Price vs Shahbazyan — Welterweight · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Scheduled · 10 Oct 2026 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan Allen vs. Duncan · Welterweight · Preliminary Card · 3 rounds · Las Vegas, Nevada
Niko
Price
View profile
Record Record: 16-11-0
Wins
16
Losses
11
Draws
0
10KO/TKO
3Sub
3Dec

Red corner

16-11-0
Record
12-5-0
United States
Nationality
Source pending
Source pending
Age
30
1.8288 m
Height — Shahbazyan leads
193.04 cm
193.04 cm
Reach — Shahbazyan leads
195.58 cm
5.11
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Shahbazyan leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
6.10
81%
Finish rateFinish % — Shahbazyan leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
100%
Leon
Shahbazyan
View profile
Record Record: 12-5-0
Wins
12
Losses
5
Draws
0
1KO/TKO
11Sub
0Dec

Blue corner

View full tale of the tape & radar (+9)
16-11-0
Record
12-5-0
1-4 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
Not published
Not published
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Not published
10
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Price leads
1
3
Wins by submissionSub wins — Shahbazyan leads
11
5.57
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Price leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
8.45
48%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Price leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
33%
50%
Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
Not published
08:07
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
05:20

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

At a glance

Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.

What to expect

Case for Price

Price is 16-11-0 with ten knockouts, three submissions and three decisions, and his 81% finish rate shows how often his wins end early. He lands 5.11 significant strikes per minute, has a 1.06 takedown average, and his 193 cm reach is within three centimetres of Shahbazyan's 196 cm. The recent form is poor, 1-4 over his last five with four straight losses, including a first-round submission to Michael Chiesa in March 2026.

Case for Shahbazyan

Shahbazyan is 12-5-0 with 11 submissions and one knockout among his wins, and his four most recent wins before the UFC were all first-round submissions at Tuff-N-Uff, most recently an armbar of Robert Hale in March 2026. He is also the taller fighter at 1.93 m with a 196 cm reach. His only UFC fight on record is a 23-second TKO loss to Levan Chokheli at UFC Fight Night in June 2026, so his listed UFC tape (6.10 strikes landed and 8.45 absorbed per minute, 33% strike defense) is a small sample rather than an established profile.

What to Watch

  • How much to read into thin UFC tape: Shahbazyan's per-minute numbers come from one fight, a 23-second loss in June 2026.
  • Price's 5.11 strikes landed per minute against Shahbazyan's 33% strike defense.
  • Whether the fight reaches the mat: 11 of Shahbazyan's 12 wins are submissions, and Price shows a 50% takedown defense against Shahbazyan's 1.41 takedown average.
  • Early danger: Price has 13 stoppage wins but has lost four straight, three of them by stoppage.

Analysts

Independent analyst picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — on this fight: who they pick, how, and the exact moment they say it. Tap any clip to hear it.

Analyst picks: James Lynch picks Shahbazyan; Marcel Dorff picks Shahbazyan; Bert MMA picks Price; Clenbat picks Shahbazyan; Artem MMA picks Shahbazyan; Fight Productions picks Shahbazyan; KingofCrackdown5095 picks Price; Walk The Line MMA picks Shahbazyan; The MMA Yuda picks Price; MMA JAWN picks Shahbazyan; Chris Schweppe picks Price; Brandon K picks Price.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
James Lynch33 resolved calls
Shahbazyan · DecUpcomingShahbazyanDecNot called
Marcel Dorff18 resolved calls
Shahbazyan · SubUpcomingShahbazyanSubNot called
Bert MMA12 resolved calls
Price · DecUpcomingPriceDecNot called
Clenbat25 resolved calls
Shahbazyan · to winUpcomingShahbazyanNot calledNot called
Artem MMA60 resolved calls
Shahbazyan · Sub · R1UpcomingShahbazyanSubR1
Fight Productions31 resolved calls
Shahbazyan · Sub · R1UpcomingShahbazyanSubR1
KingofCrackdown509528 resolved calls
Price · KO/TKO · R1UpcomingPriceKO/TKOR1
Walk The Line MMA22 resolved calls
Shahbazyan · SubUpcomingShahbazyanSubNot called
The MMA Yuda34 resolved calls
Price · to winUpcomingPriceNot calledNot called
MMA JAWN10 resolved calls
Shahbazyan · SubUpcomingShahbazyanSubNot called
Chris Schweppe61 resolved calls
Price · KO/TKO · R1UpcomingPriceKO/TKOR1
Brandon K12 resolved calls
Price · to winUpcomingPriceNot calledNot called

7 of 12 see a finish — 2 by KO/TKO, 5 by submission, 2 by decision.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

AI Predictions

Latest eligible AI predictions load when this page is online.

Odds

No consensus line is published for this bout yet. A live price may appear when online; this page will not present an unverified or stale line as current.

Checking the latest live price when online.

Best available price

Niko Price
+123 at BetRivers
Leon Shahbazyan
-142 at DraftKings

Highest American-odds quote among 3 US-licensed sportsbooks, oldest quote Oct 9, 23:28 UTC. Lines move; confirm with the sportsbook. Not betting advice.

Offshore sportsbooks (not licensed in US states)
Niko Price
+127 at Bovada
Leon Shahbazyan
-147 at Bovada

Best price among 3 offshore sportsbooks that quote this fight. Offshore books are not licensed by any US state regulator.

Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

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