UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Manoel Sousa defeats Richie Miranda by unanimous decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Sousa vs Miranda — Lightweight · UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld
At a glance
Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Miranda dragged Sousa to the canvas in the first and worked from his back.
Sousa hurt Miranda in the second round and shifted the fight back toward the feet.
Sousa's pressure and cleaner work over the final rounds produced the unanimous decision.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld — Preliminary Card Results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Sousa
Sousa is 1-0 in the UFC after stopping Bolaji Oki with a third-round TKO in March, having earned his contract by finishing Cristian Perez on the Contender Series the previous August. Nine of his fourteen career wins have come by knockout and three more by submission, and the UFC lists him as a striker — a profile his lone Octagon outing backed up at 4.15 significant strikes landed per minute and 45% accuracy.
Case for Miranda
Miranda has not lost since April 2023, riding a seven-fight win streak that includes taking the LFA lightweight title in April 2025 and defending it twice. The UFC lists him as a wrestler, backed by two years as a junior-college All-American before moving up to Division II, and he trains under Cub Swanson. Five of his thirteen wins have come by knockout and three by submission, but this is his first fight under the UFC banner and there is no Octagon tape on him.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Miranda's college wrestling can get takedowns on a fighter the UFC lists as a striker.
- Sousa already has UFC tape — 4.15 significant strikes landed per minute at 45% accuracy — while Miranda enters with none.
- Two Octagon debuts one fight apart: Sousa 1-0 off a third-round TKO, Miranda unbeaten in seven going back to April 2023.
- Both fighters finish: Sousa has stopped twelve of his fourteen opponents, Miranda eight of his thirteen — whether this one sees the scorecards at all.
Records & career stats
- 14-1-0
- Record
- 13-1-0
- 4-1 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 5-0 last 5
- Brazil
- Nationality
- United States
- 29
- Age
- 31
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- —
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- —
- 4.27
- Sig. strikes landed / minStr / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- Not published
- 3.48
- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- Not published
- 55%
- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
- Not published
- 74%
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- Not published
- —
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- Academia Octógono
- Team
- Bloodline Combat Sports
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
- Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
- Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 195 101
- Method Accuracy 52.9% 55 49
- Round Accuracy 34.3% 12 23
- Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 15 18
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 65.5% 93 49
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 55.2% 16 13
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 120 50
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 56 32
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 10 15
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 66.4% 77 39
- Method Accuracy 61.7% 29 18
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28
- Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11
- Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
- Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 13 13
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Miss; AJ Devito Hit; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; Michael Chiesa Miss; Marcel Dorff Hit; JakeGerberMMA Miss; The MMA Guru Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Miss; MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) Miss; Adam Martin Hit; Bookie Beatdown Miss.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Miranda · KO/TKO | Sousa · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes Miranda by knockout, hedging between the second and third round. “I'm going with Manuel Souza to win this one by knockout in the second or third round.” Track record: winner called in 120 of 170 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
AJ Devito
AJ DevitoView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Sousa · to win | Sousa · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Resolves a close call toward Sousa. Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KennyOkoyeMMA
KennyOkoyeMMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Sousa · to win | Sousa · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Leans Sousa without a method. “I'm going to favor Souza in this one. I think he gets it done probably by finish against Miranda.” Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Chiesa
Michael ChiesaView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Miranda · to win | Sousa · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes Miranda without naming a method. “definitely rolling with Richie Miranda on this one.” Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Marcel Dorff
Marcel DorffView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Sousa · KO/TKO | Sousa · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Takes Sousa by knockout. “I’m picking Sousa by knockout as well, just like you.” Track record: winner called in 12 of 18 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Miranda · Dec | Sousa · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes Miranda by decision. “Richie Miranda gets it done” Track record: winner called in 77 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA GuruView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Sousa · KO/TKO · R3 | Sousa · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
| Settles on Sousa by third-round TKO after weighing the finish. “Manuel Sosa, I think, is going to be able to walk through what Richie Miranda has and eventually just put him down, dude. You know, I mean, he's going to land that Miranda right straight on the chin of Richie. Oh, just jokes. Manuel shows it gets it done. Round three, TKO.” Track record: winner called in 195 of 296 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The NumbersView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Sousa · KO/TKO · R2 | Sousa · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
| Takes Sousa by second-round knockout. “He goes out there and knocks out Richie Miranda. We'll say second round knockout for Manel Sousa.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 142 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want PicksView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Miranda · to win | Sousa · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes Miranda without a method. “But for now, I'm picky Richie Miranda.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)View full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Miranda · to win | Sousa · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Leans Miranda without a firm method. “gonna go with the underdog in the first fight of the night and pick Richie Miranda.”
Hear it — 9:17
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) on YouTube ↗
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)’s track record →
Track record: winner called in 41 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Adam Martin
Adam MartinView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Sousa · KO/TKO | Sousa · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Takes Sousa by knockout. “I’m going to take Manuel Sousa by knockout.” Track record: winner called in 16 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bookie Beatdown
Bookie BeatdownView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Miranda · to win | Sousa · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Leans Miranda without a firm method. “I got Richie Moran.” Track record: winner called in 13 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
6 of 12 called the winner.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.
No market odds are available for this fight yet.
No videos are available for this fight yet.













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