UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez 1 Aug 2026 · Belgrade Arena, Belgrade, Serbia, RS

Gilbert Urbina defeats Vlasto Cepo by KO/TKO

Win The RGV Bad Boy Gilbert Urbina View profile 8-5-0

Loss Vlasto Cepo View profile 14-4-0

KO/TKO · punches and elbows

Round 1 · 1:01

At a glance

Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.

Analyst Picks12 analysts✗ Incorrect 83%10 picks 17%2 picks

Analyst picks AI forecasts Market odds

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Cepo pressed forward aggressively from the opening bell. Urbina met him as he came in.

Urbina dropped Cepo with a stiff jab. The fight then went to the floor.

Urbina followed with an unanswered barrage on the floor, and Marc Goddard stopped the fight at 1:01 of round one.

Official UFC resultsUFC.com — UFC Belgrade main card results

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Cepo

Čepo has finished all fourteen of his wins — ten by knockout, four by submission — and stopped both Daniel Schwindt and Erhan Kartal in the first round of his last two. Urbina has been stopped by strikes in each of his last two fights, and at 1.85 m to Urbina's 1.75 m Čepo has the size as well as the finishing rate.

Case for Urbina

Urbina is the one fighter here who leans on wrestling, averaging 2.86 takedowns per fifteen minutes. All fourteen of Čepo's wins ended early and his only trip to the judges was a loss, so if Urbina can close distance and drag this into a grinding, control-heavy fifteen minutes, he forces the one shape of fight Čepo has never won.

What We Were Watching For

Urbina's takedown entries — 2.86 per fifteen minutes is his only clear edge.
The opening exchanges; Čepo's last two wins both ended in round one.
Urbina's durability after back-to-back stoppage losses, one to Saturday's headliner Uroš Medić.
Whether Čepo can handle a long fight — all fourteen of his wins ended early and he has never won a decision.

Records & career stats

Cepo vs Urbina

14-3-0
Record: 7-5-0; 4-1 last 5
Recent form: 1-4 last 5; Serbia
Nationality: United States; 31
Age: 30; 1.83 m
Height — Cepo leads: 1.75 m; 185 cm
Reach — Urbina leads: 191 cm; —
Stance: —; 100%
Finish rateFinish % — Cepo leads: 57%; 10
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Cepo leads: 3; 4
Wins by submissionSub wins — Cepo leads: 2; Not published
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min: 6.68; —
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min: 4.72; —
Striking defenseStrike def.: 48%; —
Takedown defenseTD def.: —; —
Avg. fight timeAvg. time: 04:24

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

(10) 83%

LCepo

17% (2)

UrbinaW

Analyst prediction scorecards

Bedtime MMA170 resolved calls Bedtime MMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 70.6% 120 50 Method Accuracy 63.6% 56 32 Round Accuracy 40.0% 10 15 Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 26.5%. Urbina · to win	Urbina · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Not called	Not called
Takes the big underdog purely on distrust of Cepo, whom he calls a strategy-free hook-swinger not worth 3-to-1 odds, versus Urbina's known UFC level and straight punches. Explicitly says he is not confident. “god. I almost want to pick Gilbert Obina here, dude. here, dude. Do I [ __ ] do it? Do I [ __ ] do it? I'm going to pick Gilbert Obina, dude. I'm going to pick Gilbert Obina, dude. I'm going to [ __ ] pick him. I don't I'm going to [ __ ] pick him. I don't care. I I I'm concerned. I mean, care. I I I'm concerned. I mean, obviously, yes, he got chinned in his obviously, yes, he got chinned in his last two and he lost to Medic. It's not last two and he lost ” Hear it — 21:46 Bedtime MMA on YouTube ↗ Bedtime MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 120 of 170 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
AJ Devito237 resolved calls AJ DevitoView full track record Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72 Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42 Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2 Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Cepo · KO/TKO · R1	Urbina · KO/TKO R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Calls Cepo a relentless first-round finisher moving into a home-town showcase and thinks Urbina, moving up to 185 and easy to bait into a brawl, gets destroyed early. “heavy hands, reckless aggression, and an opponent that I think is ripe for the opponent that I think is ripe for the pickings here. So, we're going with pickings here. So, we're going with Vlasto. Violet knockout. He should Vlasto. Violet knockout. He should destroy Orbena in round one. And uh destroy Orbena in round one. And uh yeah, I think Erbena defensively a yeah, I think Erbena defensively a little worrisome. Takes a lot of chances little worrisome. Takes a lot of chances too. And he's tak” Hear it — 49:29 AJ Devito on YouTube ↗ AJ Devito’s track record → Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
KennyOkoyeMMA53 resolved calls KennyOkoyeMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17 Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 62.5% 5 3 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Cepo · to win	Urbina · KO/TKO R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Reads the matchmaking as a gift-wrapped home debut and rates Cepo explosive enough that he sees no path for Urbina. “Vlasto Cipo is definitely going to get it done. There's no way he loses to it done. There's no way he loses to Urbina or Urbina in his debut as a grown Urbina or Urbina in his debut as a grown man who's Serbian. So, I got Vlasto Cipo man who's Serbian. So, I got Vlasto Cipo who actually I seen a little bit about. who actually I seen a little bit about. He's a pretty pretty explosive dude. So, He's a pretty pretty explosive dude. So, I got Vlasto Cipo for the win. This I got Vlasto Cipo for the w” Hear it — 11:42 KennyOkoyeMMA on YouTube ↗ KennyOkoyeMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls Michael ChiesaView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20 Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 26.5%. Urbina · to win	Urbina · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Not called	Not called
Has trained with Urbina and rates his length, teeps, oblique kicks and front-choke game, plus higher-level UFC experience, against Cepo's wild pressure brawling. “I think that there's going to be a finish and I think it's going to go to finish and I think it's going to go to the side of Gilbert Urbina. I'm I'm the side of Gilbert Urbina. I'm I'm taking Gilbert Urbina inside the taking Gilbert Urbina inside the distance. distance. Boom. All right, guys, time for the Boom. All right, guys, time for the second fight on the main card, but second fight on the main card, but before I do that, I better take a little before I do that, I better take a little fan b” Hear it — 9:44 Michael Chiesa on YouTube ↗ Michael Chiesa’s track record → Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
JakeGerberMMA116 resolved calls JakeGerberMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 66.4% 77 39 Method Accuracy 61.7% 29 18 Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5 Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Cepo · KO/TKO	Urbina · KO/TKO R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Openly says he is not sold on Cepo and thinks Urbina is technically the better fighter, but sides with Cepo's power and chaotic early aggression overwhelming him. “getting him out of there. So, I do think it's possible Erbena wins this fight. it's possible Erbena wins this fight. I'm not counting him out, but I'm going I'm not counting him out, but I'm going to lean with uh on the side of Lassto to lean with uh on the side of Lassto here. I I like I think he's a ton of here. I I like I think he's a ton of fun, man. I think Arbena's solid, but I fun, man. I think Arbena's solid, but I I'm I'm not sold on Chepo. I'm just I'm I'm not sold on Chepo. I'm just b” Hear it — 50:09 JakeGerberMMA on YouTube ↗ JakeGerberMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 77 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
The MMA Guru296 resolved calls The MMA GuruView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.9% 195 101 Method Accuracy 52.9% 55 49 Round Accuracy 34.3% 12 23 Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 15 18 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Cepo · KO/TKO	Urbina · KO/TKO R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Notes Urbina repeatedly gets dropped by big hooks on the chin, including in his loss to Medic, and that Cepo's right hook has finished four of his last five. “there, I think he'll do work on top position. Noa Gunon gets this one done. position. Noa Gunon gets this one done. We move on. Vlasto Ceppo versus Gilbert Urbina. Vlasto Ceppo versus Gilbert Urbina. I'm going to go with Vlasto Ceppo. Big I'm going to go with Vlasto Ceppo. Big dude for the division. They had him at dude for the division. They had him at the press conference. He's their hyped the press conference. He's their hyped top one. I don't think he's all that. top one. I don't think he's ” Hear it — 18:43 The MMA Guru on YouTube ↗ The MMA Guru’s track record → Track record: winner called in 195 of 296 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
DFS By The Numbers142 resolved calls DFS By The NumbersView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.5% 93 49 Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34 Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25 Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Cepo · KO/TKO · R1	Urbina · KO/TKO R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Warns that Cepo has one of the worst ground games he has seen and that Urbina genuinely has a grappling path, but rates Urbina as chinny with horrible fight IQ. “rats in a shoe. I think these guys are going to swing dicks. Chepo, yeah, I going to swing dicks. Chepo, yeah, I think he's going to get that knockout. think he's going to get that knockout. So, give me Chepo to win. Chepo to win So, give me Chepo to win. Chepo to win by first round KO. by first round KO. And then we get to the co-main event, we And then we get to the co-main event, we have Navajo Sterling going against Jan have Navajo Sterling going against Jan Błachowicz. Błachowicz. Um Um who” Hear it — 35:21 DFS By The Numbers on YouTube ↗ DFS By The Numbers’s track record → Track record: winner called in 93 of 142 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
We Want Picks145 resolved calls We Want PicksView full track record Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52 Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3 Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Cepo · to win	Urbina · KO/TKO R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Rates Urbina well short of the level and expects Cepo to crowd him, hedging on whether it ends inside the distance. “by wins over bums. Luckily for everybody here, here, Gilbert Urbina's basically a bum. So, Gilbert Urbina's basically a bum. So, Seppo should win and he probably wins by Seppo should win and he probably wins by finish. finish. Then we have a Dusko Todorovic taking on Then we have a Dusko Todorovic taking on a Robert Valentine. Dusko Todorovic, a Robert Valentine. Dusko Todorovic, technical striker, he's got good power. technical striker, he's got good power. He also has takedowns and offensive B” Hear it — 31:56 We Want Picks on YouTube ↗ We Want Picks’s track record → Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
HopperMMA120 resolved calls HopperMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 63.3% 76 44 Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23 Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19 Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Cepo · KO/TKO · R1	Urbina · KO/TKO R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Backs Cepo's 100% finish rate and Oktagon form in front of a home crowd, and dismisses Urbina as 7-4 with one UFC win and finished in his last two. “been finished in his last two fights so far over Mr. Uroš Medić himself and also far over Mr. Uroš Medić himself and also Charles Radtke. I'm I'm to go with uh Charles Radtke. I'm I'm to go with uh Vlasto Čepo to win this one by KO in the Vlasto Čepo to win this one by KO in the first round. first round. I do worry that Vlasto Cepo is one of I do worry that Vlasto Cepo is one of these guys that looks really dominant on these guys that looks really dominant on the regional scene because of certai” Hear it — 15:20 HopperMMA on YouTube ↗ HopperMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 76 of 120 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Half The Battle87 resolved calls Half The BattleView full track record Winner Accuracy 60.9% 53 34 Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 29.4% 5 12 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Cepo · KO/TKO · R1	Urbina · KO/TKO R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Thinks Cepo is getting a deliberately favourable debut matchup, and that Urbina would need to weather a serious storm and drag Cepo into a fatigue state before the takedowns land. “to get back up, but I'm just not convinced that Gilbert Urbina can get convinced that Gilbert Urbina can get him to that point. So, for that reason, him to that point. So, for that reason, I think Chepo's going to come out here I think Chepo's going to come out here and knock Gilbert Urbina out in the very and knock Gilbert Urbina out in the very first round. Next up in the lightweight first round. Next up in the lightweight division, we got a match up between division, we got a match up between” Hear it — 20:57 Half The Battle on YouTube ↗ Half The Battle’s track record → Track record: winner called in 53 of 87 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)69 resolved calls MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)View full track record Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28 Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11 Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7 Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Cepo · KO/TKO · R1	Urbina · KO/TKO R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Notes all 14 of Cepo's wins are finishes and says Urbina's defence and chin are not good enough to bang with him, leaving Urbina only an outside wrestling-based path. “I think the safe money is on Ceppo finding the chin, knocking out Urbina in finding the chin, knocking out Urbina in the first round. the first round. So, I'm going to go with Vlachos Ceppo So, I'm going to go with Vlachos Ceppo first round KO. first round KO. And another kind of janky fight here, And another kind of janky fight here, Dusko Todorovic and Robert Valentin. And Dusko Todorovic and Robert Valentin. And pretty shocking that these guys are both pretty shocking that these guys are both” Hear it — 53:20 MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) on YouTube ↗ MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)’s track record → Track record: winner called in 41 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Bookie Beatdown26 resolved calls Bookie BeatdownView full track record Winner Accuracy 50.0% 13 13 Method Accuracy 0.0% 2 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 1 5 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Cepo · to win	Urbina · KO/TKO R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Lands on Cepo because Urbina is chinny and has been violently knocked out repeatedly, even though Cepo is defensively sloppy and easy to take down. “knocked down. He might get hurt early. He'll get back up. He'll return fire. He'll get back up. He'll return fire. And Urbina is a little bit chinny for my And Urbina is a little bit chinny for my liking, so Seppo will get the win. But liking, so Seppo will get the win. But when you're betting a guy that's this when you're betting a guy that's this big of a favorite, I don't want him big of a favorite, I don't want him getting knocked down. I don't want him getting knocked down. I don't want him” Hear it — 43:15 Bookie Beatdown on YouTube ↗ Bookie Beatdown’s track record → Track record: winner called in 13 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Only 2 of 12 called the upset.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

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