Franco vs Ribeiro — Light Heavyweight · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
Franco
- Wins
- 11
- Losses
- 2
- Draws
- 0
Red corner
- 11-2-0
- Record
- 17-11-0
- Brazil
- Nationality
- Brazil
- 25
- Age
- Source pending
- Not published
- Reach
- 205.74 cm
Ribeiro
- Wins
- 17
- Losses
- 11
- Draws
- 0
Blue corner
View full tale of the tape & radar (+9)
- 11-2-0
- Record
- 17-11-0
- Not published
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 1-4 last 5
- Not published
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Not published
- 12:09
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 07:33
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
At a glance
Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.
What to expect
Case for Franco
Franco is 11-2-0 at 25, with seven knockouts and four submissions, so every win has come inside the distance. His grappling stands out on his tape, a 3.70 takedown average at 40% accuracy with 88% takedown defense. His latest fight was a second-round TKO of Levi Rodrigues Jr. at UFC Fight Night in July 2026, a bounce-back from a unanimous-decision loss to Mario Pinto in his March 2026 UFC debut.
Case for Ribeiro
Ribeiro is 17-11-0 with nine knockouts, seven submissions and one decision, a 94% finish rate, and his 205.74 cm reach makes him a long striker who lands 2.94 significant strikes per minute. His recent form is the concern: he is 1-4 over his last five with four straight losses, the latest a unanimous decision to Magomed Tuchalov at UFC Fight Night in July 2026. His last win was a second-round kimura of Diyar Nurgozhay in March 2025.
What to Watch
- Whether Franco's 3.70 takedown average and 88% takedown defense decide where the fight happens against a striker with seven submission wins.
- Finishing on both sides: all 11 of Franco's wins and 16 of Ribeiro's 17 came inside the distance.
- Recent form: Franco's latest fight was a TKO win in July 2026, Ribeiro's a decision loss in July 2026.
- Experience: Ribeiro has 28 professional fights to Franco's 13.
Fan Picks
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Analysts
Independent analyst picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — on this fight: who they pick, how, and the exact moment they say it. Tap any clip to hear it.
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 22 11
- Method Accuracy 53.8% 7 6
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 64.0% 16 9
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 61.7% 37 23
- Method Accuracy 65.6% 21 11
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Underdog Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 61.3% 19 12
- Method Accuracy 73.7% 14 5
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 59.1% 13 9
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 55.2% 16 13
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 17 17
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 49.2% 30 31
- Method Accuracy 53.3% 16 14
- Round Accuracy 27.3% 6 16
- Underdog Accuracy 21.4% 3 11
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
Analyst picks: James Lynch picks Franco; Bert MMA picks Franco; Clenbat picks Franco; Artem MMA picks Franco; Fight Productions picks Franco; Walk The Line MMA picks Franco; Adam Martin picks Franco; The MMA Yuda picks Franco; MMA JAWN picks Franco; Chris Schweppe picks Franco; Brandon K picks Franco.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
James Lynch
James LynchView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Franco · KO/TKO · R1 | Upcoming | Franco | KO/TKO | R1 | |
| James Lynch picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout in round one. Track record: winner called in 22 of 33 resolved picks, 3 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is | ||||||
Bert MMA
Bert MMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Franco · KO/TKO · R2 | Upcoming | Franco | KO/TKO | R2 | |
| Bert MMA's card recap has Felipe Franco winning by second-round TKO as a big favorite. Track record: winner called in 8 of 12 resolved picks, 1 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is | ||||||
Clenbat
ClenbatView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Franco · to win | Upcoming | Franco | Not called | Not called | |
| Clenbat cites Franco’s youth, reach, and ability to take Ribeiro down and work his game. He notes Ribeiro’s power as a concern and calls this an easy matchup for Franco. Track record: winner called in 16 of 25 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Artem MMA
Artem MMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Franco · Sub | Upcoming | Franco | Sub | Not called | |
| Artem MMA picks Felipe Franco to take Brendson Ribeiro down and win by submission. Track record: winner called in 37 of 60 resolved picks, 20 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is | ||||||
Fight Productions
Fight ProductionsView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Franco · KO/TKO · R2 | Upcoming | Franco | KO/TKO | R2 | |
| Fight Productions takes Felipe Franco by second-round ground-and-pound knockout, expecting him to land takedowns and build control time. Track record: winner called in 19 of 31 resolved picks, 9 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is | ||||||
Walk The Line MMA
Walk The Line MMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Franco · KO/TKO | Upcoming | Franco | KO/TKO | Not called | |
| Walk The Line MMA calls Felipe Franco to win by TKO-type stoppage. Track record: winner called in 13 of 22 resolved picks, 5 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is | ||||||
Adam Martin
Adam MartinView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Franco · KO/TKO · R1 | Upcoming | Franco | KO/TKO | R1 | |
| Adam Martin picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout in round one, stated as "first round TKO". Track record: winner called in 16 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Yuda
The MMA YudaView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Franco · to win | Upcoming | Franco | Not called | Not called | |
| The MMA Yuda picks Felipe Franco, citing his power and Brendson Ribeiro being hittable on the feet. Track record: winner called in 17 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA JAWN
MMA JAWNView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Franco · KO/TKO | Upcoming | Franco | KO/TKO | Not called | |
| The MMA JAWN channel picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout. Track record: winner called in 5 of 10 resolved picks, 1 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is | ||||||
Chris Schweppe
Chris SchweppeView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Franco · KO/TKO · R1 | Upcoming | Franco | KO/TKO | R1 | |
| Schweppe picks Felipe Franco by first-round knockout. Track record: winner called in 30 of 61 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call. How winner calls are counted · What a perfect call is | ||||||
Brandon K
Brandon KView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Franco · to win | Upcoming | Franco | Not called | Not called | |
| The Brandon K channel picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro. No method or round is stated. Track record: winner called in 4 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
8 of 11 see a finish — 7 by KO/TKO, 1 by submission.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
AI Predictions
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Odds
No consensus line is published for this bout yet. A live price may appear when online; this page will not present an unverified or stale line as current.
Checking the latest live price when online.
Best available price
- Felipe Franco
- -370 at FanDuel
- Brendson Ribeiro
- +310 at DraftKings
Offshore sportsbooks (not licensed in US states)
- Felipe Franco
- -370 at Bovada
- Brendson Ribeiro
- +323 at BetOnline.ag
Videos
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