Andre Fili vs Kai Kamaka III — Oct. 10 UFC Fight Night

Scheduled · 10 Oct 2026 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan Allen vs. Duncan · Featherweight · Main Card · 3 rounds · Las Vegas, Nevada

Andre
Fili

View profile

Record

Wins: 25
Losses: 14
Draws: 0

10KO/TKO

3Sub

12Dec

Red corner

25-14-0
Record: 18-8-1; United States
Nationality: United States; 36
Age: 31; 180.34 cm
Height — Fili leads: 170.18 cm; 187.96 cm
Reach — Fili leads: 175.26 cm; 3.89
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Kamaka III leads: 5.49; 52%
Finish rateFinish % — Fili leads: 22%

Kai
Kamaka III

View profile

Record

Wins: 18
Losses: 8
Draws: 1

3KO/TKO

1Sub

14Dec

Blue corner

View full tale of the tape & radar (+10)

25-14-0
Record: 18-8-1; 2-3 last 5
Recent form: Not published; Not published
Stance: Not published; 10
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Fili leads: 3; 3
Wins by submissionSub wins — Fili leads: 1; 4.55
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Fili leads: 6.03; 50%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Kamaka III leads: 55%; 72%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Fili leads: 55%; 10:41
Avg. fight timeAvg. time: 12:05; Team Alpha Male (Urijah Faber's Ultimate Fitness)
Team: Xtreme Couture - Las Vegas, NV

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

At a glance

Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.

Analyst Picks13 analysts 100%13 picks 0%0 picks

AI PredictionComing soonNo forecast publishedUnavailable right now

Market OddsComing soonNo forecast publishedUnavailable right now

Analyst picks AI forecasts Market odds

What to expect

Case for Fili

Fili has lost his last two, to Vinicius Oliveira in June 2026 and Jose Miguel Delgado in March 2026, after beating Christian Rodriguez in August 2025. His 2.24 takedown average and 72% takedown defense give him a grappling base, while a 38% strike accuracy means he has to pick his exchanges.

Case for Kamaka III

Kamaka is 18-8-1 and 14 of his 18 wins have gone the distance. He lands 5.49 significant strikes per minute at 59% accuracy, and he arrives after a loss to Luke Riley at UFC 329 in July 2026 that followed a win over Dakota Hope in April 2026.

What to Watch

Whether Kamaka's 5.49 strikes landed per minute at 59% accuracy out-volume Fili's 38% accuracy.
Fili's 72% takedown defense against Kamaka's 1.45 takedown average.
Which fighter reverses recent form: Fili has lost two straight and Kamaka lost his last fight.
Whether the fight goes the distance, as 14 of Kamaka's 18 wins have.

Analysts

Independent analyst picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — on this fight: who they pick, how, and the exact moment they say it. Tap any clip to hear it.

(13) 100% Fili

0% (0) Kamaka III

Analyst prediction scorecards

James Lynch33 resolved calls James LynchView full track record Winner Accuracy 66.7% 22 11 Method Accuracy 53.8% 7 6 Round Accuracy 0.0% 5 Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Fili · Dec	Upcoming	Fili	Dec	Not called
James Lynch picks Andre Fili to beat Kai Kamaka III by decision. Hear it — 16:08 James Lynch on YouTube ↗ James Lynch’s track record → Track record: winner called in 22 of 33 resolved picks, 3 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is
Marcel Dorff18 resolved calls Marcel DorffView full track record Winner Accuracy 66.7% 12 6 Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4 Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3 Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Fili · Dec	Upcoming	Fili	Dec	Not called
Marcel Dorff picks Andre Fili to beat Kai Kamaka III by decision. Hear it — 19:04 Marcel Dorff’s track record → Track record: winner called in 12 of 18 resolved picks, 2 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is
Bert MMA12 resolved calls Bert MMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4 Method Accuracy 100.0% 1 Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Fili · Dec	Upcoming	Fili	Dec	Not called
Bert MMA's card recap has Andre Fili winning by decision. Hear it — 23:31 Bert MMA on YouTube ↗ Bert MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 8 of 12 resolved picks, 1 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is
Clenbat25 resolved calls ClenbatView full track record Winner Accuracy 64.0% 16 9 Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Fili · to win	Upcoming	Fili	Not called	Not called
Clenbat sides with Andre Fili as a low-to-medium-confidence pick, citing his height and reach advantage. Hear it — 7:46 Clenbat on YouTube ↗ Clenbat’s track record → Track record: winner called in 16 of 25 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Artem MMA60 resolved calls Artem MMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 61.7% 37 23 Method Accuracy 65.6% 21 11 Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2 Underdog Accuracy 12.5% 1 7 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Fili · Dec	Upcoming	Fili	Dec	Not called
Artem MMA sides with Andre Fili to win by decision over Kai Kamaka III. Hear it — 23:37 Artem MMA on YouTube ↗ Artem MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 37 of 60 resolved picks, 20 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is
Fight Productions31 resolved calls Fight ProductionsView full track record Winner Accuracy 61.3% 19 12 Method Accuracy 73.7% 14 5 Round Accuracy 38.5% 5 8 Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Fili · KO/TKO · R2	Upcoming	Fili	KO/TKO	R2
Fight Productions takes Andre Fili by second-round knockout, citing his range advantage over Kai Kamaka III. Hear it — 31:53 Fight Productions on YouTube ↗ Fight Productions’s track record → Track record: winner called in 19 of 31 resolved picks, 9 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is
Walk The Line MMA22 resolved calls Walk The Line MMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 59.1% 13 9 Method Accuracy 66.7% 6 3 Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Fili · Dec	Upcoming	Fili	Dec	Not called
Walk The Line MMA says Andre Fili wins a decision, while a finish stays live. Hear it — 24:22 Walk The Line MMA on YouTube ↗ Walk The Line MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 13 of 22 resolved picks, 5 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is
Andrew Richardson52 resolved calls Andrew RichardsonView full track record Winner Accuracy 57.7% 30 22 Method Accuracy 70.0% 21 9 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Fili · Dec	Upcoming	Fili	Dec	Not called
Andrew Richardson picks Andre Fili to beat Kai Kamaka III by decision. Read source Andrew Richardson’s track record → Track record: winner called in 30 of 52 resolved picks, 21 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is
Adam Martin29 resolved calls Adam MartinView full track record Winner Accuracy 55.2% 16 13 Method Accuracy 0.0% 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Fili · Dec	Upcoming	Fili	Dec	Not called
Adam Martin picks Andre Fili to beat Kai Kamaka III by decision. Hear it — 17:50 Adam Martin’s track record → Track record: winner called in 16 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
The MMA Yuda34 resolved calls The MMA YudaView full track record Winner Accuracy 50.0% 17 17 Method Accuracy 0.0% 1 Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Fili · to win	Upcoming	Fili	Not called	Not called
The MMA Yuda picks Andre Fili over Kai Kamaka III. Hear it — 18:35 The MMA Yuda on YouTube ↗ The MMA Yuda’s track record → Track record: winner called in 17 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA JAWN10 resolved calls MMA JAWNView full track record Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5 Method Accuracy 100.0% 1 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Fili · Dec	Upcoming	Fili	Dec	Not called
The MMA JAWN channel picks Andre Fili to beat Kai Kamaka III by decision. Hear it — 12:09 MMA JAWN on YouTube ↗ MMA JAWN’s track record → Track record: winner called in 5 of 10 resolved picks, 1 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is
Chris Schweppe61 resolved calls Chris SchweppeView full track record Winner Accuracy 49.2% 30 31 Method Accuracy 53.3% 16 14 Round Accuracy 27.3% 6 16 Underdog Accuracy 21.4% 3 11 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Fili · Dec	Upcoming	Fili	Dec	Not called
Schweppe picks Andre Fili by decision. Read source Chris Schweppe’s track record → Track record: winner called in 30 of 61 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is
Brandon K12 resolved calls Brandon KView full track record Winner Accuracy 33.3% 4 8 Method Accuracy 0.0% 1 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Fili · Dec	Upcoming	Fili	Dec	Not called
The Brandon K channel picks Andre Fili to beat Kai Kamaka III by decision. Hear it — 48:50 Brandon K on YouTube ↗ Brandon K’s track record → Track record: winner called in 4 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

1 of 13 see a finish — 1 by KO/TKO, 10 by decision.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

AI Predictions

Latest eligible AI predictions load when this page is online.

Odds

No consensus line is published for this bout yet. A live price may appear when online; this page will not present an unverified or stale line as current.

Checking the latest live price when online.

Best available price

Andre Fili: -143 at BetRivers
Kai Kamaka III: +126 at FanDuel

Highest American-odds quote among 3 US-licensed sportsbooks, oldest quote Oct 9, 23:28 UTC. Lines move; confirm with the sportsbook. Not betting advice.

Offshore sportsbooks (not licensed in US states)

Andre Fili: -145 at BetOnline.ag, BetUS, Bovada
Kai Kamaka III: +125 at Bovada

Best price among 3 offshore sportsbooks that quote this fight. Offshore books are not licensed by any US state regulator.

Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

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Fili vs Kamaka III — Featherweight · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan