UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Ty Miller defeats Billy Ray Goff by KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:15
Miller vs Goff — Welterweight · UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld
At a glance
Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Miller defended Goff's early attempts to clinch and grapple.
He seized momentum late in the first and punished Goff throughout the second round.
The stoppage came 15 seconds into round three after Miller opened with a finishing combination.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld — Main Card Results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Miller
Miller is 7-0 and has not lost as a professional, with three of those wins by knockout. At 74 inches tall with a 77.5-inch reach he holds four inches of height and five inches of reach over Goff, a large edge in a division where range usually decides who dictates the terms.
Case for Goff
Goff is 9-4 and carries the heavier finishing record into this one: seven of his nine wins came by knockout. He is 3-2 across his last five, and his most recent defeat came by guillotine choke against Ramiz Brahimaj — both the risk he has to manage and the reminder that this fight can end in a scramble rather than at range.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Goff can close a five-inch reach deficit without giving up the counter.
- Whether Miller's unbeaten record has prepared him for the first time he is behind.
- Goff's neck in a scramble: his most recent loss came by guillotine choke.
- How the four-inch height difference shapes who decides where the fight happens.
Records & career stats
- 7-0-0
- Record
- 9-4-0
- 4-0 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 3-2 last 5
- United States
- Nationality
- United States
- 26
- Age
- 28
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Switch
- —
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- —
- —
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 120 50
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 56 32
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 10 15
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
- Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
- Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
- Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
- Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 66.4% 77 39
- Method Accuracy 61.7% 29 18
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 195 101
- Method Accuracy 52.9% 55 49
- Round Accuracy 34.3% 12 23
- Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 15 18
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 65.5% 93 49
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 63.3% 76 44
- Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
- Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 60.9% 53 34
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 29.4% 5 12
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 57.7% 30 22
- Method Accuracy 70.0% 21 9
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; AJ Devito Hit; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; HopperMMA Hit; Half The Battle Hit; Andrew Richardson Hit.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · KO/TKO | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Takes Miller by knockout but hedges between a late first and a second round, so no round is recorded. “it's not a necessarily super easy fight for Ty Miller, but I think he's going to win this one by KO.” Track record: winner called in 120 of 170 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
TheWeasle
TheWeasleView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · KO/TKO · R3 | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Expects Miller to drop Goff with the right hand and finish him in the third. “And Tai drops golf with the right hand, finishing him in the third round. So, I'm going to go with Tai Miller by knockout.” Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
AJ Devito
AJ DevitoView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · KO/TKO | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Makes Miller by knockout the official pick and explicitly leaves the round open. Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KennyOkoyeMMA
KennyOkoyeMMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · to win | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Miller for the win with no method given. “I'm going to go Ty Miller for the win.” Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Chiesa
Michael ChiesaView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · to win | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Goes with Miller without naming a method. “Definitely going to go with Ty Miller” Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · Dec | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Leans to a 30-27 decision, describing a striking master class for Miller. “But I got to go Tai Miller. I think he uh I think he goes out there, puts on a clinic, busts up Billy Ray, maybe even gets a stoppage, but I'll lean towards decision here.” Track record: winner called in 77 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA GuruView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · KO/TKO · R2 | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Calls a second-round stoppage for Miller. “I'm going to say round two TKO for Tim Miller here.” Track record: winner called in 195 of 296 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The NumbersView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · Dec | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Takes Miller but expects it to go to the scorecards rather than a finish. “I'm going Miller. I'm going to take Miller to win this fight by decision.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 142 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want PicksView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · to win | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Miller on how hard he hits and the size advantage, without committing to a method. “Ty Miller is going to be the pick though because of how hard he hits and how big he is.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HopperMMA
HopperMMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · KO/TKO · R1 | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Backs Miller to get the knockout inside the opening round. “I'm going to go with Ty Miller to win this one by KO in the first round.” Track record: winner called in 76 of 120 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Half The Battle
Half The BattleView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · to win | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Sees Miller's technique as clearly superior here. “I think that Ty Miller is the guy with a lot more potential here. So, I respect Goff. He's a very, very tough guy. I see Tai Miller's technique being superior here.” Track record: winner called in 53 of 87 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Andrew Richardson
Andrew RichardsonView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · Dec | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| MMA Mania's UFC Vegas 120 X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Ty Miller by decision. Track record: winner called in 30 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
12 of 12 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.
No market odds are available for this fight yet.
No videos are available for this fight yet.













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