Fight analyst and host of The Mike Finch Show, also appearing on MMA EXPERTS' The Moneyline for UFC betting breakdowns.
Track Record
Derived from every pick we've logged and verified — shown with its denominator, never a bare percentage. Draws and no-contests fall outside it. How Track Record works.
Called 19 of 31 resolved picks
8 of 19 hits also matched the method.
Call Profile
How this analyst's logged calls performed: winner, stated detail, and frozen pre-event underdog context.
1 call included both method and round.
Resolved Calls
What was predicted, what actually happened, and whether it hit.
Hit Barbosa vs Melisano Mike Finch: predicted Barbosa · to win for Barbosa vs Melisano. Actual Barbosa · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Expects Barbosa's UFC experience and grappling to overwhelm the debuting Melisano on the mat.
Miss Bashi vs Delgado Mike Finch: predicted Bashi · Sub for Bashi vs Delgado. Actual Delgado · Dec. Result: Miss.
Picks Bashi to secure a rear-naked choke after stressing Delgado's unresolved grappling defense.
Hit Cannonier vs Duncan Mike Finch: predicted Duncan · KO/TKO for Cannonier vs Duncan. Actual Duncan · Dec. Result: Hit.
Calls Duncan by knockout, rating the younger fighter's finishing tools and momentum above Cannonier's current form.
Hit Coria vs Nicoll Mike Finch: predicted Coria · KO/TKO for Coria vs Nicoll. Actual Coria · Dec. Result: Hit.
Expects Coria's well-rounded edge to become a stoppage against the outmatched Nicoll.
Miss Du Plessis vs Usman Mike Finch: predicted Usman · to win for Du Plessis vs Usman. Actual Du Plessis · Dec. Result: Miss.
Backs Usman's chain wrestling and control after questioning Du Plessis' defensive wrestling against a disciplined opponent.
Miss Elliot vs Anderson Mike Finch: predicted Anderson · Sub for Elliot vs Anderson. Actual Elliot · Dec. Result: Miss.
Picks Anderson by submission, arguing that Elliot repeatedly shoots and is likely to run into Anderson's more advanced jiu-jitsu.
Hit Harris vs Hines Mike Finch: predicted Harris · to win for Harris vs Hines. Actual Harris · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Joins the Harris side, believing the taller prospect has the faster and harder-hitting tools against Hines.
Hit Hooper vs Ramirez Mike Finch: predicted Hooper · to win for Hooper vs Ramirez. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Takes Hooper as the pure pick because of his grappling edge, while acknowledging the recent knockout losses make the price unappealing.
Miss McMillen vs Montes Mike Finch: predicted Montes · Sub for McMillen vs Montes. Actual McMillen · KO/TKO R3. Result: Miss.
Calls Montes by submission, leaning on the quality of his front-headlock game.
Hit Ricci vs Kline Mike Finch: predicted Kline · to win for Ricci vs Kline. Actual Kline · Dec. Result: Hit.
Takes Kline to win, agreeing she is the more reliable side while declining to call a method.
Miss Rodrigues Jr. vs Franco Mike Finch: predicted Rodrigues Jr. · KO/TKO for Rodrigues Jr. vs Franco. Actual Franco · KO/TKO R2. Result: Miss.
Picks Rodrigues by knockout, seeing his speed and danger as the better side in a volatile matchup.
Hit Basharat vs Garza Mike Finch: predicted Basharat · to win for Basharat vs Garza. Actual Basharat · Dec. Result: Hit.
Frames Basharat as close to the safest side on the card because Garza is stepping up on short notice against a proven UFC bantamweight. He expects Basharat to be better anywhere, with inside-the-distance and back-take choke paths live, but does not lock a single method.
“Basharat all day.”
Miss Cortez vs Wang Mike Finch: predicted Cortez · Decision for Cortez vs Wang. Actual Wang · Dec. Result: Miss.
Backs Cortez's grappling route. He expects her to force clinches and takedowns often enough to blunt Wang Cong's striking and grind out a decision.
“Give me Tracy Cortez and I think a decision is likely.”
Hit Costa vs Durden Mike Finch: predicted Costa · to win for Costa vs Durden. Actual Costa · Sub R2. Result: Hit.
Backs Costa as the more dangerous flyweight striker and thinks Durden's return to 125 will be difficult. He sees Costa's speed and striking volume leading to a finish, but leaves the exact finish type open between club-and-sub and TKO.
“Give me Costa.”
Perfect Gandra vs Reese Mike Finch: predicted Gandra · KO/TKO for Gandra vs Reese. Actual Gandra · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect.
Trusts Gandra's power and forward pressure despite defensive holes. He sees Reese as dangerous with kicks and submissions, but not the opponent to punish those openings before Gandra's heavier offense lands.
“Gandra KO.”
Perfect Garbrandt vs Yañez Mike Finch: predicted Yañez · KO/TKO for Garbrandt vs Yañez. Actual Yañez · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect.
Backs Yanez's speed, activity and pressure against Garbrandt's recent body of work. He expects Yanez to stay on him until the damage piles up into a stoppage.
Perfect McGregor vs Holloway Mike Finch: predicted Holloway · KO/TKO for McGregor vs Holloway. Actual Holloway · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect.
Gives McGregor the power edge, but thinks the five-year layoff, timing gap and Holloway's cardio and mobility are too much. He expects Holloway to turn volume into a later-round stoppage.
“I'm going Max Blessed Holloway.”
Perfect Pimblett vs Saint Denis Mike Finch: predicted Pimblett · Sub for Pimblett vs Saint Denis. Actual Pimblett · Sub R1. Result: Perfect.
Also backs Pimblett as the live underdog. He thinks Saint Denis' pressure can create the exact scrambles where Pimblett's dangerous guard and back attacks become decisive.
“Patty Pimblet via submission.”
Miss Pinas vs Almeida Mike Finch: predicted Almeida · Decision for Pinas vs Almeida. Actual Pinas · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
Takes the underdog Almeida in a split-pick fight. He acknowledges Pinas as a tall task, but settles on Almeida to survive the danger and win on the cards.
“Caesar Almeida via a decision.”
Hit Riley vs Kamaka Mike Finch: predicted Riley · to win for Riley vs Kamaka. Actual Riley · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Likes Riley as the more consequential striker. He respects Kamaka's technical layers and cardio, but thinks Riley's power, damage and late-round push make him a bad matchup.
“Give me Luke Riley.”
Miss Royval vs Kavanagh Mike Finch: predicted Kavanagh · Decision for Royval vs Kavanagh. Actual Royval · Sub R3. Result: Miss.
Trusts Kavanagh's cardio, energy management and cleaner striking after the Moreno fight. He thinks Royval is durable enough to avoid the finish, but not sharp enough to win the minutes.
“I got Kavanagh decision.”
Miss Sandhagen vs Bautista Mike Finch: predicted Sandhagen · Decision for Sandhagen vs Bautista. Actual Bautista · Dec. Result: Miss.
Says Bautista lacks the clear wrestling advantage needed to blunt Sandhagen. He trusts Sandhagen's schedule, submission grappling and ability to win two of three rounds in the big cage.
Perfect Steveson vs Ellison Mike Finch: predicted Steveson · KO/TKO · R1 for Steveson vs Ellison. Actual Steveson · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect.
Tried to find an Ellison upset angle, but could not get there. He trusts Steveson's wrestling base, camp, confidence and ground-and-pound to overwhelm Ellison early.
“Gable Stevenson gets him out of there in the first round.”
Perfect Whittaker vs Krylov Mike Finch: predicted Whittaker · KO/TKO for Whittaker vs Krylov. Actual Whittaker · KO/TKO R3. Result: Perfect.
Questions Whittaker's size at 205, but still thinks his mobility, jab, technique and speed are a league above Krylov. He does not see Krylov's grappling offsetting that edge.
“I'm gonna say Rob Whitaker knockout.”
Perfect Lewis vs Hokit Mike Finch: predicted Hokit · KO/TKO for Lewis vs Hokit. Actual Hokit · KO/TKO R2. Result: Perfect.
Mike backs Hokit as a fast-handed wrestler against an aging Lewis, expecting Hokit to wrestle, dictate where the fight happens and eventually finish with ground-and-pound.
Hit Lopes vs Garcia Mike Finch: predicted Lopes · to win for Lopes vs Garcia. Actual Lopes · KO/TKO R2. Result: Hit.
Mike gives a slight lean to Lopes despite Garcia's dangerous southpaw boxing, because Lopes has the durability and grappling edge to punish Garcia if the pressure gets wild.
Miss Nickal vs Daukaus Mike Finch: predicted Daukaus · to win for Nickal vs Daukaus. Actual Nickal · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
Mike calls Daukaus the dog he would pick on this card, arguing his striking, southpaw looks and submission danger make him a bad matchup for a Nickal who has not proven enough in MMA yet.
Hit O'Malley vs Zahabi Mike Finch: predicted O'Malley · Decision for O'Malley vs Zahabi. Actual O'Malley · KO/TKO R2. Result: Hit.
Mike agrees on O'Malley but leans away from AJ's knockout call, expecting O'Malley to touch Zahabi, move, avoid the return fire and pitch a shutout-style win.
Miss Pereira vs Gane Mike Finch: predicted Pereira · KO/TKO for Pereira vs Gane. Actual Gane · KO/TKO R2. Result: Miss.
Mike thinks Pereira's pressure and power are a tough stylistic problem for Gane, calling Pereira live to knock him out and later agreeing both hosts are riding with Pereira.
Perfect Ruffy vs Chandler Mike Finch: predicted Ruffy · KO/TKO for Ruffy vs Chandler. Actual Ruffy · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect.
Mike acknowledges Chandler's wrestling path but says Ruffy is the obvious side, expecting a highlight-reel knockout once Chandler has to cross range.
Miss Topuria vs Gaethje Mike Finch: predicted Topuria · KO/TKO for Topuria vs Gaethje. Actual Gaethje · KO/TKO R4. Result: Miss.
Mike calls Topuria over Gaethje a major mismatch, expecting Topuria's boxing and counters to produce a knockout rather than a long fight.