)

TyburaL

Analyst prediction scorecards

Bedtime MMA170 resolved calls Bedtime MMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 70.6% 120 50 Method Accuracy 63.6% 56 32 Round Accuracy 40.0% 10 15 Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · Dec	Rakić · Dec R3	Hit	Hit	Not called
Sees a clear striking and speed edge for Rakic plus leg kicks and takedowns, with Tybura fading badly into the later rounds. Openly flags Rakic's chin as the one way it goes wrong. “Rockic versus Marching Tiber, mate. You know the thing about Marching Tyber, know the thing about Marching Tyber, mate, he could [ __ ] pull this off. mate, he could [ __ ] pull this off. You know, I'm gonna go with Rockic by You know, I'm gonna go with Rockic by decision, but I'm not fully confident. decision, but I'm not fully confident. Like I I I I I I I my brain is telling Like I I I I I I I my brain is telling me obviously you pick [ __ ] Alexander me obviousl” Hear it — 24:46 Bedtime MMA on YouTube ↗ Bedtime MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 120 of 170 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
AJ Devito237 resolved calls AJ DevitoView full track record Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72 Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42 Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2 Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · to win	Rakić · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
Thinks Rakic's speed, footwork and kicks at his new heavyweight build are far too much for a fading 40-year-old Tybura, who has no real power to threaten him. “decision. Both seem very likely for this matchup. And I think Rockic takes home a matchup. And I think Rockic takes home a pretty lopsided win against an aging pretty lopsided win against an aging Martian Tyber. So, the prediction for me Martian Tyber. So, the prediction for me is going to be Alexander Rockic to get is going to be Alexander Rockic to get back on business. And I think he beats back on business. And I think he beats up Martian Tyber in the feature fight of up Martian Tyber in the ” Hear it — 60:03 AJ Devito on YouTube ↗ AJ Devito’s track record → Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
KennyOkoyeMMA53 resolved calls KennyOkoyeMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17 Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 62.5% 5 3 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · to win	Rakić · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
Calls it his lock of the card: Tybura's knees and mobility are shot, Rakic's low kicks are stylistically too much, and moving up may protect Rakic's chin by removing the weight cut. “but because stylistically, I think his low kicks could be very problematic for low kicks could be very problematic for Tybura and he could be just too much for Tybura and he could be just too much for Tybura. So, I'm going Rakic to win by KO Tybura. So, I'm going Rakic to win by KO or points. or points. Next up, we got the co-main event, I Next up, we got the co-main event, I believe. believe. We got Jan Blachowicz. We got Navajo We got Jan Blachowicz. We got Navajo Sterling. We got the white Ad” Hear it — 15:05 KennyOkoyeMMA on YouTube ↗ KennyOkoyeMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls Michael ChiesaView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20 Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · to win	Rakić · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
Likes the move to heavyweight for Rakic, who he says is oversized for 205 and will perform better without the cut, with a clear athleticism, speed and power edge over the 40-year-old Tybura. “Rakic. I think all signs point to him being a heavy favorite in this fight. being a heavy favorite in this fight. So, that's why I'm picking Aleksandar So, that's why I'm picking Aleksandar Rakic Rakic to win. I don't know how. I know I know to win. I don't know how. I know I know in a in full disclaimer, I know you guys in a in full disclaimer, I know you guys really want me to give you methods of really want me to give you methods of victory, but victory, but it's just it's it's too much at ti” Hear it — 25:03 Michael Chiesa on YouTube ↗ Michael Chiesa’s track record → Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
JakeGerberMMA116 resolved calls JakeGerberMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 66.4% 77 39 Method Accuracy 61.7% 29 18 Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5 Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · Dec	Rakić · Dec R3	Hit	Hit	Not called
Calls Tybura slow, sloppy and washed and says Rakic should be faster and sharper even in his heavyweight debut, settling on a wide, coasting decision. “isn't good. This is absolutely a fight that Rockic should win. He should win it that Rockic should win. He should win it all day long. Might even find a TKO, but all day long. Might even find a TKO, but I'll side with a 30 to 27. Easy coasting I'll side with a 30 to 27. Easy coasting decision for Rockic. Uh just blasting uh decision for Rockic. Uh just blasting uh kicks to the legs, to the body, maybe kicks to the legs, to the body, maybe even catches him with a head kick, even catches him with ” Hear it — 61:12 JakeGerberMMA on YouTube ↗ JakeGerberMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 77 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
The MMA Guru296 resolved calls The MMA GuruView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.9% 195 101 Method Accuracy 52.9% 55 49 Round Accuracy 34.3% 12 23 Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 15 18 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · KO/TKO	Rakić · Dec R3	Hit	Miss	Not called
Expects Rakic's size, movement and leg kicks to break down the plodding Tybura, then finish him on top after sprawling on a desperation takedown. “I'm going to go with Robert Valentin getting this one done by finish early. getting this one done by finish early. Early on the card. We move on. Early on the card. We move on. Aleksandar Rakic versus Marcin Tybura. Aleksandar Rakic versus Marcin Tybura. If Aleksandar Rakic loses to Marcin If Aleksandar Rakic loses to Marcin Tybura, Tybura, I don't know what we ever saw in him. I don't know what we ever saw in him. And yes, we And yes, we you remember a time where Rakic was you remember a time w” Hear it — 22:41 The MMA Guru on YouTube ↗ The MMA Guru’s track record → Track record: winner called in 195 of 296 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
DFS By The Numbers142 resolved calls DFS By The NumbersView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.5% 93 49 Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34 Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25 Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · Dec	Rakić · Dec R3	Hit	Hit	Not called
Frames it as the battle of who is least washed — Rakic has not won in five years, but he is the more skilled striker with better takedown defence against a Tybura who looks horrible. “Let me just pick apart this slow old man for for 15 minutes and then get a dub." for for 15 minutes and then get a dub." And I kind of think that's what's going And I kind of think that's what's going to happen. So, I'm going to go on to happen. So, I'm going to go on Aleksandar Rakic to win by decision. Aleksandar Rakic to win by decision. Up next, we got Robert Whittaker Up next, we got Robert Whittaker going against Duško Todorović. We got going against Duško Todorović. We got Valentine -130.” Hear it — 29:21 DFS By The Numbers on YouTube ↗ DFS By The Numbers’s track record → Track record: winner called in 93 of 142 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
We Want Picks145 resolved calls We Want PicksView full track record Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52 Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3 Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · to win	Rakić · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
Backs Rakic’s footwork, striking and takedown defence despite a suspect chin, while calling the price risky money on a fighter coming off four straight losses. “clearly, his last one. Seems like Seems like very risky money to make. very risky money to make. But Rakić is the pick. But Rakić is the pick. And then we have the co-main event of And then we have the co-main event of the evening. Bit of a switcheroo here the evening. Bit of a switcheroo here because Bogdan Guskov will move to because Bogdan Guskov will move to another card. Jan got moved around and another card. Jan got moved around and there was a lot of movement here, but we there was a lot ” Hear it — 35:37 We Want Picks on YouTube ↗ We Want Picks’s track record → Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
HopperMMA120 resolved calls HopperMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 63.3% 76 44 Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23 Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19 Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · KO/TKO · R3	Rakić · Dec R3	Hit	Miss	Miss
Calls Tybura a beatable gatekeeper who has looked awful in his last two, while Rakic is the far better, taller, more powerful striker who should suit heavyweight better. “long, athletic, pretty powerful, too. So, So, just a lot more dangerous than Tybura. just a lot more dangerous than Tybura. And I'm going to go with Aleksandar And I'm going to go with Aleksandar Rakic to finish Marcin Tybura. I really Rakic to finish Marcin Tybura. I really do feel like this has to be the fight do feel like this has to be the fight where Rakic breaks his losing streak. If where Rakic breaks his losing streak. If you ain't beating Marcin Tybura, I don't you ain't beating Marcin ” Hear it — 18:10 HopperMMA on YouTube ↗ HopperMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 76 of 120 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Half The Battle87 resolved calls Half The BattleView full track record Winner Accuracy 60.9% 53 34 Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 29.4% 5 12 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · to win	Rakić · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
Calls Rakic a fraud he has no long-term confidence in, but says the move to heavyweight is right and the speed and athleticism edge over a slow 40-year-old Tybura should get him back on track. “get back on track, have that speed advantage, be a little bit more athletic advantage, be a little bit more athletic than this guy, be closer to your prime than this guy, be closer to your prime than this guy. So, I think Rakić gets a than this guy. So, I think Rakić gets a win here, then they match him up with a win here, then they match him up with a a Volkan Oezdemir. I think Volkan a Volkan Oezdemir. I think Volkan Oezdemir takes that leg home. They match Oezdemir takes that leg home. They m” Hear it — 14:12 Half The Battle on YouTube ↗ Half The Battle’s track record → Track record: winner called in 53 of 87 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)69 resolved calls MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)View full track record Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28 Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11 Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7 Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · KO/TKO · R1	Rakić · Dec R3	Hit	Miss	Miss
Thinks Rakic has every base covered against an aging, fading Tybura — far faster at range, with no realistic takedown threat against him — and calls a quick blitz finish. “slick for Tybura, avoid getting dragged into a slow-paced clinch battle, and into a slow-paced clinch battle, and just win this fight. So, I'm going to just win this fight. So, I'm going to say he actually wins via first-round KO say he actually wins via first-round KO here. here. And co-main event time, we got Jan And co-main event time, we got Jan Błachowicz. He's coming back. He's Błachowicz. He's coming back. He's taking on Navajo Sterling. taking on Navajo Sterling. And um And um another fi” Hear it — 57:07 MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) on YouTube ↗ MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)’s track record → Track record: winner called in 41 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Andrew Richardson52 resolved calls Andrew RichardsonView full track record Winner Accuracy 57.7% 30 22 Method Accuracy 70.0% 21 9 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · Dec	Rakić · Dec R3	Hit	Hit	Not called
MMA Mania's UFC Belgrade X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Aleksandar Rakic by decision. Read source Andrew Richardson’s track record → Track record: winner called in 30 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Bookie Beatdown26 resolved calls Bookie BeatdownView full track record Winner Accuracy 50.0% 13 13 Method Accuracy 0.0% 2 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 1 5 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · to win	Rakić · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
Takes Rakic on speed and leg kicks moving up to heavyweight, while flatly refusing to bet him at the price because of the chin, the cardio and Tybura's grappling. “think we're kind of on the same page there. For me, it's dog or pass. Who's there. For me, it's dog or pass. Who's your official pick? your official pick? >> I'm going to go Rakic, but uh yeah, he's >> I'm going to go Rakic, but uh yeah, he's going to be for a minus 350, you're not going to be for a minus 350, you're not going to see him high up this week. going to see him high up this week. >> All right, moving on down. We've got >> All right, moving on down. We've got R” Hear it — 31:49 Bookie Beatdown on YouTube ↗ Bookie Beatdown’s track record → Track record: winner called in 13 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

13 of 13 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

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