UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez 1 Aug 2026 · Belgrade Arena, Belgrade, Serbia, RS

Tofiq Musayev defeats Ludovit Klein by KO/TKO

Win Tofiq Musayev View profile 24-6-0

Loss Mr. Highlight Ludovit Klein View profile 24-6-1

KO/TKO · punches

Round 2 · 4:07

At a glance

Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.

Analyst Picks12 analysts✗ Incorrect 92%11 picks 8%1 pick

Analyst picks AI forecasts Market odds

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Musayev controlled the opening round. Klein found spells of success early in the second.

A sharp combination late in the round dropped Klein flush. Musayev followed him to the floor.

Ground strikes finished the fight at 4:07 of round two.

Official UFC resultsUFC.com — UFC Belgrade prelim results

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Klein

Klein is the busier and more accurate striker at 3.76 strikes a minute, and he has beaten the better recent opposition — a majority decision over Mateusz Rębecki in October. His 1.37 takedown average gives him a second gear Musayev has struggled with, having been submitted by Myktybek Orolbai in 2025.

Case for Musayev

Musayev finishes 87% of his wins, the highest rate in the matchup, and he is the more decorated fighter — a Rizin grand prix winner with Bellator experience. He out-pointed Ignacio Bahamondes in March, and eighteen knockouts in twenty-three wins mean Klein has to respect his power from the opening bell.

What We Were Watching For

Volume versus power — Klein lands 3.76 a minute, Musayev 1.84 but with an 87% finish rate.
Grappling exchanges; Musayev was submitted in round one by Orolbai in June 2025.
Klein's footwork against a kickboxer who wants a stationary target.
Whether Musayev's Rizin-era power still carries at 36.

Records & career stats

Klein vs Musayev

Klein Musayev

OutputSig. strikes landed / min 3.83 2.86
Striking def.Striking defense 53% 49%
DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 3.57 2.79
Takedown def.Takedown defense 77% 57%
FinishingFinish rate 71% 87%

24-5-1
Record: 23-6-0; 4-1 last 5
Recent form: 3-2 last 5; Slovakia
Nationality: Azerbaijan; 30
Age: 36; 1.70 m
Height — Musayev leads: 1.75 m; 184 cm
Reach — Klein leads: 175 cm; —
Stance: —; 71%
Finish rateFinish % — Musayev leads: 87%; 9
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Musayev leads: 19; 8
Wins by submissionSub wins — Klein leads: 2; 3.83
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Klein leads: 2.86; 3.57
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Musayev leads: 2.79; 53%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Klein leads: 49%; 77%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Klein leads: 57%; 12:29
Avg. fight timeAvg. time: 09:34

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

(11) 92%

LKlein

8% (1)

MusayevW

Analyst prediction scorecards

Bedtime MMA170 resolved calls Bedtime MMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 70.6% 120 50 Method Accuracy 63.6% 56 32 Round Accuracy 40.0% 10 15 Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Klein · Dec	Musayev · KO/TKO R2	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Gives Klein the speed, accuracy and kicking-game edge, and notes Musayev was repeatedly rocked by the southpaw one-two against Bahamondes. “turn out to be all good across the board, especially the main event." We'll board, especially the main event." We'll talk about that in a second. I am going talk about that in a second. I am going to go with Lud Vit Klein to win this to go with Lud Vit Klein to win this one. I'm going to say he wins this by one. I'm going to say he wins this by decision. I think that he has a striking decision. I think that he has a striking advantage here. I I think especially in advantage here. I I think espec” Hear it — 16:20 Bedtime MMA on YouTube ↗ Bedtime MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 120 of 170 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
AJ Devito237 resolved calls AJ DevitoView full track record Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72 Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42 Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2 Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 30.5%. Musayev · to win	Musayev · KO/TKO R2	Hit	Not called	Not called
Takes the underdog, arguing Musayev's close-range pressure, takedowns and ground-and-pound can outdog Klein, who is coming back from a broken leg and a nine-month layoff. “see him go out and get chinned, but potentially Messiah doing some big potentially Messiah doing some big damage to Ludovic. Not going to blow me damage to Ludovic. Not going to blow me away if it happens. So, Tofi Musia to away if it happens. So, Tofi Musia to win against Ludovic Klein to close out win against Ludovic Klein to close out the prelims in a wild fight feels like the prelims in a wild fight feels like the right pick to me and I'm going for the right pick to me and I'm going for the ” Hear it — 40:24 AJ Devito on YouTube ↗ AJ Devito’s track record → Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
KennyOkoyeMMA53 resolved calls KennyOkoyeMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17 Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 62.5% 5 3 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Klein · to win	Musayev · KO/TKO R2	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Rates Klein as one of the best fighters in the division with improved defensive grappling and better fight IQ, and expects him to beat Musayev up over a distance fight. “Klein to beat Tofiq Musayev in this one. Should be an interesting one, but I Should be an interesting one, but I think Ludovit Klein gets it done. So, think Ludovit Klein gets it done. So, I'm going Ludovit Klein for the win. I'm going Ludovit Klein for the win. Now, in the main card, which we're Now, in the main card, which we're starting off with two people we don't starting off with two people we don't know anything about. I did very minimal know anything about. I did very minimal research on” Hear it — 10:25 KennyOkoyeMMA on YouTube ↗ KennyOkoyeMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls Michael ChiesaView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20 Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Klein · to win	Musayev · KO/TKO R2	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Named in the rapid-fire prelim run-through with no accompanying analysis, and repeated in his own recap of the prelim slate. “Oban Elliott and Michael Oliveira, I'm going with Oliveira. And in the featured going with Oliveira. And in the featured prelim, a great clash at 155 lb, I'm prelim, a great clash at 155 lb, I'm going with Ludovit Klein over Tofiq going with Ludovit Klein over Tofiq Musayev. So, one more time, guys, I'm Musayev. So, one more time, guys, I'm taking Jovan Lecca, Nina Milosevic, taking Jovan Lecca, Nina Milosevic, Mateusz Rębecki, Bogdan Grad, Mark O. Mateusz Rębecki, Bogdan Grad, Mark O. Madsen, M” Hear it — 2:14 Michael Chiesa on YouTube ↗ Michael Chiesa’s track record → Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
JakeGerberMMA116 resolved calls JakeGerberMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 66.4% 77 39 Method Accuracy 61.7% 29 18 Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5 Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Klein · Dec	Musayev · KO/TKO R2	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Rates Klein faster, sharper and the more well-rounded striker with sneaky submission skills, and thinks Musayev's main path is a single big damaging shot. “even knock him out, right? I feel like if Messiah wins this fight, it's damage if Messiah wins this fight, it's damage base landing a big shot that potentially base landing a big shot that potentially KO Klein. I got to go Ludiv Klein here. KO Klein. I got to go Ludiv Klein here. I think he gets this one done 2928. I I think he gets this one done 2928. I feel like it's going to be close, man. feel like it's going to be close, man. As much as I feel like Tafi Messiah is As much as I feel like Taf” Hear it — 40:39 JakeGerberMMA on YouTube ↗ JakeGerberMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 77 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
The MMA Guru296 resolved calls The MMA GuruView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.9% 195 101 Method Accuracy 52.9% 55 49 Round Accuracy 34.3% 12 23 Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 15 18 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Klein · KO/TKO	Musayev · KO/TKO R2	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Thinks Klein is too sharp and has the reach to punish an aggressive opponent swinging early, catching him coming in with a counter. “he'll get a 29-28 decision. We move on. We move on. >> [snorts] >> [snorts] >> Ludovit Klein versus Tafon Nchukwi >> Ludovit Klein versus Tafon Nchukwi I'm going with Ludovit Klein. [ __ ] Tafon I'm going with Ludovit Klein. [ __ ] Tafon Nchukwi on everything. Absolute filth, Nchukwi on everything. Absolute filth, dirty fighter, won't ever root for him dirty fighter, won't ever root for him ever in his career. I'll celebrate the ever in his career. I'l” Hear it — 14:50 The MMA Guru on YouTube ↗ The MMA Guru’s track record → Track record: winner called in 195 of 296 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
DFS By The Numbers142 resolved calls DFS By The NumbersView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.5% 93 49 Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34 Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25 Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Klein · Sub · R2	Musayev · KO/TKO R2	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Says Klein is younger, more durable and better everywhere, while Musayev is 36-plus with 30 fights and waning durability, and predicts Klein finally uses the grappling in his back pocket. “Could see a club and sub there. So, I think there's a lot of ways that Klein think there's a lot of ways that Klein wins this fight. So, I'm going to go wins this fight. So, I'm going to go Ludovit Klein to win and I'll take him Ludovit Klein to win and I'll take him to win this fight actually by to win this fight actually by submission. I'll say he gets his first submission. I'll say he gets his first submission submission in like almost 10 years. I'm going to in like almost 10 years. I'm going” Hear it — 22:34 DFS By The Numbers on YouTube ↗ DFS By The Numbers’s track record → Track record: winner called in 93 of 142 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
We Want Picks145 resolved calls We Want PicksView full track record Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52 Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3 Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Klein · to win	Musayev · KO/TKO R2	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Rates Klein far the better striker with good takedown defence and believes Musayev can be rocked — conditional on Klein being fully recovered from a broken ankle. “Fortunately for Ludovit, that's not what happened. happened. Anyway, for this fight, I do think Anyway, for this fight, I do think Klein's going to win. I think he is 100 Klein's going to win. I think he is 100 times the striker in this match up. He's times the striker in this match up. He's got really good takedown defense got really good takedown defense and I know for a fact that Tofiq can be and I know for a fact that Tofiq can be rocked. He's not like this brick-headed rocked. He's not like” Hear it — 24:20 We Want Picks on YouTube ↗ We Want Picks’s track record → Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
HopperMMA120 resolved calls HopperMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 63.3% 76 44 Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23 Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19 Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Klein · Dec	Musayev · KO/TKO R2	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Rates Klein one of the best unranked lightweights with the fight IQ, UFC experience and grappling edge, even conceding Musayev is the more powerful striker. “very dirty performance over Bahamondes. Won the fight and actually got a bonus, Won the fight and actually got a bonus, but a very dirty performance overall. Um but a very dirty performance overall. Um I'm going to go with Klein to win this I'm going to go with Klein to win this one by decision. I still don't know how one by decision. I still don't know how I feel about Musayev. He had this big I feel about Musayev. He had this big run over at uh over at Rizin. He beat run over at uh over at Riz” Hear it — 10:52 HopperMMA on YouTube ↗ HopperMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 76 of 120 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Half The Battle87 resolved calls Half The BattleView full track record Winner Accuracy 60.9% 53 34 Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 29.4% 5 12 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Klein · to win	Musayev · KO/TKO R2	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Calls this his fight to watch and defends Musayev over the Bahamondes fence-grab, but sees Klein as faster, hungrier and five years younger with fantastic takedown defence. “going is going to be tough, it's going to be competitive, but I see Klein to be competitive, but I see Klein pulling away in the second and third pulling away in the second and third rounds of this fight, and I think he rounds of this fight, and I think he comes out here and defeats Tofiq Musaev. comes out here and defeats Tofiq Musaev. Next up in the welterweight division, we Next up in the welterweight division, we got a match up between Michael Oliveira. got a match up between Michael Oliveir” Hear it — 29:46 Half The Battle on YouTube ↗ Half The Battle’s track record → Track record: winner called in 53 of 87 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)69 resolved calls MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)View full track record Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28 Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11 Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7 Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Klein · Dec	Musayev · KO/TKO R2	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Openly calls it a 50/50 with little insight to offer, but leans Klein as the longer, younger, crisper striker who out-volumes Musayev over three rounds. “last his last fight, but I don't see that being a viable option here. that being a viable option here. And um And um I'm going to slightly lean with Klein I'm going to slightly lean with Klein via decision, but like you could tell, via decision, but like you could tell, don't really get a lot of don't really get a lot of great insight to give you guys in this great insight to give you guys in this one, and uh one, and uh just kind of think he's going to out just kind of think he's going to out v” Hear it — 43:18 MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) on YouTube ↗ MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)’s track record → Track record: winner called in 41 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Bookie Beatdown26 resolved calls Bookie BeatdownView full track record Winner Accuracy 50.0% 13 13 Method Accuracy 0.0% 2 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 1 5 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Klein · Dec	Musayev · KO/TKO R2	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Klein is faster with better striking and a reach advantage, and Musayev's offensive wrestling is not good enough to change that. Calls it their best value play. “better about that than I do about these guys that we've talked about who are guys that we've talked about who are minus three, minus four. Um but if you minus three, minus four. Um but if you want to improve it, Klein by decision. want to improve it, Klein by decision. And And then important to note, Klein's And And then important to note, Klein's 2 in shorter, but he has a 3 in reach 2 in shorter, but he has a 3 in reach advantage. So if the whole game is, advantage. So if the whole game is, yo” Hear it — 57:20 Bookie Beatdown on YouTube ↗ Bookie Beatdown’s track record → Track record: winner called in 13 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Only 1 of 12 called the upset.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.