We Want Picks

Sees no skill gap working against Aljarouj beyond his durability, and likes his speed and sprawl.

“I'm going to pick Aljaru, but I do wish he didn't get knocked out as many times he did.”

▶ Hear it — 47:14 View this fight →

Rates Montenegro's willingness to engage and land real offence above Benouaich's regional tape.

“So, I do think Sophia wins this fight.”

▶ Hear it — 23:56 View this fight →

Rates Campbell the far more skilled grappler despite an ugly last performance.

“So, I'm just going to go with the better actual fight the person who has the better skills at the sport that they will compete be competing in. So, Curtis Campbell.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.6% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 6:36 View this fight →

Thinks Lima staying fast, clean and busy stops Charriere ever finding a rhythm.

“I feel like this is a Felipe win. So, I'm going to pick Felipe here.”

▶ Hear it — 134:14 View this fight →

Argues Cornolle has fought and lost only to a far higher tier of opposition than Sygula has faced.

“I do think Noora wins this. I think she's the better fighter.”

▶ Hear it — 4:11 View this fight →

Expects Donchenko to build an early striking lead that makes Soriano's late wrestling look desperate.

“I am going to pick Denil Donchenko because I think the striking is that much better and I think he'll get ahead in the striking.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 123:36 View this fight →

Prefers Duclos' patient, accurate counter striking to Dias' less disciplined overhand-heavy pressure.

“I don't hate the Tal Duclos. I never would have bet on him like this, but I do think he wins the fight.”

▶ Hear it — 13:58 View this fight →

Picks Parnasse as the cleaner technical striker provided he manages the range rather than brawling.

“Now, I am picking Saldeen Parnasse because I think he's just more technical, he's cleaner, and the French typically have no issue with slowing a fight down and touching at range.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 10:18 View this fight →

Backs Keita's speed and power against striking-defence flaws Naimov already showed.

“So, Lazine Keat is going to be the pick.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.3% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 145:52 View this fight →

Takes the underdog on the bet that an ageing Page eventually slows enough for Ruziboev's size and pressure.

“I'm picking Nerzleton here. 0% chance I bet on this because MVP is just so freaking good.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 34.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 160:00 View this fight →

Rates Pinto nearly as big and dangerous as Spann with three full rounds of cardio behind him.

“I'm going to pick Mario Pinto here.”

▶ Hear it — 67:28 View this fight →

Rates Sy the bigger, faster, more well-rounded athlete, while declining to back the decision prop.

“I do think Umar Sal wins this fight.”

▶ Hear it — 20:34 View this fight →

Reads the striking as even and gives Sola the edge on his added wrestling and grit.

“Axel Sala is just as technical of a striker and a good wrestler and much more of a dog. So, I think Axel gets it done.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Underdog credit earned: 0.16 — (50% − 41.9%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 7:46 View this fight →

Angelo Bodetti of We Want Picks includes Andre Lima in his parlay.

“This is my parlay. It's Andre Lima and Liu Ce. I think he wins this fight.”

▶ Hear it — 11:03 View this fight →

Angelo Bodetti of We Want Picks picks Lawrence Lui by decision.

“Lawrence Lui by decision. Lawrence Lui should win it.”

▶ Hear it — 16:37 View this fight →

Angelo Bodetti of We Want Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov by decision.

“I think Umar gets it done and it's likely a decision.”

▶ Hear it — 5:43 View this fight →

Angelo Bodetti of We Want Picks includes Sumudaerji in his parlay.

“I have that parlayed with Sumudaerji.”

▶ Hear it — 10:08 View this fight →

Angelo Bodetti of We Want Picks takes Denise Gomes as the underdog.

“I think Denise Gomes wins as a dog.”

▶ Hear it — 15:56 View this fight →

Picks Kai Asakura for the superior striking while flagging his takedown defense as Aori Qileng's route to an upset.

“Kai is the pick.”

▶ Hear it — 39:54 View this fight →

Picks Liu Ce for his striking and cage defense, expecting him to outbox and out-kickbox Levi Rodrigues Jr.

“Liu is the pick.”

▶ Hear it — 33:52 View this fight →

Picks Bilal Hasan as the cleaner, faster fighter, while warning that his short turnaround, second cut and travel make the bet unattractive.

“Bilal is the pick.”

▶ Hear it — 31:09 View this fight →

Picks Jack Jenkins, pointing to Sean Woodson's vulnerable legs.

“Pick Jack Jenkins.”

▶ Hear it — 16:21 View this fight →

Picks Cam Nelson to counter Ding Meng's pressure with wrestling and control.

“Cam Nelson is the pick.”

▶ Hear it — 8:49 View this fight →

Picks Francesco Nuzzi for his striking and cage-side takedown defence.

“Pick Francesco.”

▶ Hear it — 18:19 View this fight →

Hernandez's grappling volume (six takedowns per 15 minutes) and his ability to absorb head strikes decide it, so long as Rodrigues head-hunts for the knockout instead of attacking the body — the one route Angelo flags as Hernandez's weakness, citing how Kevin Holland and Sean Strickland both beat him. Notes he is surprised Hernandez is as short as -175 rather than -120, but takes him anyway and expects a nail-biter.

“I am going to pick him. Anthony Fluffy Hernandez, it's going to be a nail-biter, guys.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 66.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 37:54 View this fight →

Picks against his own long-standing preference for Dolidze: the wins that made Dolidze's name are four years old, and de Ridder is the bigger man genuinely suited to 205. Expects de Ridder to manage range, land jumping knees, and for Dolidze to fold mentally as he has before.

“So I absolutely love Reinier de Ridder in this spot.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 35:12 View this fight →

Takes Spivac as an underdog on grit and heavyweight experience: reads Petrino as an athlete who became a fighter rather than a fighter, and expects Spivac -- ten times the grappler of Petrino's last opponent -- to work in his own takedowns. Flags the one real concern that at heavyweight raw athleticism alone can still win a fight or two.

“So, Sergey Spivak is going to be the pick.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 32:35 View this fight →

Takes Nzechukwu on power and rangy kicks against a Gaziev coming off back-to-back knockout losses, with the chin now the deciding weakness. Allows that Gaziev can strike and wrestle and could absolutely win, and expects a sloppy or outright boring heavyweight fight either way.

“I'm actually going to pick Kennedy Nzechukwu here.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 46.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 20:13 View this fight →

Reads it as mostly a striking match-up and takes Judice on that edge, while warning she creates her own danger: after having her back taken early in her last fight she chose to grapple in the third and was nearly submitted. If Chaves lands the same kind of well-timed takedowns she used last time out, it gets weird. Notes the odds are far too long to bet.

“Carla is going to be the pick because she's the better striker.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 83.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 28:41 View this fight →

Calls it a bad stylistic match-up for Reed rather than a knock on her: Dyer is bigger, more powerful, the better striker, and good enough defensively to stop Reed turning it into a wrestling match. Cannot find a route for Reed on the feet, into a clean takedown, or through the power.

“So, I think Chanel Dyer wins this fight.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 17:45 View this fight →

Grants McVey the size and the clearly better striking, then discounts it on takedown defence: if Schultz shows up as the All-American wrestler rather than pulling guard as he did against Penaaz, he can repeat the success Zac Reese had against McVey. Rates neither man highly and sides with whoever can control where the fight happens.

“So, I'm going to side with the wrestler here. The striking doesn't matter if you can't keep the fight on the feet.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 37.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 30:32 View this fight →

Reads Mederos as almost too technical and too athletic for this match-up, and expects Jones's pressure and grit to deny him room to breathe -- Jones will keep walking forward even while eating two strikes to one. Mederos's only path is to stay clean, stay safe and out-athlete him.

“So, I think Mason Jones wins this fight just by being violent and willing to take a beating.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 26:20 View this fight →

Concedes Haqparast is the better and more technical striker with excellent takedown defence, then picks against him on durability and forward pressure, plus the risk he returns from a bad knockout loss hesitant to engage or on a strange game plan. Notes Haqparast has also underperformed against low-level opposition, and that the current odds are about where they should be.

“So, Chris Padilla is going to be the pick.”

▶ Hear it — 16:01 View this fight →

Expects Dorsainvil to test Young's chin early and to cut him -- predicting a bloody Young by the middle of the first -- but backs Young to work through it on toughness and the option of wrestling. Notes Young's one bad night on the feet came against teammate Evan Elder on short notice, whereas here he has a full camp and was preparing for an aggressive opponent. Explicitly declines to bet it because Young cuts too easily.

“so I'll take Gage to win this fight.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 11:05 View this fight →

Picks Douglas on trust in the matchmaking rather than on a proven record, and says so plainly: the odds are far too wide for a fighter who has not been tested and has no quality UFC win. Warns that Emmers is a proven entity whose recent turn to wrestling -- as against Haider Amil -- could put Douglas in a tough spot.

“So I'm going to pick Laren Douglas here.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 13:14 View this fight →

Reads it as a mismatch off tape study: Kuse shows a lack of head movement and hesitancy, and relies on physicality rather than technique. Expects Barbosa's aggressive, intent-heavy striking -- coming off the knockout of Dennis Bazooka -- to run through a fighter he does not rate as UFC level. Notes odds had not been posted when he recorded.

“I think he dominates this fight. I can't even see a world where Ryan wins.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 4:43 View this fight →

Dismisses the short-turnaround worry -- Wint won on Tuesday's Contender Series in 34 seconds without absorbing a strike -- and takes the former NFL linebacker on power, speed and composure at heavyweight, with real takedowns behind it. Rates Chatman as a clean, well-trained technical striker with a UFC future, just not at heavyweight and not yet, because he is too hittable.

“This fight was clearly set up for Anthony Wint to get a big win, and Anthony Wint will get a big win.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 89.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 7:14 View this fight →

Both hosts independently select Fernando in the dedicated matchup segment.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 48:09 View this fight →

Both hosts align on Luque in the dedicated matchup segment.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 50.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 64:50 View this fight →

Both hosts align on Fernandes; the video explicitly confirms they are on the same side.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 48.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 98:30 View this fight →

Both hosts select Ribovics in the dedicated matchup segment.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 116:52 View this fight →

The hosts explicitly reconfirm that they both picked Abdul-Malik.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 135:44 View this fight →

Both hosts align on Dern in the dedicated matchup segment.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 158:35 View this fight →

Both hosts align on Makhachev but do not share a single method call.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 170:28 View this fight →

Both hosts land on Gamrot, the second explicitly far less confident than the first.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 42.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 173:07 View this fight →

Takes del Valle on Elkins being too old and slow with a chin compromised by the Erosa loss, but commits to no method.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 12:58 View this fight →

Picks Miller on how hard he hits and the size advantage, without committing to a method.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 15:08 View this fight →

Makes Thainara the pick as a modest favourite, with no method.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 29:49 View this fight →

Backs Johns on pure winner pick, expecting Vazquez to slow the pace and Johns to get the decision.

▶ Hear it — 13:24 View this fight →

Takes the underdog, Montanha.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 35.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.30 — (50% − 35.0%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 19:36 View this fight →

Takes Nurgozhay without a method.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 16:52 View this fight →

Takes Miranda without a method.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 24.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 8:31 View this fight →

Takes Oliveira on the view that Miller is too far off the pace.

▶ Hear it — 25:16 View this fight →

Takes Foro without a method.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 66.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 6:26 View this fight →

Rates Medic faster, more diverse and harder-hitting, and does not expect Rodriguez to land the takedowns that might change it.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 40:21 View this fight →

Says he would rather fade Stirling, but takes him anyway on Blachowicz being 43 and coming off a fight he nearly lost in the second round.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 38:06 View this fight →

Backs Rakic’s footwork, striking and takedown defence despite a suspect chin, while calling the price risky money on a fighter coming off four straight losses.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 35:37 View this fight →

Calls Valentin the more durable man and expects his forward pressure, grinding and takedown mixing to get him on top — while saying he could not bet the fight either way.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 33:24 View this fight →

Rates Urbina well short of the level and expects Cepo to crowd him, hedging on whether it ends inside the distance.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 31:56 View this fight →

Rates Klein far the better striker with good takedown defence and believes Musayev can be rocked — conditional on Klein being fully recovered from a broken ankle.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 24:20 View this fight →

Elliott’s losses come from being taken down and Oliveira does not wrestle, so he expects a striker-versus-striker fight that Oliveira’s volume and pressure win.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 21:46 View this fight →

Takes Grad on the striking edge, noting Buzukja is a credentialed wrestler who does not use his wrestling, while saying he would probably not bet it.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 20:33 View this fight →

Names Magomed Ankalaev as the full-card pick in this preview.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 38:25 View this fight →

Picks Tyrell Fortune as the stronger striker with the wrestling to create his own entries.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 23.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 32:34 View this fight →

Names Axel Sola as the full-card pick in this preview.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 17:32 View this fight →

Names Valter Walker as the full-card pick in this preview.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 19:15 View this fight →

Names Magomed Tuchalov as the full-card pick in this preview.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 15:28 View this fight →

Names Magomed Zaynukov as the full-card pick in this preview.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 28:01 View this fight →

Picks Nurullo Aliev for his controlling wrestling against Mike Davis.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 12:20 View this fight →

Names Ramazan Temirov as the full-card pick in this preview.

▶ Hear it — 35:20 View this fight →

Names Sam Patterson as the full-card pick in this preview.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 10:51 View this fight →

Names Abubakar Vagaev as the full-card pick in this preview.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 25:16 View this fight →

Names Dustin Jacoby as the full-card pick in this preview.

▶ Hear it — 9:07 View this fight →

Names Abdul Hussein as the full-card pick in this preview.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 84.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 7:08 View this fight →

Takes Hines to survive Harris' wild punches, get the fight to the ground and take over with durability, cardio and wrestling.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 50.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 11:09 View this fight →

Calls Kline the better striker, wrestler and grappler, and sees no route for the current version of Ricci to control her.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 29:57 View this fight →

The We Want Picks hosts split the desk call: Angelo picked Alessandro Costa because of the power and knockout threat, while Jacob picked Cody Durden as a survivor-wrestler who can bank control if he avoids the early damage.

▶ Hear it — 24:28 View this fight →

Both hosts side with Ryan Gandra while acknowledging Reese can become live if he survives the opening minutes. They trust Gandra's pressure and right-hand power against Reese's tall, hittable defensive posture.

• Jacob specifically liked a first-round knockout angle, but the shared desk pick is Gandra to win.

“I'm all over Ryan Gandra.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 55.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 32:15 View this fight →

They respect John Garza's clean boxing and short-notice danger, but see Basharat as the safer side because he is unlikely to trade recklessly in the pocket. The grappling and overall MMA layer are framed as too much too soon for Garza.

“He's just miles ahead.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 38:56 View this fight →

They give Damian Pinas real first-round knockout value because of his pressure and power, but the shared pick is Cesar Almeida. The argument is that Almeida is the cleaner, more experienced striker if he survives the early heat and the fight extends.

• They separate the pick from the bet: Pinas round-one KO has value, but Almeida is their winner.

“I'm going Caesar as a pick.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 29.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 42:52 View this fight →

They frame the fight as binary: either Cortez controls with wrestling or Wang wins the striking clearly. Both land on Wang because they trust her improving takedown defense and cleaner damage more than Cortez's control-heavy path.

“I do think Kong Wang wins this fight.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 56:50 View this fight →

They have concerns about Luke Riley if Kai Kamaka can force clinches and make rounds ugly, but both still pick Riley. The shared logic is that Riley is the cleaner and faster striker in what should mostly be a striking matchup.

“Luke Riley is the pick.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 62:14 View this fight →

They think Adrian Yanez is faster, cleaner and more technical, while Cody Garbrandt is too reliant on one big counter. The warning is for Yanez to stay patient rather than chase a knockout and create Cody's best counter window.

• Jacob liked Yanez by decision, but the shared desk call is stored winner-only.

“Adrien's the pick.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 69:57 View this fight →

They treat Steveson as the obvious side because of the wrestling base and physical tools, while rejecting the contrarian case against him as overthinking. Ellison is acknowledged as aggressive and hard-hitting, but not enough to offset Steveson's athletic and grappling advantages.

“Gable is going to win this fight.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 89.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 78:55 View this fight →

Both pick Robert Whittaker despite some concern about the move to light heavyweight and Krylov's size. They still see Whittaker as the better fighter technically, faster and cleaner on the feet, with enough skill to manage the matchup.

“I'm picking Bobby Knuckles.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 90:42 View this fight →

They pick Lone'er Kavanagh for his speed, clean technical striking and cardio, while noting Brandon Royval's experience and chaos make it dangerous. The argument is that Kavanagh can keep the pace and avoid being dragged into Royval's weird submission-heavy fight.

“He should win this fight.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 68.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 118:52 View this fight →

The desk split the rematch: Angelo picked Mario Bautista, citing the improved wrestling and overall game, while Jacob picked Cory Sandhagen by decision because he expects Sandhagen's activity and movement to win the striking minutes.

▶ Hear it — 127:19 View this fight →

Both hosts say they originally understood the Benoit Saint Denis wrestling case, but flipped toward Paddy Pimblett after rewatching recent tape and weighing durability. They still call the grappling dangerous if BSD gets top position, but pick Paddy as the tougher, more damaging side.

• They are explicit that this is a pick, not a confident bet.

“I'm taking Patty.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 46.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.07 — (50% − 46.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 139:33 View this fight →

The hosts split rather than giving a desk consensus: Angelo says Conor McGregor has no realistic comeback path and expects Max Holloway to finish him, while Jacob knowingly makes a contrarian McGregor pick after conceding Max is the obvious side and bet.

▶ Hear it — 146:33 View this fight →

Picks Shane Collins on forward pressure against a more technical but retreating Otari Tanzilovi.

“So Shane is going to be the pick.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 5:09

Picks Levan Chokheli for his forward pressure, power and wrestling against Leon Shahbazyan's defensive gaps.

“I think Loana does win this fight. I think he does find a finish.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 7:11

Picks Luana Santos for her controlling grappling, while acknowledging Karol Rosa's volume and decision path.

“I am going to pick Luana Santos here.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.01 — (50% − 49.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 10:24

Picks Michael Aswell over Gaston Bolanos, expecting a straightforward win without committing to a finish.

“I do think Michael wins.”

▶ Hear it — 13:11

Picks Mitch Raposo as an underdog if he keeps it standing and makes Allan Nascimento work in the striking exchanges.

“I think Mitch can win this fight.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 42.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.16 — (50% − 42.0%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 16:56

Picks Andre Lima over Kevin Borjas, expecting Borjas's danger to fade as the fight goes on.

“So, I think Andre Lima gets the win.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 84.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 23:55

Picks Christian Rodriguez for the superior striking and confidence that Hyder Amil's wrestling cannot control him.

“So, I see C-Rod winning this fight.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 26:26

Picks Vinicius Oliveira on pressure, activity and a cleaner route than Andre Fili's volatile exchanges.

“I do think Vinicius wins this fight.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 29:44

Picks Navajo Stirling to keep the fight technical with footwork and long strikes against Ion Cutelaba.

“I'm going to pick Navaha.”

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 34:34

Picks Kyoji Horiguchi for superior mobility, varied entries and the ability to manage the five-round fight against Manel Kape.

“And I think he wins this fight.”

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 38.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 37:48

Topuria is too fast and hits too hard, and beats Gaethje almost anywhere; only a weather-the-storm grind gives Gaethje a chance. He expects a first-round KO.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 24:15 View this fight →

Despite being a vocal Pereira fan, he thinks Gane is too fast, too clean and too big for Pereira to walk down and knock out at heavyweight.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 47.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.05 — (50% − 47.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 18:58 View this fight →

Sean is the far more accurate striker with more power and controls the range against a Zahabi who doesn't threaten takedowns or move forward.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 16:38 View this fight →

Hokit has no quit and relentless forward pressure, while Lewis has shown he'll quit when a finish isn't coming; his most confident pick on the card.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 12:54 View this fight →

Chandler will fight to entertain rather than wrestle, and Ruffy's big finishing power will smack him; one of the more confident picks on the card.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 9:47 View this fight →

Nickal won't get submitted, should get the takedowns he wants, control where the fight goes and win almost everywhere.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 6:41 View this fight →

A tiny lean for Diego: once you factor in his grappling and five-round title-fight experience he's the more dangerous overall.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 2:55 View this fight →

Chimaev's wrestling is just too dominant; sees Strickland losing on control time.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 43:58 View this fight →

Van keeps it on the feet and defends the takedowns — and to him that's all that matters.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 39.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.21 — (50% − 39.5%) ÷ 50%.

▶ Hear it — 39:37

Backs Cortes-Acosta as the faster, more powerful, higher-motor athlete with a real puncher’s chance.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 35:09

Buckley is too dangerous on the feet and stuffs takedowns, like he did against Usman.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 31:42

Green is the better striker in a mostly-striking matchup, and can wrestle if he needs to.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 28:53

We Want Picks backs Carpenter to grind his way to a win, arguing Ochoa will not be able to take him down and Carpenter has faced tougher opposition.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 39.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 20:31

We Want Picks makes Sabatini the pick because Gomis can be taken down and lacks the one-punch threat that usually punishes Sabatini.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 6:51

We Want Picks picks Gordon by decision, treating his hands and takedown defense as enough while refusing to lay a heavy price against Miller at home.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 4:01

We Want Picks chooses Rebecki, framing the fight as Rebecki's violence versus Dawson's control and siding with the pressure fighter.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 9:57

We Want Picks makes Amosov the pick because his wrestling can put Alvarez on his back whenever he wants, neutralizing the cleaner striking.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 13:57

Acknowledges Ulberg is more technical but trusts Jiri's experience and elite finishing.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 41:55 View this fight →

Azamat's power and high-level wrestling; Costa is a question mark moving up to 205.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 68.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 35:19

No frame of reference for Hokit's level of competition; Blaydes's experience takes over late.

Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 48.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Underdog credit earned: 0.00 — credit is earned only on a correct call.

▶ Hear it — 32:08 View this fight →

Went against his instinct to take Walker — Reyes is simply the more technical of the two.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 37:34

Landwehr's chin has given out; Swanson is the better fighter in every aspect.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 21:35

Old and chinny, but still the better, more technical fighter — picks Izzy to manage range.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 48:32 View this fight →

Barber's wrestling and confidence grind out a win — flagged as a low-confidence pick.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 44:51

McKinney is the more skilled fighter across the board; a half-unit play.

Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit.

▶ Hear it — 35:00